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RPGDL Games => Forum Games => Topic started by: Carthrat on November 30, 2008, 11:04:21 PM

Title: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on November 30, 2008, 11:04:21 PM
It was as sudden as it was unexpected- and disturbing.

"Hnn... ah.. ah! Onee-chan!" gasped Takumi, clutching at his chest suddenly, right in the middle of class. Before a series of horrified onlookers, his body began to disintegrate, evaporating into empheral, sparkling green mist. And just like that, he vanished, never to be seen again. Panic ensued as the entire classroom freaked out, some rushing over to his seat to see if it wasn't all a sick joke, others simply rushing out.

It was a while before someone thought to check on Mai, who hadn't showed up in school today. They found her in her dormitory, having already bled to death. Paramedics who arrived far too late opined that she must have died around the same time as Takumi. For most of the school, this was a terrible, and freaky coincidence. But for a certain group of others, it was a signal that the fight had begun.

13 people received a summons. They gathered in the school garden, in a setting that would be luxirious were it not for the realities for their situation.

Fujino Shizuru, the mysterious president of the student council.
Sugiura Midori, Mai's upbeat homeroom teacher.
Yuuichi Tate, Mai's boyfriendShiho Munakata's boyfriend and just friends with Mai.
Minagi Mikoto, Mai's catlike, athletic, and simple-minded roommate.
Okuzaki Akira, Takumi's best friend.
Kuga Natsuki, serious-minded delinquent and truant. Mai's companion.
Ishigami Wataru, schoolteacher and manager of the art club.
Miyu, a devout yet strangely... mechanical... student.
Kazuya Kurauchi, an affable young student. Higurashi Akane's boyfriend.
Yuuki Nao, seductive man-killing teenager.
Senou Aoi, an otaku for all things cute.
Suzushiro Haruka, the over-enthusiastic leader of the Fuka executive committe.
Higurashi Akane, part-time waitress and Kazuya Kurauchi's girlfriend.

A face none of them wanted to see again showed up, as well.

(http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/2/24/Nagi_ep15.jpg/200px-Nagi_ep15.jpg)

With his usual contemptuous smirk, Nagi did the thing everyone expected, yet dreaded- he opened his mouth.

"hi2u ma3him3. gud to see u all well. xcept for mai LOLOLOLOL

Pausing, he cleared his throat.

"Ahem, sorry. I'm sure some of you have deduced already that it was one of you who killed her," he replies, nodding. "And if you'll all take a quick look at the sky..."

Hanging in the stars was an ominous red star, sparkling brightly near a barely visible, pale moon. "As you can see, it's getting bigger. The festival needs to be completed, everyone, or the world will end! Luckily, someone seems to have accepted this." He grins, nastily. "With that in mind, I suppose you all can't just stand around, can you?"

He vanished, leaving those gathered to ponder on what to do next. For some, it didn't take long-

"So it was one of you, huh?! Give yourselves up! You can't escape!" cried Haruka, only to be shooed by Shizuru. "Now, if they were going to give themselves up that easily, they wouldn't have come," the president remarks, surveying the gathered students and teachers. "We can't afford to fight amongst ourselves, can we?"

"Hmph. And it was probably you two, to boot," snorts Akira, leaning against a pillar. "You two have more authority than even the teachers, so committing murder would be-"

"Don't you dare say that about Shizuru!" snapped Natsuki, causing Haruka to stomp her foot. "Hey, you forgot-"

"Haaaaai! Everyone quiet down!" called Midori, clapping her hands in an ominous, 'I'm a teacher and you're all scrubs' fashion. "Let's start simple, alright? We know the murderers are amongst us. So if we go over the facts, it shouldn't be hard to determine who's who!"

Everyone seemed to nod at this. Except for the redheaded student, who rolled her eyes. "And? What do we do when we find them?" she challenges, addressing the group. "They won't just go 'oh, sorry, I guess I did kill her, teehee!" and turn themselves in like some cutesy detective anime. We'll have to-" She frowns to herself.

Faces paled. "And.. and if we lose... they'd never give themselves up," mumbles Higurashi, clutching onto Kazuya's arm. Collective shudders rippled through the group. As Mai's death had demonstrated, the death of a Hime resulted in the death of a person important to them. And nobody needed to mention that only one could survive the festival, in the first place.

The tense atmosphere hung in the balance, but eventually, the silence would have to be broken...

RULES

-Town Must Lynch; ties are resolved via sudden death.
-Scum Must Kill
-Serial Killers Must Kill
-Days will be 48 hours, subject to extension if desired by popular demand. Post ##Extension if you want one and if at least a third of you want it it will happen.
-You will be informed if someone tries to kill you at night or if you are roleblocked, regardless of applicability or success.
-Replacements will only be permitted on days one and two. Any hardcore lurkers or people who want to quit will simply be killed after that.
-Play to win
-Don't be lame

-Don't edit your posts
-If you're not sure, for fuck's sake, ask, especially if you want role clarifications.

Town (Town wins by killing all other factions, excluding any survivors.)
Doctor (May or may not be able to protect self. May or may not be able to protect the same person twice in a row.)
Cop (Sane, Insane)
Roleblocker
Vigilante (Nightvig only, may be compulsive, may have limited shots)
Tracker
Watcher
Watcher/Tracker
Bomb (Kills anyone who hammers him; kills anyone attempting to kill him at night.)
Bulletproof
Vanilla
Miller (Special, may be attached to any of the above roles.)

Scum (One scum must go on the kill, they lose any powers they have that night if so. Scum can talk to each other out of the thread. Scum wins by killing everyone else, except any Survivors.)
Doctor (The scumdoc will only appear if an SK or another scumteam exists. You can't use the scumdoc to protect against your own scumkill.)
Framer
Hitman (May ignore protections of any kind if sent on the kill. May have limited uses.)
Rolecop
Roleblocker (Blocks passive roles for that night as well, i.e. bomb, bulletproof, miller)
Godfather (Immune to NKs and flips town to cops. One guaranteed to exist in the game, NOT per scumteam.)
Vanilla

Third Party (None will exist in a game with less than 13 people in it, guaranteed.)
Serial Killer (May be bulletproof, may flip town to investigations.)
Survivor (Doesn't need to be eliminated by either side, may possess any other role.)


Still Attending Class

1. Fujino Shizuru (Corwin)
2. Sugiura Midori (SirAlexTheFirst)
3. Yuuichi Tate (Excal)
4. Minagi Mikoto (AndrewRogue)
7. Ishigami Wataru (Strago)
10. Senou Aoi (Kilgamayan)
11. Suzushiro Haruka (Xanth)
13. Higurashi Akane (Kiro)

Sparklies or Slashies

-1. Tokiha Mai
0. Tokiha Takumi
5. Okuzaki Akira, Scum Godfather (HunterSopko)
6. Kuga Natsuki, Vanilla Town (DreadThomas)
8. Miyu, Bulletproof Miller (El-Cideon)
9. Kazuya Kurauchi, Scum Hitman (Bardiche)
12. Yuuki Nao, Vanilla Town, you fucking bastards :( (Affinity)
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on November 30, 2008, 11:04:48 PM
It is Day One! There are 48 hours remaining.

Ciato is your co-mod for this game.

With 13 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on November 30, 2008, 11:09:15 PM
##Vote: EvilTom to get the inevitable out of the way.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on November 30, 2008, 11:17:16 PM
Mai?  Maiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii!

You did this!  I know you killed her!

##Vote: Andrew Rogue
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on November 30, 2008, 11:19:32 PM
##Vote: Corwin

It was definately the crazy rapist bitch that did it!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on November 30, 2008, 11:21:06 PM
##VOTE: Affinity

A seductive man-killing teenager? I think I'm onto something here.
Title: Inflected Stable Fop
Post by: Xanth on November 30, 2008, 11:42:03 PM
##Vote: Excal

These acts of perversion have long since got out of hand. I don't see Takeda about, so it's clear who the culprit must be.

I want Kiro and Bardiche separated before anything else happens.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 01, 2008, 12:13:43 AM
And now, I am dissappearing for the day.  Just a heads up so spending time with friends doesn't get read as OMG LURKING!

>_>
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 01, 2008, 12:37:24 AM
Eyyyyy.  All right, all right, murderer catching time and whatnot. 

Who's up for karaoke afterwards?

HEY YOU'RE NOT ALLOWED TO GO KARAOKE RIGHT NOW!

##Vote: Excal

OMG LURKING
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 01, 2008, 03:43:07 AM
#Vote: El-Cideon

*doesn't like androids*
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 01, 2008, 04:56:07 AM
Day 1, Votecount!

EvilTom: Kilgamayan
AndrewRogue: Excal
Corwin: HunterSopko
Affinity: Bardiche
Excal: Xanth, SirAlex
El-Cideon: Affinity

7 to lynch, 42 hours remaining or so.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 01, 2008, 05:17:31 AM
##Vote El-Cideon

It's your fault I got so little screentime in the anime!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 01, 2008, 05:56:03 AM
#Vote: El-Cideon

*doesn't like androids*

I must plead ignorance to whatever it is that you are referring to here. Surely you do not suggest that the respected (yet powerful and fearsome) Searrs Foundation would covertly send an advanced combat android to Fuka Academy for the purpose of monitoring the Festival? Because that would be unthinkable.

[Note to self: the redhead suspects our true nature. Must be monitored carefully.]

As for my other accuser, well, data needed to be gathered and you were a handy subject. You have only yourself to blame for being in the wrong place at the wrong time.

~

It is customary to dispense with a vote in one's first post. Therefore: ##Vote: Bardiche

The lovers fail to acknowledge each other's existence! Clearly this is significant in some way.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 01, 2008, 07:01:34 AM
##Vote: EvilTom to get the inevitable out of the way.
Everytime someone has made this joke, they've turned out to be scum. ##Vote: Kilgamayan

I plan on watching this soon, so let's avoid spoilers where possible please? Thanks ^^
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 01, 2008, 07:05:41 AM
How awful! I was framed, I'll have you know, framed.

I must concur with my Natsuki that it's always the quiet ones. ##Vote: Kilgamayan

How dare you accuse Natsuki?! Your time will come, Senou....
Title: Giblet Dentist Rave
Post by: Xanth on December 01, 2008, 10:19:54 AM
##Unvote: Excal

Wait, what.

I know that they're just joke votes and all, but three pairs out of eleven votes cast? That is odd, right?

Of the three second voters, Corwin definitely knew that his vote was second, and Kiro at least had a silly character joke to explain why his vote 'had' to go to El Cid (as, kind of sort of, did Corwin). If I'm going to start a line of thought anywhere out of this, it's going to have to be 'scum are less likely to be paying attention' and go with ##Vote: Alex. I'm hardly looking at you for acting spastic as your character at the start of day one, but the second vote out of the blue turns my head.

Off on the wrong foot with Corwin as well for the same act for the opposite reasons.

It'd be nice to see Andrew and Strago show up, but it's hardly time to worry about their absence.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 01, 2008, 02:30:03 PM
Xanth: I call it coincidence, myself. Cor was pretty much jokevoting for the sake of flavor (Natsuki and Shizuru voting for the same person? Yeah) and I figure Alex just couldn't resist responding to Excal's post with silliness (he did vote immediately after Excal said that, remember). Really, that's as much reason as you're going to find for votes this early on regardless of alignment, and someone getting two votes really doesn't look strange at all to me. I'm inclined to think you're reading too much into it. Granted, this is day one, there's not a lot else going on.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 01, 2008, 03:01:31 PM
Mornin', guys. I have no clue what any of this game's flavor is like, so I'm going to have to take on faith El Cid's explanation of why there seems to be an early joke pile-up on Excal. Aside from that... uh. Yeah, nothing's happened so far, which is standard for Day 1 this early on. Well, okay. Two things have happened.

First:

##Vote: EvilTom to get the inevitable out of the way.
Everytime someone has made this joke, they've turned out to be scum. ##Vote: Kilgamayan

I plan on watching this soon, so let's avoid spoilers where possible please? Thanks ^^

Tom makes the first stab at a kind of real argument, and a tenuous meta-argument at that.

Second:

##Unvote: Excal

Wait, what.

I know that they're just joke votes and all, but three pairs out of eleven votes cast? That is odd, right?

Of the three second voters, Corwin definitely knew that his vote was second, and Kiro at least had a silly character joke to explain why his vote 'had' to go to El Cid (as, kind of sort of, did Corwin). If I'm going to start a line of thought anywhere out of this, it's going to have to be 'scum are less likely to be paying attention' and go with ##Vote: Alex. I'm hardly looking at you for acting spastic as your character at the start of day one, but the second vote out of the blue turns my head.

Off on the wrong foot with Corwin as well for the same act for the opposite reasons.

It'd be nice to see Andrew and Strago show up, but it's hardly time to worry about their absence.

El Cid may have quelled some of Xanth's concerns, we won't know until Xanthy-pie comes back. What got my attention, though, is how this reminds of of one of Xanth's opening gambits in the AnonyRandoMafia a few weeks ago. That said, in that game he forced himself into the spotlight by switching his jokevote and posturing about how we wanted to start a real discussion. Here he's just trying -- a bit like I am right now, come to think of it -- to sift something worthwhile from the flavorful madness. So, whatever, certainly not a particularly damning action on his part.

Tom certainly looks worse; a vote like that with a one-line justification treads that line between "obviously I was kidding, guys, you're totally overthinking everything" and "okay now I can spin this into a real argument."

##VOTE: Evil Tom

Yeah, grasping at straws. They're all I've got right now, though.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 01, 2008, 03:38:19 PM
It's not so much that a pile-up on Excal makes sense as it is that Tom and Corwin jokevoting on the same person makes sense because of their roles (Shizuru is pretty much Natsuki's stalker. Let us all now laugh at the idea of a Cor/Tom couple). It could be argued that that's smokescreening on Cor's part, but I find it too early in the game to believe that. Two votes isn't anything remarkable in a game this size.

On that note, I may as well get this out of the way since Rat's not here to do it for us:

##Unvote: Bardiche
##Vote: Kilgamayan

Random bandwagon/let's see what happens. As for why Kilga over the other people tied for votes right now? One of them's me (and voting for myself would violate that all-important "Don't be lame" rule) and the other's Tom. Early Tom-train has happened so much that it's practically cliche, so I'll opt for a subject that stands a better chance of producing something interesting. Unlike Strago, I'm not drawing conclusions from Tom's first vote; looks like a joke to me, just like most of the first posts, so it's functionally a null read.

As for Xanth, Strago: well, countering meta with meta, the first person to try and put out a substantial argument is always going to draw criticism just because they're the first one with something to actually analyze. And Xanth has proven to have little enthusiasm for jokevoting in pretty much every game he's played (regardless of alignment), so I'd say this is par for the course for him.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 01, 2008, 03:46:46 PM
Calling me a stalker is so terribly mean-spirited! Why, I merely happened to be where my Natsuki was facing terrible danger, ready to save her from her enemies, whoever they might be. Ahem. How about some green tea? It is one of my formiddable powers, I am told. I have plenty for everyone.

For what it's worth, I support the drive to get things into the serious phase. I'm at a loss how to contribute to it at the time, however, since I agree with Cid's reasoning and so wouldn't actually be pushing him for explanations on his vote here.
Title: Drip Heater Parsnip
Post by: Xanth on December 01, 2008, 04:35:37 PM
No, I'm pretty happy with my vote where it is for now. It's early day one and I'm not pushing for decapitating the teacher on the back of it, yes, but my vote should still be somewhere at this point, and the weird mass of double-voting has been the only thing to worry me. The only thing I want to retract at this point is the use of the word 'spastic', which is bordering on uncivil even when in jest about in-character play.

I'm more on Kilgamayan's side than Tom's in that little fray, partially for Strago's reservations and also because Tom's joke argument is [unsurprisingly] incorrect. Well, I'm not really on Kilga's side so much as I'm against randomly firing him into the lead so soon.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on December 01, 2008, 05:13:56 PM
I dislike Xanth's reasoning voting Alex. It seems... simply flawed. I know people reach at the beginning, but you're going to pin your first real vote on the basis that "Scum pay less attention" when you know that that isn't true?

##Unvote
##Vote: Xanth


Not gonna comment on how the Hime meta applies to the game yet. Too little to go by.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 01, 2008, 06:24:58 PM
Good morning. Let's get my joke vote out of the way.

##Unvote El-Cideon

Even though I've played with Kilga before and Tom to a lesser extent, I'm not going to try to guess how you guys at RPGDL view them. I generally flush meta impressions from my system every Day 1. I don't understand the anxiety over Tom's vote on Kilga, and Kilga hasn't responded yet to give me any opinion of him.

The current thing that jumps out at me the most is Strago's vote for Tom. He considered Xanth based on some earlier game here, but votes Tom for a one liner. He is reaching on both due to meta and I'm not understanding why he chose the Tom vote over the Xanth vote primarily because he analyzes the case on Xanth a lot more.

##Vote Strago
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 01, 2008, 06:28:48 PM
##Vote: EvilTom to get the inevitable out of the way.
Everytime someone has made this joke, they've turned out to be scum. ##Vote: Kilgamayan [/quote]

Has this joke been made more than once? The only one I remember was Bardiche in Succinct.

I somewhat agree with Strago's theorizing about Tom (OMGUS torpedoes, FIRE!) but not to the extent to proclaim my current vote a legitimate one and am content to toss Tom's vote into the joke pile. In fact, Strago himself looks like he's trying to make something out of nothing, but he himself admits he's "grasping at straws".

Alex joke voting! I think I may faint.

Wagon on me: Uh, I dunno. Telling everyone that you're casting the third vote solely for the sake of having a third vote kinda defeats the purpose of making that vote at all, since it doesn't give me a whole lot to worth with in terms of a response. >_>

Xanth: Who would you prefer to see at three votes right now, if not me?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 01, 2008, 06:29:04 PM
Curse you, quote tags!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 01, 2008, 06:34:42 PM
Tcha, my head hurts.

##Unvote: Excal since serious phase is starting.

Okay, serious read over gives me.... almost nothing.  Right.  We got Tom and Strago and Cid and Xanth etc and they all look like fairly normal day 1 discussion.
Hey, it's a Kilga ninja!  Hi there!

##Vote: Kilga, sure, why not, let's see what happens.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 01, 2008, 06:54:37 PM
I am terribly confused by the bandwagon on Kilgamaya, but recognize this from AnonySciFiMafia.

First things first, let's immediately make this clear.

Kazuya Kurauchi loves Higurashi Akane some. "Our love is indestructible!" quoth he, and they loved eachother longtime.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT OF LOVER COMPLETE, NOW RESUMING SERIOUSBUSINESS.

Kiro gets ten points for metagame flushing and immediately becomes my favorite player. I hate metagame like I hate raging bitchqueens that want to leap onto you and eat you whole.

Xanth argument from Sopko is based on interpretation and I won't touch that.

Can't see justification for Kilgamayan train. What do you guys hope to accomplish here?

I don't have solid arguments right now. I claim Day 1 and Post 2. However, I must note I look at El Cid a little for running to another's defense. The last time I lynched someone for that they turned out to just be nice people like that, but I'd like to not let the odds influence me and pay attention to it.

Alex... why are you pressing harder on the Kilga train?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 01, 2008, 06:58:54 PM
Whoops, forgot something: ##UNVOTE: Affinity.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 01, 2008, 07:26:34 PM
sure, why not, let's see what happens.

Iunno.  He might be scum.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 01, 2008, 07:46:15 PM
sure, why not, let's see what happens.

Iunno.  He might be scum.

... That's actually a damn fine argument.

I actually meant it in the "Why are you placing another vote on the (more-or-less random) Kilgamayan train when there's already a lot on it?" way.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 01, 2008, 07:46:51 PM
Our illustrious teacher, I have an important question for you. Are you, per chance... drunk? Perhaps a little bit? Because 'he might be scum' applies just as well to you and your line of reasoning in this situation, I feel.

##Unvote: Kilgamayan
##Vote: Sir Alex


Forgive me, Natsuki! I am a weak creature and my convictions change, but not my love for you!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 01, 2008, 08:19:27 PM
sure, why not, let's see what happens.

Iunno.  He might be scum.

... That's actually a damn fine argument.

I actually meant it in the "Why are you placing another vote on the (more-or-less random) Kilgamayan train when there's already a lot on it?" way.

I don't see -4 to hammer as "a lot."

Wagon on me: Uh, I dunno. Telling everyone that you're casting the third vote solely for the sake of having a third vote kinda defeats the purpose of making that vote at all, since it doesn't give me a whole lot to worth with in terms of a response. >_>

It's only meaningless if you assume that your reaction is the only one I'm interested in. Several other people have already commented on it one way or another. Which, as far as I'm concerned, is more interesting than a lot of people going "It's day one."

That said, it'd be nice to see you drop a vote on someone yourself. Given your claim that you don't see a serious case on Tom, your lingering jokevote on him is fairly meaningless.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 01, 2008, 08:25:23 PM
The current thing that jumps out at me the most is Strago's vote for Tom. He considered Xanth based on some earlier game here, but votes Tom for a one liner. He is reaching on both due to meta and I'm not understanding why he chose the Tom vote over the Xanth vote primarily because he analyzes the case on Xanth a lot more.

##Vote Strago

Eh? I sort of see what you mean, but also not at all. With Xanth, my adverse reaction was due to an actual meta-game concern: similarity to performance in a previous game. This, once I thought it over, was not nearly enough to warrant a vote on my part. That should address the part of your post which I've bolded. I don't particularly think my vote on Tom was based on any meta-game. It was, in fact, based largely on being uncomfortable with Tom's own meta-gaming. Was that not clear?

Heh, and now there's the proposal of a Kilga train upon which Alex hops cheerfully. I think this is first time I've seen a Day 1 proposition like this meet such nonchalant acquiescence from... anybody. And I find myself completely unable to make a call on whether it's scummier to agree with the "For its Own Sake Lynchtrain," as Alex has done, or to lash out at a... seemingly arbitrary member of it, as has Corwin. Who was... also on it. Yeah. Uh. When I write it out like that, Corwin definitely seems the worse at first glance.

Wagon on me: Uh, I dunno. Telling everyone that you're casting the third vote solely for the sake of having a third vote kinda defeats the purpose of making that vote at all, since it doesn't give me a whole lot to worth with in terms of a response. >_>

Ninja'd by El Cid, but yeah, the point of this sort of thing is always at least theoretically to manufacture a situation in which everyone is forced to show something of their hand by reacting. So on that level it does make sense.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 01, 2008, 08:45:26 PM
It's true! When you frame the discussion, even incorrect things suddenly seem to fit and make sense!

Or, to recap, I placed a second vote on a person, it being a jokevote. Alex later in the day added the fourth vote and by that time I couldn't really see a reason to help train someone with what was originally said jokevote. Alex possibly did this to get discussion started! But it is not up to me to make excuses for his behavior, and the one he gave when questioned on that was pretty feeble, as far as I'm concerned. I hardly have much here, but when I apply Alex's justification of 'X might be scum, I dunno' I find that it suits a vote for him more than it does staying on what ended up being a train, but was certainly nothing of the sort at the time I placed it originally.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on December 01, 2008, 09:56:10 PM
Adding my own two sense, I think it's more Alex doesn't care what he does anymore since people will read it negatively and call him scum.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 01, 2008, 10:07:42 PM
Fair point, Cor. I don't... really have anything else to say to that. I'm not sure that I see Alex's reasoning as being worse than anyone else currently voting for Kilga, given the spirit in which El Cid started the train to begin with, but neither is your vote on him all that damning. Wasn't my intention to manipulate the facts.

Soppy: ... uh. I don't think that sort of attitude would really fall under either "Play to Win" or "Don't Be Lame," which are pretty clearly cardinal rules as submitted by Carth. Nor does signing up for a game with that sort of fatalistic attitude strike me as anything like what Alex would do. So why make weird excuses for the guy?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on December 01, 2008, 10:17:20 PM
Because I think it's as legitimate an explanation for his behavior as any?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 01, 2008, 10:54:06 PM
I'd say something of grave importance, but since my last post negligably little has changed. I want to hear some Alex, and am feeling a bit curious about Strago sticking to his "straw grasping" guns on EvilTom. Would like to see those thoughts solidified into a case stronger than the one on Alex. (shouldn't be too hard either, Alex's anti-case is pretty weak even for a Day 1 case, but then again we don't have much to work with)

Still don't have solid enough feelings about anyone to place a solid vote, but I'm looking at Strago for the above, Alex for general shenanigans.

I'd like to hear some of Xanth (re: Sopko's vote against him, current state of affairs), and would definitely like to see EvilTom again or hear any of those that've disappeared since the initial jokevote phase and haven't shown themselves since Xanth started us off.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 01, 2008, 11:00:09 PM
It'd be legitimate for some other folk.  I mean, it's something I might do if I was in his position, but it's not something Alex would do.  I mean, he's the guy who one time did his best to act like Ciato in the hopes of avoiding a lynch that way.  Maybe this is another case of giving the guy more respect than he's actually due, but I don't think this is him giving up.

On the other, far more annoying, hand.  He's also the guy who has stated it is a goal to shake up his behaviour every game so that he isn't predictable.  Not by scum, not by town.  Which...  yeah, means I'm reading him as a big ol' null tell right now.

Bard I find interesting for his metagame flushing commentary, and general WTF-ness, but I'm not sure what it is exactly about him that I find interesting.  So, someone I'll be watching.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 01, 2008, 11:04:34 PM
Day 1, Votecount!

EvilTom: Kilgamayan, Strago
AndrewRogue: Excal
Corwin: HunterSopko
Affinity: Bardiche
Excal: Xanth, SirAlex
El-Cideon: Affinity, Kiro
Bardiche: El-Cideon
Kilgamayan: EvilTom, Corwin, El-Cideon, SirAlex
SirAlex: Xanth. Corwin
Xanth: HunterSopko
Strago: Kiro

7 to lynch, 24 hours remaining or so.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 01, 2008, 11:08:22 PM
I'd say something of grave importance, but since my last post negligably little has changed. I want to hear some Alex, and am feeling a bit curious about Strago sticking to his "straw grasping" guns on EvilTom.

Pretty much justified until Tom actually talks again. I mean, what else can Strago do about this? He can't really drop the line of discussion before the person he's questioning has responded (which...should probably be soon. It's morning in bizarro world).
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 01, 2008, 11:13:47 PM
Excal: I'm already taken, though. The love between Akane and me is indestructible, so remember that. Your interest in me can't ever become more than a platonic love (or hatred).

El Cid: You're right. I was just curious given that he expressed that "Corwin looks worst", so I wondered whether he wanted to stick to his EvilTom guns which was based on 'reaching for straws', or if his dislike for the current train could be solidified into a case against someone.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 01, 2008, 11:14:46 PM
Flying home today, so I'll start posting tonight for real.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 01, 2008, 11:38:27 PM
I'd say something of grave importance, but since my last post negligably little has changed. I want to hear some Alex, and am feeling a bit curious about Strago sticking to his "straw grasping" guns on EvilTom. Would like to see those thoughts solidified into a case stronger than the one on Alex. (shouldn't be too hard either, Alex's anti-case is pretty weak even for a Day 1 case, but then again we don't have much to work with)

I'm not going to be changing the vote any time before Tom actually shows up again and makes some contribution of any worth. As it stands his contribution have been 100% OMGUS and meta-game, so the vote stays until he convinces me otherwise or I see something more worthwhile. So far, nothing strikes me as compelling enough to let Tom off the hook. This is not to say, of course, that such a thing could not occur. I certainly hope it does, or this will make for a sad and uneventful Day 1.
Title: Hound Centurion Liquid
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 12:07:10 AM
I dislike Xanth's reasoning voting Alex. It seems... simply flawed. I know people reach at the beginning, but you're going to pin your first real vote on the basis that "Scum pay less attention" when you know that that isn't true?

You're right, I do have my sayings mixed up, my mistake. I'm not particularly sure why I've otherwise been given the total benefit of the doubt in my absence, but hey. I don't agree with this view of 'real' vote when these things come in drips and measures in day one. I still find the voting patterns at the start of this game to be rather odd, but I've moulded this unease on a fallacious principle, which I should have been hit harder for.

Not that I understand Alex any better now. Not that I can see what the scum angle would be on this behaviour, but I don't see any of, you know, Alex in there, nor anything approaching useful play. This is still the sorest thumb out there, so my vote yet stays (even with the incorrect rationale on top, I stand by the double-voting weirdness as something to start from).


Elsewhere, I completely and totally side with using metagaming where possible/sensible. Town should be using every last weapon at its disposal. At least use what you have of it to guide your suspicions if you're not willing to use it to directly justify voting for someone. And no, Tom's joke argument obviously doesn't count as such, given that it's not at all meaningful. I don't particularly like Strago bringing up an old game only to immediately toss the argument out of the window, but that's not for the metagaming, just for bringing up an argument that's completely tossed away in the same breath that it's posited.


Xanth: Who would you prefer to see at three votes right now, if not me?

Most other people, if anyone at all. Putting you to three effectively put a poll to everyone saying 'hey guys, what do you think about Kilga so far?', which nets us bugger all information when you had at that point just posted a fairly typical joke vote and nothing more, at a time where it was reasonable to have done that much. Anything else you get from this from seeing how people react to a generic first train would be better served on someone that we could actually talk about more than just 'oh, he made a joke vote'.

So yes, given quite how early it was at that point, my answer is effectively 'on no one'. Answering the question for now, I'd say I want more of a spotlight on Alex, Bardiche for his typical shallow commentary style, maybe more on Tom if he doesn't jump out of his first vote as a joke, and El Cid for opting to frame the discussion quite so early.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 02, 2008, 12:57:09 AM
All right, hangover's going away.  Let's see.

Random wagon day 1 is great for starting discussion and getting reactions without cluttering the board with (what are usually) townie spats and stupid inconsequential arguments.  I know we've been through this before.  I'd like to efficiently find scum.

So, reactions.  Kilga did all right.  The two of note are Bard and Xanth.  Bard's I'm not quite sure what to make of, but I don't dislike it right now.

Xanth on the other hand, in descending order of possibly scummy stuff:
- Maintaining his wall of text style, even this early on day 1.  I loved it when we were scumbuddies together and he did that.  Side'sve switched.  It's not a good style.
- doing above while calling Bard on his own usual style (which is right and should be done, but is a bit on the eye raising side given his own style)
- Pro-metagaming, which is a very dangerous stance in the best of cases.  If you're going to metagame, at least use it well and be able to explain it.  "I don't see any Alex in there" is the worst possible form.
- Very quick to go on the two votes issue, not scummy in itself but questionable given how he's sticking to it.

Pretty good for me for now.
##Unvote: Kilga
##Vote: Xanth
Title: Re: Hound Centurion Liquid
Post by: Sierra on December 02, 2008, 01:07:09 AM
Most other people, if anyone at all. Putting you to three effectively put a poll to everyone saying 'hey guys, what do you think about Kilga so far?', which nets us bugger all information when you had at that point just posted a fairly typical joke vote and nothing more, at a time where it was reasonable to have done that much. Anything else you get from this from seeing how people react to a generic first train would be better served on someone that we could actually talk about more than just 'oh, he made a joke vote'.

It's easy to say that you disagree with arbitrary day one trains in general, but much harder to provide a solid alternative. Frankly, I didn't see a whole lot else going on at that time in the game. There was Strago on Tom (which I've stated doesn't look like much to me--and anyway, pursuing that avenue is useless until Tom revives) and you commenting on voting pairs (which I believe is all coincidence). Is there something about Kilga in particular that makes a train on him objectionable to you? Sure, he'd only made a joke vote, but that could be said about most of the group. He was no better or worse than anyone else at the time, really. I freely acknowledge that I chose him because he could be put in the lead. As a means to an end, I don't see a problem with this, and nor do I feel that there were better alternatives at the time.

EDIT: Alexninja! Don't think it changes anything.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 02, 2008, 01:31:43 AM
##Unvote
##Vote: Strago

Personally, I think Tom made a joke, and that people have been making too much of it.  While I don't think that's scummy in itself, he also did do a passing shot at Corwin which I don't see the rationale for, even before Corwin explained himself.  Furthermore, reducing what is seen as a joke vote into "100% OMGUS and meta" sounds really questionable, like a storm in a teacup, though I can see why you want him to respond and such.

Would you single out people like Xanth for his endorsement of meta, Strago?

---

Kilga is really fine for now.  There isn't much to go by, really, with his one post.  As for SirAlex, where was his reaction after your fourth vote?  I don't see it.  

--

Also, I think it's weird that Excal and Xanth indirectly criticize Bard on his 'shallow commentary-like style', while Hunter Sopko, in my opinion, is more towards that direction so far as compared to him.  Any reason for this, or is it based on meta?

Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 02, 2008, 01:37:00 AM
"Har har let's just lynch EvilTom and be done with it", I'm sick of that jokevote, I thought we were past it now. I replied with my own one-line joke vote, during jokevote phase. It was only as serious as my hurt feelings - Kilga I thought we were friends :(
Anyway that's the end of that. ##Unvote;
It's far more interesting to look at Corwin's reaction. But actually Xanth is the most interesting, but I'll get to that.


I'm not going to be changing the vote any time before Tom actually shows up again and makes some contribution of any worth.
Timezones/Australia etc.

As it stands his contribution have been 100% OMGUS and meta-game, so the vote stays until he convinces me otherwise or I see something more worthwhile. So far, nothing strikes me as compelling enough to let Tom off the hook.
Whoa, harsh. My OMGUS meta-game jokevote = Guilty until proven innocent. What crime am I being 'let off the hook' for? I made a (slightly irritated) jokevote (I can't see how anyone could mistake it for a serious case) and you jump all over me, despite Corwin placing a second vote on Kilga without any justification that you completely ignore.
Strago, you admit you're grasping at straws to vote for me. This is not a good thing. It looks like you've done your best to reason out Xanth, whilst ignoring everyone else (Corwin).
Making something out of nothing etc. and I ask why. 
And now onto something even more concerning! (This is indeed an eventful day 1).



No, I'm pretty happy with my vote where it is for now. It's early day one and I'm not pushing for decapitating the teacher on the back of it, yes, but my vote should still be somewhere at this point, and the weird mass of double-voting has been the only thing to worry me. The only thing I want to retract at this point is the use of the word 'spastic', which is bordering on uncivil even when in jest about in-character play.
Ah Xanth, with his walls-o-text that say nothing.

I'm more on Kilgamayan's side than Tom's in that little fray, partially for Strago's reservations and also because Tom's joke argument is [unsurprisingly] incorrect. Well, I'm not really on Kilga's side so much as I'm against randomly firing him into the lead so soon.
Please explain. Are you on Kilga's side? What is Kilga's side? From what perspective are you against me, or are you simply against me for the sake of having a stance against me? You've provided no justification other than.. more walls of text and referencing Strago (which doesn't say anything either).

Quote
Elsewhere, I completely and totally side with using metagaming where possible/sensible. Town should be using every last weapon at its disposal. At least use what you have of it to guide your suspicions if you're not willing to use it to directly justify voting for someone. And no, Tom's joke argument obviously doesn't count as such, given that it's not at all meaningful. I don't particularly like Strago bringing up an old game only to immediately toss the argument out of the window, but that's not for the metagaming, just for bringing up an argument that's completely tossed away in the same breath that it's posited.
That.. is a contradiction to what you said earlier! Unless I'm mistaken.

That combined with other issues such as Alex, (which I don't have time to look at right now) lead me to ##Vote: Xanth, he seems most concerning so far.

Argh ninjas - will have to address this stuff later, no time now.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 02, 2008, 02:07:42 AM
Also, I think it's weird that Excal and Xanth indirectly criticize Bard on his 'shallow commentary-like style', while Hunter Sopko, in my opinion, is more towards that direction so far as compared to him.  Any reason for this, or is it based on meta?

Bard's been called out on that sort of thing before.

As for metagaming in general, I second the misgivings voiced by Alex and others. It's not wholly useless, but it's not particularly reliable, either. When tallying up the factors against a suspect, I'd weigh in metagame aspects least (if at all). Any decent (read: adaptable) player (note: don't assume I'm claiming to be one. I've had my share of flameouts) should try to learn from past mistakes and change things up regardless of what their alignment is. If that doesn't happen, then we wind up with every game devolving into "Player X will always use gambit Y when his alignment is Z." And that's just lame.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 02, 2008, 03:41:18 AM
If you want specifics, Affinity, I think there's something off with Bard due to his odd focus on lovers (wait, lovers in a Mai-Hime game?!).  I'm not sure why he's doing this, and that is a little disconcerting.  It's just a question of whether or not I think it's because there's an actual cause for concern, or if it's just because Bard's like that.

Now, it seems joke votes are at an end, but my target hasn't actually said anything, so I'll sit back and let that vote sit for now.

Finally, on the issue of metagaming, I'm somehow not surprised this is coming up as a topic, as it seems we actually have two seperate schools on it now, and we haven't had a good clash on this issue since the old boards.  Personally, I'm with Xanth on this one.  Any tool we have is a tool we should be using.  And, I know my best playing is done with the metagame as opposed to the minor tells in the game which I try to use to justify my findings to everyone else.

Yeah, I know a good player tries to change how they play (Alex), or just simply tries to be the same however the dice land.  But, there's small clues anyways.  And, there is the great example of that one game where Alex used the metagame to play town perfectly and get a flawless mob win.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 02, 2008, 05:09:13 AM
Goddammit of course I lose the post I was writing just before finishing the stupid thing. Of course. So back to the drawing board. If it seems curt it's because I'm annoyed at myself.

As it stands his contribution have been 100% OMGUS and meta-game, so the vote stays until he convinces me otherwise or I see something more worthwhile. So far, nothing strikes me as compelling enough to let Tom off the hook.
Whoa, harsh. My OMGUS meta-game jokevote = Guilty until proven innocent. What crime am I being 'let off the hook' for? I made a (slightly irritated) jokevote (I can't see how anyone could mistake it for a serious case) and you jump all over me, despite Corwin placing a second vote on Kilga without any justification that you completely ignore.
Strago, you admit you're grasping at straws to vote for me. This is not a good thing. It looks like you've done your best to reason out Xanth, whilst ignoring everyone else (Corwin).
Making something out of nothing etc. and I ask why.

Alright, I guess I'm just a big dope for seeing a potential sliver of seriousness in that Kilga-vote of yours. Because that's exactly the kind of thing that I'm wary of on Day 1: the seeds of arguments that can be written of as jokevotes or pursued as legitimate cases (and "legitimate" by Day 1 standards really gives a person a lot of wiggle room) with similar ease. That sort of multi-exit strategy is the work of scum. In response to the segment I've bolded: you make it seem like I'm some sort of crooked cop by emphasizing the "hook" image when all it referred to was the fact that I had no reason to unvote you until you were around to offer some sort of response.

Yes, I said I was grasping at straws? What precisely is wrong with this as early on in Day 1 as it was when I made that post? I was attempting to engender discussion without presenting my post as some sort of ironclad argument. Would you be happier if I had pursued you relentlessly based on the evidence I proposed that you clearly find unsatisfactory? Can't have it both ways.

Bardiche also seems to use the "grasping at straws" as some sort of damning point against me here: http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42081#msg42081 (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42081#msg42081). I don't see what's wrong with some candor and off-the-cuff thinking.

Finally, I've done my best to reason out Xanth? Can't say I agree with you. Related comment by Xanth:

Quote
I don't particularly like Strago bringing up an old game only to immediately toss the argument out of the window, but that's not for the metagaming, just for bringing up an argument that's completely tossed away in the same breath that it's posited.

Early Day 1 discussion, something occurred to me which hadn't been brought up elsewhere, I made note of it while also noting a weakness that it had as a hypothesis. Given the dearth of topics to be had at that point, it's not the sort of thing I'm going to apologize for.

Would you single out people like Xanth for his endorsement of meta, Strago?

Interesting question. Yes and no. No because I don't want to get bogged down in debates over game theory. I've seen that really gum up earlygame stuff before (argh using one kind of meta-gaming to justify not using another life is confusing my head asplode), and for the most part I only see it being useful in one way: as a smokescreen for scum. If I speak either for or against meta-game playing it's going to be on a case-by-case basis. This is where the "yes" part of my answer comes in, because I don't have much use for the broad strokes Xanth seems to be using in the post Affinity refers to. It's just another way for him to talk without saying much of anything.

Speaking of talking without saying anything:

Answering the question for now, I'd say I want more of a spotlight on Alex, Bardiche for his typical shallow commentary style, maybe more on Tom if he doesn't jump out of his first vote as a joke, and El Cid for opting to frame the discussion quite so early.

His case against Tom seems to be pre-empted by his own allowance that an un wivote by Tom will make everything peachy with him, he's got some very vague concerns with Bard, and frankly the major case against either Alex or Cid right now is one characterized entirely by WIFOM as is the nature of Cid's discussion-making gambit and Alex's involvement in it. Joy.

So, hrmm. Definitely see myself having some issues with Xanth right now. Tom's recent post rubs me the wrong way a bit, given how I feel he's twisting my intentions and wording a bit, but I suppose that's to be expected somewhat when playing this game. Hrm. Then there are Sopko, Andrew and Kiro, who I feel have been making themselves quite scarce. Sopko in particular has been making semi-frequent tiny posts including that one brief and oddly-reasoned defense of Alex I noted earlier.

I need some sleep. The vote stays where it is for now, as I need more time to mull over it, my gut still points somewhat at Tom, and know I'll have plenty of time tomorrow and won't get caught in a rush to decide right before the deadline.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 02, 2008, 05:20:00 AM
I need some sleep. The vote stays where it is for now, as I need more time to mull over it, my gut still points somewhat at Tom, and know I'll have plenty of time tomorrow and won't get caught in a rush to decide right before the deadline.
Relying on 'gut' is the easiest way for scum to validate a vote. I'd rather we were all accountable for our votes by providing specific reasons.
I'm calling out your reason for leaving your vote on me. I don't really care about the vote itself (I'm in no danger), but it would be negligent to allow this behavour to slide.

"I'm leaving my vote on Tom until he posts/proves he's not scum" based on a jokevote becomes "I'm leaving my vote on Tom based on gut". Yes it's day 1, but really do you have nothing else?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 02, 2008, 05:23:20 AM
Ah, some action.

I don't have an issue with Alex voting Kilga to the 4th. You really can't pin anything on him with that alone so it's useless trying. Which makes Corwin's vote of Alex the typical response that would draw up a similarly typical suspicion. I'd have to leave both as null tells atm.

Strago: Read your explanation about the Xanth and Tom case. It makes better sense although I'm not sure why you decided to mention the Xanth case though. It could be as if it's to pad discussion slightly for the Tom vote. Otherwise, now that Tom's posted, we'll see what you say.

Xanth has a weird vibe about him. I try to avoid talking about metagaming ideas in a game itself so I find it a distraction that he mentioned it. The continued push on Alex for various meta reasons is also unconvincing for pushing a case because some people just won't buy into it. I'll also wait for your response since 2 votes have appeared on you since the last time you posted.

And singling Bardiche out for the love flavor is dumb. The Kazuya/Akane pairing just happens to be the most zealous. There are other pairs in My-Hime and everyone's playing with a little flavor here and there.
[flavor] <3 Kazuya [/flavor]
As for his posting, I don't have a read on him. Day 1 comments are there to get more comments going so I wouldn't just label it as explicitly shallow. More content as the Day ends will help of course.

Cut by Strago: You acknowledge you probably took the case on Tom too far, then state that you feel Tom is trying to misinterpret your words against you. I guess it created a mini-WIFOM on the intentions of either Strago being stubborn or Tom being manipulative. My initial impression is of the former though so I'll end up leaving my vote on Strago for the time being.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 02, 2008, 06:47:08 AM
Don't have much time, just getting a quick post in.

You guys seriously hold it against me that I like to recap what's happened, then state my opinion on it just because I've been "called on it before"? That almost reads to me like, "You can't play that way or we'll lynch you", but I might be overreading it a little.

Also, I was just playing with the lovers thing twice: first time because El Cid jokevoted on me for not acknowledging my lover and to set that straight at the least, the second one because all you said was that you were interested in me and I wanted to make a joking jab at you.

If obvious joking's now an act that sows disconcert I'll immediately stop it.

Posting more when I get back from uni in eight hours.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 02, 2008, 06:49:34 AM
Also thanks Cid for calling me a not-decent/not-adaptable player. Appreciate the cordial way we're starting this game off. I can tell you're my favorite player for the game.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 02, 2008, 07:05:48 AM
Eh, it's Mafia, the oddest things will get you strung up.  'Sides, I double checked and saw that there's no Lover role in the game, which honestly gets rid of a lot of the hangups I was having with you.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 02, 2008, 07:24:15 AM
Yeah, it's a semi-open setup, there are no lovers in the game mechanic sense.  Not sure why anyone got up in arms about that.

Regarding Bard - "You can't play that way or we'll lynch you" is in fact exactly the message I'd like to convey, glad you understand (and not just in Bard's case, mind you, Xanth's as well, that'd be a large part of why I'm voting him).  It is similar to "if you lie as town we will lynch you" and "if you lurk we will lynch you."  No animosity involved, just business, scum hunting, best for town, been over it before, concentrate on the part where you state your opinions, etc.  I don't think Cid's comment was made with any animosity in mind and I'm not sure why it'd be taken that way. 

Not much else seems to be happening.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 07:36:34 AM
Strago's posts are way too long for Day 1. (Xanth's are too but others already pointed it out to him)

Cid: I didn't move my vote because I didn't see anyone I felt comfortable moving it to in a serious fashion. Honestly, at this point I still don't. I already miss MotK games, which consistently have Day 1s full of various screw-ups that are ripe for conversation-starting.

IN-POST EDIT: Changed my mind.

##Unvote
##Vote: Xanth


He retains his metagame vote for Alex not because his meta gives him a ScumAlex result, but a NotAlex result. What. Picking at people for stuff they don't do regardless of their alignment is not good unless the action is inherently scummy.

I don't see the bad reporter style in Bard's posts because he's actually giving one-directional opinions on each thing he makes note of instead of waffling on everything.

Andrew needs to say...anything.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 02, 2008, 07:39:39 AM
Day 1, Votecount!

EvilTom: Kilgamayan, Strago
AndrewRogue: Excal
Corwin: HunterSopko
Affinity: Bardiche
Excal: Xanth, SirAlex
El-Cideon: Affinity, Kiro
Bardiche: El-Cideon
Kilgamayan: EvilTom, Corwin, El-Cideon, SirAlex
SirAlex: Xanth. Corwin
Xanth: HunterSopko, SirAlex, EvilTom, Kilgamayan
Strago: Kiro, Affinity

7 to lynch, 15.5 hours remaining or so.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 02, 2008, 08:15:27 AM
##Unvote: Kilgamayan

Yeah, that's over and done with, and I see no real reason to keep a vote on him at this point in time.

Also thanks Cid for calling me a not-decent/not-adaptable player. Appreciate the cordial way we're starting this game off. I can tell you're my favorite player for the game.

Dude, that wasn't my intent at all. I was responding to two different things. One was the simple observation (for Affinity's sake, since he asked) that you have been criticized in previous games for a commentary-heavy playstyle. The paragraph after that did not relate to you specifically and in fact is far more of a concern with Xanth. I'd assumed the "As for metagaming in general" would make it obvious that I was switching topics. I think you're just being a little too touchy here, Bard. Relax, man.

And yes, any mention of "lovers" was strictly related to flavor. Opening post silliness. Taking it seriously is just what. (Though I guess someone could've not noticed that the role isn't in the list). Think that's been hashed over enough, so, moving on.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 02, 2008, 08:36:13 AM
Sopko is overly terse (three or four one-sentence posts) and lurkish. CoS (Chainsaw of Suspicion) in his direction.

Xanth's been away for a while (nighttime in Englandland) and has a lot to respond to already, but I'm happy adding to this train for now. Reasons:

-Sticking with the pairs thing after all this time. Can you give us any kind of rationale for this, or is it just a "hunch?" Because, and I've said this before, I can't really conceive of it meaning anything.
-Metagame talk. Which isn't damning in and of itself--game mechanics talk is not innately bad, but it doesn't really help us catch scum--however, the discussion of metagaming has taken up enough space to be a noteworthy distraction from more productive avenues of thought. Yes, I'm aware that I've responded and contributed to this discussion, but reading back, it pretty much did start with Xanth.
-Point three has been stated better elsewhere:
If you're going to metagame, at least use it well and be able to explain it.  "I don't see any Alex in there" is the worst possible form.

Thus:

##Vote: Xanth

That should be -2 to hammer.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 02, 2008, 10:03:41 AM
Unfortunately, this game apparently decided to start while I was still at home, and get into full swing the day I was flying back home. A flight which was then delayed. And then the issues of getting home from the airport after midnight. And such.

So. There's the reasoning I've been quiet. Make of it what you will. I perfer to blame Carth, really.

In brief review of the topic, since I want to sleep.

-Somebody has to make the second vote eventually. Generally speaking, I find scum want to avoid doing it, since it tends to draw attention.
-Tom's statement is off-handed enough for me to take it as just that. (To be slightly fair for a second, his statement does have some merit. While I can't remember the record, Tom IS an easy target and is up there in Day 1 lynchees generally)
-Bardiche missing the point of the Kilga train is odd, since it was basically said in the votes. Votes to see what happens. For day 1 to really start, something needs to happen.
-Corwin's logic flies with me.
-Soppy's statement is interesting about Alex.
-Xanth's post... I'm inclined to agree with Alex, and add a spice of missing the measure of the Kilga vote.
-Oh sure, NOW there are some big posts.
-Argh. It is now just flowing over me. Can't get anymore out of this.

Non-Stream of Consciousness: Xanth is, currently, the only poster who stands out to me, primarily for the reasons Alex stated. His additional statements about the train on Kilga (how it was purposeless) also sit slightly at odds on me, as they tend to say something about people. For example, who're the ones who jump on, who're the ones that draw the line, how do they draw the line, etc. There is a lot of information to be had from those sorts of trains.

##Vote: Xanth

Primarily looking for a response to Alex, but I wouldn't mind some chatter on why you feel that a general lynchtrain doesn't work/isn't useful.
Title: Region Sky Hexagon
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 10:57:50 AM
Okay, let's see how concisely I can do this. I know this will be long in total, but by necessity.

- Maintaining his wall of text style, even this early on day 1.

One post that's little more than half a screen (which has since been trumped). If you want to say that I'm not being concise that's another matter, in which case I'll try and cut it down. Note that this is metagaming, just before you're about to wave that against me (I know, the accused style is bad regardless of context, but so is Bardiche's, as were your own early actions).

- Pro-metagaming [...] "I don't see any Alex in there" is the worst possible form.

I'm not retracting the stance on metagaming. The particular case will be covered later, but yes, if that had been my argument then that would be bad metagaming.

- Very quick to go on the two votes issue, not scummy in itself but questionable given how he's sticking to it.

I'm not sticking to it. It pulled my vote to begin with, but it stuck there for your later bizarre actions.

You do get ##Unvote: Alex for that, though, seeing as you've started to actually play.


El Cid's post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42104#msg42104): at that point sure, there was little to choose between. My problem is that I think it was too early for precisely that reason. Don't ask anything of correct timing when in the very same game we now have an actually interesting train to cause discussion.

Ah Xanth, with his walls-o-text that say nothing.

Wow, that's pretty shameless misrepresentation, given that the quote in question was from a short post that clarified what people were waiting from me (and then commented on the main issue at hand).

[On Tom versus Kilga
Please explain. Are you on Kilga's side? What is Kilga's side? From what perspective are you against me, or are you simply against me for the sake of having a stance against me? You've provided no justification other than.. more walls of text and referencing Strago (which doesn't say anything either).

You're asking for the obvious, but, in order:
-Only in so far as not shoving someone randomly in front.
-In Tom versus Kilga, there was no Kilga's side to be on.
-My only issue in that was that your joke issue was incorrect. I did in fact say later that I'd only care if you didn't jump off of it, which you did.
-Two lines does not constitute 'walls of text'. This is misrepresentation of the most blatant kind.

Quote
(My stuff on metagaming)
That.. is a contradiction to what you said earlier! Unless I'm mistaken.

What? I do believe you are mistaken, but please point out what it's supposed to be conflicting with so I can comment.

He retains his metagame vote for Alex not because his meta gives him a ScumAlex result, but a NotAlex result. What. Picking at people for stuff they don't do regardless of their alignment is not good unless the action is inherently scummy.

I honestly don't understand why people think that my vote on Alex was weird. His actions were distinctly unhelpful. I can't/couldn't see why scum would act that way, but town sure as hell shouldn't have been.

And yes, only sleep has kept me from unvoting since his 'sobering' till now.

-Sticking with the pairs thing after all this time.

Again, I haven't. First step only, haven't cared since. In fact, I'm not sure I see anything new there, so forgive me for passing the rest of that.

Oh, but I'd rather you didn't blame me for a perceived derailment via metagame discussion.


Ninja: oh what. Thanks for -1 to hammer, Andrew.

His additional statements about the train on Kilga (how it was purposeless) also sit slightly at odds on me

I understand the theory, and agree with it in theory but not in execution.


I'm not going to claim now or anything, as I hope at least some will be satisfied.

I need to look at the recent posts for everything other than defence, but my mum is visiting at the moment and I'll mostly be gone till 4pm-ish. No doubt shoving my foot further in my mouth, but based on what I've had to answer in this post:

##Vote: EvilTom

For hideous misrepresentation to justify his vote. It's like using the phrase 'wall of text' gives you a free pass to vote for me.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 02, 2008, 11:53:59 AM
Going to sleep now.  No particular read on Xanth's reply.  Obviously I disagree about my actions being bizarre or unhelpful.  It is the unexpected nature of the random early lynch train that makes it useful at producing responses, and as I think should now be apparent it provided a very good springboard for discussion.

Andrew... you DO realize that's -1, right?

I do somewhat agree on Tom, but Xanth continues to adhere to a number of stances I find... questionable.  They can be questioned.  With questioning.  Yes.  Or to put it more bluntly metagaming is not helpful or useful to town and I have no idea what is going on.  Don't see any particular reason to unvote Xanth, would be fine with voting Tom as well right now.

My shot in the dark right now is definitely Sopko though.  Really not sure what to make of that statement he made about me.  Sure, it's true, but it's been true for several games now.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 02, 2008, 12:01:44 PM
Too swamped today to formulate something just yet, and I see no end to my being busy. Shouldn't it be Suzushiro's job to make sure my schedule is clear to drink my tea in peace?

Alex's response is enough for me to unvote. That's something I was able to read and I don't have a problem there anymore.

##Unvote: Sir Alex

Couldn't read about the case on Xanth, such as it might be on day 1, with the attention it deserves. I'll need a few more hours to comment on it, and to decide which way my vote should go.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on December 02, 2008, 12:37:38 PM
We've got about 12 hours left, and the votes on Xanth have stacked on a little faster than I would have expected. Most of the discussion we've had isn't what I'd call meaty for Day 1. Mostly going through the motions type stuff on meta-gaming = bad and Trains 101. Not that they're not necessary and important, but we'd be a bit worse off Day 2 than we would be some other days if the day ended now.

Some notes:
1. Other than his most recent post, I wouldn't say Xanth is more guilty than say, Strago or some others of wall of texting.

2. I'm glad that the whole Cid/Bard thing was dropped. That coulda been a huge distraction had that blown up.

3.
I need some sleep. The vote stays where it is for now, as I need more time to mull over it, my gut still points somewhat at Tom, and know I'll have plenty of time tomorrow and won't get caught in a rush to decide right before the deadline.
Relying on 'gut' is the easiest way for scum to validate a vote. I'd rather we were all accountable for our votes by providing specific reasons.
I'm calling out your reason for leaving your vote on me. I don't really care about the vote itself (I'm in no danger), but it would be negligent to allow this behavour to slide.

"I'm leaving my vote on Tom until he posts/proves he's not scum" based on a jokevote becomes "I'm leaving my vote on Tom based on gut". Yes it's day 1, but really do you have nothing else?

I like Tom's calling out of Strago here. It's kind of a subtle distinction to make, but I'm interested in Strago's rebuttal.

4. Judging by Andy's post, he's staying cognizant of the topic and is pretty on the ball.

So for now, to keep things going, I'm going to put things back in the safe realm of discussion. Still leaning to Xanth, depending on how discussion goes.

##Unvote:Xanth
Title: Thailand Green Element
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 01:07:19 PM
Okay, turns out I have a bit more time now, so let's get a few thoughts out.

-I can see Strago's concern for Tom's initial vote and support it for what it is up to the point where Tom posted again (by which point he'd drawn a vote for this). I would have no problem with him pursuing that vote following Tom's post, but I don't like just leaving it there without directly really pushing it further.

-I still don't see any opinions in Bardiche's posts, bar self-defence. Every last comment is fence-sitting. It's not the commentary itself that's frustrating, it's the lack of taking a position on anything. I was never interested in the lovers angle at all, though, for obvious reasons.

-I really don't like Tom's attitude so far. So many pointed questions at both myself and Strago of the "when did you stop beating your wife" variety on top of the misrepresentation.

It's far more interesting to look at Corwin's reaction.

Is ironic given that he never looks at it when combined with:

and you [Strago] jump all over me, despite Corwin placing a second vote on Kilga without any justification that you completely ignore.

No one else seemed to care about Corwin's second joke vote on Kilga, other than me, and people argued against me for that then. I can't begin to imagine why you think that that second vote is significant when there were two others before that and a bigger pile generated later (albeit it was the one on Kilga).

In fact, that entire section on Strago has nothing genuine in it at all.

-I'm not sure there's anyone I'd hit for being a lurker at this point, assuming more activity between now and the end of the day.


My vote is still on Tom. Actively manipulative over passively poor for sure here.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 02, 2008, 01:56:38 PM
Xanth stuff:

I honestly don't understand why people think that my vote on Alex was weird.

Then you may wish to reexamine how you presented this point, because "I don't see any Alex here" is hard for some of us to take as anything but really awkward metagaming.

-Sticking with the pairs thing after all this time.

Again, I haven't. First step only, haven't cared since. In fact, I'm not sure I see anything new there, so forgive me for passing the rest of that.

Oh, but I'd rather you didn't blame me for a perceived derailment via metagame discussion.

Fair enough on the latter point, but it is effective for scum to wallow in discussion that is detached from the actual events of the game but which seems helpful because it's at least discussing game theory. I suppose I can't prove that this was your intent, but I think it's a valid suspicion. For the first point: it was reiterated near the end of the first page, but there's also this:

I still find the voting patterns at the start of this game to be rather odd, but I've moulded this unease on a fallacious principle, which I should have been hit harder for.

Which, in my zeal to build a case, I apparently overlooked for the retraction that it is. However, later in the same post, you do come back to the same point:

This is still the sorest thumb out there, so my vote yet stays (even with the incorrect rationale on top, I stand by the double-voting weirdness as something to start from).

Which seems to counter the retraction.

~

To avoid monomania: I have to say that I agree with Xanth regarding the flaws he's highlighted in Tom's arguments and would support Tom as a lynch candidate. I initially read the Strago/Tom stuff as day one reaching getting overblown, but Tom's arguments against Xanth have been pretty haphazard. Trumping up Corwin's initial jokevote as though it meant something at this point is just one example. I particularly find this troubling:

That combined with other issues such as Alex, (which I don't have time to look at right now) lead me to ##Vote: Xanth, he seems most concerning so far.

At this point, I'm not sure if you can build a truly inclusive case against Xanth without factoring in his interactions with Alex. That's what a lot of people are hitting Xanth for, after all. Tom's almost entirely preoocupied with attacking the people he perceives to be against him, focusing on this to the exclusion of everything else that the person he's currently voting for has done. At best, this is overzealous and unhelpful. I have to acknowledge that he does make one point I agree with in his most recent post (I don't have much faith in "gut feelings"--speaking personally, mine are always, always wrong) but beyond that he's been very uneven.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 02, 2008, 02:13:46 PM
Xanth~Sorry, when I said Corwin I meant Strago.
Xanth
-I really don't like Tom's attitude so far. So many pointed questions at both myself and Strago of the "when did you stop beating your wife" variety on top of the misrepresentation.
So you apparently get out of questions by calling them stupid? :(

I'm more on Kilgamayan's side than Tom's in that little fray, partially for Strago's reservations and also because Tom's joke argument is [unsurprisingly] incorrect. Well, I'm not really on Kilga's side so much as I'm against randomly firing him into the lead so soon.
Quote
-In Tom versus Kilga, there was no Kilga's side to be on.
Xanth: first you said you were on Kilga's side. Then you said Kilga didn't have a side. That was the odd contradiction.

Quote
-Only in so far as not shoving someone randomly in front.
I don't buy that.
1. If you were on his side, why would you consider voting for him?
2. Not wanting to put him at -4L should have nothing to do with whether or not you support his side/argument/case.
3. He didn't have a side, nor was there a 'fray', and you didn't vote anyway.

That was all very odd, but the part that set my alarms off when he called it a 'fray'.

Xanth cries about misrepresentation, but he was guilty of it first when he tried to portray two one-line jokevotes as some kind of heated war.
His comments were designed to stir up trouble from the sidelines, by labeling jokevotes as a 'fray' when they were obviously anything but.
He came, said he supported Kilga over EvilTom, didn't provide reasons other than 'See: Strago', and then ran.

Xanth - I'm not the only one who's mentioned your WOT non-concise posting style, so lashing out at me and crying misrepresentation isn't going to cut it. Why is it you gave Alex a civil response but I got OMGUS :(

Quote
My vote is still on Tom. Actively manipulative over passively poor for sure here.
Oh no, surely not manipulation in a game of Mafia, of all things?  ::) I don't understand what 'passively poor' is supposed to mean to be honest.


Other Stuff
In other news, Bardiche & El Cid, hopefully Bard will be cool when he gets back, looks like a small misunderstanding to me.
I'm also glad Andy is on top of things. Go team!
I'm waiting on more from Strago, will see how that goes.
Soppy, I appreciate the need for dicussion, but personally I don't think backing off is the answer. Though I greatly appreciate actually being recognised (well) for once!


Summary
In summary I'm fairly set on a Xanth lynch for today. He's been at the centre of almost all discussion, and that will give us a lot to work with (Re: Alex, Kilga, Strago, me included). Most of all though, I've played with him in a few games now and this looks like DodgyXanth rather than HelpfulXanth.

Ninja El Cid - Cid, hopefully this post will clear things up a bit. You may not agree with my views, but hopefully you'll see where I'm coming from.
Oh and as to the claim that I only look at what attacks me.. that's a bit bogus. I've responded to Strago yes, but I went after Xanth. Remember that Xanth said he would be 'totally cool with me if I unvoted Kilga' or something to that effect. So if I was trying to buy votes, I'm doing a poor job?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 02, 2008, 02:17:25 PM
Also, apparently I'm a total babe. I need to watch this series.

Off to sleep, and I get to sleep in. Don't expect me to post for another 12 hours.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 02, 2008, 03:24:39 PM
After glancing at Xanth's posts, something bothers me.

First, Xanth says that metagaming is just another thing town can and that town should use all the weapons at its disposal. He even uses it to place a vote on Alex, from what I understood.

Then, later on, Xanth decides on Tom for the lynch. Here, however, I see Xanth suddenly ignore anything metagaming-related with regards to Tom. After all, is Tom actually acting differently from usual? 'hideous misrepresentation' or not, I'm not sure I like how you both take in the players's history and discard it whenever it seems to suit the case.

If I had misundestood something, please explain this apparent discrepancy to me. There is still time to the deadline, and I haven't actually placed a vote along with this post, after all.

P.S.
I wholeheartedly support the statement that Natsuki is 'a total babe'.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 02, 2008, 03:42:06 PM
Strago's posts are way too long for Day 1. (Xanth's are too but others already pointed it out to him)

What. Man, point to an instance in a post where you feel I've gone on at unnecessary length or wasted time with doubletalk/empty statements. I'm a little long-winded in general, I know, but give me a break. Show me where I'm holding up the game. Straw maaaaaaan.

I need some sleep. The vote stays where it is for now, as I need more time to mull over it, my gut still points somewhat at Tom, and know I'll have plenty of time tomorrow and won't get caught in a rush to decide right before the deadline.
Relying on 'gut' is the easiest way for scum to validate a vote. I'd rather we were all accountable for our votes by providing specific reasons.
I'm calling out your reason for leaving your vote on me. I don't really care about the vote itself (I'm in no danger), but it would be negligent to allow this behavour to slide.

"I'm leaving my vote on Tom until he posts/proves he's not scum" based on a jokevote becomes "I'm leaving my vote on Tom based on gut". Yes it's day 1, but really do you have nothing else?

This post is... pretty indicative of why I didn't immediately remove my vote from you, Tom. I go to sleep with a few words about how I want to think about things before changing my vote -- and, as always, a person can't have it both ways; I'm sure someone would have snitted at me had I removed my vote and not immediately replaced it with a new one against someone else -- and I wake up to find a response from Tom attacking me for some fictional behavior in which I seem to be portrayed as using gut and only gut to justify a vote from which I shall never be moved. I seem to be completely unable to win with Tom. Hrrrmph.

Alright, let's look at what else has caught my eye: http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42192#msg42192 (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42192#msg42192). Soppy! Let's take a gander at what you've written here, shall we?

Some notes:
1. Other than his most recent post, I wouldn't say Xanth is more guilty than say, Strago or some others of wall of texting.

2. I'm glad that the whole Cid/Bard thing was dropped. That coulda been a huge distraction had that blown up.

Talking without much saying anything. And this comprises half of his numbered points. Point one is especially odd as it offers an anemic defense of someone Soppy's apparently fine with lynching... although he hasn't said why since the first page of the topic, where he justified a vote in one sentence based on... one other sentence written by Xanth.

I like Tom's calling out of Strago here. It's kind of a subtle distinction to make, but I'm interested in Strago's rebuttal.

Obviously I'm a little biased towards, you know, myself, but where is the "subtle distinction" in Tom's post (the one I quoted above)? Soppy's an outsider looking in, here, offering next-to-none of his own input, certainly not taking a firm stance he couldn't maneuver out of.

Quote
4. Judging by Andy's post, he's staying cognizant of the topic and is pretty on the ball.

So for now, to keep things going, I'm going to put things back in the safe realm of discussion. Still leaning to Xanth, depending on how discussion goes.

##Unvote:Xanth

Okay, so Andy's one post demonstrates his cognizance so much so that it ends with him placing a vote on someone who you think shouldn't have so many votes on him? Andy's on-the-ball-ness is manifest in you needing to remove your own vote on Xanth so the day doesn't end prematurely? Someone else please tell me they see the inherent wrongness of this.

Not to mention how Soppy seems to be putting himself in a position where he can either hammer Xanth or... not, as he feels politically expedient. Because his own opinions have been so scarce and non-committal, he's in a lovely position to jump on any new train as it develops.

Sigh. Where or where doth my vote go? Maybe it stays. Need to think a while.

Ninja'd by Corwin: That... hmm. Yes, that's a somewhat interesting inconsistency in Xanth. I don't know that I'd make much of it, myself. Especially since Xanth seems to be one of the few who's on the same page as me in recognizing Tom's non-meta weirdness and word-twisting.

P.S
Dammit guys anyone with eyes that giant is not a babe you weirdos.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 04:46:07 PM
Xanth: I don't see Alex as having been distinctly unhelpful when you voted for him, and the fact that you retain this vote after he makes what is arguably the most helpful action all day (the fourth vote on me) makes your case seem even weaker.

Given that all I can see for your reasons for making - and, more importantly, sticking to (up until just recently) - the Alex vote are that he was being unhelpful (which I disagree with entirely) and because you didn't see any of Alex in his actions (which I frown upon on a fundamental level), I'd love a better explanation, since you say you're unsure why people don't get why you voted for him.

Strago: That wasn't an attack on you at all, it was an offhanded comment fueled largely by "Day 1 lolz". No need to be so jumpy and defensive.

In regards to Strago vs. Tom, I'm more with Strago on this one, given Tom takes umbrage with the "grasping at straws" line (ignoring the fact that Strago's post was the first one of the day to actively try to do anything remotely useful - when was the last time the first Day 1 case was a reasonable one, let alone a solid one?) and seemingly misunderstanding the entire Xanth section of Strago's post.

I'm still not seeing how Bardiche is doing his journalistic waffling thing (I believe Xanth brought this up since my last post but I know Alex has commented on it in the past as well and I think other people that I can't remember have also made mention of it). I am seeing several instances of "I like this" or "I don't like this", though. Can someone point out the predominantly waffling nature of his posts?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 02, 2008, 05:30:56 PM
Mmm. I should talk about something else besides Xanth as I wait on our executive committee leader.

Alright, then. Armed with my cup of tea, I will attempt to cover the other issues I see today.

Tom. A day 1 Tom lynch reveals nothing, and Tom has not been so undeniably scummy that one must lynch him with all due haste. I can expand upon why I think this, if there is someone who does not understand the above statements.

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42192#msg42192
Sopko. Strago pointed out something interesting about his post, and as I went back and checked, I found myself in agreement. Sopko both praises Andrew in no uncertain terms and removes his non-jokevote vote from Xanth as a direct result of Andrew's actions and posts. Without even going into whether Andrew really is on the ball, the contradiction inherent in Sopko's post troubles me greatly. I also agree that Sopko's new stance allows him to cast his vote as he pleases while softening the impact either way. Attempts to have the cake and eat it, too, are something I find bothersome in mafia.

Furthermore. How exactly does removing a person from -1 to -2 allow for further discussion on its own? Sopko himself, in that very post, asserts that only 12 hours remain in the day. It is also day 1, and arguments are scarce. He does not particularly propose a new lynch target or have questions for Xanth to be answered that I can see. His actions seem to contradict the spirit of his words, here.

Since I found so much disagreeable with the aforementioned post of Sopko's, I went back to see what else he had said so far. And our little ninja had been true to his character. Could two one-liners, a post with a vote on Xanth with the only justification of claiming to find Xanth's own serious day 1 post too unfounded even for day 1, and a jokevote in the first post truly be all that you've contributed? I'm bothered by this not because I expect you to write novels upon novels for us, Sopko, but because the discussion you wished so much to take place doesn't happen in a vacuum. I don't see you making an effort to keep it going, which makes your unvote post look bad to me. And when it's the only actual post of you with something I'd consider content, I don't have a problem with having you as a lynch target.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 02, 2008, 05:56:38 PM
Soppy talk? I'm down with that. It is distressingly easy to sum up his posts: a jokevote, a few one-liners, and the four-point summary post he recently put up.

Strago's covered point #1 already; I'll add that point #2--"I'm glad that the whole Cid/Bard thing was dropped. That coulda been a huge distraction had that blown up"--is functionally useless. Anyone can go "Something horrible failed to happen; this is good." It's such a bland observation that it tells us nothing. The post feels like filler put out to allay criticism of low presence (I know I at least have previously pointed that out; I think Alex did too).

I'm also uncertain why exactly Soppy felt it necessary to unvote Xanth if he still felt him to be suspicious. Xanth was minus one to lynch, yes, but does this really make a huge difference? Surprise hammer doesn't happen on day one (barring tie votes where one candidate is scum with nothing to lose, and we're nowhere near a tie vote here). As has been said many a time in many other games, few things make a player more suspicious than hammering without allowing sufficient time for discussion. Soppy should know that's not likely to happen, which raises the question of why he unvoted in the first place? Lacking better explanations, I'm inclined to defer to Strago's conlusion here: political expediency.

Bottom line, Soppy reads like textbook lurking scum so far. Observe enough so that people think you're paying attention, but don't include enough fine detail to commit to anything.

Other stuff in a moment.
Title: Silhouette Wick Kiln
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 06:04:48 PM
Back, and with more to answer to. Ho hum.

El Cid: re: the paired stuff that still hasn't been laid to rest, your new quote on the matter was again justifying why it was there in the first place ("to start from"). Alex was "still the sorest thumb out there" for his bizarre follow ups, but the bracketed section is just saying that I stand by putting the vote down when I did, even though I'd crossed the wires on principles. Random oddity to start discussion, yes. Backing a serious end of day vote, no.

I'm not even sure what you're voting for me now other than that and mentioning metagaming at all.


-I really don't like Tom's attitude so far. So many pointed questions at both myself and Strago of the "when did you stop beating your wife" variety on top of the misrepresentation.
So you apparently get out of questions by calling them stupid? :(

I answered your questions. My point there was that you're asking questions / making points where you've left room to attack regardless of the answer.

I'm more on Kilgamayan's side than Tom's in that little fray, partially for Strago's reservations and also because Tom's joke argument is [unsurprisingly] incorrect. Well, I'm not really on Kilga's side so much as I'm against randomly firing him into the lead so soon.
Quote
-In Tom versus Kilga, there was no Kilga's side to be on.
Xanth: first you said you were on Kilga's side. Then you said Kilga didn't have a side. That was the odd contradiction.

Big inconsistency right here, people. Check the end of Tom's post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42109#msg42109) for where he claims I've contradicted myself. You'll note that not only does the quotation in question have nothing to do with Kilga, the post where I say that 'Kilga had no side', but this second quote he's now using to justify this contradition comes after the post where he claims there's a contradition. In fact, it was in the same post where I respond to that claim. Try again.

Oh, and you'll notice that I clarify myself immediately after saying I was 'on Kilga's side' to mean 'against giving him a bunch of votes'. It's right there in the section just quoted.

 (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42109#msg42109)
Quote
-Only in so far as not shoving someone randomly in front.
I don't buy that.
1. If you were on his side, why would you consider voting for him?
2. Not wanting to put him at -4L should have nothing to do with whether or not you support his side/argument/case.
3. He didn't have a side, nor was there a 'fray', and you didn't vote anyway.[/quote]

0. You don't buy it? See what I've just pointed out. It was there from the start.
1. What.
2. Sure in principle, but being against your vote on Kilga (if taken more than a pure joke vote) and being against El Cid for dropping a third vote on a stationary target are two separate issues.
3. Side thing again. Not voting for it isn't a big thing.
 

That was all very odd, but the part that set my alarms off when he called it a 'fray'.

Xanth cries about misrepresentation, but he was guilty of it first when he tried to portray two one-line jokevotes as some kind of heated war.
His comments were designed to stir up trouble from the sidelines, by labeling jokevotes as a 'fray' when they were obviously anything but.
He came, said he supported Kilga over EvilTom, didn't provide reasons other than 'See: Strago', and then ran.

Xanth - I'm not the only one who's mentioned your WOT non-concise posting style, so lashing out at me and crying misrepresentation isn't going to cut it. Why is it you gave Alex a civil response but I got OMGUS :(

Whilst I disagree with Alex's label, at least he was claiming a reasonable-lengthed post to be a wall of text. You, on the other hand, used the term to tar some of my short posts, at worst using it to describe a two-line piece. That's a big difference.

Quote
My vote is still on Tom. Actively manipulative over passively poor for sure here.
Oh no, surely not manipulation in a game of Mafia, of all things?  ::) I don't understand what 'passively poor' is supposed to mean to be honest.

Let's direct you to "So you apparently get out of questions by calling them stupid?" for irony. That section was a summary of previous points, so it should be clear what each means.


More to come, but I'm really digging into Tom here, so I want this out now.
Title: Egg Question Second
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 06:09:40 PM
Bah, quote failure. I hope it's all clear.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 06:39:33 PM
I'm also uncertain why exactly Soppy felt it necessary to unvote Xanth if he still felt him to be suspicious. Xanth was minus one to lynch, yes, but does this really make a huge difference? Surprise hammer doesn't happen on day one [...]

I mostly agree with what you're saying in that post, but I sure felt nervous on -1 when there are two new [to the forum (and to me)] people playing and neither voting for me at the time. So far as I know, either could do it as someone not understanding the voting etiquette, regardless of alignment. Unless Sopko knows both of them enough to know that they won't do that, better safe than sorry.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 02, 2008, 06:42:41 PM
Re: Wall of textness? Not inherently a bad thing, and the rules don't specify that posts should be concise, so you can't claim that someone employing these is not adhering to the spirit of the game. Wall o' text =/= inherently scummy. I concur with Xanth that Tom has thrown the term about to indict Xanth as though "Wall of Text" was a pejorative and simply applying it to someone automatically makes them look bad. As always, the point of distinction should be whether or not said textblocks have content sufficient to justify their size. And Xanth's? Well, on skimming through the topic again, most of his biggest posts are in direct response to Tom. Which makes perfect sense, really--given how much time Tom's spent attacking Xanth, is it any surprise that the only way he can respond is with in-depth analysis in megaposts of his own? Given that, using "WoT-style" as a criticism against Xanth is futile at best when coming from Tom.

~

For Tom himself:

Oh no, surely not manipulation in a game of Mafia, of all things?

Sure, we expect manipulation in Mafia. The thing is, we expect it from scum. Or at least I do.

And Tom, you may believe you're not focusing solely on the people attacking you, but that runs counter to my observations. Xanth expressed skepticism over your jokevote way back on page one, and you two have been locked in mortal combat (MORTAL KOMBAAAT! Sorry, had to) ever since. Ditto for Strago. I believe self-defense is causing you to fixate overly much on a select couple players.

~

Alright. It's rather late in the day to be switching, but I'd rather lynch someone whose behavior is highly characteristic of lurking scum than someone who at least is energetically defending himself. So, I'm going to vote for the darkhorse here and see who goes with me:

##Unvote: Xanth
##Vote: Hunter Sopko

Xanth and Tom remain acceptable substitutes if this doesn't catch on. And Xanth? You're right in that I don't have a lot to hold against you. It just happens to be enough for a day one case.

EDIT: NinjaXanth! That's a valid point, and I'd accept it if Sopko himself had said it.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 07:26:49 PM
I have to leave for a bit, but I should be back before deadline. Vote is staying on Xanth for now just in case I DON'T return on time, but given the cases that have been presented I would not be averse to switching to Sopko or Tom if time constraints forced a lynch of one of them.

Not much to say about what has happened since my last post other than I am sad that Xanth seemed to ignore me completely. :<
Title: Drifter Sandbox Cuddle
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 07:30:15 PM
Kilga: Not forgotten. I'm in the middle of writing that (and others) now. It'll be up in a bit.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 02, 2008, 07:34:19 PM
I am somewhat disturbed by a tendency I'm seeing here to answer in the name of another player. Such as Sopko for Alex (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42076#msg42076) or Xanth for Sopko a few posts back. There's this strange feeling that it's happened beyond that, but I won't be combing our thread based on a hunch day 1.

In any case, rather than trying to explain away the concerns I and some others have re: Sopko, I'd have hoped to have seen a response from Xanth on the question I asked him.

A votecount might be nice, if our delightful co-mod could be convinced to go to the trouble of doing so~
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on December 02, 2008, 07:43:31 PM

This seems to be Affinity's only post this game so far, other than a one-line jokevote. While I haven't been too much better, I'm surprised no one's picked up on this lurking-wise.

I'm not even sure what you're voting for me now other than that and mentioning metagaming at all.

Xanth, the reason they're on you isn't because you only mentioned metagaming, it's because you didn't seem to grasp how inherantly flawed an argument based on metagaming is. If it's to be used at all, it's to be used in conjuction with more solid evidence and not the basis of an argument. Bringing up meta on Day 1 is usually kind of pointless because you're mostly grasping at straws anyway. If you want to talk about the meta of the game in regards to whatever the game is based on, thats slightly better but also still dangerous to make assumptions about since setups can be planned around this.

EDIT: NinjaXanth! That's a valid point, and I'd accept it if Sopko himself had said it.

Personally I feel that regardless of how much you know people, it's better to be safe than sorry. I would have done it regardless of who was playing, to be perfectly honest.

I like Tom's calling out of Strago here. It's kind of a subtle distinction to make, but I'm interested in Strago's rebuttal.

Obviously I'm a little biased towards, you know, myself, but where is the "subtle distinction" in Tom's post (the one I quoted above)? Soppy's an outsider looking in, here, offering next-to-none of his own input, certainly not taking a firm stance he couldn't maneuver out of.

He's calling you on a minor difference in your reasoning for your vote the end of your argumentation. You put forth more than enough to lay a vote on him, why did you need to pussyfoot around voting for him by saying it's your gut? Because of the amount of time left? Because it would be easier to pull your vote off later? It's day one, if you're going to accuse me of taking "politically expediant" stances, then I'll put it right back at you.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 02, 2008, 07:51:50 PM
Good point on Affinity, Sopko. I think it's due to Affinity simply being less visible due to being new here and all. At least, that's how it is for me. In other news, I should be around for half an hour more or so, I'll vote before going to bed.
Title: Octopus Caster Polka
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 07:58:10 PM
After glancing at Xanth's posts, something bothers me.

First, Xanth says that metagaming is just another thing town can and that town should use all the weapons at its disposal. He even uses it to place a vote on Alex, from what I understood.

Then, later on, Xanth decides on Tom for the lynch. Here, however, I see Xanth suddenly ignore anything metagaming-related with regards to Tom. After all, is Tom actually acting differently from usual? 'hideous misrepresentation' or not, I'm not sure I like how you both take in the players's history and discard it whenever it seems to suit the case.

If I had misundestood something, please explain this apparent discrepancy to me. There is still time to the deadline, and I haven't actually placed a vote along with this post, after all.

There's no discrepancy there. It's a weapon town should keep in mind, but that doesn't mean it's applicable everywhere. Alex acting weird was Alex acting weird (and at least mostly irrelevant to metagaming anyway as I'd like to think I'd have responded likewise regardless of the player). Tom's actions here are completely unrelated to information I can take/remember from other games, be it in support or against. There's a case on him regardless of that, so I don't see what's wrong there.

Xanth: I don't see Alex as having been distinctly unhelpful when you voted for him, and the fact that you retain this vote after he makes what is arguably the most helpful action all day (the fourth vote on me) makes your case seem even weaker.

Given that all I can see for your reasons for making - and, more importantly, sticking to (up until just recently) - the Alex vote are that he was being unhelpful (which I disagree with entirely) and because you didn't see any of Alex in his actions (which I frown upon on a fundamental level), I'd love a better explanation, since you say you're unsure why people don't get why you voted for him.

I can only offer to agree to disagree here. I found his tone confusing and disagree with the timing of pushing you out. It's not something to hang on to all day given a recovery, but I haven't. Is there a perceived lag in when I took my vote off? Alex recovered shortly after I went to bed, so my vote could have come off up to something like eight hours earlier had I been around. This doesn't wipe your initial point out, but I disagree with the implications of "up until just recently".

I'm still not seeing how Bardiche is doing his journalistic waffling thing (I believe Xanth brought this up since my last post but I know Alex has commented on it in the past as well and I think other people that I can't remember have also made mention of it). I am seeing several instances of "I like this" or "I don't like this", though. Can someone point out the predominantly waffling nature of his posts?

Looking back at his posts I think I've been overly harsh, but I still see little in the way of opinions other than in self-defence.  It's not so much waffling as it is the straddling the issues. Most of what I see there are questions. The only opinion I can pull out of it is the approach to Strago and Alex in this post (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42081#msg42081).


Time to split again.
Title: Ghoul Carnival Wave
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 08:06:51 PM
I'm not even sure what you're voting for me now other than that and mentioning metagaming at all.

Xanth, the reason they're on you isn't because you only mentioned metagaming, it's because you didn't seem to grasp how inherantly flawed an argument based on metagaming is. If it's to be used at all, it's to be used in conjuction with more solid evidence and not the basis of an argument. Bringing up meta on Day 1 is usually kind of pointless because you're mostly grasping at straws anyway. If you want to talk about the meta of the game in regards to whatever the game is based on, thats slightly better but also still dangerous to make assumptions about since setups can be planned around this.

I... actually agree with this almost entirely. I didn't intend to imply that metagaming should carry huge weight, and should certainly be treated with caution, I just disagreed with the principle of completely ignoring what you know of people from other games.

And no, I'm pretty much completely against character metagaming in a game where the names are completely open and I assume it was said that anyone could be anything.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 02, 2008, 08:08:56 PM
I do find it vaguely amusing that in a post that contains a vote against someone for what generally amounts to metagaming, Andy does some of his own with the Scum never vote second line, which frankly seems far more dangerous than noticing general traits of people like Xanth attempted.  Some of the other arguments against him also seem similarily useless, like the ones which take him to task for wanting to vote people without use of the metagame when not only has that been getting him in trouble, but also when he's simply labeled the metagame as a tool which should be used, and not the only way to play.  So, I'm not finding Xanth too troublesome at the moment.

Sopko, on the other hand, I am.  He simultaniously takes a spotty post by Andy and says it's better than it is (the guy admits that he's not fully up on the game in it, yet you seem to feel he is caught up?  the hell?) and then backs away from what he feels is the strongest lynch, and undoes a move that he felt was a good one for Andy to take.  So, I'm willing to see him as not entirely wholesome.

In more concrete terms, I think that pursueing a train on Sopko at present will provide more worthwhile data for later in the game, as having a choice between two viable lynch candidates reveals more than a single pile on.  As well, it means that two people are fighting for their lives, and that generally is the best way for me to get a read on a person later.  So, I approve of this, and will aid in it.

##Unvote: Andy, ##Vote: Sopko
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 02, 2008, 08:29:19 PM
I like Tom's calling out of Strago here. It's kind of a subtle distinction to make, but I'm interested in Strago's rebuttal.

Obviously I'm a little biased towards, you know, myself, but where is the "subtle distinction" in Tom's post (the one I quoted above)? Soppy's an outsider looking in, here, offering next-to-none of his own input, certainly not taking a firm stance he couldn't maneuver out of.

He's calling you on a minor difference in your reasoning for your vote the end of your argumentation. You put forth more than enough to lay a vote on him, why did you need to pussyfoot around voting for him by saying it's your gut? Because of the amount of time left? Because it would be easier to pull your vote off later? It's day one, if you're going to accuse me of taking "politically expediant" stances, then I'll put it right back at you.

You've got a fair point on that, or at least half of one. Any half-measures I made come from the fact that my suspicions of Tom - valid as I or anyone else might think them to be - are based largely on a style of communication, moreso sometimes than his specific points. I know that digging too deep into the form taken by players' arguments stems from my English-major tendency of overanalysis, and I know it's gotten me burned before. Not to mention that I do occasionally doubt myself. The difference between us is right that I still present a case with some rigor before I allow for those doubts I do have. And to make it perfectly clear: I'm by no means satisfied that Tom's a good and innocent townie right now. And I'd probably keep my vote with him were it not for two things:

1. Excal and El Cid have now voted for Soppy, the case against whom still makes a lot of sense to me. Given the fact that we've only got around five hours left, and Soppy's currently looking worse to me than Xanth, joining these guys seems pretty reasonable. Moreso than attempting to get another train moving this late in the game.

2. Tom's gone until past deadline, as per his most recent post. Ironically, this first and foremost makes me find him quite a bit scummier! The willingness to place a vote that long before deadline and state with such confidence that he definitely won't be around to change it doesn't exactly speak volumes for his helpfulness in the search for scum. That said, it's also a pretty solid defense for the rest of the day, since I'm not going to attempt to string up someone who won't even have a chance to give a final defense. So... well, blargh. I know he lives in some crazy upside-down country, and that people need to sleep. I also know that real excuses are often the best damn kind for scum. Blargh, I say.

##UNVOTE: Evil Tom
##VOTE: Hunter Sopko

Not a lot of time left, and I'd rather ride this wave than try to stir up my own. Excal's making a lot of sense to me in his most recent post, particularly with his catch of Andy's weird meta-moment.

Something odd. From this person who posted this:

I am somewhat disturbed by a tendency I'm seeing here to answer in the name of another player. Such as Sopko for Alex (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42076#msg42076) or Xanth for Sopko a few posts back. There's this strange feeling that it's happened beyond that, but I won't be combing our thread based on a hunch day 1.

.... we've also got this:

Good point on Affinity, Sopko. I think it's due to Affinity simply being less visible due to being new here and all. At least, that's how it is for me. In other news, I should be around for half an hour more or so, I'll vote before going to bed.

Sure, Affinity's a new player, and therefore harder to get a bead on. He (she?) is also just straight-up not contributing much, so why that write-off of suspicion? Why not let Affinity defend himself?

People who I can't really get a bead on at the moment, and from whom I'd like to hear more: Kiro, Alex, Andrew.
Title: Hypothetical Fragment Bearer
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 08:52:28 PM
I'll vote to save my own skin if I have to, but I'd rather the attention was on Tom (can't answer before deadline, I know). I can't say I'd be against lynching Sopko, but would still put him behind Affinity for the obvious and probably also Bardiche for the aforementioned style. I'd prefer he talked about more, but I've felt that Sopko's been fairly incisive in his points on me.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 02, 2008, 08:55:24 PM
Where do you get a 'write off of suspicion', Strago? I pointed out that Sopko wasn't participating much, Sopko brought up Affinity was doing the exact same thing, and I agreed. If you're asking why, given the choice of the two of them, I'd rather focus on Sopko, it's (1) that new people get more leeway for their first game, as far as I'm concerned, and (2) that I actually find things I find troublesome with Sopko's post, while nothing to such an extent occurs with Affinity. That 'defense', if that's how you call it, was really a defense of my inadvertent omission of Affinity as he's not as visible to me the way Sopko is, rather than an excuse for Affinity's own actions, and I don't think it's particularly difficult to see what I was saying.

Moving on. Sopko hasn't really responded to my concerns despite being here after I made them, while Xanth... I could still go for Xanth, since I'm not convinced at all by his response on Tom (name a game Tom doesn't act horribly scummy, seriously, it's a dare and everything). Still, Sopko has really given me nothing and I'm forced to go for him.

##Vote: Hunter Sopko

Other stuff. Strago just feels weird, this isn't the first time he misrepresents me blatantly and we're still in day 1. And at the same time, he doesn't actually do anything with it, not even some FoS. Just... has it out there hoping someone will run with it and have things snowball? That's how it feels to me.

Andrew. Eh. Don't think we got much content from him, don't think he paid particular attention thus far to the game. This would need to be watched more carefully come day 2.

Cid... comes off as mildly confrontational. I can't really put the feeling I get from his posts into words adequately. Can't help but wonder if anyone else thinks that.

If you're playing and I haven't mentioned you thus far, you should probably be posting more, yes.  >_>
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 02, 2008, 09:06:01 PM
In the essence of time, looks like 3 candidates for lynch today.

Re: Tom:
I was mildly surprised when I read that more people are supporting Strago's view over Tom while I went the other way. Tom is being rather defensive, but I don't see anything wrong with it. While I don't agree with using anger and derision to snap back at accusers, I think it's a tactic used by both Town and Scum to rattle opponents' viewpoints. Him doing so does not condemn him to be scum or even anti-town in particular. It's only misrepresentation if you let it color your vision like that.  His initial points against Xanth are reasonable and the criticism just piles on after. The thing is that they aren't even on big issues, but on things coming from his serious post on Page 1. As stated elsewhere, a Tom lynch wouldn't reveal very much at all.

I also understand Strago's reasoning for leaving the vote on Tom. A "damned if you do, damned if you don't" scenario.
##Unvote Strago since concerns about Tom are universally the same and not specific to Strago alone.

Re: Xanth:
Concerns are still the same. At L-1, he votes Tom for blatant misrepresentation. Misrepresentation because Tom quoted something that wasn't a WoT when you have posted some is not something I'd make a big deal of. Still bringing up metagaming every now and then. Nothing new has really changed for me since the last time I posted.

Re: Sopko:
The Unvote on Xanth from L-1 to L-2 is pretty damning. I'm confident people here wouldn't quickhammer that on Day 1. And you weren't convinced by Xanth's post at the time either so that excuse is out. The rest of what you've said is indeed waffling a bit. You have the least content among the 3 candidates so I can also understand why your wagon is picking up steam. Got anything to say before deadline, let's hear it.

I'll be around for deadline, but at the moment, I'd lean towards Sopko > Xanth > Tom. The last 2 will get vetted more the next day.

A few cuts: The votes on Sopko keep coming on. I'll be around to see if he replies to anything. Otherwise, time's running out.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 02, 2008, 09:07:32 PM
Fair enough, Cor. It just read to me more like you were making excuses for Affinity than for yourself; I hope you can understand why, given that interpretation, I found those two posts of yours to be a bit discordant. I'm certainly not out to misrepresent you. I'm transparent about my thought process. *shrugs*

Mrff, I've got a little more than an hour between until I'll be gone until deadline. Not sure how to best spend that time. Hey, are we clear on what is required for a lynch? As in, does it need to be seven votes or is it just whoever has the most by deadline?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 09:08:27 PM
Whoa, that train built up fast.

Gimme a moment to catch up.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 09:09:53 PM
Strago: Rat's rules say Town Must Lynch, so I presume having the most votes at deadline would get someone offed.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 02, 2008, 09:11:12 PM
Yes, I did put Xanth at -1. No, I'm not inclined to think it was that big a deal, given he looked like the best candidate to me at the time.

Sopko's post... is odd, since I don't think my post was particularly great and definitely not among the most coherent posts I have ever made in Mafia. The rest of his material (including the unvote) actually does make sense to me (I don't necessarily agree, but I do see some logic to it), but his endorsement of my own post feels... wrong.

Too many complaints about walls of text here, when we really aren't hitting any offensive length posts. Getting close, but not there yet. Don't get hung up on this issue, folks.

Corwin actually raises an interesting point regarding Xanth, and one I'm inclined to agree with. There also seems to be some disjunction with the unvoting of Alex, as it sets aside Alex's initial "weirdness."

Excal, any chance you could quote back to me the line in question? I think I know what you're talking about, but I want you to quote it yourself to fulfill a small curiosity of mine.

Hanging onto Xanth for the moment, but Sopko is also a viable lynch to me.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 09:34:09 PM
I didn't realize until just now how journalistic this (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42192#msg42192) post was. I think it's worse than anything Bard has done so far. I'm also bothered by the fact that Sopko took a serious vote off of Xanth and has yet to bother sticking it on anyone else (and he has had the opportunity! (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42223#msg42223)). Little posting, even less content, funky Andrew comments...yeah, other people have already made this case and I'm not about to pretend it's a Kilga original.

I'm pretty sure Sopko is at L-2, but I'mma go back and count one last time to make sure before I vote.

Xanth: The "up until recently" line is only there to acknowledge that you did indeed eventually change your vote, but you did not change your vote off of Alex at your first opportunity, which was your post stating how Alex is not acting like himself or some such. I did not (and do not) intend to use gaps of time as part of a case against you, only instances of publicly displayed opportunity.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 02, 2008, 09:37:46 PM
Awake again.  After sleeping on it I was going to propose moving to Sopko but I see folks have already done it for me!  Yeah.  Not much else to say on it, see what others have said, I get a pretty large scum vibe off him, very odd what he has and has not spoken about.  Don't have too much time right now... what's he at?  Votecount?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 02, 2008, 09:45:37 PM
Day 1, Votecount!

EvilTom: Kilgamayan, Strago, Xanth
AndrewRogue: Excal
Corwin: HunterSopko
Affinity: Bardiche
Excal: Xanth, SirAlex
El-Cideon: Affinity, Kiro
Bardiche: El-Cideon
Kilgamayan: EvilTom, Corwin, El-Cideon, SirAlex
SirAlex: Xanth, Corwin
Xanth: HunterSopko, SirAlex, EvilTom, Kilgamayan, El Cideon, AndrewRogue
Strago: Kiro, Affinity
HunterSopko: El Cideon, Excal, Strago, Corwin

7 to lynch, 1.5 hours remaining or so.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 09:46:37 PM
My count has Sopko at 4 votes: Cid, Excal, Strago and Corwin.

Ninja'd by a vote count. Wonderful.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 02, 2008, 09:48:19 PM
Woah, deadline's coming up even sooner than I thought. I really don't have much of anything to add right now other than... let's lynch Sopko and not Xanth?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 09:54:44 PM
##Unvote: Xanth
##Vote: Hunter Sopko


I debated doing this now or waiting until it was possibly necessary later on, given it's the big swing vote, but the result was me playing headgames of "do I want to risk staying on Xanth and watch Sopko flip scum or do I want to risk swinging and watch Sopko flip town?" since both scenarios will cause unnecessary distractions down the road, but I don't have an excuse to not vote for Sopko given I think he looks worse than Xanth, and, well, fortune favors the brave and all that.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 02, 2008, 10:28:58 PM
Day 1, Votecount!

EvilTom: Kilgamayan, Strago, Xanth
AndrewRogue: Excal
Corwin: HunterSopko
Affinity: Bardiche
Excal: Xanth, SirAlex
El-Cideon: Affinity, Kiro
Bardiche: El-Cideon
Kilgamayan: EvilTom, Corwin, El-Cideon, SirAlex
SirAlex: Xanth, Corwin
Xanth: HunterSopko, SirAlex, EvilTom, Kilgamayan, El Cideon, AndrewRogue
Strago: Kiro, Affinity
HunterSopko: El Cideon, Excal, Strago, Corwin, Kilgamayan

7 to lynch, .5 hours remaining or so.
Title: Dashboard Forensics Gorilla
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 10:35:48 PM
I'm still around. Disappeared a bit for dinner. I'm mostly surprised that Sopko hasn't been back yet when I thought I've seen him on.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 02, 2008, 10:46:15 PM
Does anyone have any last minute thoughts? I notice Alex sort of vanished after appearing pro-lynch Soppy. What about you, Xanth?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 02, 2008, 10:56:17 PM
I don't think whatever Sopko is typing up will save him since Town will always lynch and there's no time left. He has a 2 vote gap to make up. It'd have to be something really revealing to get people to switch back to Xanth or something. Standing by.
Title: Mask Twixmas Liner
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 10:56:25 PM
Andrew: I certainly support lynching Sopko over myself. On the other extreme, he's not my personal top choice, and while I see the general argument against him I'd say that he's not the worst of the lurkers.

What I find most convincing is his lack of an appearance now. Just giving up? It wasn't even looking like it was going his way until very recently.

If you want the paper trail, though, I certainly support it enough to drop a vote on it if you want me to. It'd just be symbolic given the situation, though.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 10:56:49 PM
10 minutes to go. Posting to stay that I'm sticking with my decision unless Sopko can convince me otherwise.
Title: Stump Almond Frog
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 10:59:59 PM
Well, let's have: ##Vote: Sopko for posterity, then.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 11:01:29 PM
You, uh, kinda need to unvote for that to count. >_>
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 02, 2008, 11:02:04 PM
Ack sorry.  Little busy today.
I'm down with Sopko though.  

Big FoS at Kilga for his latest post though.  Townies who are hunting scum in good faith should never ever hold back on voting for fear of looking scummy.  If you think Soppy's more likely scum, vote him.  Reluctance to do so is noted.

There was a vote here but I see Xanth ninja'd me for the -1 I think?  Willing to hammer, any last comments though?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 02, 2008, 11:02:41 PM
Actually this is pretty much deadline so

##Unvote Xanth
##Vote Soppy
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 02, 2008, 11:03:26 PM
If you think Soppy's more likely scum, vote him.

I did!
Title: Weed Van Baps
Post by: Xanth on December 02, 2008, 11:05:29 PM
Score another one for the bumbling Xanth claim. Thanks/sorry.

##Unvote: Tom
##Vote: Sopko

Ninja: okay, so now I'm hammering. I'd say 'last call for stuff' first, but I'm likely to get cut off by the deadline anyway.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 02, 2008, 11:08:16 PM
Day 1, Votecount!

EvilTom: Kilgamayan, Strago, Xanth
AndrewRogue: Excal
Corwin: HunterSopko
Affinity: Bardiche
Excal: Xanth, SirAlex
El-Cideon: Affinity, Kiro
Bardiche: El-Cideon
Kilgamayan: EvilTom, Corwin, El-Cideon, SirAlex
SirAlex: Xanth, Corwin
Xanth: HunterSopko,SirAlex, EvilTom, Kilgamayan, El Cideon, AndrewRogue
Strago: Kiro, Affinity
HunterSopko: El Cideon, Excal, Strago, Corwin, Kilgamayan, SirAlex, Xanth

STOP

HAMMERTIME

(http://img368.imageshack.us/img368/9702/harukasmashcl8.jpg)

HunterSopko, aka Okuzaki Akira, Scum Godfather, was lynched!

Send in actions.

Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 03, 2008, 11:22:41 PM
Angry shouts, heated defences, and searing putdowns characterised the discussion that followed. Girls will, it seem, be girls. Suspicion first turned to Suzushiro Haruka, on account of her loud voice and blonde (so very blonde) hair. But a new opinion rapidly surfaced...

"Identifying probable criminal: Okuzaki Akira," stated Miyu, twisting to face the boy with a whirring sound. "Analysis depicts minimal levels of stress. Prior relationship to secondary victim not having typical emotional effect. Suggest termination."

"Yeah!" shouted Tate, nodding.

"Yeah!" shouted Ishigami, nodding and pushing up his glasses.

"HELL yeah!" shouted Shizuru, before everyone looked at her rather strangely. "I mean, um, fufufu, a most excellent idea, Miyu-san. Let us be about it."

Akira started to back off from the array of angry people glaring at him, but soon discovered that he was surrounded. Biting his lip, he shook his head. "Are you guys nuts? I'd never do anything to hurt Takumi!"

"You can't escape! We all know your secret!" snorted Haruka, rolling her eyes, causing Akira to yelp, and she reached out to grab him by the shirt. Akira struggled, and the buttons came loose, revealing bindings wrapped around her chest. Dumbfounded for a moment, she scratched her eye. "Ummmm.... this is a sign of guilt, right?" she asked the public, withdrawing a giant mace from thin air.

"Haruka is a Hime?" blurts out Mikoto, but Haruka shakes her head. "This is just natural," she clarifies, before winding up for a hit.

"Avenge me, comrades!" cried the boy-turned girl.

And then, Okuzaki Akira was never seen again.

...

Everyone dispersed for the day, slightly worried by Akira's comments. Could they face retribution? Perhaps not, as when they gathered again the following day, everyone seemed to still be safe and sound...

<->

It is Day 2!

1. Fujino Shizuru (Corwin)
2. Sugiura Midori (SirAlexTheFirst)
3. Yuuichi Tate (Excal)
4. Minagi Mikoto (AndrewRogue)
6. Kuga Natsuki (DreadThomas)
7. Ishigami Wataru (Strago)
8. Miyu (El-Cideon)
9. Kazuya Kurauchi (Bardiche)
10. Senou Aoi (Kilgamayan)
11. Suzushiro Haruka (Xanth)
12. Yuuki Nao (Affinity)
13. Higurashi Akane (Kiro)

With 12 alive, it takes 7 to lynch. There are 48 hours remaining.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 03, 2008, 11:29:54 PM
Oh sweet sweetness. I am so pumped. Also am coming down with a nasty cold and am having trouble being lucid or thoughtful, but: quite pumped by these developments.

Also, funny how I've only been in two games where we managed to nail Scum on Day 1, and both times it happened to be the Godfather. When it rains it pours, I guess. Rad.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 03, 2008, 11:31:28 PM
Well, that was interesting.

Andrew and Dread Thomas!  Top three people you think are town, top three people you think are scum, and reasons why.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 04, 2008, 12:12:48 AM
Some initial thoughts about the Sopko wagon yesterday.

El-Cideon looks pretty good for stating his suspicions of it and casting the first vote. I highly doubt he'd be scum bussing on a brand new wagon when Xanth and Tom were relevant issues. Sopko posted after that and within an hour, got 3 more votes. The rest of it falls into place as the deadline expires.

Kilga's post that has his Sopko vote kind of takes stock into how he's the swing vote that drops one from Xanth and puts one onto Sopko changing the dominant wagon. I don't know if he'd be gutsy enough to bus the Godfather, but it can't be discounted.

Xanth had his vote for posterity and then had to redo it because he forgot to unvote. A bit hasty it seems to get in on it. It was an obvious choice at that point though because it was either Sopko or himself, but he expressed more concern over the lurkers like Affinity. Due to No Lynch not being a part of this game's setup, I don't understand the extra effort to put in a vote especially when you aren't quite as gung ho about the eventual lynch.

Ditto for Alex. I guess you came in, but your vote at deadline made little difference except to cement a point that you can't claim as your own.

While I could see scum getting in on the end of it all, there are also lurkers that need to speak up. Mainly Affinity and Bardiche. At this point, I know I saw Affinity on the forums just now so I'll prod with a ##Vote Affinity. There's lots to comment on.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 04, 2008, 12:34:12 AM
Pushy, pushy Alex. :p

Frankly... I'm not quite sure at the moment.

The fact is, I got cold feet about that lynch train at the last minute due to the apparent reluctance of individuals to actually bring down the hammer on Sopko, as I started to wonder if some people were trying to avoid being the hammer vote. In turn, this wasn't exactly cured by the clumsy, last minute effort to actually hammer him and the revelation that he was Godfather, since that puts a whole new spin on the entire situation. Which leaves me in a particularly awkward position.

As it stands at the moment, since you clearly want me to say what I feel, due to what happened at the very end of the day, I would probably consider all three of Xanth, Alex and Kiro as the most suspicious candidates at the moment. I'll be reviewing the incidents yesterday to see if that actually stands up under closer scrutiny, though. To facilitate things, though...

##Vote: Kiro

No vote at all! Why? Alex and Xanth at least provided presence and put themselves out there (if... awkwardly) throughout the day and at the end. What about you?

On the positive side... mrmf. Frankly, I'm not confident enough to judge anyone on the townie side at the moment, and think I need another flip to make that call.

So it doesn't get lost in the shuffle: Excal, I would still like an exact quote from my post in regards to your metagaming content yesterday when you get a chance. ^_^
Title: Seed Sling Gauntlet
Post by: Xanth on December 04, 2008, 12:59:48 AM
Here, but off to bed-ish.

Kiro: my vote was never going to make me look better, regardless of the result. It was mechanically useless (as I think I must have said?), but pins me to another stance. I was apparently wrong not to doubt Sopko more, but I didn't want my opinion to sink into just 'there's no helping it, it's him or me'. I'm aware that him flipping scum is likely to reflect badly on me for not pushing harder.

Oddly, contrary to how I remember it, a quick skim places Affinity as the first person to stab at Sopko, and Strago a bit before El Cid started to put on the pressure, so it's more frustrating that Affinity has been absent. El Cid does look the best of the three to me at the moment for putting it together, though.

I was beginning to worry about Excal flying under the radar, but it was his post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42227#msg42227) that really started the rush towards Sopko's lynch. This would have just worried me even more if not for Sopko being mafia, but as it is I'm back on a not-scum reading there as well.

Still primarily concerned with Tom, unless people agree that this has been standard fare for him as town.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 04, 2008, 01:13:48 AM
@AndrewRogue: Yea, I knew I had to address this part today.

With the speed of the bandwagon about 2 hours before deadline, I wanted to see if Sopko would post again. The wagon between Xanth and Sopko was pretty even at that point so if he could explain himself, I'd make my decision there. I saw him online leading up to deadline, but he actually never got anything in. I decided to hang back and see who would rush in to vote at the end because it was ceremonial at that point.

Yes, I am a part of that awkward group at the end, but I felt it prudent to wait for a defense that never came. I fully expected to take some heat on this, so people can grill away.

Cut by Xanth: Pinning yourself to a stance you didn't have before is relatively pointless. My hanging back in not voting was primarily to see if you would rush in. I know your vote if he flipped scum wouldn't make you look better, but I wondered if it would make you look worse. In the end, I have to think about that more.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 04, 2008, 01:43:38 AM
Alright, I'm sorry for being absent.  Apparently, time zone differences ensure that most of the actions happen in my sleep; when I woke up, 2 pages of text were added, and I didn't have a chance to post.

Personally, I think EvilTom is not too bad, even though I disagree with his 'manipulation point', a few things pointed out by Xanth and others, failure to admit mistakes, and the attitude that it is perfectly fine to do something wrong as long as someone else is doing it here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42197#msg42197).  Of course, he is not cleared by any means.  Xanth, howver, sounds a little worse to me.  He has raised many many valid points towards Tom, but his overall tone of voice is much more grating than Tom's, especially in this paragraph, and less sincere

Quote
Xanth: first you said you were on Kilga's side. Then you said Kilga didn't have a side. That was the odd contradiction.

Big inconsistency right here, people. Check the end of Tom's post here for where he claims I've contradicted myself. You'll note that not only does the quotation in question have nothing to do with Kilga, the post where I say that 'Kilga had no side', but this second quote he's now using to justify this contradition comes after the post where he claims there's a contradition. In fact, it was in the same post where I respond to that claim. Try again.

Calling it a 'big inconsistency' is rather dubious due to the fact that I genuinely believed that you made a contradiction there and I would have made that point if I was around. Also, note the contrast between how Tom said what he wanted to say and how Xanth did.  If we're talking about honest mistakes, it is much more easily abscribed to say, Tom, then Xanth in my opinion.  So if I had to vote between these two, I would vote him.

---

As for my thoughts on yesterday's lynch, I'm perfectly fine with it.  Not that it really means much, but I did point out that Sopko had been making rather shady comments and such first.  I'm not too suspect about say, Xanth's late jump into the bandwagon, since it was quite valid to suspect me over him (my apologies).  

As for Bardiche, I still don't see the shallow commentary style abscribed to him so far in this game, though I do agree that he hasn't been putting solid votes and stances on others.  So, I would extend the question by Alex to you, who do you think is the top three scum now and why?  

Strago seems rather fine to me; I'm alright with his response, but I still wouldn't really want to dismiss the jump at Tom as 'off-the-cuff thinking' and I'll keep that in mind if needed, I guess.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 02:10:11 AM
Had tried to post this late yesterday, but hammer came just as I hit the Preview button. C+P'd for posterity, tossing it out real quick before I get to analyzing new material. (There was some stuff about Soppy's silence only making him look worse which I've cut out; it's obviously irrelevant now).

Cid... comes off as mildly confrontational. I can't really put the feeling I get from his posts into words adequately. Can't help but wonder if anyone else thinks that.

What, me? Confrontational? What are you talking about?! Seriously though, examples would be nice.

Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 03:42:15 AM
My attention is primarily drawn by Xanth at the moment. A question directed at him first, then some conjecture on my part about his and Soppy's actions yesterday.

Kiro: my vote was never going to make me look better, regardless of the result. It was mechanically useless (as I think I must have said?), but pins me to another stance. I was apparently wrong not to doubt Sopko more, but I didn't want my opinion to sink into just 'there's no helping it, it's him or me'. I'm aware that him flipping scum is likely to reflect badly on me for not pushing harder.

I'm forced to ask "Why?" in response to the sentence I've underlined. Self-preservation in such situations is a wholly understandable motivation for a townie. We generally don't automatically suspect someone for being ready "to vote for someone not me" (since the only thing a townie knows for sure is that he is in fact a townie), so I'm forced to question your claim that this is why you didn't vote for Sopko. And I'll echo Kiro's comment that "pinning yourself to a stance you didn't have before is relatively pointless." You didn't express enthusiasm or significant support for his lynching until we'd nearly nailed the coffin shut. I find this particularly telling:

I'll vote to save my own skin if I have to, but I'd rather the attention was on Tom (can't answer before deadline, I know). I can't say I'd be against lynching Sopko, but would still put him behind Affinity for the obvious and probably also Bardiche for the aforementioned style. I'd prefer he talked about more, but I've felt that Sopko's been fairly incisive in his points on me.

Again, I wish to direct attention to the underlined sentence. What about Affinity made him such an obvious choice at the time? Affinity is one of the least active posters in this game, but he was on a par with Sopko at that time and did not have a notably lower level of contribution to discussion (remember, all Sopko had when people started poking at him was a couple one-liners; it's not hard to beat that). This comment of yours is even more puzzling given that there was no noteworthy case on Affinity making the rounds at the time (the only vote he'd received was a jokevote from Bard). I just scanned through the entire topic, and you yourself had never once mentioned him before touting him as an "obvious" alternative to Sopko. So what made him such a clear candidate all of a sudden? My speculation is that you were trying to deflect heat from a scumbuddy who was (quite unexpectedly) crashing and burning. I believe that the timing of how the trains played out yesterday supports this:

-Sopko backed away from the Xanth train twelve hours from the end of the day. As it turned out, this is not an unreasonable amount of time in which to totally turn a train around. Tom had two votes on him at that time, and others (myself included, also Alex) expressing misgivings about Tom could conceivably have been persuaded to vote against him. It would've been feasible for scum to try to railroad Tom had the Soppy lynchtrain not materialized.

-As Sopko was in no danger himself at the time of his unvote (no one had voted for him yet, and I think it's safe to assume that the scum did not see the train on him coming given how late in the day that happened), I don't believe he did it specifically to spread confusion amongst the town. Had he already been going down in flames, I could accept the unvote being interpreted as a deliberate piece of misinformation designed to send town into WIFOM convulsions, but, again, Sopko surely had no idea at that time that he was going to die.

-His stated reason for unvoting Xanth is obviously bunk because he's scum and lying is his job, so what does this leave us with? Scenario A) Sopko wanted to avoid being seen helping to kill a townie (if Xanth is town). I find this unlikely; Sopko had not invested a great deal of text in the case against Xanth (his vote on Xanth, way back on page one, had only a sentence to justify it; I believe it was just a placeholder vote that Soppy could use to make himself look active while waiting for a good train to hop on) and probably wouldn't have gained much townie cred from backing off. Scenario B) Sopko, apparently not a suspect himself at that time, decided to take a risk in order to save a scumbuddy and direct attention towards someone else. The latter part of that plan, of course, got waylaid by the case against Soppy himself.

Anyone, please tell me if you spot holes in this theory. Admittedly a lot of this is conjecture into scum planning, which can be a dubious enterprise. But I believe the scenario is realistic given the timetable involved and it only helps shore up my other problems with Xanth. Altogether, this feels like my best bet right now:

##Vote: Xanth

~

Other comments:

1) Bard needs a Vote More prod. I'm not seeing anything on the record except for his opening jokevote. His long absence is also not encouraging. The last time he was active, he claimed he'd return in eight hours or so and failed to post again before the end of the game-day (and he had well more than eight hours before deadline). Definitely want to see more activity and more decisive opinions from him. Promising activity and not following through is a surefire way to attract the wrong kind of attention. So, here it is: GAoS (Gatling Arm of Suspicion) in his direction.

2) Tom's not really on the radar at present, despite my having some problems with him yesterday. May change if I turn out to be wrong on Xanth, but he's currently only a minor concern.

3) No one else looks especially bad right now. Vague townie read on Strago, unsure on others.

4) Wufghl. Yeah, that's enough typing for now. I'll stick around for another half-hour or so in case anyone responds.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 04, 2008, 04:12:17 AM
Woot woot! We're doing well :D

response to Alex:
Top 3 people I think are town? El Cid is numero uno. By a large margin. I'd probably continue along the Sopko train and say Excal and Strago, based on their votes more than anything.
Top 3 scummy? Xanth Xanth and Xanth. There is no doubt in my mind. Other than him, I'd be picking on lurkers, but I have to review them first in detail.

I had a really big case in my head which I was getting ready to type out as I sat down, and then..  El Cid had done it for me. Seriously. It's exactly what I was going to say.

I had all of my suspicions of Xanth from before the Soppy train, but now there's real evidence - a scumbuddy tried to save him (and got burnt). Scum wouldn't go that far just to frame a towny whom they could otherwise mislynch easily.
##Vote: Xanth


Alex, since I answered your question, can I get your opinions? So far today you've only said "that's interesting". Input please.
Sorry if I missed anyone else's questions, in a rush right now.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 04:44:23 AM
Okily dokilies.

Gentlemen, ladies, gentlemen pretending to be ladies and vice versa (although I think we already lynched that person)!  May I interest you in hanging Dread Thomas today!

##Vote: Dread Thomas

Exhibit A, and the main attraction:  Everything Xanth said about him yesterday is 100% true.  Hopped on what looked like it would be the big wagon of the day with little effort, never hopped off.
Exhibit B:  STILL going after Xanth today for even odder reasons!  "Oh yeah scum totally bussed their godfather to save Xanth."  What?  I don't think so.
Exhibit C:  Asked for top three scum, answers no one other than Xanth.  Top town?  Why of course, it's the guy whose suspicions he's tying himself to!

With Sopko flipping scum and now this, I am also fairly sure Xanth is town.  (metagaming and wall of text are still bad, yo, don't do them).  Why didn't I bring this case out immediately?  Wanted to get Tom's scum/town list before I went off on him.
----

Far as myself, I did say I was starting to look at Sopko, and when I woke up boom, case on him already was made.  I guess you can vote me for my sleeping schedule if you like, or say that it is somehow scummier for me to be on the Sopko vote at the end than, yknow, NOT be on it, but that strikes me as a pretty bad WIFOM argument and not something I can defend against anyhow. 

Almost surely scum: Dread Thomas
Possibly scum: The three people he named, Andrew, Kiro, Affinity?
Middle: People not mentioned
Probably town: Xanth, Kilga, Corwin?
Definitely town (and awesome): Me
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 05:02:30 AM
Corwin wins the "I keep forgetting he's playing this game" award and thus is slightly suspicious by default. (This might be slightly biased, since other people might feel the same way about Kiro or Affinity, who I have no chance of forgetting are in this game given our MotK games together.)

I'm not a fan of Andrew's vote for Kiro because I fail to see what ScumKiro would have to gain from not voting Sopko at the end there.

Strago's overreaction to my comment about post length doesn't sit right with me, but it alone isn't worth a vote and I didn't see much of anything else from him that warranted suspicion.

The rules say scum must kill AND that players that are attacked but survived are told so. Do we want whoever was attacked last night to come forth or what? I can't imagine scum would risk contesting it based on the Sopko loss, but I am notorious for missing the elephant in the room in this sort of situation.

NINJA EDIT: Was going to vote Xanth in this post (best Day 1 case, implications of Sopko's unvote as noted by Cid) but Alex seems gung-ho on him being town so I'm going to review the Xanth case and the Tom case before picking a side.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 04, 2008, 05:05:54 AM
I should have been more specific. Alex can you please comment on the case on Xanth? You know, the massive one El Cid just put forward? The one I just spent my post talking about?

Quote
and when I woke up boom, case on him already was made.  I guess you can vote me for my sleeping schedule if you like,
That is also my excuse, except in reference to Xanth. El Cid said it before I could. Let's not play the hypocrisy game.

Though after that Alexsplosion, I'd be looking pretty hard at him after a XanthScumFlip, since Alex seems so convinced Xanth is town.


Kilga: interesting idea. I don't see why not, if we can narrow it down to either [town] or [scum faking it].. then we end up with a confirmed towny, or a chance at scum. It wasn't me anyway, I was cool.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 05:14:55 AM
On Xanth?  Pretty simple.  He was the day 1 lynch before it swung to Soppy.  That alone makes him probably town, since even then I was debating between him and Tom.  I am now quite firmly on the "Tom is scum" side of that equation, which again makes Xanth... well, as good as confirmed to me, since I don't see Xanth/Tom/Soppy as a possible team.

On what Kilga said:  If you were attacked last night but survived due to something you know about (bulletproof, doc self protect, etc) I would advise against claiming.  If you were attacked last night but survived due to something you don't know about (presumably some other skilled/lucky doc out there) then I don't see a reason not to claim that.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 05:16:58 AM
Actually after a few seconds more thought (I am stupid) it should be claimed regardless, just don't mention how it happened if you know how.  Scum know who they targeted regardless, so I don't see it giving anything away to them.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 05:21:37 AM
just don't mention how it happened if you know how

That was the extra stipulation I was thinking of when I proposed the idea (don't know why I didn't put it in initially). I see no reason for whoever was attacked last night to let on whether they know why they were saved or not, but as long as that's avoided I don't see anything wrong with claiming NK target.

I was not attacked, however.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 04, 2008, 05:22:07 AM
Day 2 votecount!

Affinity (1): Kiro
Kiro (1): AndrewRogue
Xanth (2): El Cideon, EvilTom
DreadThomas (1): Sir Alex

With 12 alive, it takes 7 to lynch. About 42 hours remaining.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 04, 2008, 05:22:21 AM
Alex, you still refuse to look at El Cid's argument. Seriously. Answer it please.
This isn't about Tom v Xanth, stop presenting it as such. To do so is to ignore the evidence against Xanth. There is no need ro polarize this.
Asking for the second time, 'Sopko backed away from the Xanth train twelve hours from the end of the day' - acknowledge El Cid's argument.

And what about whether or not you were hit, Alex? You seem pretty reluctant to give away information.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 05:38:20 AM
I was not attacked, I figured that would be a given since I did not say I was?

I covered Xanth already.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 04, 2008, 05:40:49 AM
@El-Cid:  The issue I find with your case is that most of the points are more reliant on what Soppy has been doing, and not Xanth.  For points three to five in your post, Xanth could have might as well been a paper doll that Sopko had just happened to choose, and nothing would have changed.  As to how, I'll leave Xanth to defend himself.

Points one and two are valid in my opinion, though, I'm interested to see what Xanth has to say.

@EvilTom:  Do you completely agree with what El had said?  If yes, which points do you think are more important and such?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 05:58:46 AM
Things I like (and want to see responses to):

- Cid underline point #1.
- Cid underline point #2. In addition, Xanth also mentioned Bard being ahead of Sopko on his list for "the aforementioned behavior" despite that Sopko post I (along with a couple of other) singled out being more guilty of Bard's style than Bard. This opinion was also put forth after Xanth admitted to me that he had been "overly harsh" on his assessment of Bard's posts.

Things I dislike:

-His stated reason for unvoting Xanth is obviously bunk because he's scum and lying is his job, so what does this leave us with? Scenario A) Sopko wanted to avoid being seen helping to kill a townie (if Xanth is town). I find this unlikely; Sopko had not invested a great deal of text in the case against Xanth (his vote on Xanth, way back on page one, had only a sentence to justify it; I believe it was just a placeholder vote that Soppy could use to make himself look active while waiting for a good train to hop on) and probably wouldn't have gained much townie cred from backing off.

- On the contrary, I would be more suspicious of someone on a mislynch train that invested almost no opinion than someone who invested a solid opinion. In a hypothetical Xanth mislynch scenario, Sopko would look worse for leaving his vote on for sketchy early-Day-1 reasons than for taking it off and directing it elsewhere.

Exhibit B:  STILL going after Xanth today for even odder reasons!  "Oh yeah scum totally bussed their godfather to save Xanth."  What?  I don't think so.

- Where on Earth does Tom say anything to this effect? I'm not seeing it at all.

Things I'm unsure on:

- Xanth's case against Tom. What I can pick out seems reasonable enough (mostly misrepresentation stuff), but between WoT overdrive and quote mess-ups I'm not having as easy a time following it as I would like. I don't want to make a decision based on a misunderstanding. Since Alex's Tom vote is largely predicated on this case, can Xanth/Alex kindly sum it up in a couple of paragraphs, preferably without forum syntax errors?

---

Right now I'm leaning Xanth over Tom, but with all the stuff I want answered I'm not placing a vote yet.

I'm also officially recanting my slight Corwin suspicion since he made the initial Sopko case. The "Forget they're playing" theory can't hold a candle to that.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 06:40:36 AM
I had all of my suspicions of Xanth from before the Soppy train, but now there's real evidence - a scumbuddy tried to save him (and got burnt). Scum wouldn't go that far just to frame a towny whom they could otherwise mislynch easily.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 06:44:46 AM
And where, in that line, does Tom say that scum bussed Sopko?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 06:45:44 AM
Ignoring the Xanth vote since his didn't matter.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 07:14:17 AM
Where, uh, does it not?  I don't see what else he could be saying there, since Xanth was on Sopko pretty hard towards the end of the day and Sopko didn't propose a third case.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 04, 2008, 07:24:09 AM
Ok, I've skimmed everything over, and my gut reaction to things is that Xanth/Tom feels like a Town/Town spat coming out of a bad situation.

Xanth, I'm very definatly with the school that says that if he was scum, then Sopko's moves don't make sense.  In fact, Sopko's moves make the most sense when considered against a townie about to get mislynched.  He reiterated his support for the lynch, and approved of another person who did drop their support at the same time as he took his vote off in the name of wanting to hear all the voices.  However, this was not an attempt to save Xanth.  Not only was there no commentary about how he changed his mind which there would have been in a real attempt to save him and which would have been justified by his initial weak reason for voting paired with Xanth's vigourous defense.  But there was also no vote for anyone else, or attempt to start some other train.  Given that I also agree that Sopko/Xanth/Tom is a really unlikely combo, it sure as hell wasn't because he didn't want to have to pick and choose which scum buddy got the axe.

As for Tom, I don't have anything hard on him, just so far my read of him has been a positive one.  This will be undergoing continued evaluation as I read things further.

That said, I am going to be looking at Alex.  If Tom is right, and Alex is trying to re-frame the discussion so that we're faced with two bad choices, I think that would fit very well with his past methodology as scum.  Namely, make a good argument as to why someone he knows is town is town and use that to set a frame work at the same time as he builds up some good will towards his core premise.  In this case, that's made even easier by the fact that Xanth was vocally proclaiming his belief of Tom's scumminess, thereby making him a predictable accomplice in such a scenario.  As well, Tom is also a predictable participant in all of this, with his habit of being very vocal in the worst ways, as well as having a tendancy to fiercely attack those who attack him.  This should end in a nice little shouting war that will polarize us and draw attention.

One other person I will be looking at will be Andy.  Sopko's endorsement of him was a large part of his downfall on Day 1, and I want to see if there's anything there.  (On a side note, I'll have your answer for you shortly, Andy)

Finally, I was not targetted last night.  But I do wholly approve of this measure, and I suggest we all state clearly whether or not we were the target instead of simply letting our silence speak for us.  Clarity is the weapon of town, obfuscation that of the scum.  Letting assumption be your voice only helps hide things.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 04, 2008, 07:27:54 AM
Unfortunately, this game apparently decided to start while I was still at home, and get into full swing the day I was flying back home. A flight which was then delayed. And then the issues of getting home from the airport after midnight. And such.

So. There's the reasoning I've been quiet. Make of it what you will. I perfer to blame Carth, really.

In brief review of the topic, since I want to sleep.

-Somebody has to make the second vote eventually. Generally speaking, I find scum want to avoid doing it, since it tends to draw attention.
-Tom's statement is off-handed enough for me to take it as just that. (To be slightly fair for a second, his statement does have some merit. While I can't remember the record, Tom IS an easy target and is up there in Day 1 lynchees generally)
-Bardiche missing the point of the Kilga train is odd, since it was basically said in the votes. Votes to see what happens. For day 1 to really start, something needs to happen.
-Corwin's logic flies with me.
-Soppy's statement is interesting about Alex.
-Xanth's post... I'm inclined to agree with Alex, and add a spice of missing the measure of the Kilga vote.
-Oh sure, NOW there are some big posts.
-Argh. It is now just flowing over me. Can't get anymore out of this.

Non-Stream of Consciousness: Xanth is, currently, the only poster who stands out to me, primarily for the reasons Alex stated. His additional statements about the train on Kilga (how it was purposeless) also sit slightly at odds on me, as they tend to say something about people. For example, who're the ones who jump on, who're the ones that draw the line, how do they draw the line, etc. There is a lot of information to be had from those sorts of trains.

##Vote: Xanth

Primarily looking for a response to Alex, but I wouldn't mind some chatter on why you feel that a general lynchtrain doesn't work/isn't useful.

There you go, Andy.  That's what I twigged on for the metagaming.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 07:32:03 AM
Sorry guys! Walls of text before me, I only quick skimmed and saw we nailed scum.

I'd post more, but all of tuesday and wednessday, after I came back from school, our ISP were "having a small technical problem", which apparently couldn't be fixed that quickly. I'm terribly sorry for the lurking and will catch up with all possible haste.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 07:33:23 AM
Where, uh, does it not?  I don't see what else he could be saying there, since Xanth was on Sopko pretty hard towards the end of the day and Sopko didn't propose a third case.

I think all he's saying there is what Cid said in the post before him.

I'd disagree with Xanth being hard on Sopko at a time of the day when it was relevant (especially since he still seems to have misgivings here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42253#msg42253), 8 minutes before deadline), and I feel that what Sopko did or did not do in the way of proposing cases is unimportant to the question of whether he was really bussed by fellow scum or not (since he could have attacked someone new and then been steamrolled like he was anyway).
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 07:35:21 AM
Bard and Affinity, were either of you attacked last night?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 04, 2008, 07:41:15 AM
I want to point this out, and make sure it is as clear as possible, since this is central to my current issue with the trio of Xanth, Alex and Kiro.

Simply put, with the way the events unfolded at the end of the day, there was absolutely no bussing involved.

Check this. Cath's vote count that says there is .5 hour or so remaining comes at 2:28.

The important votes stand at Xanth (Alex, Tom, Me) and Sopko (Cid, Excal, Strago, Corwin, Kilga).

Kiro posts at 2:56, points out the futility of Sopko's situation and says he's standing by. He is not heard from again.

Xanth responds to me 2:56. Says he is all for voting Sopko over himself (even if he isn't a preferred case), but opts not to put a vote down at that point. About 3 minutes later (2:59), Xanth puts down an incorrect vote for Sopko. No big deal.

3:02, Alex posts, points a bizarre finger at Kilga (missed him voting for Sopko, or misunderstood Kilga's admitted wishy-washy tone not two posts up) and claims willingness to hammer.

Keep in mind, here, that taken at exactly 48 hours, we are ~3 minutes off the deadline (day started at 3:05) and already past the baseline time in Carth's vote count. Basically, barring any miracle or hugely bizarre turn of events, the day is over and Sopko is getting lynched.

About 40 seconds later, he tosses down a vote on Sopko.

About 3 minutes later, Xanth posts once more, laying down the actual hammer vote.

What does all that amount to?

By the time Kiro, Alex and Xanth started acting, outside of some veritable miracle, the day was decided. If you look, between the three of them, the vote count could not be shifted away from Sopko. Xanth couldn't do anything but push Sopko further along , Alex was already voting Xanth and Kiro couldn't make up the two vote deficit that Xanth had. Unless one other person shifted a vote to Xanth at that point, then Sopko was getting lynched.

The only other people demonstratably around and paying attention? Myself (already voting for Xanth) and Kilga (voting for Soppy, but had just switched there in the very recent future and would require convincing).

So, what is the grand point of this breakdown? That it is reasonable to consider all three of Xanth, Alex and Kiro as possible scum. When all three of them acted, the day was, for all intents and purposes, decided. Soppy was getting lynched. In other words, even as scum, by waiting until the VERY last minute, they could well have insured that Soppy was going down before they committed to voting against him. They didn't vote until it was "safe" for them to hop on Sopko.

Which brings me back to Alex.

Quote
Far as myself, I did say I was starting to look at Sopko, and when I woke up boom, case on him already was made.  I guess you can vote me for my sleeping schedule if you like, or say that it is somehow scummier for me to be on the Sopko vote at the end than, yknow, NOT be on it, but that strikes me as a pretty bad WIFOM argument and not something I can defend against anyhow.

Actually, my question, Alex! I have no problem with you coming out with a case only to find it had already been made. That happens. However, you wake up while he four votes, say that you were going to propose moving towards Soppy, it had already been done and that you've got a large scum vibe from him. Then... you disappear until 3:02. Your original post was 1:37. So, my problem is not with your sleeping schedule. My problem is you come out with this idea that you wanted to propose a vote on Sopko, LEAVE YOUR VOTE ON XANTH, and disappear, only to revote at the very last minute.

Why? Everything about your post indicates that you want to move towards Sopko, but you... don't. You say the case has been made, you've got a scum vibe from him and leave it at that.

Kiro: Fair enough, for the moment. You aren't fully off the hook, but Alex is bothering me more at the moment.

##Unvote: Kiro
##Vote: Alex


Ninja Edit: Tons of ninja action, but I want to get this posted first.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 07:46:01 AM
Still skimming through to see how the hell we managed to nail scum last day (admittedly, I didn't do very much, though I'd have liked it), but uh. Yeah. School again. Let's hope this time I actually return in eight hours. I'll hijack a computer during lunch break to see if I can catch up s'more with the present state of affairs.

And no, I wasn't attacked last night.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 04, 2008, 07:48:41 AM
And a bright new day is upon us~

I'm still catching up, and only on my first cup of tea so far. It might take a bit before I catch up fully, but that's why you learn to delegate, isn't it?

In the meantime, a brief response to Cid. I'm sorry that I can't point out to specifics about a feeling I can't even phrase right. I wonder why a mechanical student would be so concerned over it, though.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 04, 2008, 08:01:19 AM
-His stated reason for unvoting Xanth is obviously bunk because he's scum and lying is his job, so what does this leave us with? Scenario A) Sopko wanted to avoid being seen helping to kill a townie (if Xanth is town). I find this unlikely; Sopko had not invested a great deal of text in the case against Xanth (his vote on Xanth, way back on page one, had only a sentence to justify it; I believe it was just a placeholder vote that Soppy could use to make himself look active while waiting for a good train to hop on) and probably wouldn't have gained much townie cred from backing off. Scenario B) Sopko, apparently not a suspect himself at that time, decided to take a risk in order to save a scumbuddy and direct attention towards someone else. The latter part of that plan, of course, got waylaid by the case against Soppy himself.

El Cid, I'm very curious about that statement.  Sopko made no mention of anyone else, nor did he sound displeased with the Xanth train at all.  In fact, after he started going down in flames, he tried to defend Xanth, but did not attack anyone else.  What exactly gave you that impression?  Who was Sopko trying to get lynched, and how?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 04, 2008, 08:09:03 AM
Heh, where are all of you guys? Europe? This topic sees crazy action as I'm getting ready for bed (Los Angeles, USA).

I wasn't attacked last night.

To review El-Cideon's case about Sopko and Xanth:
-His stated reason for unvoting Xanth is obviously bunk because he's scum and lying is his job, so what does this leave us with? Scenario A) Sopko wanted to avoid being seen helping to kill a townie (if Xanth is town). I find this unlikely; Sopko had not invested a great deal of text in the case against Xanth (his vote on Xanth, way back on page one, had only a sentence to justify it; I believe it was just a placeholder vote that Soppy could use to make himself look active while waiting for a good train to hop on) and probably wouldn't have gained much townie cred from backing off. Scenario B) Sopko, apparently not a suspect himself at that time, decided to take a risk in order to save a scumbuddy and direct attention towards someone else. The latter part of that plan, of course, got waylaid by the case against Soppy himself.

Scenario A: That supposes Xanth is town. Assuming it is and with Xanth being at L-1, was Sopko that unsure of how he looked that he decided to back off and encourage discussion to look more Townie? If so, it was a grave miscalculation.

Scenario B: That supposes Xanth is scum. Entirely possible, but it didn't go anywhere. Xanth had made his case and believed people would consider him to unvote him, hence he didn't roleclaim. Sopko was the first one to unvote and probably hoped others would follow. Except they jumped on Sopko. Also a grave miscalculation given he's the Godfather.

My conclusion is that in the end, it works either way. I think the focus has to be more on what Xanth did in this case, as Affinity first pointed out.
##Unvote Affinity by the way for showing up.

About Tom: He's eager to get Xanth lynched, but that doesn't mean he's wrong. I wouldn't call the Xanth, Xanth, Xanth thing a scumtell either. I agree with Kilga that Tom didn't hint at "Oh yeah scum totally bussed their godfather to save Xanth." The issue is that it was not a bus in their favor. Scum would be forced to bus in that instance and they would do it to save face.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 09:04:22 AM
Okay, game's moving in a very odd direction.  I've been pondering over whether or not to do this, it's a little early in the game, but...  the payoff should be worth it if we can hit a second scum today.

I am a Cop.  I investigated Dread Thomas last night, and he came up scum.

Hopefully with this in hand you can all see where I'm coming from today and why I think Xanth is almost certainly town.  Nuff said.

14 players probably means three scum.  One is down already, and killing is mandatory, so if we take the second out today the third should be forced to kill and forgo any other night action they may have.  I think this is an important goal, since it is very likely scum have a roleblocker given we have a cop and something that stopped a kill.  Scum-Tom knows I wish him ill and I'd be a big candidate for roleblocking, or they may figure out who or what stopped their kill, etc.  I consider this important enough to outweigh the obvious drawbacks of my early claim.

So.  Can I interest you all in lynching Dread Thomas now?

----

Re Andrew's query, I didn't move off Xanth because I thought there was something legitimately fishy about Xanth/Tom.  Xanth took very questionable stances, really didn't give me any reason to unvote him, but also made good points on Tom (which is why I chose him to investigate).  Sopko was, as I said, a shot in the dark runner up pick and at that time I didn't feel moving to him was warranted.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 04, 2008, 09:36:14 AM
You can certainly interest me, Alex.  Especially since I'm not entirely sure where the upside is for you to be lying in all this.  Except that there is one small flaw that still catches my eye.  What if you're insane, or just make the claim if it turns out Tom is Town.  So, while I am interested in this dichotomy, I think that it should not be our priority at present.

I think finding out what happened last night should be a priority, however.  Namely, is our guardian angel a roleblocker, or one of the defensive roles?  That answer is decisive, I feel.

As of right now, six of us have claimed we were not the target, three of us have posted since the idea was brought up without claiming with two of them being in depth posts as opposed to mere I'm here now posts.  And three have yet to have the chance to respond.  So I'm calling all six out, now.  This is something which is very much in the interest of Town to answer.  Anyways, here is the list.

Claimed
Kilga
Tom
Alex
Excal
Bard
Kiro

Not Claimed
Strago
Xanth
Affinity (*)
Corwin (*)
El-Cid
Andrew (*)
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 04, 2008, 09:47:38 AM
No, I wasn't attacked last night, I guess.  Just a short post for the moment.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 04, 2008, 09:52:55 AM
Well, that kinda throws a kink into my entire scheduling discussion. Unfortunate.

##Unvote: Alex

Can't really ignore such a claim now, can we? While there are a lot of factors at work here, I certainly don't see the idea of pressing a lynch train on a claimed cop at the moment as a particularly good idea. So let's figure out what we're gonna do now.

Beyond that, I figured not saying I was the target was a clear answer. To make it perfectly clear though. I was not the target last night.
Title: Steamboat Radiation Microphone
Post by: Xanth on December 04, 2008, 10:10:20 AM
Just up now. I see a lot to respond to that'll take me time to get through, but for now I can confirm that go figure I have not been told of an attempt on my life last night.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 04, 2008, 10:16:43 AM
Alright, just Strago, Corwin, and El-Cid left.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 10:26:04 AM
What if you're insane, or just make the claim if it turns out Tom is Town.  So, while I am interested in this dichotomy, I think that it should not be our priority at present.

If I am insane (or paranoid) I would much rather discover that fact as soon as possible.  Worst case scenario is we end up mislynching both Tom and myself, and while that is bad I would rather it happen now than have it come up later in the game.  I claimed now because heck, I have a scum result in hand, the benefits if I'm sane definitely outweigh the risks.  I do not see any reason to ignore this, since if I am sane Tom is scum and if I am not we need to find that fact out, ignoring it does no good.

I'm pretty sure I'm sane though because of how Tom has behaved.  I would almost certainly be on his case today even if I was vanilla.  Read Xanth's callout post on him day 1, it's 100% right and his "Xanth, Xanth, Xanth" pressure today reinforces the case.

I think finding out what happened last night should be a priority, however.  Namely, is our guardian angel a roleblocker, or one of the defensive roles?  That answer is decisive, I feel.

I think there is no protown reason whatsoever to want to find this out as it cannot lead to catching scum unless there is a town roleblocker AND not a town doctor AND we can somehow ascertain that one and not the other was the reason for the lack of kill.

Both of these statements combined make me very VERY wary of Excal as they give me a sense of possible panicked scum damage control.  But be that as it may, the guy what investigated as scum comes first.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 04, 2008, 10:28:54 AM
Alex is either insane or scum, and I'm leaning heavily towards scum.

Kilga was calling out Alex for his lies (yes, Alex lied about what I said). [1]
Excal was looking at Alex for his scummy polarization. [2]
Andrew finds a major crack in Alex's armour - basically amounting to another lie. [3]
A train starts forming on him, and all of a sudden he pulls out a cop claim.

If that isn't isn't an attempt to sweep all of the above under the rug temporarily, then I don't know what is.

If I'm lynched and flip town, he'll just shrug and say "oh I'm insane" and then be 'roleblocked' for the rest of the game ("I think this is an important goal, since it is very likely scum have a roleblocker given we have a cop.....  I consider this important enough to outweigh the obvious drawbacks of my early claim"). He's already set it up for himself. [4]

<->

If we lynch Alex today, I'll either be confirmed town, or confirmed scum. If you lynch me, when I flip town you'll have to lynch him tomorrow, because that's the only way to find out whether or not he's lying.

Anyway I'm pretty sure Alex is scum rather than insane, if you look at all the evidence listed above.


##Unvote;
##Vote: Alex


It's clear that lynching Alex is the only way forward now.

[1] http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42439#msg42439
[2] http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42443#msg42443
[3] http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42448#msg42448
[4] http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42459#msg42459


Will answer ninjas in a sec.
Title: Jelly Invader Oboe
Post by: Xanth on December 04, 2008, 10:32:47 AM
Cop (Sane, Insane)

Alex: if you are a cop, you fortunately cannot be paranoid, as the semi-open set up assures us.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 04, 2008, 10:34:15 AM
Read Xanth's callout post on him day 1, it's 100% right and his "Xanth, Xanth, Xanth" pressure today reinforces the case.
This is roughly the third time you've said "Xanth is 100% right about EvilTom being scum".

Exaclty how is this evidence? Or even influential? It's rubbish, and you keep doing it.

You can't just say "Person X's statements are 100% truth". Xanth could be wrong, or scum.

This is extremely dodgy behaviour. Your list of dodgyness grows and grows.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 04, 2008, 10:35:03 AM
Day 2 votecount!

Affinity (0): Kiro
Kiro (0): AndrewRogue
Xanth (1): El Cideon, DreadThomas
DreadThomas (1): Sir Alex
SirAlex (1): AndrewRogue, Dread Thomas

With 12 alive, it takes 7 to lynch. About 37 hours remaining.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 04, 2008, 10:40:08 AM
Votecount needs to be fixed.


For clarification, I mean it's rubbish to just say "Person X is 100% correct about person y being scum". At least point to specific points and/or evidence.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 10:44:50 AM
Skimming through while at uni. Very quick thoughts, since I obviously don't have the time to write out terribly long posts.

- Alex copclaim. Very interesting. Mrf. Need to think on it a little, opinions forthcoming.
- Xanth against my posting style. I can agree with it to some extend, but I honestly tried to give my opinion where I could. Just didn't have much to say yet. I don't foresee such problems with my next real post.
- Nailing Sopko as Godfather massive town cred for the case builder? Skimmed so not sure what it's all about, need to give it more attention (and I will).
- No Nightkill? Awesome. Thanks to whoever guarded whoever.
- El Cid misunderstanding. Terribly my apologies, I had a bad day and misinterpreted. Will not happen again.

Now that I have those out I should flee because of time issues. I'll definitely post more thoughts later on when I get home, assuming we'll have the internets still. My trust in my ISP has been damaged mortally.

Ninja'd:
- Anti-Alex sentiments. Mrf. Bumps the Alex case to my first priority when I get back. Skimmed too much to form a definite opinion right now.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 04, 2008, 10:48:46 AM
I'm surprised you didn't catch it Alex, but there is a way.  And it's fairly simple, at least for me.  I'm sure you'll agree when I explain it all, as should everyone else.  But, for it to work, I need everyone on record before I start explaining.

As for the issue of whether or not you're Sane or Insane, you do need to recall that the rest of us also need to decide if you're scum as well.  It's a decision I'd like to think about for a bit, at least until I know exactly which questions to ask, and what hints to look for.  That said, I will give you this.  You have done a wonderful job of shattering my little scenario earlier, so at present I'm more inclined to vote Tom than anyone else.  Mostly because we have a definate record on you that you need to stick to, and because the timing works better to Town than to Scum.  But, like I said, I'm still running all the variables through my head.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 11:20:13 AM
I'm referring back to Xanth's post because he said it better than I could have.  He made statements regarding Tom's lack of reasoning and "hideous misrepresentation," they are true. http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42185#msg42185 if you really need them repeated.

There is also the fact that the lynch train turned around from Xanth to the freakin' scum godfather in late day 1, which by itself is reasonably solid evidence that Xanth is probably town and pushing his lynch today is really weird.  Especially from one of the two people to be on Xanth and not Soppy day 1 (though admittedly timezones can account for that).
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 11:30:12 AM
Good lord, you people were busy overnight. Only had time to skim through things and have to get ready for work in a couple minutes. Will have a more substantial post once I get there, but for now will address a couple things quickly.

El Cid, I'm very curious about that statement.  Sopko made no mention of anyone else, nor did he sound displeased with the Xanth train at all.  In fact, after he started going down in flames, he tried to defend Xanth, but did not attack anyone else.  What exactly gave you that impression?  Who was Sopko trying to get lynched, and how?

That's the main flaw in the theory, yes, and something I can't really answer. The assumption was that Sopkotrain happened before he could go after someone else, but this is admittedly undermined by the simple fact of him not making a new case within the same post as the unvote.

~

Since this seems to be the object of some speculation: I was attacked last night. Not specifying why I'm still alive.

Alex copclaim is enough for an unvote on my part. Day two fakeclaim is not a good gambit for scum, so I think it's likely he's telling the truth. Likely enough for me to take a chance on his judgement, at least.

##Unvote: Xanth

Gotta get moving now, will read in-depth and talk more when I get to work. Would still like to see a response from Xanth regarding the posts of his that I quoted and underlined.
Title: Graph Tree Runner
Post by: Xanth on December 04, 2008, 11:37:21 AM
Quote
Xanth: first you said you were on Kilga's side. Then you said Kilga didn't have a side. That was the odd contradiction.

Big inconsistency right here, people. Check the end of Tom's post here for where he claims I've contradicted myself. You'll note that not only does the quotation in question have nothing to do with Kilga, the post where I say that 'Kilga had no side', but this second quote he's now using to justify this contradition comes after the post where he claims there's a contradition. In fact, it was in the same post where I respond to that claim. Try again.

Calling it a 'big inconsistency' is rather dubious due to the fact that I genuinely believed that you made a contradiction there and I would have made that point if I was around. Also, note the contrast between how Tom said what he wanted to say and how Xanth did.

I think you're misreading something, because there really is a big inconsistency there for precisely the reason I outlined there. Want a timeline to make it clearer?

1: Xanth post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42048#msg42048).
2: Xanth post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42095#msg42095).
3: Tom post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42109#msg42109), in which he claims a contradiction in 2. Note that the quoted section is on metagaming.
4: Xanth post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42185#msg42185), in which I respond to 3.
5: Tom post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42197#msg42197), in which he quotes a combination of 1 and 4 as a contradiction about Kilga. Not only has the contradiction changed content, there's a time warp in which post 3 apparently predicted post 4.

Even if you try and somehow worm the initial claim into somehow referring to the initial Tom versus Kilga thing, there is absolutely no way it ties in with:

Xanth: first you said you were on Kilga's side. Then you said Kilga didn't have a side. That was the odd contradiction.

From post 5, because that inherently relies on post 4, which didn't exist at the time of post 3.


Also, I've managed to lose who was asking me about this, but someone was doubting my pursuit of Tom for arbitrarily calling walls of text on me. Can I please make it as clear as possible that during his initial argument on me, amongst other claims that my shorter posts were walls of text, that he directly called two lines of text 'walls of text'. Here: (emphasis my own)

Please explain. Are you on Kilga's side? What is Kilga's side? From what perspective are you against me, or are you simply against me for the sake of having a stance against me? You've provided no justification other than.. more walls of text and referencing Strago (which doesn't say anything either).

Refers to the following and only the following:

I'm more on Kilgamayan's side than Tom's in that little fray, partially for Strago's reservations and also because Tom's joke argument is [unsurprisingly] incorrect. Well, I'm not really on Kilga's side so much as I'm against randomly firing him into the lead so soon.

He even quoted the entirety of it and wrote more in reply to it. This is an absolutely ridiculous misrepresentation, and I dislike having to wave at this stuff again to get attention on it.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 04, 2008, 11:40:38 AM
Aaaaaaaand...  crap.

I was honestly hoping that we'd go around and no one would claim they were attacked.  The logic being that if no one was attacked, then only a role blocker could have stopped it from ever happening in the first place.  And that would mean that we'd have a town-aligned roleblocker with a 100% proven scum caught red handed.

Instead we've got a scenario which means we've either got a good defender, or a good rolecop and El-Cid is a lying scum to cover the fact that someone got caught dead to rights.  Sadly, I've been mulling this over for a while now, and so far as I can tell the only worth in speculating on this development is if there's not much going on elsewhere.

So, that means my big hope for a sanity free development is shot, but, we do have Alex/Tom.

So...  I'm gonna ponder that, get some sleep, and hopefully know what I'm looking for tomorrow.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 04, 2008, 12:14:12 PM
I doubt very much that El Cid is lying; he'd be risking a lot, and the roleblocker could oust him easily. Also El Cid is in prime position, having killed the Godfather. Such a risk would be stupid and needless.

No, I'm prepared to call El Cid 99% confirmed town.


Hmm. Thoughts - on the chance that Xanth is town, and Alex is insane, I'd look at Corwin. Because I haven't before. Because he's been so damn quiet.
And a bright new day is upon us~

I'm still catching up, and only on my first cup of tea so far. It might take a bit before I catch up fully, but that's why you learn to delegate, isn't it?

In the meantime, a brief response to Cid. I'm sorry that I can't point out to specifics about a feeling I can't even phrase right. I wonder why a mechanical student would be so concerned over it, though.
That's... a very long cup of tea. Over 4 hours.

Actually, seeing that almost makes me want to unvote Alex and vote Corwin. Textbook scum. Argh.
Title: Touch Reward Button
Post by: Xanth on December 04, 2008, 01:04:56 PM
I was apparently wrong not to doubt Sopko more, but I didn't want my opinion to sink into just 'there's no helping it, it's him or me'.

I'm forced to ask "Why?" in response to the sentence I've underlined. Self-preservation in such situations is a wholly understandable motivation for a townie. We generally don't automatically suspect someone for being ready "to vote for someone not me" (since the only thing a townie knows for sure is that he is in fact a townie), so I'm forced to question your claim that this is why you didn't vote for Sopko. And I'll echo Kiro's comment that "pinning yourself to a stance you didn't have before is relatively pointless." You didn't express enthusiasm or significant support for his lynching until we'd nearly nailed the coffin shut.

I was always willing to save my own skin (short of, perhaps, something like a doc claim), and I knew that people wouldn't dislike me for that. As you've quoted, I didn't want it to just be about the self-preservation. Especially had it ended up being me and not him (not particularly clear until Kilga?), I didn't want my final hours to be 'pick Sopko because it isn't me' when I had other opinions.

I didn't want to vote Sopko much earlier on for fear of Sopko being justified dropping his vote back on me (which he could have done anyway, I know), resulting in a) me being miles out ahead and perhaps unrecoverable again and/or (depending on the time of day) b) definitely turning it into the specific two horse race it became when I'd have wanted it elsewhere (yes, b) doesn't clarify alignment).

So yes, me versus Sopko sees/saw me supporting a Sopko lynch, but whilst I did think poorly of him (and more poorly when he went silent when he started going under), I didn't think he was the worst. And in no uncertain terms can I say that my underline in your quote was never a reason for me to consider not voting for him.

I'll vote to save my own skin if I have to, but I'd rather the attention was on Tom (can't answer before deadline, I know). I can't say I'd be against lynching Sopko, but would still put him behind Affinity for the obvious and probably also Bardiche for the aforementioned style. I'd prefer he talked about more, but I've felt that Sopko's been fairly incisive in his points on me.

Again, I wish to direct attention to the underlined sentence. What about Affinity made him such an obvious choice at the time? Affinity is one of the least active posters in this game, but he was on a par with Sopko at that time and did not have a notably lower level of contribution to discussion (remember, all Sopko had when people started poking at him was a couple one-liners; it's not hard to beat that). This comment of yours is even more puzzling given that there was no noteworthy case on Affinity making the rounds at the time (the only vote he'd received was a jokevote from Bard). I just scanned through the entire topic, and you yourself had never once mentioned him before touting him as an "obvious" alternative to Sopko. So what made him such a clear candidate all of a sudden?

As a quick aside, note that in that quote you've taken there I made my position on the previous point clear - that I'd vote to save myself if need be, but would rather take the train elsewhere, namely Tom (I know the second half still doesn't help given the flip, but the first half clarifies that I wasn't against self-preservation as a motive, I hope).

a) the 'obvious' alternative to Sopko was Tom, not Affinity.
b) the 'obvious' reason on Affinity was that he'd been completely absent since page 2 and all but entirely forgotten.
c) you've misquoted 'obvious' from my quote to mean a) rather than b).
d) people were claiming lurking as the main case against Sopko. Whilst I could see where they were coming from I saw it as being no worse than Affinity or Bardiche. I can't help but disagree with the point saying that Affinity had done more than Sopko at that point.
e) no comment on Affinity before then because there was nothing disagreeable until time made it more clear that there was just nothing.
f) not to get too far into WIFOM or anything, but precisely given that there was no strong backing on Affinity makes it an odd choice for a deflection, unless you think it really was that desperate.

In summation, Affinity didn't become attention-worthy until his contributions had fell off the map for some time, and the comparison to Sopko was mostly of the 'here are people I think Sopko is less bad than' flavour - it had always been Tom that I wanted the pressure on instead.

I'm not sure why you're only concerned with the Affinity half and not the Bardiche half there, anyhow.


Do you want me to respond to any of the rest of it? I'm not sure I can do much else than go 'that's not true, because I'm town' at it, especially when it gets into WIFOM.
Title: Gear Bride Correct
Post by: Xanth on December 04, 2008, 02:05:33 PM
El Cid: on lurking: Sopko versus Affinity, the post you quote was shortly after Sopko's last actual attempt of the day here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42223#msg42223) (just spotted the timing and order of the posts again now), which did, admittedly, remind me of Affinity's existence in the first place. While I'm not calling Sopko's statements great town play or anything, I'm not sure why you're so convinced that Affinity was better than Sopko on this front at that point.


I have to admit that I don't understand Alex's angle that Sopko being scum means that I'm probably not. I get the bit where Sopko and Tom being scum favours me, but not by the lone flip on Sopko.


Tom: care to respond to... anything I've asked of you since you disappeared for the back half of day one? I didn't jump out at you at the start of today because my case on you stood from this post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42208#msg42208), which you'd had no time to respond to it as of my first post of day two. But you've now been on plenty, have apparently read and caught up on anything, and totally ignored my queries on you.

You [Alex] can't just say "Person X's statements are 100% truth". Xanth could be wrong, or scum.

Not when my statements are, you know, true. 'I think A means B' could be wrong, but 'A has done B' is true when, you know, A has done B. If you're going to argue against my points then please actually argue against my points. Don't just pretend it's conjecture.

I don't think I have anything to answer to you at the moment, given your case on me today is via El Cid's stuff and 'hell yeah, WIFOM'.


I'd be doing this even without someone claiming a cop investigation against him, so:
##Vote: Tom

Your initial argument of 'you should lynch the cop claim because at least that way you'll know whether I'm town or not' does not help. Also, more irony in attacking Alex for backing my argument 100% when you have just pointed at El Cid's in the same manner. Same for insisting Alex answer to El Cid when you haven't touched my stuff.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 04, 2008, 02:20:03 PM
Oof, massive activity last night. Craziness. Working on formulating some coherent thoughts while I burn through a new box of tissues every five minutes.
Title: Re: Gear Bride Correct
Post by: EvilTom on December 04, 2008, 02:29:50 PM
Also, more irony in attacking Alex for backing my argument 100% when you have just pointed at El Cid's in the same manner. Same for insisting Alex answer to El Cid when you haven't touched my stuff.
I said I agree with El Cid. I've never said "El Cid is 100% correct so hurry up and lynch Xanth". There is a big difference. Alex is doing the latter.

Quote
Not when my statements are, you know, true. 'I think A means B' could be wrong, but 'A has done B' is true when, you know, A has done B. If you're going to argue against my points then please actually argue against my points. Don't just pretend it's conjecture.
Alex never references your points. He vaguely points at your posts and says "See, Xanth is right, lynch EvilTom". He doesn't reference your points, their merits or any justifications. I'm not arguing your points when I complain about Alex's bullshit.

I'm not sure exactly what questions you've asked me that I'm supposed to answer. If you're direct about your concerns, I'll be happy to address them.
I wonder, do you actually care what I say though, Xanth? It looks like you're fairly dead-set on lynching me no matter what.


Oh, and, Corwin has been 'catching up on the thread before he can post' for way too long.
##Unvote;
##Vote: Corwin
Yes I'm aware Alex has insane/fakeclaimed cop against me. Doesn't mean lurkers get a free pass.
Bed for me now.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 04, 2008, 02:59:42 PM
Many of Kilga's posts tend to go along the lines of "I was going to do X, but I will consider what is the safest route for me and go for that." or "I was going to post that! Honest! But I only said this now after Person Y said this thing." But not all of them, and he seems to get better as day 2 continues.

Anyway, that speaks for itself. What else... I do buy into the Xanth case to a degree. Sopko could well have been trying to divert votes from Xanth, and things merely didn't go the way he hoped. The way Xanth didn't try to pursue the case of 'anyone not myself' even to save himself when it seemed like the only option feels weird. Excal offers an alternate explanation, but I'm not sure I buy it. I do acknowledge it's possible.

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42448#msg42448
Andrew, I don't believe we have four scum. Do you? Also, you unvote Kiro, one of your potential scum, and go for Alex instead (also in your list, naturally). What has me confused is that you go 'fair enough, for the moment' to Kiro, and I'm unsure why Kiro saying he expected to take heat for it reasonably absolves him for you.

Still. Cop claim from Alex, and a guilty verdict on Tom. That pretty much means focusing on anyone outside those two is foolish.

This is a semi-open setup, and cops can be either sane or insane. Both are 100% accurate once their alignment is known. Therefore, should we should lynch Tom, the results could be:
(a) Tom is scum!
(b) Tom is town, and we choose whether to believe Alex the next day or not. Either we'll confirm his alignment as a cop, or we'll get our second scum.
(c) There is a Framer! But on Tom, night one? I don't know.

(Or Alex lies. He could be! But given every single post from anyone could contain lies, this is pretty much redundant to point out, I feel.)

There is one reason to vote Tom over Alex. Tom has been pursuing Xanth pretty zealously. If Tom were to flip scum, that would give me the confidence Alex has that Xanth is town. Alex's flip, however, wouldn't really tell me anything about people not Tom.

And yet!

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42473#msg42473
Tom's argument is correct! Alex's flip does tell us things about Tom, given we get full details on a flip.

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42472#msg42472
Alex, once again. I looked back at his post here because something kept nagging at me. From the first post in the game, cops are listed as Sane or Insane. I certainly paid attention to that part of the thread once a claim got tossed up into the air.

So why is Alex going
Quote
If I am insane (or paranoid) I would much rather discover that fact as soon as possible.

Alex, are you trying to tell us that you haven't even checked what the possibilities of your role might entail, given the semi-openness of the setup?

I also wonder why I only see Xanth comment on it.

Anyway! Tom flipping tells us more. But Alex is the more suspicious of the two to me.

So far, I only managed to get caught up till Cid's post claiming the kill was on him. Skimming ahead shows that Tom sucks lots, but I still see no explanation from Alex despite Xanth raising the issue I'm also commenting here, and having posted in that time.

##Vote: Alex

I see no chance of catching up entirely until I'm home, apologies. Still, better have my mostly-informed stance out there.

P.S.
Yes, I'll address Natsuki's issues with me in due time. Honestly, I wasn't stalking anyone nor was there any wrong touching~
Title: Sovereign Bamboo Fluorine
Post by: Xanth on December 04, 2008, 03:28:33 PM
I'm not sure exactly what questions you've asked me that I'm supposed to answer. If you're direct about your concerns, I'll be happy to address them.

Practically anything here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42208#msg42208) (modulo quoting failure on my part), and in particular the refined form of part of that here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42488#msg42488) that you've just ignored. I did in fact specifically point to the former of those before.

As a new query, while I can see how you convinced yourself to move from me to Alex, I've no idea why you've then voted for Corwin. FoSing him or something, sure, but even assuming you've come off Alex after thinking about it for a bit enough to justify Corwin > Alex, I don't see how you've come to Corwin > Xanth as well, when you haven't shown any sign of relenting otherwise.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 03:32:22 PM
More on Xanth, since he's answered me now:

a) the 'obvious' alternative to Sopko was Tom, not Affinity.
b) the 'obvious' reason on Affinity was that he'd been completely absent since page 2 and all but entirely forgotten.
c) you've misquoted 'obvious' from my quote to mean a) rather than b).

Not at all. I quoted the paragraph precisely as it was typed. Here, again, is the post in question:

I'll vote to save my own skin if I have to, but I'd rather the attention was on Tom (can't answer before deadline, I know). I can't say I'd be against lynching Sopko, but would still put him behind Affinity for the obvious and probably also Bardiche for the aforementioned style. I'd prefer he talked about more, but I've felt that Sopko's been fairly incisive in his points on me.

Tom is not mentioned in the same sentence as Affinity. If "obvious" was meant to refer to Tom, than the phrasing was exceptionaly awkward. I don't understand how "for the obvious" could refer to anything but Affinity given that it immediately follows his name there.

Also, the points A and B quoted above are contradictory. You suggest that the phrase was truly about Tom, but then provide a rationale for it to be about Affinity. The "obvious candidate" is Tom, but there is also an "obvious reason" to vote for Affinity? You're trying to have it both ways, but you cannot have meant both at once with that sentence.

Moving on:

f) not to get too far into WIFOM or anything, but precisely given that there was no strong backing on Affinity makes it an odd choice for a deflection, unless you think it really was that desperate.

I think the situation was that desperate, yes. The godfather unexpectedly going down in flames? Yeah. My main problem with point F, though, is this: you suggest here that you couldn't have used Affinity as a deflection target because he wouldn't have been the ideal (I.E., easy) candidate from a scum perspective. But this presupposes that scum always make the right play, and that since you, in this scenario, would have been making a mistake, you are not likely to be scum. This is flawed logic. Scum are just as capable of miscalculation and errors as town. It's entirely possible that you were throwing out several names that were reasonable targets in hopes that something would stick.

Re: Sopko and Affinity? Your attempt to break this down mischaracterizes the case on Sopko. No one hit him purely for lurking. Though that was part of the case, also important were his poorly explained unvote and the four-point breakdown he made after first getting criticism for lurking. Said post reeked of typing a lot without saying anything substantial and was far more telling for me personally than his previous series of one-liners.

I'm seeing a lot of attempts at retconning what you said day one, and that doesn't sit well at all.

~

On self-preservation: What about voting for Sopko to save yourself ensures that that's the only reason you'd be able to focus on him? I think you overplay the kind of effect this would have had on yourself and on others. If you had opted to present a case on Sopko for this reason and also added your thoughts on other suspects, people would have read all of it and come back to it if it seemed relevant. There was certainly time enough before the deadline to do both. Are you suggesting that you yourself would've had trouble paying attention to other cases if you'd gone after Sopko earlier? I'm not sure what else to draw from this tangent.

---

Despite all these skeptical responses to Xanth, I have to agree with Cor's ninjapost suggesting that addressing Alex's copclaim, one way or another, is our best option for today. I'll look at this in my next post.
Title: Dance Dome Nest
Post by: Xanth on December 04, 2008, 03:41:38 PM
El Cid: I think you're reading that sentence wrong, which suddenly clears my confusion. It should be read as below (reasons added, not emphasised):

I can't say I'd be against lynching Sopko, but would still put him behind Affinity for the obvious reasons and probably also Bardiche for the aforementioned style.

Not as (same again):

I can't say I'd be against lynching Sopko, but would still put him behind Affinity for the obvious lynch candidate and probably also Bardiche for the aforementioned style.

Help at all? I thought that was clear given the Bardiche part that follows it. Replace the two 'for's with 'because of' if you still don't see it. I'll readily forgive the misunderstanding here, but I won't hear for this being a retcon claim.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 04, 2008, 04:01:26 PM
Okay, the soup du jour is obviously an Alex v. Tom bisque – or as the French say, fromage. And I’m having a hell of a time figuring out which… side of the soup to… slurp.

Being at work with this head cold/headache is making me a little loopy. Metaphors are the first thing to go when you’re sick like this okay.

Why Alex doesn’t sit right with me:

Has to do with the timing here,  http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42237#msg42237 (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42237#msg42237). The extreme wonkiness is, I just noticed, well summarized by Andy right here:  http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42448#msg42448 (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42448#msg42448). So, yeah. Also:

Ack sorry.  Little busy today.
I'm down with Sopko though. 

Big FoS at Kilga for his latest post though.  Townies who are hunting scum in good faith should never ever hold back on voting for fear of looking scummy.  If you think Soppy's more likely scum, vote him.  Reluctance to do so is noted.

There was a vote here but I see Xanth ninja'd me for the -1 I think?  Willing to hammer, any last comments though?

Ironic much? I know that life gets in the way of Mafia, and I understand being busy. Regardless, the timing of this stuff is something I can’t just ignore.

Tom bothers me because:

Same sort of business as yesterday, really. Stuff such as:

And what about whether or not you were hit, Alex? You seem pretty reluctant to give away information.

And…

Read Xanth's callout post on him day 1, it's 100% right and his "Xanth, Xanth, Xanth" pressure today reinforces the case.
This is roughly the third time you've said "Xanth is 100% right about EvilTom being scum".

Exaclty how is this evidence? Or even influential? It's rubbish, and you keep doing it.

You can't just say "Person X's statements are 100% truth". Xanth could be wrong, or scum.

This is extremely dodgy behaviour. Your list of dodgyness grows and grows.

That isn’t really a… defense. It tries to turn it into an issue of Alex’s scumminess instead of Tom responding to the points against him. Also – and this is after the previous Tom post, but is really just a re-statement of something Alex had already made sufficiently clear (at least to me) – there is:

There is also the fact that the lynch train turned around from Xanth to the freakin' scum godfather in late day 1, which by itself is reasonably solid evidence that Xanth is probably town and pushing his lynch today is really weird.  Especially from one of the two people to be on Xanth and not Soppy day 1 (though admittedly timezones can account for that).

Then there’s…

If we lynch Alex today, I'll either be confirmed town, or confirmed scum. If you lynch me, when I flip town you'll have to lynch him tomorrow, because that's the only way to find out whether or not he's lying.

Anyway I'm pretty sure Alex is scum rather than insane, if you look at all the evidence listed above.

##Unvote;
##Vote: Alex

It's clear that lynching Alex is the only way forward now.

That sort of funky logic combined with his “Q.E.D. must lynch” (an easy gateway to “anyone who disagrees with me is SCUM,” the way he framed it) makes me as nervous as all get-out about the Tomster.

Corwin’s got the best logical breakdown of what should probably be done about this gumbo of confusion: http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42511#msg42511 (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42511#msg42511). The fact that he then whips around and wants to indict Alex for… hell, the kind of dumb slip I’ve certainly made before… instead of following through with his own initial logical response to the situation, honestly makes Cor look a little wonky to me.

Man, I always type too much. For now, I’m down with eating Alex’s soup. Or Tom’s? The metaphor is way out of my hands at this point. The… I am eating the soup of somebody’s argument, as opposed to their doom.

##VOTE: Evil Tom

Man, I'm hungry. I'll come back and taking a close look at other points when I get a chance.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 04:26:57 PM
And now: Alex VS Tom, The Throwdown.

Problems with Alex first!

-You now categorize Xanth, Kilga, and Cor as "probably town." Why Kilga? What made you change your mind on him, Alex? Late yesterday you put a "big FoS" on him for not immediately voting when he voiced suspicions of Sopko. So what changed your mind so drastically? I went thread-diving, and there's no gradual transition from FoS to Probably Town--you don't even mention him between then and now. So what gives? I don't see any rationale for the switch and that bothers me.

-Tom did not in fact suggest that Sopko was bussed and Alex stating that Tom did suggest this looks wonky.

-Mentioning paranoid cop as a possibility. Others have pointed out why this is odd: this sanity is not included in the role list provided by the mod. And you are obviously aware of said list because you referred to it on day one to point out why there could be no Lovers in this game. Memory slip or some sort of ploy? I'm not sure.

-Saying that there "were originally 14 players" in the middle of his roleclaim post. This could easily be a typo, but combined with the above it possibly demonstrates a worrying lack of attention to detail.

And that's all I've got on him, really. If the cop claim is true, it easily explains any flightiness demonstrated on day one (I know Xanth for one had a problem with this) and cop and doc are about the only town roles that have a good reason to behave this way. I don't hold coming late to the Sopko party against him; sleep happens and I know Alex has a crazy schedule in this regard. He'd also sniped at Sopko at least once before anyone had voted on him, so it's not like he was without precedent in this regard.

~

Tom's turn!

-Alex and Xanth have covered this plenty, so I'll point to their posts in the interest of saving time. I'm sure I've made it apparent that I think there are good reasons to suspect Xanth, but Tom has brought up plenty of bad ones. WoT criticism is one prime example of what's wrong with Tom's approach: it's been applied to posts which don't qualify as WoT; moreover, Tom himself has thrown so many arguments at Xanth that Xanth has little choice but to respond in kind. This is hypocritical at best, misleading at worst.

-Cop investigation = scum. Straightforward.

Fewer points, but they're big ones. The kind of mischaracterization and exaggeration that Tom employed on day one is something that always reflects very poorly on the practitioner, in my view.

~

Bottom line? It's day two, we've already hit one scum, and lost no townies. We can afford to take the time to test Alex's cop claim, especially since the player he's designated as scum has other good reasons to be a candidate. It's certainly a much better option than lynching the guy making the cop claim. If he is genuinely a cop, scum will want to kill him anyway, so why waste our lynch on him? Thus:

##Vote: EvilTom

If this picks up, I'll have a question for our erstwhile cop later in the day. I'll wait and see how things develop first, though.

---

Other things I need to get to...Andrew's pinging my scumdar for reasons I can't quite point out yet. I'll try to articulate this in post form some time this afternoon. Also need to examine case against Cor; I don't see anything to it right now.

EDIT: Ninja'd by Stragovarius! Will read in a moment. Updated votecount would be pro, I think this puts Tom at four?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 04, 2008, 04:37:08 PM
El Cid: That is an awesome nickname. Thank you for giving me that nickname.

Bottom line? It's day two, we've already hit one scum, and lost no townies. We can afford to take the time to test Alex's cop claim, especially since the player he's designated as scum has other good reasons to be a candidate. It's certainly a much better option than lynching the guy making the cop claim. If he is genuinely a cop, scum will want to kill him anyway, so why waste our lynch on him?

Yeah, this is really sort of bottom-line for me as well.

El Cid's post also reminds me of how much all of Alex's behavior makes sense as a cop. As in, makes at least a decent amount of sense retroactively not just since the claim, and why go to that sort of trouble to set up a fakeclaim in a game where there's a perfectly good chance of a real cop shooting you down? Granted, Alex is a particularly canny player. But I'd rather assume Occam's Razor than Xanatos's Gambit at this point.

El Cid: I think you're reading that sentence wrong, which suddenly clears my confusion. It should be read as below (reasons added, not emphasised):

I can't say I'd be against lynching Sopko, but would still put him behind Affinity for the obvious reasons and probably also Bardiche for the aforementioned style.

Not as (same again):

I can't say I'd be against lynching Sopko, but would still put him behind Affinity for the obvious lynch candidate and probably also Bardiche for the aforementioned style.

Help at all? I thought that was clear given the Bardiche part that follows it. Replace the two 'for's with 'because of' if you still don't see it. I'll readily forgive the misunderstanding here, but I won't hear for this being a retcon claim.

For the record, the first time I read this contested statement of Xanth's, I read it in precisely the way he's explained it now. The case of The People of El Ciddington v. Port Xanthilly really reads as a lot of town versus town bluster to me right now.

Also, more irony in attacking Alex for backing my argument 100% when you have just pointed at El Cid's in the same manner. Same for insisting Alex answer to El Cid when you haven't touched my stuff.
I said I agree with El Cid. I've never said "El Cid is 100% correct so hurry up and lynch Xanth". There is a big difference. Alex is doing the latter.

The part I've bolded? I find incredibly amusing given Tom's earlier comment about how Alex is the only possible person we could lynch today.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 04:38:14 PM
Back at home, catching up... completed. Might become a wall of text.

I'm not going into in-depth responses to Day 1, partly because I think it's irrelevant (and distracting) at this juncture to dig up old arguments. I will, however, go over them briefly.

----->

Xanth's Day 1 activity leaves me feeling pretty good about him. He's zealously pointing out several things, builds cases and actually strongly builds his opinion of why the person he points at would be scum. This is not to say I completely agree with his cases, but I get a town vibe from him. Don't really see the anti-Xanth arguments.
I'm certainly not going to hold his walls of texts against him.

Case on EvilTom seems... mrf. It's mostly based on misrepresentation and that jokevote of his, and the latter argument is... okay, what. I get the impression from Day 1 that it's a misunderstanding about him, but given Day 2 his posts can be somewhat interpreted as scum... I'm just not seeing it much, but then again... I'll comment on this later on more.

Sopko case. I don't think I need to say much on it, it's over and done with. However, it should be noted who all initiated the anti-Sopko movement. I doubt scum'd do that, so I'm inclined to attribute a town vibe to Corwin and Strago. Kilga's ignoring of Sopko strikes me as a little odd.
(PS: It's funny that the exact attribute I dislike (protecting others) was apparent in Sopko and Sopko was scum)

El Cid straddling up the case against Sopko with a vote. I don't like the "I'm going to see..." attitude there, though. Strikes me as though El Cid doesn't care about the result. Did it with Kilga (see where this goes), then late Day 1 goes the same way with Sopko (let's see who follows). If it's a scum gambit to get town cred, it is a massive one; WIFOM there though, but I'm inclined to think of El Cid as notScum.

---->

That concludes Day 1 commentary. Writing up Day 2 commentary, delving into the Anti-Alex and Pro-Alex case first. I'm not sure yet what I favor, lemme go through things with a fine comb!

Three ninjas, replying to in next post probably.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 05:09:03 PM
Almost lost this in the shuffle:

In the meantime, a brief response to Cid. I'm sorry that I can't point out to specifics about a feeling I can't even phrase right. I wonder why a mechanical student would be so concerned over it, though.

Curiosity. When someone's talking about me, I want to know what's going through their head (even if it is an inferior, carbon-based model!)

---

Bard: I don't think anyone's seriously holding Tom's jokevote against him by this point. Misrepresentation, though? Yes, that's still valid. And I find the cop claim against him highly persuasive. I went over this in my most recent post; let me know if anything's unclear.

Also, my vote for Sopko was anything but tentative. I wouldn't have bailed out on a case I thought (and still think) had merit if I hadn't seriously thought there was something up with the new lynch candidate I was moving to.

---

Stragovarius: I've been calling you that for a while now. Just, y'know, only in my head.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 04, 2008, 05:18:13 PM
Okay, just got home, will finally have time to read in earnest. From skimming, there are 4 votes on Tom, right?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 05:28:55 PM
Day 2 stuff. May be jumbled towards the end.

I see stuff about anti-Xanth, revealing who was attacked and everything and I really want to deal with it but... Alex stuff first. After that, I will talk about Corwin a little, then go about the anti-Xanth sentiments and put my foot down there on my belief.

------->

Alex opens his Day 1 case immediately on EvilTom. This provides his alibi of having an informed vote. I'd be more wary of him if he hadn't jumped on Tom as quick as he did. Whether his case is strong or not? I'm tempted to say it's not that solid, but it beats the Xanth case by a margin.

His one-track approach is pretty... It makes me wonder. I'm not sure yet what I dislike about it other than that if we lynch him we have jack shit to work with, excusez my French.

... I note at this juncture that I find Excal a bit odd in discarding Alex's copclaim and accusation of EvilTom as "not important" and taking priority with finding out why the nightkill didn't occur. More on him later.

Reading over EvilTom's defense of himself, something clicks to me that may seem bizarre to you folk. Namely this:

If we lynch Alex and he flips Cop, we will likely lynch EvilTom.
If we lynch Alex and he flips Scum, we will likely not lynch EvilTom.
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Scum, we will likely not lynch Alex. He will probably be either killed by Scum or Roleblocked, what have you─Tom brings up a good point about the roleblock, though. It might happen─I would buy arguments that Scum expected a Doc guarding Alex if EvilTom flips scum but... that's so WIFOMy.
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Town, we will need to lynch Alex to be sure of his alignment. This is very risky, and I can't imagine why scum would take this gambit since it almost certainly nails him down.

I think Alex is seriously convinced he's nailed scum, and I think EvilTom's seriously convinced he's notScum, since he presents indeed a scenario in which case Alex will die if he dies.

------->

Above were mostly mumblejumbled thoughts. The bottomline is that I disagree on a "Lynch Alex"-case.

I get the arguments against Alex, and to a certain degree can agree with them. Alex's timing is impeccable, his contributions have been... here and there, and he seems to have a rather one-track mind today on solely DreadThomas. If he died and flipped Scum, would we honestly have a lot to work with? Alex surely hasn't dirtied his hands trying to point at anyone else and, thus, we have no one to really link him to directly other than agreeance or disagreeance with the sympathizers for an Alex lynch.

The case against EvilTom is a tad more appealing, but only a tad more. On one hand I understand the arguments and the reason why he is sowing confusion. Now this is metagame, but I've only ever experienced EvilTom as playing in a way I cannot possibly fathom the logic of (no insult intended at all), so I have no idea how to interpret his wackiness. It smells like a case of Townie-Caught-At-A-Bad-Time, except he's still got a Cop claim against him.

That said, I favor an EvilTom lynch over an Alex lynch. However, I don't really have anything to hold against EvilTom beside the Cop Claim against him, so consider that a "Rather Tom than Alex, but if possible? Neither of them".

Clearly that's not a possibility since the sentiments would linger for the next day if this continues and... bah. The risk Alex is taking seems too great for me to say, "He must be diverting/gambling, lynch him".

I trust Alex's Cop Claim and think it pertinent to lynch EvilTom: either we confirm Alex's sanity or lynch Scum. If Alex is Scum, I see no reason why he would divert from the then pertinent Xanth case:

1) Xanth is Scum. If Alex diverts, what does this gain them? It's a massivehueg risk that I don't think Scum is likely to entertain. It's too risky, unless Xanth is Scum with a SUPER OMG ROLE... but then it must be a role that doesn't even allow them to kill someone at Night. No matter how you flip it, I doubt two Scum would throw themselves away to save Xanth.
2) Xanth is Town. Why the hell would Scum divert attention from Town? I can't find any satisfying answer to this.

So yeah, I'm pretty sold on Alex = Town.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 06:00:14 PM
I'm annoyed that it took forever to come out, but I can buy Cid being attacked last night given he came out of Sopko's flip smelling like roses. The only problem is that it doesn't remove anyone from the scum pool I wasn't already set to remove anyway.

Cop claim, huh? S'pose I can't not swing from Xanth to Tom in the face of such a thing. Tom also has the misrepresentation thing going against him. Alex is guilty of it as well with his second Tom vote bullet point, but I would prefer not to relapse into "if x flips town lynch y", which people seem dangerously close to suggesting where x = Tom and y = Alex (especially since I was recently on the outside looking in at something very similar and it turned out all parties involved were town), and I don't think what Alex has done so far this game merits lynching him based on his actions combined with a Tom townflip.

I don't think Tom ever responded to this:

I think you're misreading something, because there really is a big inconsistency there for precisely the reason I outlined there. Want a timeline to make it clearer?

1: Xanth post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42048#msg42048).
2: Xanth post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42095#msg42095).
3: Tom post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42109#msg42109), in which he claims a contradiction in 2. Note that the quoted section is on metagaming.
4: Xanth post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42185#msg42185), in which I respond to 3.
5: Tom post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42197#msg42197), in which he quotes a combination of 1 and 4 as a contradiction about Kilga. Not only has the contradiction changed content, there's a time warp in which post 3 apparently predicted post 4.

Even if you try and somehow worm the initial claim into somehow referring to the initial Tom versus Kilga thing, there is absolutely no way it ties in with:

Xanth: first you said you were on Kilga's side. Then you said Kilga didn't have a side. That was the odd contradiction.

From post 5, because that inherently relies on post 4, which didn't exist at the time of post 3.

...which is a huge strike against him.

##Vote: EvilTom

(This should be L-2.)

You better have a really good explanation for the above, because I'm not at all ready to vote Alex.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 06:05:43 PM
I lost my Corwin thoughts. I don't know, his appearances have been sparse and he... Hm. I dunno. I feel a bit iffy of him so I will watch him s'more.

Now, about Xanth?

Sopko sacrifices himself for Xanth. This... confuses me in such a great way that words fail me. What does the Godfather have to gain?

Either Sopko:
- Tried to save Xanth
- Didn't want to be seen lynching a Townie
- Was oblivious to the effects of his actions

And I can really get the arguments that say, "Why would anyone fear being on a townie train on Day 1?" So let's strike off two as a possibility and look at 1 and 3.

Tried to save Xanth:
- This just hammers a nail in Xanth's coffin. Why sacrifice a Godfather just to buy Scum one day?

Was oblivious:
- This is a wildcard and can mean anything. It could mean that Sopko thought themselves save and did what he did for some unknown motive/agenda. It could also mean that he just wasn't thinking.

Admittedly both seem odd. I explained why saving Xanth would bring about trouble (and remember, I take Alex as being Town), but being oblivious to such a silly move? It would only work if Scum didn't communicate, had some hidden agenda or other WIFOM arguments.

So that's pretty useless in determining Xanth's alignment.

---->

Now, Xanth's alignment while ignoring the Sopko mindfuck?

- He's been consistently chasing after what he believes to be scummy attitude. His arguments may be flawed (and I hate metagame, so that biases me some), but it was Day 1 and arguments are hard to come by without discussion.
- Xanth's put in a lot of effort into everything. It seems to me a bit odd for scum to act so prominently and obnoxiously. Mind you, in AnonySciFiMafia he was a lot less present, so I don't see why he'd pin himself on the foreground as prominently as he's done.

Is that an extremely elaborate argument? No, not really. But based on our current information I get the feeling Xanth is pretty town-ish. I do not want to lynch him at this juncture.

----->

Who do I want to lynch, though? Well, barring the entire EvilTom VS Alex thing, it is important we lynch one of them lest we get the entire issue haunting us through further days. But, before we decide on a lynch I want to pretty solidly let it known who I think is Scum.

Please try not to focus solely on the below case─I think it in our best interest to clear up the Alex VS Tom fog before moving onto any other cases.[/color]

##VOTE: Excal

Point in case:

First off, there's today that triggered it to me. Excal's... waived off the Alex Claim as being of lesser importance compared to the "who got attacked" claim. While I agree with his logic for following the last, there's something odd.

He posts at 9:36 AM (my time) to waive Alex's copclaim as being unimportant compared to his "who got attacked" investigation.

At 11:40 AM, he announces intent to go to bed and think about Alex. In that time, he posted twice to show concern for nothing more than his little side-tracked investigation.

The crux of the issue here is that he's had two hours to ponder what could easily foreseeable become the next big thing of the day in favor of a minor issue to which he needed no thought or conscious effort other than... wait. Why did you wait, Excal, before pondering it?

As well, the entiriety of Day 2 I have yet to see Excal form anything on anyone, other than saying, "I agree that Xanth being scum wouldn't make sense in regards to Sopko's death" and saying that he'll look at Andrew and Alex. Great! Glad you're looking for us, mind chiming in and pointing out things that make you wary?

I'd say more things but there's too little of Excal seen that make it possible to really say much on him. He's pretty lurker-ish Day 1, chiming in without ever taking a solid position except against Sopko, who was an easy target that others were already piling on with solid arguments. Also, his only vote is Sopko and jokevote.

---------->

I've been considering not posting this as it may divert from the pertinent Alex VS Tom issue, but we have plenty of time to spare I feel. Should be slightly less than a full day, or slightly more.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 04, 2008, 06:20:31 PM
Cid!
http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42484#msg42484

Here, you say:

Quote
Day two fakeclaim is not a good gambit for scum, so I think it's likely he's telling the truth.

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42523#msg42523

While here, you respond to Xanth with:

Quote
But this presupposes that scum always make the right play, and that since you, in this scenario, would have been making a mistake, you are not likely to be scum. This is flawed logic. Scum are just as capable of miscalculation and errors as town.

Your stated reason of voting for Tom is believing in Alex's claim, pretty much since it would be a bad move as scum, and scum Alex would surely be playing better (paraphrased, etc). If I use your own latter words to challenge that, what would be your response?



http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42526#msg42526

Strago here raises a valid point, and one I would have addressed if I had more time before. The benefits of lynching Tom outweigh the benefits of lynching Alex. Yes, it's true. If Alex isn't lying, then he's a cop whose alignment we can narrow down with a Tom lynch. Then, well... we pretty much win the game, guys.

But there is a problem with this. We have to trust Alex to be telling the truth. See, by choosing Alex over Tom, we do get the best potential benefits... but we also get the higher risk along with it. By lynching Alex, we get full disclosure: either he's lying scum, and we hit scum, or he flips as a cop. If he's sane, we nail Tom the next day. If he flips insane, Tom is someone we can reasonably trust to be town. In other words, we get as close to absolute certainty of alignment on a player as we can, here.

I ultimately picked Alex for what seems to me like a slip, but this is yet another reason I believe an Alex lynch to be preferrable under the circumstances. I just... I get the sense that Alex was being flippant about his claimed role. It feels off; that reminded me of his previous apparently-random moves, such as the fourth vote day 1 which kicked off serious discussion and, in retrospect, had to be a calculated move by Alex to do just that. In light of that, I'm not sure Alex would just make a slight mistake like that, and while possibly metagaming, it's metagaming based on this game's previous behavior, not baggage from previous games or elsewhere.

That said, my decision was based more on seeing a higher chance for clarity/hitting scum with an Alex vote rather than an active defense of Tom and his actions. The only thing that would actually stop me from acting on Tom's inherent scumminess is that he drew Natsuki, really, which should say everything on this subject as far as I'm concerned. And, again, that he's always scummy so I tend to filter it out.


http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42534#msg42534

Strago has a good point here as well (quoting the relevant fragment):

Quote
and why go to that sort of trouble to set up a fakeclaim in a game where there's a perfectly good chance of a real cop shooting you down?

This... is true. I admit I haven't considered that aspect. I can still see reasons why Alex would do what he did and not be cop, but again, this argument is quite persuasive to me.


http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42541#msg42541

Quote
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Scum, we will likely not lynch Alex. He will probably be either killed by Scum or Roleblocked, what have you─Tom brings up a good point about the roleblock, though.

Bardiche, this is actually extremely unlikely! I thought the same at first, but after mulling over it I believe that it's likeliest we have three scum. In this eventuality, Tom flips scum and thus only one scum remains. That scum must kill, and thus, even if a roleblocker, Alex could not possibly be roleblocked, so he clearly could not use such a defense for himself. This is clearly the best cast scenario.

Quote
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Town, we will need to lynch Alex to be sure of his alignment. This is very risky, and I can't imagine why scum would take this gambit since it almost certainly nails him down.

See, I'm not as certain about that 'certainly nails him'. Alex is a good player. He can certainly defend himself from accusations in such a scenario (Tom flipping town on a lynch) by claiming insanity. And then he could get away with claiming roleblockage, or even feed us results that may well be lies if he is scum. There is no logical proceeding from Tom flipping town (if he is one) to Alex hanging the next day, it's merely one of the possibilities.

And I consider this the worst case scenario. This reminds me of a prisoner's dilemma, and I prefer to be cautious in our situation.



Tom. Ah, Tom. Calling me a lurker made me sad. Even though I was too busy to participate for hours, I was actually hardly the only one to do so. I just don't get this person. And posts appear, along with another vote. This is long enough as it is, though, so I'll post first.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 06:30:03 PM
The flaw in your argument in favor of lynching Alex lies with "if he flips Cop", namely that I don't know whether or not we will actually be told the Sanity of the flipped Cop.

Can you bring clarity to that, Rat?

-->

Your argument... Yeah, the roleblock is true. Mrf. Scum'd need to forego their turn to roleblock, and they can't because they need to kill him.

However, remember that I wrote "almost certainly". I am incorporating Alex's... charisma in this matter that he may well talk his way out of it. The question is, "Would scum gamble on that?" And the answer to that is a web of WIFOM. I cannot answer it in detail at this juncture, or any juncture really unless I gain the magical ability to read another's thoughts, but my belief lies with, "No".
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 06:33:31 PM
- He's been consistently chasing after what he believes to be scummy attitude. His arguments may be flawed (and I hate metagame, so that biases me some), but it was Day 1 and arguments are hard to come by without discussion.
- Xanth's put in a lot of effort into everything. It seems to me a bit odd for scum to act so prominently and obnoxiously. Mind you, in AnonySciFiMafia he was a lot less present, so I don't see why he'd pin himself on the foreground as prominently as he's done.

I feel it necessary to point out that point #2 is employing the metagaming that you decry in point #1.

Also, some of your speculations regarding Sopko make it sound as though he was bussed--you use the term "sacrifice" at least once. I'm sure I've said this before, but I'll reiterate it: I don't think scum voluntarily sacrificed Soppy because I highly doubt they saw his lynch coming. He had no votes on him when the Xanth train was in full swing, after all. Reading yesterday's events as though scum threw Soppy to the wolves to achieve some specific goal can only lead to bad places.

~

Not sure what to make of Excal case right now. Also, will respond to Corwin postness momentarily.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 04, 2008, 06:34:20 PM
I asked Rat. He said full disclosure happens on a flip. It wasn't in any way ambiguous. This factored pretty heavily into my decision.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 06:40:15 PM
- He's been consistently chasing after what he believes to be scummy attitude. His arguments may be flawed (and I hate metagame, so that biases me some), but it was Day 1 and arguments are hard to come by without discussion.
- Xanth's put in a lot of effort into everything. It seems to me a bit odd for scum to act so prominently and obnoxiously. Mind you, in AnonySciFiMafia he was a lot less present, so I don't see why he'd pin himself on the foreground as prominently as he's done.

I feel it necessary to point out that point #2 is employing the metagaming that you decry in point #1.

Hm, true. It still doesn't invalidate my point to myself in that Xanth's been awfully much on the foreground, and I fail to see the profit to Scum by placing themselves on the foreground so prominently.

Quote
Also, some of your speculations regarding Sopko make it sound as though he was bussed--you use the term "sacrifice" at least once. I'm sure I've said this before, but I'll reiterate it: I don't think scum voluntarily sacrificed Soppy because I highly doubt they saw his lynch coming. He had no votes on him when the Xanth train was in full swing, after all. Reading yesterday's events as though scum threw Soppy to the wolves to achieve some specific goal can only lead to bad places.

You're absolutely right. The action just... blurgh seems to me as so odd and weird that I fail to understand what the point of the exercise was. Regardless of everything, Xanth standing alone without Sopko, whether the latter was bussed or just botched up, it still doesn't rhyme him to Scum for me.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 06:43:46 PM
Failed to respond to Corwin, but... okay. That... tosses some theories right out of the window.

Lynching Alex then yields certainty (Scum, Cop or something else) versus an EvilTom lynch that MAY yield certainty (ET=Scum, Alex=Town VS ET=Town, Alex=Insane/Scum).

My maths don't favor Alex in this case. Let me think this over more.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 04, 2008, 06:54:39 PM
Let's not forget the potential for, you know, further results from Alex at some point. I know he could get roleblocked or capped by scum, but it's also possible that neither happens and we get another reading from Alex that helps us figure out what's going on. It seems really obvious when I say it, but I actually think that this is a possibility many people are pessimistically overlooking.

My mind really hasn't changed on this, I don't think.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 06:57:02 PM
For Corwin:

Your stated reason of voting for Tom is believing in Alex's claim, pretty much since it would be a bad move as scum, and scum Alex would surely be playing better (paraphrased, etc). If I use your own latter words to challenge that, what would be your response?

My response is to agree that you've caught an unfortunate oversight in my reasoning. However, I do think there's a signficant difference in scale between what a hypothetical scum Xanth would've attempted on day one and what a hypothetical scum Alex would be attempting now. As I'd laid it out, scum Xanth would've been throwing out a couple reasonable alternative candidates to see if anything took. This is a comparitively minor diversion when set next to faking a copclaim. That's something that a scum Alex would have to keep up for a long time. We're still early in the game and town is off to a solid lead; he could have several days still to keep up the act. It wouldn't be easy, especially if there is an actual town cop still unclaimed somewhere.

Now, it can be argued that scum might be prepared to try that radical a deception after how badly day/night 1 went for them. I'm not entirely convinced that the reward is worth the risk for them. I remain open to the possibility (which you elaborate on quite coherently) that Alex is lying...but I believe I have a reliable way to determine this tomorrow. Going into detail about it is not useful right now, this far from the deadline, though I would ask that people wait before hammering near the end of the day so that I can mention it then.

Doubleninja. Blurgh.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 04, 2008, 07:06:27 PM
Cid, to clarify, are you talking about real days or game days when you go about 'tomorrow'?

Strago: Again, duly noted. I do find your points valid.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 07:17:21 PM
Game-days. Day three, in other words.

Also, agreeing with everything Strago just said.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 07:22:26 PM
Let's not forget the potential for, you know, further results from Alex at some point. I know he could get roleblocked or capped by scum, but it's also possible that neither happens and we get another reading from Alex that helps us figure out what's going on. It seems really obvious when I say it, but I actually think that this is a possibility many people are pessimistically overlooking.

This is the main reason I don't want to lynch Alex regardless of Tom's flip.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 04, 2008, 07:29:02 PM
Quote
This is the main reason I don't want to lynch Alex regardless of Tom's flip.

That sentiment from Kilga bothers me . The overly-ecstatic comments from earlier in the day, when people were suggesting that being so far ahead, it's okay to relax a bit, also bother me.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 07:43:27 PM
Because that worked in Succinct Mafia, right?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 07:48:24 PM
Quote
This is the main reason I don't want to lynch Alex regardless of Tom's flip.

That sentiment from Kilga bothers me . The overly-ecstatic comments from earlier in the day, when people were suggesting that being so far ahead, it's okay to relax a bit, also bother me.

It is a rather odd thing to say as a blanket statement. I don't think a significant number of people are suggesting that we go right out and lynch Alex tomorrow if Tom flips town today, if that's what's bothering you, Kilga.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 04, 2008, 07:50:41 PM
Quote
This is the main reason I don't want to lynch Alex regardless of Tom's flip.

That sentiment from Kilga bothers me . The overly-ecstatic comments from earlier in the day, when people were suggesting that being so far ahead, it's okay to relax a bit, also bother me.

Halfway agreed. If Tom does flip Town -- which, hey, I still don't think he will, but it's not like I haven't been wrong a million times in these games -- there will definitely be some questions about Alex. That doesn't mean we should immediately lynch him without asking those questions and getting some answers, though.

Also, and my head is filled with enough mucus right now that maybe I'm just a big thickie, but still: we've seen that there was a Godfather in the game. Doesn't that necessitate a Cop to counter it, at least in a fairly average role setup the likes of which we... seem to have, given Carthrat's description of the semi-openness? I know that trying to suss out the power-role landscape this early in any game is usually a dopey thing to do, but Occam's got a Razor and we've got no counterclaim against Alex.

Heh, reading back over that I feel like I'm processing the most boneheadedly simple points. Helps me to think everything through and write it out right now, though.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 04, 2008, 07:52:34 PM
I don't think a significant number of people are suggesting that we go right out and lynch Alex tomorrow if Tom flips town today, if that's what's bothering you, Kilga.

Yeah, I was working from the assumption that this was Kilga's concern as well, if that wasn't clear.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 07:58:22 PM
Also, and my head is filled with enough mucus right now that maybe I'm just a big thickie, but still: we've seen that there was a Godfather in the game. Doesn't that necessitate a Cop to counter it, at least in a fairly average role setup the likes of which we... seem to have, given Carthrat's description of the semi-openness?

Not necessarily. Personally, I'm not making any assumptions about what roles we're looking at here (beyond there not being anything that's not on Rat's list, of course, but that's more being certain of what's not in the game). There have been games without cops, I think, even in fairly normal setups.

Waugh, need to look at Andy still. Doings keep transpiring.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 08:01:34 PM
Since I'm convinced Alex is Town, or at least strongly lean against that he is Town I am much more inclined to go with his Cop Claim and get EvilTom out instead.

##UNVOTE: Excal, since the point's been properly driven home and... Well, last vote-check puts Tom at L-2. I... am not really willing to count whether this is the correct number and certainly don't want to accident-hammer.

Requesting votecount and remaining time left for the day.

Yeah, being a sloth is a vice but eh.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 08:08:53 PM
Awake again, back again.

My mind boggles at the current discussion.

As far as my other suspicions go, they were based on a reread of day 1 with Tom and Sopko's alignments in mind.  Was just trying to toss something else out there for folks. 
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 08:09:38 PM
Quote
This is the main reason I don't want to lynch Alex regardless of Tom's flip.

That sentiment from Kilga bothers me . The overly-ecstatic comments from earlier in the day, when people were suggesting that being so far ahead, it's okay to relax a bit, also bother me.

It is a rather odd thing to say as a blanket statement. I don't think a significant number of people are suggesting that we go right out and lynch Alex tomorrow if Tom flips town today, if that's what's bothering you, Kilga.

I think two things happened here:

- I misremembered how many people I saw talking about it and erred on the side of inflation.
- I added people already voting for Alex into the mix.

So okay, yeah, I overreacted a little bit there. The only people I saw on a quick re-read were Corwin sorta backhandedly suggesting it here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42511#msg42511)...

(b) Tom is town, and we choose whether to believe Alex the next day or not. Either we'll confirm his alignment as a cop, or we'll get our second scum.

...and Bard outright suggesting it here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42541#msg42541):

If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Town, we will need to lynch Alex to be sure of his alignment.

Speaking of, I'd actually like to vote for Bard at this point for both this sentiment and an apparent relapse into useless journalism mode (here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42479#msg42479),  here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42536#msg42536) and here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42541#msg42541), for example), but I recognize that Alex/Tom needs to take priority.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 04, 2008, 08:11:27 PM
Bard, there's still more than 24 hours remaining in the day, that much I can tell you.

That said, I've caught up and most of my doubts about Alex are gone.  Especially since, despite how much his flip might tell us, I'd really much rather find out by testing his claim on someone who isn't quite as vital to town.

Also, Bard, in regards to why I was more interested in my side thing.  It's because I really was hoping for a role blocker, irrationally so I suppose.  Regardless, had that been the case, it would have meant, like I said earlier, that we'd have nailed scum 100%.  Sadly, the actual resolution is utterly inconclusive (or does have answers, but not ones which benefit Town to be talked about and so I'm dropping this thing like a radioactive potato) so yeah.  I get to stand here and look silly.

You may also have noticed that although I said I was going to think about it as I was leaving, I had also shown signs of musing it over before I left.  Most importantly in the aspect of admitting that whatever else had happened, I had been wrong in my earlier paranoia and that the Alex scenario I had earlier mentioned no longer fit as I had put it.

And...  honestly, the same facts that led me to a conclusion of scum Alex fit just as well with Cop Alex, so...  I'm pretty good with a Tom lynch.  Congrats, Alex, you convinced me.

##Vote: Dread Thomas
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 08:19:44 PM
Speaking of, I'd actually like to vote for Bard at this point for both this sentiment and an apparent relapse into useless journalism mode (here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42479#msg42479),  here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42536#msg42536) and here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42541#msg42541), for example), but I recognize that Alex/Tom needs to take priority.

- First post I clearly said I was at school and didn't have the time for drawn out thoughts.

- Second post I am clarifying my position on Day 1 things.
Quote
I'm not going into in-depth responses to Day 1, partly because I think it's irrelevant (and distracting) at this juncture to dig up old arguments. I will, however, go over them briefly.
Quote
This is not to say I completely agree with his cases, but I get a town vibe from him. Don't really see the anti-Xanth arguments.
I'm certainly not going to hold his walls of texts against him.
Quote
I get the impression from Day 1 that it's a misunderstanding about him, but given Day 2 his posts can be somewhat interpreted as scum... I'm just not seeing it much
Quote
I doubt scum'd do that, so I'm inclined to attribute a town vibe to Corwin and Strago. Kilga's ignoring of Sopko strikes me as a little odd.
Quote
El Cid straddling up the case against Sopko with a vote. I don't like the "I'm going to see..." attitude there, though. Strikes me as though El Cid doesn't care about the result. Did it with Kilga (see where this goes), then late Day 1 goes the same way with Sopko (let's see who follows). If it's a scum gambit to get town cred, it is a massive one; WIFOM there though, but I'm inclined to think of El Cid as notScum.

- Third post. Breaking down what I think of the Alex case and, indeed, observations of what I think has happened - at this juncture it is possible for you to correct me where you believe I am misinterpreting the other.
Quote
I'd be more wary of him if he hadn't jumped on Tom as quick as he did. Whether his case is strong or not? I'm tempted to say it's not that solid, but it beats the Xanth case by a margin.
Quote
His one-track approach is pretty... It makes me wonder. I'm not sure yet what I dislike about it other than that if we lynch him we have jack shit to work with, excusez my French.

... I note at this juncture that I find Excal a bit odd in discarding Alex's copclaim and accusation of EvilTom as "not important" and taking priority with finding out why the nightkill didn't occur. More on him later.

Reading over EvilTom's defense of himself, something clicks to me that may seem bizarre to you folk. Namely this:

If we lynch Alex and he flips Cop, we will likely lynch EvilTom.
If we lynch Alex and he flips Scum, we will likely not lynch EvilTom.
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Scum, we will likely not lynch Alex. He will probably be either killed by Scum or Roleblocked, what have you─Tom brings up a good point about the roleblock, though. It might happen─I would buy arguments that Scum expected a Doc guarding Alex if EvilTom flips scum but... that's so WIFOMy.
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Town, we will need to lynch Alex to be sure of his alignment. This is very risky, and I can't imagine why scum would take this gambit since it almost certainly nails him down.

I think Alex is seriously convinced he's nailed scum, and I think EvilTom's seriously convinced he's notScum, since he presents indeed a scenario in which case Alex will die if he dies.
Quote
That said, I favor an EvilTom lynch over an Alex lynch. However, I don't really have anything to hold against EvilTom beside the Cop Claim against him, so consider that a "Rather Tom than Alex, but if possible? Neither of them".

Clearly that's not a possibility since the sentiments would linger for the next day if this continues and... bah. The risk Alex is taking seems too great for me to say, "He must be diverting/gambling, lynch him".

I trust Alex's Cop Claim and think it pertinent to lynch EvilTom: either we confirm Alex's sanity or lynch Scum. If Alex is Scum, I see no reason why he would divert from the then pertinent Xanth case:

1) Xanth is Scum. If Alex diverts, what does this gain them? It's a massivehueg risk that I don't think Scum is likely to entertain. It's too risky, unless Xanth is Scum with a SUPER OMG ROLE... but then it must be a role that doesn't even allow them to kill someone at Night. No matter how you flip it, I doubt two Scum would throw themselves away to save Xanth.
2) Xanth is Town. Why the hell would Scum divert attention from Town? I can't find any satisfying answer to this.

So yeah, I'm pretty sold on Alex = Town.

I discard your accusation on the prime basis that I have drawn conclusions from what I've written. If it was reporter-isque in meaning I would not have given you my interpretation of what has occured/is occuring and draw a conclusion from it.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 04, 2008, 08:23:35 PM
Requesting votecount and remaining time left for the day.

Yeah, being a sloth is a vice but eh.

AMAZING, STUPENDOUS, STRAGO-BRAND VOTE COUNTS!!![/i]
[/shadow]
Not the real thing, but a remarkable simulation! Nine out of ten Moderators can't tell the difference!

Affinity: Kiro
Kiro: AndrewRogue
Xanth: El Cideon, EvilTom
EvilTom: Sir Alex, Xanth, Strago, El Cideon, Kilgamayan, Excal
Sir Alex: AndrewRogue, EvilTom, Corwin
Corwin: EvilTom
Excal: Bardiche
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 04, 2008, 08:24:46 PM
god dammit how was I supposed to know shadow can't be used in conjunction with marquee my career as an internet salesperson is ruined
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 04, 2008, 08:29:11 PM
It's pretty clear that the majority wants to gamble on Alex. Alright, then. I'll change my vote to get us the results when Rat wakes up in a couple of hours, unless there's some sort of last-minute objection to that. If so, please include the reason for extending the day.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 08:35:57 PM
Cor: Personally, I think it only makes sense to hear last words from Tom. Just in case.

I have something to add myself but, again, I have reason to wait until we're ready to hammer to say it. Will wait and see if there are objections to hammering in the near future (next few hours) first.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 08:39:24 PM
Thanks Strago.

----->

I really should read ninjas when I post.

Also, Bard, in regards to why I was more interested in my side thing.  It's because I really was hoping for a role blocker, irrationally so I suppose.  Regardless, had that been the case, it would have meant, like I said earlier, that we'd have nailed scum 100%.  Sadly, the actual resolution is utterly inconclusive (or does have answers, but not ones which benefit Town to be talked about and so I'm dropping this thing like a radioactive potato) so yeah.  I get to stand here and look silly.

You may also have noticed that although I said I was going to think about it as I was leaving, I had also shown signs of musing it over before I left.  Most importantly in the aspect of admitting that whatever else had happened, I had been wrong in my earlier paranoia and that the Alex scenario I had earlier mentioned no longer fit as I had put it.

Your hope for a roleblocker is... irrational indeed, that you prioritize possibility in favor of what's been concretely put in our faces.

I must've missed those signs. You've been rather reserved insofar as commenting on the relevant matters go, though. I note your Day 1 activity was there, but little of it actually seemed keen on scumhunting. The only real vote you placed was on Sopko after things went awry for him. Your continued behaviour in that regard Day 2 makes it even look worse.

I won't hold your lack of a vote Day 2 against you─that'd be unfair given my own vote record, and I am already straining the reaches of courtesy by holding it against you Day 1 when I was hardly present for the first Day. I justify it to myself only as your activity being there despite no vote.
But despite that, I still hold your lack of... lack of actual scumhunting against you.

---->

Also since I realized I completely forgot Kilga's "this sentiment" clause... I assume you mean the one where I state that:

Lynching Alex immediately brings clarity on Alex's alignment, and by extension sheds light on EvilTom's alignment if Alex flips Scum.
Lynching EvilTom as he flips Town means Alex is either Insane Cop or Scum, we can't be sure unless we lynch him.

But you are right in that the sentiment can be expanded towards "or we leave him alive for another day (or two) and see whether or not he gives any investigative results that are better to work with", but I didn't incorporate the possibility that Alex dies into the equation. I... may be too free in assuming the existence of a protective role, but given Cid's statement that he was attacked it means either Cid's got innate protection or he was protected and I like to think of the latter.

----->

I'm willing to drop the Hammer if there are no objections and everyone who needs to be heard/wants to be heard has had their say.

At the moment I'm personally interested in Affinity, Kiro, EvilTom and AndrewRogue. To a lesser degree also Xanth. The first four aren't in on the EvilTom train, the last one is but hasn't been here for this latest bout of discussion/the time I've now been active.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 04, 2008, 08:41:50 PM
Well, I'm off to work, so I won't be around to hear this stuff then.  But I guess I'll see if I can somehow drop by.  This proclaimation of Cid's is curious.

Bard Edit: Meh, we had 36 hours left in the day.  Waiting a bit on Alex in hopes of something better is not a huge issue.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 04, 2008, 08:43:29 PM
Fair enough, Cid. Going to bed, so it'd have to be something else who ends then day, then. As long as we don't waste the entire 24 hours waiting on the deadline to pass it's all good.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 04, 2008, 08:53:11 PM
- First post I clearly said I was at school and didn't have the time for drawn out thoughts.

A wise man once said, "Even scum can have RL excuses". The fact of the matter is that the first post I linked to is nothing but a recap, which is not at all useful for anything and fits the reporter style to a T.

- Second post I am clarifying my position on Day 1 things.
Quote
I'm not going into in-depth responses to Day 1, partly because I think it's irrelevant (and distracting) at this juncture to dig up old arguments. I will, however, go over them briefly.
Quote
This is not to say I completely agree with his cases, but I get a town vibe from him. Don't really see the anti-Xanth arguments.
I'm certainly not going to hold his walls of texts against him.
Quote
I get the impression from Day 1 that it's a misunderstanding about him, but given Day 2 his posts can be somewhat interpreted as scum... I'm just not seeing it much
Quote
I doubt scum'd do that, so I'm inclined to attribute a town vibe to Corwin and Strago. Kilga's ignoring of Sopko strikes me as a little odd.
Quote
El Cid straddling up the case against Sopko with a vote. I don't like the "I'm going to see..." attitude there, though. Strikes me as though El Cid doesn't care about the result. Did it with Kilga (see where this goes), then late Day 1 goes the same way with Sopko (let's see who follows). If it's a scum gambit to get town cred, it is a massive one; WIFOM there though, but I'm inclined to think of El Cid as notScum.

I get a sense of wishy-washy-ness in here. Even when you lay down any stances that you do, they are usually presented in an unsure-of-yourself tone that could give you the opportunity to change your mind quickly and easily.

Not to mention your point on me is completely wrong and your thought process on Cid is hard to follow given you start with disliking his attitude and end up "inclined to think [he's] notScum".

- Third post. Breaking down what I think of the Alex case and, indeed, observations of what I think has happened - at this juncture it is possible for you to correct me where you believe I am misinterpreting the other.
Quote
I'd be more wary of him if he hadn't jumped on Tom as quick as he did. Whether his case is strong or not? I'm tempted to say it's not that solid, but it beats the Xanth case by a margin.
Quote
His one-track approach is pretty... It makes me wonder. I'm not sure yet what I dislike about it other than that if we lynch him we have jack shit to work with, excusez my French.

... I note at this juncture that I find Excal a bit odd in discarding Alex's copclaim and accusation of EvilTom as "not important" and taking priority with finding out why the nightkill didn't occur. More on him later.

More wishy-washy-ness. What is his one-track approach? etc.

Reading over EvilTom's defense of himself, something clicks to me that may seem bizarre to you folk. Namely this:

If we lynch Alex and he flips Cop, we will likely lynch EvilTom.
If we lynch Alex and he flips Scum, we will likely not lynch EvilTom.
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Scum, we will likely not lynch Alex. He will probably be either killed by Scum or Roleblocked, what have you─Tom brings up a good point about the roleblock, though. It might happen─I would buy arguments that Scum expected a Doc guarding Alex if EvilTom flips scum but... that's so WIFOMy.
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Town, we will need to lynch Alex to be sure of his alignment. This is very risky, and I can't imagine why scum would take this gambit since it almost certainly nails him down.

This is a Bunch-O'-Duh™ (minus the last idea because it's very very wrong) and not an actual opinion.

Quote
That said, I favor an EvilTom lynch over an Alex lynch. However, I don't really have anything to hold against EvilTom beside the Cop Claim against him, so consider that a "Rather Tom than Alex, but if possible? Neither of them".

Clearly that's not a possibility since the sentiments would linger for the next day if this continues and... bah. The risk Alex is taking seems too great for me to say, "He must be diverting/gambling, lynch him".

I trust Alex's Cop Claim and think it pertinent to lynch EvilTom: either we confirm Alex's sanity or lynch Scum. If Alex is Scum, I see no reason why he would divert from the then pertinent Xanth case:

1) Xanth is Scum. If Alex diverts, what does this gain them? It's a massivehueg risk that I don't think Scum is likely to entertain. It's too risky, unless Xanth is Scum with a SUPER OMG ROLE... but then it must be a role that doesn't even allow them to kill someone at Night. No matter how you flip it, I doubt two Scum would throw themselves away to save Xanth.
2) Xanth is Town. Why the hell would Scum divert attention from Town? I can't find any satisfying answer to this.

So yeah, I'm pretty sold on Alex = Town.

Getting better on presenting opinions, but it's worth noting that you say you would rather not lynch Alex or Tom if such is an option (and, accordingly, throw down a vote for Excal later), but still "think it pertinent to lynch Tom". If it's pertinent to lynch Tom, why not vote for him then?

I discard your accusation on the prime basis that I have drawn conclusions from what I've written. If it was reporter-isque in meaning I would not have given you my interpretation of what has occured/is occuring and draw a conclusion from it.

Reporter-style doesn't necessarily mean you don't provide any opinions at all, it means that you don't provide any/many solid opinions. You seem unsure of yourself at times (maybe this is an inherent tone thing and you're just naturally unsure of yourself in this game or something, but it's not a good thing to be doing in this game) and then start contradicting your own opinions when you finally do start putting some feeling behind them.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 09:10:45 PM
A wise man once said, "Even scum can have RL excuses". The fact of the matter is that the first post I linked to is nothing but a recap, which is not at all useful for anything and fits the reporter style to a T.

The "wise man" argument is really invalid because, guess what? So does Town. Being at school isn't an inherently scummy attitude.
And no, I really didn't say much on it. I can't and won't really excuse it. Surprisingly I don't really find it something lynch-worthy myself─would it have been fine if I hadn't posted at all? I often wonder whether I should or shouldn't communicate, and if the answer to the previous question is "Yes", then that seals that deal for me.

Quote
I get a sense of wishy-washy-ness in here. Even when you lay down any stances that you do, they are usually presented in an unsure-of-yourself tone that could give you the opportunity to change your mind quickly and easily.

Not to mention your point on me is completely wrong and your thought process on Cid is hard to follow given you start with disliking his attitude and end up "inclined to think [he's] notScum".

I can't be sure of anything in a game where manipulation and deceit reign highly. The only person I can trust is myself, so I'm quite sorry if I cannot be certain of "HE'S SCUM" or "HE'S TOWN". Even if I did solidly place my stances in such a manner I could still change them quickly and easily - after all, the game is deceit and trickery. Solid ideas don't mean jack shit if something suddenly changes and you find yourself second-guessing yourself. To me, the matter is entirely moot and I fail to see the problem. I am only dead-certain of people if I can be sure of myself that nothing they say changes my mind.

I explicitly called him "notScum" - I don't want to panic monger, but Rat promised no 3rd Party at less than 14. That makes me think that 14 and higher yields a 3rd party, and complete apathy to yes or no nailing scum could indicate a third party.

Quote
More wishy-washy-ness. What is his one-track approach? etc.

His immediate assault on DreadThomas with disregard for other cases. Everyone's arguing about Xanth and Alex goes, "I think Xanth's completely Town, come lynch Tom!" That's... one-track to me.

Quote
This is a Bunch-O'-Duh™ (minus the last idea because it's very very wrong) and not an actual opinion.

Yep. I state the obvious. I do this. Guilty as charged. It is indeed not an actual opinion, but I'm not even going to contest that - if you want to lynch me for that, I'm not even going to bother defending because that's such a trivial thing to me that I disregard it as being worth a dime.

Quote
Getting better on presenting opinions, but it's worth noting that you say you would rather not lynch Alex or Tom if such is an option (and, accordingly, throw down a vote for Excal later), but still "think it pertinent to lynch Tom". If it's pertinent to lynch Tom, why not vote for him then?

Because I hadn't counted the votes, primarily, and because I also wanted to spend some time on Excal who I also suspect of scumminess. And yes, it is important to lynch Tom to clear up the matter lest it chases us for the rest of the game, or until Scum offs either of them, or someone clears Alex or whatever.

Quote
Reporter-style doesn't necessarily mean you don't provide any opinions at all, it means that you don't provide any/many solid opinions. You seem unsure of yourself at times (maybe this is an inherent tone thing and you're just naturally unsure of yourself in this game or something, but it's not a good thing to be doing in this game) and then start contradicting your own opinions when you finally do start putting some feeling behind them.

Explained above. I'm not going to put down things with dead certainty if I am not dead certain of them because I do not know who I can trust. Until proven otherwise nearly all of you are eligible scum to me, and even those who're likely not scum could still be scum employing a rather keen ploy. I don't know.
I also don't like presenting my opinion as a fact. I think, feel, consider things. I don't like saying, "Alex is Town", I prefer "I think Alex is Town", because that's my belief, not that of the masses. If that's not what you meant I do not understand.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 09:32:59 PM
Wow, Bard/Kilga craziness. I'm not up to wading into this right now, but I do wish to correct the following statement:

I explicitly called him "notScum" - I don't want to panic monger, but Rat promised no 3rd Party at less than 14. That makes me think that 14 and higher yields a 3rd party, and complete apathy to yes or no nailing scum could indicate a third party.

The rules state that there will be no third party roles with less than 13 people, not 14. Thirteen is exactly what we had at the start, so it is actually possible. (Where does the number 14 keep coming from? Is there something I overlooked in the opening post?)
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 09:35:11 PM
Darn right I'm one track on Tom, I have a scum result on him. 

There is really not much else I can say to all this though.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 09:38:43 PM
The rules state that there will be no third party roles with less than 13 people, not 14. Thirteen is exactly what we had at the start, so it is actually possible. (Where does the number 14 keep coming from? Is there something I overlooked in the opening post?)

... Good question. I read it somewhere in the thread. Guess it stuck with me. I recalled we hit the right number, read the thread, caught fourteen somewhere I think and that stuck in my mind.

Thirteen, then. Doesn't invalidate my comment, just shows a little inattentivity/scattermindedness on my behalf.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 04, 2008, 10:06:38 PM
First and foremost, for the people who are interested in me, what exactly are you interested in? I can't do much to address your interest in me if I don't know where it is stemming from. :p

On the subject of Alex vs Tom, despite my reservations about him at this point (nothing he has said has particularly assuaged my concerns), I would MUCH rather risk a non-cop. I will, of course, be back on Alex's back if Tom flips town, but there isn't anything more that can really be done with this at the moment.

I would like to hear at least one more post from Tom, but unless there is some startling revelation, I'm all for lynching him over Alex.

On the subject of my breakdown post: Idly, I was not attempting to seriously imply that all three of Kiro/Alex/Xanth were actually scum, just that all three (and any combination thereof) had, I feel, a reasonable chance of being scum based on the end of the day actions. On similar notes, my decision to move from Kiro to Alex is motivated by the fact that Kiro, essentially, provided the best answer he could, and Alex's movements were more offensive to me. So, essentially, I got what I wanted from Kiro (some sort of answer) and moved on.

Excal: Thank you. Now, for prosperity!

The line you reference.

Quote
-Somebody has to make the second vote eventually. Generally speaking, I find scum want to avoid doing it, since it tends to draw attention.

What you actually said about it.

Quote
I do find it vaguely amusing that in a post that contains a vote against someone for what generally amounts to metagaming, Andy does some of his own with the Scum never vote second line, which frankly seems far more dangerous than noticing general traits of people like Xanth attempted.

Does anyone else notice the slight discrepancy? To spell it out, he misrepresented what I actually said. I simply noted that, in general, scum want, in general, to avoid putting the first second vote since it tends to draw attention. He gently twists it around and turns it into me making a dangerous metagame statement and saying that scum never drop the second vote. Could be just a slight error of phrasing or a misunderstanding, but it jumped out at me when I first saw it. I simply made a general game theory statement (that I admitted isn't always true, thanks to the power of the word generally) and Excal latches onto it as something more dangerous than Xanth's noticing of general traits (when, really, my statement amounts to the exact same thing, just with sides rather than specific individuals).
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 04, 2008, 10:09:15 PM
Day 2 votecount!

Cop sanity would flip on death.

Affinity (0): Kiro
Kiro (0): AndrewRogue
Xanth (0): El Cideon, DreadThomas
DreadThomas (6): Sir Alex, Xanth, Strago, El Cideon, Kilgamayan, Excal
SirAlex (1): AndrewRogue, Dread Thomas, Corwin
Corwin (1): Dread Thomas
Excal (0): Bardiche

With 12 alive, it takes 7 to lynch. About 24.5 hours remaining.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 10:10:08 PM
Darn right I'm one track on Tom, I have a scum result on him. 

There is really not much else I can say to all this though.

Meh. I suppose if things are dying down then we can hammer soon (still wouldn't mind seeing last words from Tom first. Again, just in case). In any event, I may as well get out of the way what I've been alluding to: I believe I have a plan which stands a good chance of disproving Alex's claim tomorrow if it's actually a lie (something which might otherwise take days to be sure of). It may be risky to post about the plan at all just because it lets scum know that something's up, but I need Alex's complicity here and outright asking is the only way I can get it. I've taken scum interference into account anyway. In most scenarios, it doesn't invalidate the results. In short, I need Alex to investigate a specific player tonight. If he is genuinely a cop, it's already a safe bet that scum will be messing with him tonight, so I think there's no great risk in openly asking; I don't think that much information will unduly influence their actions, though I'm not going to explicitly state the target here--scum don't need to know everything we're doing. Instead, I'll just note that it's someone I've been known to talk about a lot and of whom I have a notoriously low opinion. I'm sure Alex can make the proper inference from that. I'll ask everyone else not to speculate on this openly; it can't help us at all. The less scum have to wonder about, the better.

Excepting a scum flip from Tom--which mostly renders questions of Alex's honesty moot since he'll have been as good as his word (though I wouldn't mind doing this even in that scenario, just to be doubly sure of his sanity)--I stand a good chance of picking up on it tomorrow if Alex is fabricating investigation results. It's not 100%, but I think it's worth a shot.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 04, 2008, 10:16:02 PM
First and foremost, for the people who are interested in me, what exactly are you interested in? I can't do much to address your interest in me if I don't know where it is stemming from. :p

I actually went back and reread your posts and couldn't really qualify whatever it was that had got my attention before. I'm going to have to chalk it up to one of those gut feelings I've found so unreliable in the past.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 04, 2008, 10:53:57 PM
Alex roleclaiming Cop is something. Everyone's gone over all the WIFOM involved with him coming out so I'll cut to what I think.

Whether he's Sane or Insane, he'd still be a cop. And given our semi-open setup, a Cop is a Townie. We try not to lynch Townies. Simple as that. I would assume Sane first before Insane anyways. While I could see the paranoia in him possibly lying, perhaps the reason he's claiming is that with Scum already down 1 and a Guilty read on another, Scum has virtually no room for error afterwards and an inability to use their role if the last one isn't a Goon. It would probably be worth an early Cop death and Town can scumhunt the last one to victory. And it's not even likely he'd die right away since there's a good chance a Doctor is here due to the lack of NK. I'd say a good call by Alex in this case.

The other thing to consider is if Alex is lying. If so, he's just trying to push the Tom lynch to fruition at his own expense. I don't know if that's worth his trouble because you can just argue towards a lynch. And the supposed real cop could also check Alex out. However, the real cop probably wouldn't come out if Tom flipped Scum. So there's not going to be a counterclaim today; the cop would wait and see. It'd be quite the gamble to push a lynch on just one person whether Alex is Town or Scum.

In the end, it comes down to scumhunting anyways. Checking Tom again, I've thought that his so called misrepresentations aren't really such. He stayed on Xanth (a legitimate Day 1 target) into Day 2 and the issues regarding Xanth haven't gone away. Nothing new changed for Tom when I went to bed so the copclaim is a twist to my thoughts.

As for Alex, it comes down to his contrasting interpretation of the Xanth wagon since he was on Tom and Andrew with his first post of the Day. He's then pretty zealous in pursuing Tom before the copclaim, bringing up a point I didn't agree with about the whole bussing the Godfather. I'm not certain what the specific benefit was in waiting for Tom's town/scum list, but at the same time, I didn't see him getting a vote today was pressure enough to make him fake a copclaim as Tom suggested.

I'd have to give the copclaim greater weight though. It's something that isn't up to misinterpretation, given it's a mod reported Guilty result. Alex has committed himself and Town has to follow through. Looks like we're all waiting for the procedural last words from Tom.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 04, 2008, 11:07:13 PM
Going to bed, so probably won't hammer. Might check the game before going to school, and that'll be my last opportunity to hammer unless I hijack the lab again.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 04, 2008, 11:10:53 PM
Quote
I'm not certain what the specific benefit was in waiting for Tom's town/scum list

To help find the last scum by getting Tom to take some stances before I went all out after him, since anything a scum says when they're under heavy fire is obviously untrustworthy one way or the other.

I'm not sure what to say about Cid's plan.  Fortunately I don't think it matters as I'm all but certain Tom's scum.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 05, 2008, 12:07:01 AM
@Xanth: All in all, I think your sentence structure could be made a little clearer.  I don't think I have been interpreting some of the things you have been saying correctly in that case.

Also, I find my questions directed at others not being answered, but ah well.

---

Alright, I guess I have to comment on this copclaim.  Tom looks worse for the arbitary vote on Corwin as opposed to Alex, and not answering my question as to how El-Cid's argument is completely right, the same offense he's being calling Alex for.  He's just been saying that he's argument is, erm, 99% right.  Seriously, if he sounds so convinced that Alex and Xanth are scum, then why vote for Corwin?  There are only two scum left, after all (most probably), and this act is extremely, extremely ungeniune, especially since he didn't point this out himself.  Also, just as he says that Xanth seems deadset on lynching him and not paying attention to what he's been saying, he has, at the same time, seem to write him off as a liar and did not respond to some of Xanth's misrep points, as Kilga has pointed out.

But he does make the good logical argument that based on logic alone, lynching Alex is the better option, and he gains points for that.  Tom doesn't explain what Alex has to gain, though, and I myself don't see it.

Overall, I'm more towards lynching Tom than Alex (rather predictably), but even if Tom flips scum, I'm not willing to write him off as townie just yet.
Title: Croatia Gravity Sturgeon
Post by: Xanth on December 05, 2008, 12:54:53 AM
Well I'm back home to see a ton of new posts. I'll try and check some stuff over while I get/eat dinner (at 1am, yeah), but there's no way I'm catching up before sleep.

With nothing new on the Tom front I want to get through some other stuff, especially given that I've spent most of today only on self-defence or that one case.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 01:26:37 AM
Hi!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 01:33:20 AM
Alright, I guess I have to comment on this copclaim.  Tom looks worse for the arbitary vote on Corwin as opposed to Alex,
You know I placed a vote on Alex right? Corwin was lurking hardcore, I completely justified my vote. Everyone was doing the DL thing of believing every cop claim 100%, so continuing to go after Alex was useless. I pinged Corwin to make sure that lurkers weren't getting a free ride. I explained this. It was not arbitrary. You concern me.

Quote
if he sounds so convinced that Alex and Xanth are scum, then why vote for Corwin?  There are only two scum left, after all (most probably), and this act is extremely, extremely ungeniune, especially since he didn't point this out himself. 
Because it's bad play to railroad one (or two) people. That's obvious. If you see something suspicious, you shouldn't ignore it in favour of railroading one person!

But he does make the good logical argument that based on logic alone, lynching Alex is the better option, and he gains points for that.  Tom doesn't explain what Alex has to gain, though, and I myself don't see it.

Overall, I'm more towards lynching Tom than Alex (rather predictably), but even if Tom flips scum, I'm not willing to write him off as townie just yet.
It's pretty obvious what ScumAlex gains, he's no longer taking heat (he was coming under heavy fire), and he never has to commit to anything (claim roleblock/the NK target).
So you're saying if I flip scum, you'd consider that Alex was scumbussing me? That's very unlikely.
Title: Truant Spaghetti Mermaid
Post by: Xanth on December 05, 2008, 01:35:55 AM
After thinking about it, the cop claim is far simpler than the mess of conjecture that people have forwarded. Screw the implications of various lynches and flips, screw the planning for a theoretical scumAlex to keep on convincing the rest of us that he's a cop despite repeated failures and related complications - the whole thing is irrelevant when the deal is completely ruined by an actual cop, who can at worst oust Alex as of day 3. Even assuming he gets lynched ahead of Alex, that's two for one and not a good deal for scum at all. It's not like killing the cop tonight helps them either (even assuming they could guarantee it, say by having a role cop who hit the actual cop the previous night), as it just draws even more suspicion to Alex, especially if said cop flips insane (which they can't possibly know). There's no guarantee that the actual cop would sit still and not make a fuss today, either.

There are just clearly far too many variables that lead this to total failure for this to make sense as a scum plot. I am thus pretty much completely certain that Alex is either a cop as he claims, or is going to crash and burn horribly as scum no later than tomorrow. Tom's flip would do nothing to change this for me, and I don't think this should be pivotal for other people.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 01:45:19 AM
Halfway agreed. If Tom does flip Town -- which, hey, I still don't think he will, but it's not like I haven't been wrong a million times in these games -- there will definitely be some questions about Alex. That doesn't mean we should immediately lynch him without asking those questions and getting some answers, though.
Worst case scenario is you lynch me, I flip town, he says "oops I'm insane", then you lynch him and he also flips town. That's 2 dead town.
Best case scenario, you lynch me, I flip town, then you lynch him and he flips scum - 1 dead town and 1 dead scum - but this will not happen because he will worm his way out of it tomorrow.
Alternatively, lynch Alex, and you have either 1 dead scum, or 1 dead insane cop and 1 confirmed town, or 1 dead cop and 1 confirmed scum.
This situation is much better.
Of course the DL always blindly believe every cop claim, and scum will exploit that to the bitter end.

Also, and my head is filled with enough mucus right now that maybe I'm just a big thickie, but still: we've seen that there was a Godfather in the game. Doesn't that necessitate a Cop to counter it, at least in a fairly average role setup the likes of which we... seem to have, given Carthrat's description of the semi-openness?
My Anonyscifi mafia had a godfather, a miller, and no cop. There was another game recently that had a similar setup. There might not be a cop.
Even if Alex is an insane cop, I still think we should lynch him anyway.
Obviously I have a vested interest, but I've given you an objective reason why.

More to follow!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 05, 2008, 01:47:13 AM
A wise man once said, "Even scum can have RL excuses". The fact of the matter is that the first post I linked to is nothing but a recap, which is not at all useful for anything and fits the reporter style to a T.

The "wise man" argument is really invalid because, guess what? So does Town. Being at school isn't an inherently scummy attitude.

Methinks you misunderstand the point of the saying. School, like any other real life issue, is a legitimate excuse for both town and scum. As such, it is not an excuse for a poor post, as it can be used by either side.

And no, I really didn't say much on it. I can't and won't really excuse it. Surprisingly I don't really find it something lynch-worthy myself─would it have been fine if I hadn't posted at all? I often wonder whether I should or shouldn't communicate, and if the answer to the previous question is "Yes", then that seals that deal for me.

You're wandering into both False Dichotomy and Appeal to Emotion territory here. My answer is that you should NOT not post at all, but you should also not post posts that are opinionless summaries doubling as placeholders.

In this instance, yes, I believe it would have been better to not post at all if the only other alterrnative was to post what you did. (Again, false dichotomy, but that can be ignored for the purposes of this hypothetical situation.) If you absolutely must post to maintain a presence in the thread while you work your way toward time where you can actually focus, stuff like this (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42445#msg42445) is better (in my opinion: there are others that would disagree, most notably those who prefer no excuse for absence is made at all) because you don't look like you're trying to look like you're contributing without actually doing so. If that makes sense.

I can't be sure of anything in a game where manipulation and deceit reign highly. The only person I can trust is myself, so I'm quite sorry if I cannot be certain of "HE'S SCUM" or "HE'S TOWN". Even if I did solidly place my stances in such a manner I could still change them quickly and easily - after all, the game is deceit and trickery.

You could but it would be a hell of a lot harder to do so without looking really bad. It is better to solidly commit to an opinion not because you genuinely think what you're saying is true, but because it allows others to get a better read on you and form their own opinions accordingly. If you're flip-flopping all over the place you're going to stick out like a sore thumb (because if you're town you have no reason to do this).

Solid ideas don't mean jack shit if something suddenly changes and you find yourself second-guessing yourself.

Most reasonable people will give leeway for opinion-switching based on drastic changes (such as a cop claim with a scum report in hand).

I explicitly called him "notScum" - I don't want to panic monger, but Rat promised no 3rd Party at less than 14. That makes me think that 14 and higher yields a 3rd party, and complete apathy to yes or no nailing scum could indicate a third party.

You miss the point again. Your assessment of Cid started off as a negative one and ended as a positive one, and I have a very hard time seeing the bridge connecting those two sentiments in the rest of that paragraph. It's like you forgot what your opinion of Cid was halfway through. (Either that or you were somehow leaning TP on Cid, and I find it very hard to believe that anyone could make that call on Day 1.)

His immediate assault on DreadThomas with disregard for other cases. Everyone's arguing about Xanth and Alex goes, "I think Xanth's completely Town, come lynch Tom!" That's... one-track to me.

Not what I was asking. "His one-track approach is pretty..."...what? Townish? Scummy? Clever? Crazy? Gassy? Use an adjective instead of an ellipsis. "It makes me wonder" and "I'm not sure what makes me dislike it" are not terribly helpful. Sure, you say you dislike it, but you say it in such a fashion that's easily brushed off as nothing later at your convenience.

Yep. I state the obvious. I do this. Guilty as charged. It is indeed not an actual opinion, but I'm not even going to contest that - if you want to lynch me for that, I'm not even going to bother defending because that's such a trivial thing to me that I disregard it as being worth a dime.

I pointed it out because you included it in your "here look at my opinions!" section when it was not an opinion.

Because I hadn't counted the votes, primarily, and because I also wanted to spend some time on Excal who I also suspect of scumminess. And yes, it is important to lynch Tom to clear up the matter lest it chases us for the rest of the game, or until Scum offs either of them, or someone clears Alex or whatever.

Then why not simply go back, count the votes and vote for Tom when you see it's safe? Or, if you're not sure, vote for no one? (I was even nice enough to point out in the post before yours that Tom was at L-2! :V) Do you not realize why "We need to lynch Tom! *Excal vote*" looks bad?
Title: Re: Truant Spaghetti Mermaid
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 01:48:17 AM
Alex is either a cop as he claims, or is going to crash and burn horribly as scum no later than tomorrow. Tom's flip would do nothing to change this for me, and I don't think this should be pivotal for other people.
If my flip will have no effect on Alex, then.. why lynch me >.>
It's very unlikely both Alex and I are scum, and if the truth will come out about Alex that soon, then lynching one of us seems like a wasted action?

Xanth's actions do not correspond with his words.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 05, 2008, 01:52:29 AM
Everyone was doing the DL thing of believing every cop claim 100%, so continuing to go after Alex was useless.

Of course the DL always blindly believe every cop claim, and scum will exploit that to the bitter end.

You do realize this sort of thing does not help you at all, right?
Title: Ferry Pencil Truncheon
Post by: Xanth on December 05, 2008, 01:53:06 AM
The possibility of scumAlex and no actual cop is meaningless when Alex would have no way of knowing this at all, and hence should still be certain not to fakecop out of fear of a still very likely actual cop pinning him down.

Tom Ninja: what, no. I want to lynch you because I think you're scum. I just don't see a causal relationship to how you flip and how I react to Alex.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 01:56:17 AM
You do realize this sort of thing does not help you at all, right?
Duh, I'm at L-1 with a scum verdict. I'm not doing all this to survive, I'm doing this so that after my flip you guys will have something to work with, other than feeling stupid.

Oh, and while I'm not responding/commenting - ##unvote;
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 05, 2008, 01:59:07 AM
So you're just giving up?

:|

Do you mind at least claiming before you go?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 05, 2008, 02:01:00 AM
Quote
Even if Alex is an insane cop, I still think we should lynch him anyway.

Even if I am an insane cop, as soon as that fact is verified, hey what do you know I still give reliable results.  Just saying.  
Not that I'd be surprised at being lynched if that turns out to be the case, given how this game's gone.

Also pointing out that (I see Kilga ninja'd this) Tom isn't claiming, isn't considering insane cop like everyone else, etc.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 02:09:26 AM

I think you're misreading something, because there really is a big inconsistency there for precisely the reason I outlined there. Want a timeline to make it clearer?

1: Xanth post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42048#msg42048).
2: Xanth post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42095#msg42095).
3: Tom post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42109#msg42109), in which he claims a contradiction in 2. Note that the quoted section is on metagaming.
4: Xanth post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42185#msg42185), in which I respond to 3.
5: Tom post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42197#msg42197), in which he quotes a combination of 1 and 4 as a contradiction about Kilga. Not only has the contradiction changed content, there's a time warp in which post 3 apparently predicted post 4.

Even if you try and somehow worm the initial claim into somehow referring to the initial Tom versus Kilga thing, there is absolutely no way it ties in with:

Xanth: first you said you were on Kilga's side. Then you said Kilga didn't have a side. That was the odd contradiction.

From post 5, because that inherently relies on post 4, which didn't exist at the time of post 3.

...which is a huge strike against him.

##Vote: EvilTom

(This should be L-2.)

You better have a really good explanation for the above, because I'm not at all ready to vote Alex.

Right, I've never been sure what I'm being asked here, so I'll spell it out:
I'm more on Kilgamayan's side than Tom's in that little fray, partially for Strago's reservations and also because Tom's joke argument is [unsurprisingly] incorrect.
And no, Tom's joke argument obviously doesn't count as such, given that it's not at all meaningful.
So, it's a fray but it's not meaningful? That was the contradiction I was talking about.
Why would he call a simple one line jokevote a 'fray' (massive misrepresentation) and then one post later (when the tide quickly turned against him) toss it away as a meaningless jokevote? That's a massive retcon. I called him on the contradiction. He said he didn't know what I was talking about, I wasn't sure if he was lying or not, then I forgot about it and moved onto something else.

Quote
From post 5, because that inherently relies on post 4, which didn't exist at the time of post 3.
I was referring to the first contradiction which happened between posts 1 and 2, not the one in post 4. Now I think I finally see what you've been confused about.

Quote
It's like using the phrase 'wall of text' gives you a free pass to vote for me.
I'll be perfectly honest, since I'm about to die. I didn't actually think up the WOT thing myself, I threw it in there because I'd seen Alex do the same only a couple of posts before:
Xanth on the other hand, in descending order of possibly scummy stuff:
- Maintaining his wall of text style, even this early on day 1.  I loved it when we were scumbuddies together and he did that.  Side'sve switched.  It's not a good style.
Alex said that, I thought "oh yeah why not, I'll throw in WOT as an afterthought in my post", then suddenly Xanth unvotes Alex, and starts wailing on me for saying he's WOTing. That's where I got horribly confused, and made a possible Xanth/Alex link.
Then today Alex came out with "XANTH IS %100 TOWN, HE IS %100 RIGHT, TOM IS SCUM GOGOGO".
You appreciate my concern.

...
You do get ##Unvote: Alex for that, though, seeing as you've started to actually play.
...

##Vote: EvilTom

For hideous misrepresentation to justify his vote. It's like using the phrase 'wall of text' gives you a free pass to vote for me.
So yeah, that was the whole Xanth/Alex thing from day 1.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 02:13:01 AM
Quote
Even if Alex is an insane cop, I still think we should lynch him anyway.

Even if I am an insane cop, as soon as that fact is verified, hey what do you know I still give reliable results.  Just saying. 
The only way to verify it is if you die, or you provide a useful result. Neither of those will happen if you're scum.
If we listen to you, you're the shining bastion of townyness - no matter what I flip or what happens, you're still confirmable town, right?
Even if your night 2 action targets the guy who just died. Or you're roleblocked indefinately. Oops!

Quote
Also pointing out that (I see Kilga ninja'd this) Tom isn't claiming, isn't considering insane cop like everyone else, etc.
I'm not claiming 'cos I'm not done yet.
Why the hell would I consider the possibility you're Cop, that's retarded and akin to admitting my own guilt. Grow a brain.

So you're just giving up?

:|

Do you mind at least claiming before you go?
Does it look like I'm giving up or going? I'm posting heaps, geez.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 02:16:43 AM
Bard: I don't think anyone's seriously holding Tom's jokevote against him by this point. Misrepresentation, though? Yes, that's still valid. And I find the cop claim against him highly persuasive. I went over this in my most recent post; let me know if anything's unclear.
The day 1 stuff was just stupid day 1 stuff. Before the Alex copclaim, Xanth was the only one still on me for it today.

The reason I was still out to get Xanth today?
The confirmed scum Godfather unvoted Xanth, looked like he was trying to derail the Xanth train, succeeded (sortof) and got lynched for such scummyness.

As per your own arguments, El Cid. Which you've forgotten :(
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 02:18:37 AM
Also pointing out that (I see Kilga ninja'd this) Tom isn't claiming, isn't considering insane cop like everyone else, etc.
Actually, thinking about that, it seems you're insinuating that somebody should just hammer me.
You're saying I'm wasting time by 'not claiming' and 'not considering cases' (which is crap), so I may as well be hammered huh. Good way to cut off discussion.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 05, 2008, 02:21:03 AM
Does it look like I'm giving up or going?

Well, yes.

I'm not doing all this to survive
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 02:22:36 AM
-Tom did not in fact suggest that Sopko was bussed and Alex stating that Tom did suggest this looks wonky.

-Mentioning paranoid cop as a possibility. Others have pointed out why this is odd: this sanity is not included in the role list provided by the mod. And you are obviously aware of said list because you referred to it on day one to point out why there could be no Lovers in this game. Memory slip or some sort of ploy? I'm not sure.
QFT.


Bottom line? It's day two, we've already hit one scum, and lost no townies. We can afford to take the time to test Alex's cop claim, especially since the player he's designated as scum has other good reasons to be a candidate.
And I thought you were so logical and towny :( We can never afford to fuck up.



If this picks up, I'll have a question for our erstwhile cop later in the day. I'll wait and see how things develop first, though.
???
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 02:24:13 AM
Does it look like I'm giving up or going?

Well, yes.

I'm not doing all this to survive
Dude. I'm trying to help as much as I can. I'm at L-1 with a scumclaim over my head, don't make this more painful for me than it already is >_> at least don't harass me when I try and provide some thoughts
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 02:33:14 AM
Ok I've caught up and posted on everything now.
Claim = vanilla town.

I'm happy to answer questions etc.

As far as I can tell, the only things against me are some day 1 stuff which amounted to nothing, and this cop claim which has amounted to everything. I've done as much as I can to argue against the cop claim (and even argue why it's safer to lynch Alex even if he is telling the truth), so there's not much I can do beyond that on the subject.

El Cid, Alex, Strago and Xanth are all 'completely convinced I'm scum', which is disheartening.

I think Bard is pretty towny.
I thought El Cid was super-town, but I've had to demote him a bit.
Xanth and Strago are all over the place. You know my thoughts on Alex. He could be legit, but he's definately not sane, and he's been acting scummy so I pegged him as fakeclaiming.
Corwin.. I don't know if he's being good and logical, or if he's scum siding with me to reap the benefits when I flip town. Perplexing.
Andrew seems ok. Moderately town.
Kiro is confusing, neutral.
Excal neutral.
Xanth himself.. I can't tell anymore, see what he does after my flip I guess.
Hmm.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 02:48:00 AM
Anyone else about? I don't really have anything to add on my own.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 05, 2008, 02:54:44 AM
Around. Typing.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 05, 2008, 03:06:59 AM
You do realize this sort of thing does not help you at all, right?
Duh, I'm at L-1 with a scum verdict. I'm not doing all this to survive, I'm doing this so that after my flip you guys will have something to work with, other than feeling stupid.

Funny, because you aren't doing much more than calling us stupid.

Also, and my head is filled with enough mucus right now that maybe I'm just a big thickie, but still: we've seen that there was a Godfather in the game. Doesn't that necessitate a Cop to counter it, at least in a fairly average role setup the likes of which we... seem to have, given Carthrat's description of the semi-openness?
My Anonyscifi mafia had a godfather, a miller, and no cop. There was another game recently that had a similar setup. There might not be a cop.
Even if Alex is an insane cop, I still think we should lynch him anyway.
Obviously I have a vested interest, but I've given you an objective reason why.

More to follow!

This is a fair point.

Halfway agreed. If Tom does flip Town -- which, hey, I still don't think he will, but it's not like I haven't been wrong a million times in these games -- there will definitely be some questions about Alex. That doesn't mean we should immediately lynch him without asking those questions and getting some answers, though.
Worst case scenario is you lynch me, I flip town, he says "oops I'm insane", then you lynch him and he also flips town. That's 2 dead town.
Best case scenario, you lynch me, I flip town, then you lynch him and he flips scum - 1 dead town and 1 dead scum - but this will not happen because he will worm his way out of it tomorrow.
Alternatively, lynch Alex, and you have either 1 dead scum, or 1 dead insane cop and 1 confirmed town, or 1 dead cop and 1 confirmed scum.
This situation is much better.
Of course the DL always blindly believe every cop claim, and scum will exploit that to the bitter end.

Wow alarmism. Seriously, that sentence in bold irks me to no end. It's basically fearmongering and saying Town is dumb at the same time. Not to mention: I don't recall ever being in a game with a scum Copclaim. Hell, last game I was in had a real claim at the end that I didn't believe. Whatever, not the point, the point is that you're resorting to straw men and what amount to ad hominems and nothing annoys me more in Mafia than that combination.

Argh. Basically you're just being combative and rude. It feels like flailing around and trying to shake us from our convictions by making us feel dumb instead of providing any actual insight that could be used if you're Town and you flip as such. I'm not done yet, I'm gonna look through this last page again, but... it's hard to take any of it seriously.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 05, 2008, 03:19:14 AM
Sorry, just stressed out by it all :(
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 05, 2008, 03:24:02 AM
Does it look like I'm giving up or going?

Well, yes.

I'm not doing all this to survive
Dude. I'm trying to help as much as I can. I'm at L-1 with a scumclaim over my head, don't make this more painful for me than it already is >_> at least don't harass me when I try and provide some thoughts

Gyar, irony. Harassing you?

I think Bard is pretty towny.
I thought El Cid was super-town, but I've had to demote him a bit.
Xanth and Strago are all over the place. You know my thoughts on Alex. He could be legit, but he's definately not sane, and he's been acting scummy so I pegged him as fakeclaiming.
Corwin.. I don't know if he's being good and logical, or if he's scum siding with me to reap the benefits when I flip town. Perplexing.
Andrew seems ok. Moderately town.
Kiro is confusing, neutral.
Excal neutral.
Xanth himself.. I can't tell anymore, see what he does after my flip I guess.
Hmm.

Townies are no infallible, even ones confirmed by a flip. So how is... any of this helpful, aside from providing a set of extremely broad opinions that are only necessarily valid in that your heart would be in the right place?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 05, 2008, 03:24:22 AM
I am about, but I haven't much to say.  

It is in no way shape or form "safer" to lynch a cop claim rather than the guy he's claiming a scum result on, this is really basic stuff and I'm amazed people that aren't Tom are buying it, but I'm amazed people weren't on Tom in the first place, and those folks will disregard this as well as it comes from me etc etc you can make all the obvious arguments on your own.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 05, 2008, 03:25:59 AM
Grow a brain.

Yeesh. Tom, back away from the computer for a few minutes, take a deep breath, and chill out. Comments like this help no one, least of all yourself.

El Cid, Alex, Strago and Xanth are all 'completely convinced I'm scum', which is disheartening.

I'd really like you to point out where I said this, because I am quite sure that I never did. You're boiling everything down to absolutes here and it makes you sound like a maniac. A couple clarifications I feel it necessary to point out:

-Xanth's not off the hook, nor have I ever said that he is. He's just not currently top priority. I've explained, at length, why I believe it's in town's best interest to test the cop claim today. There is such a thing as a calculated risk, you know? I do realize that's little comfort when you're the test subject, but seriously, did you skip all the posts where I talked about this?

-I am not blindly believing Alex's claim. I've even stated that I believe I can expose him tomorrow if he lies about his results (and for the love of god, don't ask me to go into detail about that because you should realize why doing so is a bad idea) assuming he understood the plan and goes along with it (I will, now formally ask him to do so if you flip Town). 
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 05, 2008, 03:32:06 AM
If Tom flips town I'll know I'm an insane cop.  Which, once known, is the same as a sane cop.  So I will proceed to investigate the people I find most likely to be scum, such that I can provide town with a useful result after my death.  This may or may not be Cid's target. 

Cid, I'm not sure you've thought this plan all the way through (and I'll admit my kneejerk reaction to any sort of investigation direction is "Wow, is he claiming scum framer?")  If I am insane and Tom is town, that leaves two scum left alive, which if you are telling the truth means we have so many town roles there almost certainly will be a scum roleblocker, which means one or the other of us is obviously getting blocked, which means the plan won't work?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 05, 2008, 03:47:48 AM
Day 2 votecount!

Affinity (0): Kiro
Kiro (0): AndrewRogue
Xanth (0): El Cideon, DreadThomas
DreadThomas (6): Sir Alex, Xanth, Strago, El Cideon, Kilgamayan, Excal
SirAlex (1): AndrewRogue, Dread Thomas, Corwin
Corwin (0): Dread Thomas
Excal (0): Bardiche

With 12 alive, it takes 7 to lynch. About 20 hours remaining.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 05, 2008, 03:50:29 AM
Cid, I'm not sure you've thought this plan all the way through

I can only assure you that I have. And I think you may be overestimating the number of power roles in the game. The only one the group as a whole knows for sure is here is Godfather--because that's the only one we've seen a flip for. I don't think there's enough evidence to be convinced of any other claims just yet, or draw any conclusions about the number of power roles present in the setup.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 05, 2008, 03:52:17 AM
why would anybody be discussing a "secret plan" like this

stop it?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 05, 2008, 03:55:13 AM
Quote
If you see something suspicious, you shouldn't ignore it in favour of railroading one person!

This is true.  However, the thing you count as suspicious, lurking, cannot compare to the (apparently) substantial cases you have on Alex and Xanth.  When I saw you vote Corwin just because of that, it felt as if you were scum shuffling around trying to pin suspicion onto someone else.  Case in point:

Quote
continuing to go after Alex was useless.

Sounds as if it was from a scum's perspective, rather than townie's.  

Quote
It's pretty obvious what ScumAlex gains, he's no longer taking heat (he was coming under heavy fire), and he never has to commit to anything (claim roleblock/the NK target).

This is true, but they are all short-term when compared to tomorrow, where he would be placed under heavy scrutiny.  But I guess I do see your point with the 'insanity' out he could use tomorrow if he were scum.

Quote
So you're saying if I flip scum, you'd consider that Alex was scumbussing me? That's very unlikely.

It's still a possibility that I won't leave out; two of the games I have played involved this one way or the other, and you indirectly supporting Alex on this one point is really... weird.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 05, 2008, 03:58:20 AM
I really doubt we are going to get anywhere else here without a flip. So. Are we ready for a hammer?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 05, 2008, 03:59:24 AM
Rather, are we ready to put out our super sekret tech plans and put down a hammer?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 05, 2008, 04:00:35 AM
Quite so, Andy. We are indeed waiting for the hammer to fall, as the man in the song says.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 05, 2008, 04:04:18 AM
I'm going to run over to Walgreens and then I will come back and hammer. So. Ya'll have about 10-15 more minutes for any last minute thoughts from other folks or to tell me not to.

Be back.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 05, 2008, 04:06:35 AM
Quote
I really doubt we are going to get anywhere else here without a flip. So. Are we ready for a hammer?

I guess Tom and town are on different frequencies now.  In the end, it's really not very easy to differentiate between town-Tom and scum-Tom, and since I remain unconvinced by his responses, I guess this is the only choice for today.  Apparently, this is the first time I ever hammered anyone.

##Unvote
##Vote: Dread Thomas
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Halbarad on December 05, 2008, 04:08:53 AM
HAMMER STOP TALKING (and yes, Rat asked me to step in)
Flip in a moment.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Halbarad on December 05, 2008, 04:15:32 AM
Day 2 votecount!

Affinity (0): Kiro
Kiro (0): AndrewRogue
Xanth (0): El Cideon, DreadThomas
DreadThomas (7): Sir Alex, Xanth, Strago, El Cideon, Kilgamayan, Excal, Affinity
SirAlex (1): AndrewRogue, Dread Thomas, Corwin
Corwin (0): Dread Thomas
Excal (0): Bardiche


Dread Thomas, aka Kuga Natsuki, Vanilla Town, has been lynched!

It is now Night, send in your actions.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 05, 2008, 01:35:01 PM
The day got into full swing once again, until Sugiura Midori stepped up! "Ey! Natsuki! You've been skipping class!" she called, waving a halberd aroudn as if it was a flag. "There's no reason for anyone to skip class, even now, unless they're scoping for targets! Explain yourself!"

The bluette snorted. "I've been skipping class for months, what else is new? Furthermore, I'm not even in your class! And aren't you still drunk?"

"Oho? And... and what have you been doing all this time?" challenged Aoi, clneching her fists. "K.. Kuga-san often visited Mai! She would easily know when her guard is down!

"Now, now, don't be silly, everyone. There's no way Natsuki could be behind this," stated Shizuru, calmly sipping at some tea.

"Oh? Why's that? Do you know where she's been?" responded Nao, prompting a look of consternation. "I say we drag her in. Let me interrogate her. I know some tricks." She snapped her fingers. "Julia! Catch the mouse~"

Red strings seemed to spring out of the ground, and they pulled something after them- a hideous monster, about as big as a house! Armoured green skin covered it's form, and eight spindly legs caused it to resemble a spider. Rising out of the main body was something akin to a female human's torso, with a leering, metallic face.

"You can't do this! Kiyo-" began Shizuru, before Miyu grabbed the back of her shoulder. "Don't interfere," the woman said, coldly.

Natsuki barely got a chance to blink before the monster spurted thick webbing towards her, pulling her off her feet and dragging her in close. In no time, Natsuki was within the creature's grip...

(http://img291.imageshack.us/img291/4161/2104st9.jpg)

For all her talk, Nao's interrogation efforts proved fruitless, as Natsuki simply refused to speak. "Well, you can eat her," the girl muttered. Shizuru screamed bloody murder, but nobody else stepped forward to help. When the grisly business was done, however, she seemed to lapse into catatonia, muttering Natsuki's name over and over again.

Even when they searched Natsuki's apartment later, though, no evidence of wrongdoing was found.

<->

The next day, the group was one person short. A quick inspection, however, found Miyu- or at least her head. Instead of blood and organs, however, a metallic spinal cord was located, along with numerous wires, still sparking. "Protect... Hime... Protect..." her voice sputtered, before, apparently, the batteries ran out for good.

El Cideon, aka Miyu, Bulletproof Miller, was deconstructed overnight!

1. Fujino Shizuru (Corwin)
2. Sugiura Midori (SirAlexTheFirst)
3. Yuuichi Tate (Excal)
4. Minagi Mikoto (AndrewRogue)
7. Ishigami Wataru (Strago)
9. Kazuya Kurauchi (Bardiche)
10. Senou Aoi (Kilgamayan)
11. Suzushiro Haruka (Xanth)
12. Yuuki Nao (Affinity)
13. Higurashi Akane (Kiro)

It is now Day 3. With 10 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. There are 48 hours remaining.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 05, 2008, 01:42:04 PM
And a brand new day begins, Miss Sugiura.

So I wasn't Natsuki's most important person after all....
Title: Seaweed Nodule Method
Post by: Xanth on December 05, 2008, 02:13:35 PM
If no one can call Alex out now, he's basically confirmed cop in my book. It's ironic, because through killing a bulletproof player I'm even more sure.

This assumes no more than two scum left. (One left trivially resolves to it being a hitman*. Three left starts us with 13/4, which seems rather unbalanced without role power to make up for it)

For a theoretical scumAlex to even consider being able to fake claim into today, he needs to have stopped an actual cop from scanning him last night following his claim. This requires either killing the cop and bluff like crazy, which hasn't happened, or to roleblock the cop. But if the cop was roleblocked then El Cid can't have been, so we're looking at a hitman/roleblocker duo for this to make any sense. But if that's the case, how did they find the cop in the first place? There's no room for shoving an additional rolecop clause on top of one of the two given the semi-open nature of the set up. The only possibility would be if they somehow guessed who the cop was on day one, which seems like a ridiculous gambit when the cop could still come into the open to challenge Alex anyway.

So no, I don't think scumAlex could reasonably have stopped an actual cop from scanning him, thus if no one confronts him immediately today I'm counting him as 99% cleared town insane cop.


I'm frustrated that Tom was town despite his actions (which contradicted to the end), but I stand by my position there.


*Actually, it could theoretically be any other scum role, essentially equivalent to vanilla at that point, combined with an unfortunate use of town roleblocking. This option seems hilariously unlikely, though, especially given their failure to kill El Cid in night one, and doesn't break the logic here anyway.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 05, 2008, 02:30:11 PM
For a theoretical scumAlex to even consider being able to fake claim into today, he needs to have stopped an actual cop from scanning him last night following his claim. This requires either killing the cop and bluff like crazy, which hasn't happened, or to roleblock the cop. But if the cop was roleblocked then El Cid can't have been, so we're looking at a hitman/roleblocker duo for this to make any sense. But if that's the case, how did they find the cop in the first place? There's no room for shoving an additional rolecop clause on top of one of the two given the semi-open nature of the set up. The only possibility would be if they somehow guessed who the cop was on day one, which seems like a ridiculous gambit when the cop could still come into the open to challenge Alex anyway.

So no, I don't think scumAlex could reasonably have stopped an actual cop from scanning him, thus if no one confronts him immediately today I'm counting him as 99% cleared town insane cop.

I... hrmm. My initial reaction to this was that it seemed very hasty, but... it actually scans very logically to me. So that's interesting. Huh.

Time to look back over Day 2, I guess. Grah, Tom.
Title: Dance Spica T-Shirt
Post by: Xanth on December 05, 2008, 02:46:45 PM
I've been thinking about it long before the flip. Way before the end of the day, even. The bulletproof flip just simplifies it considerably.

I'm still not really here yet: I'm busy blu-tacking Twix bars to my ceiling. More rounded stuff in a few hours or so, as I did mostly miss out people who weren't Tom or myself yesterday.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 05, 2008, 02:50:27 PM
I find this unlikely, Miss Suzushiro. Your suggestion ignores that the cowardly scum have tried to kill Miyu the first night, and failed to do so.

You suggest the existence of a Hitman, yet for this coincidence to occur and for Miyu to die the second night, it would need to be a Hitman with several uses, or scum had inexplicably used someone else during the first night to kill. While not impossible, I have to wonder why you would ignore such and decide that Miss Sugiura is quite innocent of any wrong-doings.

I also have to wonder why, even when you allude to the possibility of a Roleblocker, you call it a town Roleblocker. Would it not be more likely that in the absence of a Hitman, scum might have a Roleblocker, who would cooperate with another scum to kill Miyu? And yet, I find no mention of this in your theories.

There is more in your words that I disagree with, but I would like to receive an answer on this, first.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 05, 2008, 03:05:51 PM
Whether or not Scum have a Roleblocker should be easy enough to discern once Alex tells us what his results from last night were, and if he was able to investigate.

Unless, of course, he's lying scum. But I find it really hard to believe that we don't have a cop, now that we've had flips from both a Godfather and a Miller.

You suggest the existence of a Hitman, yet for this coincidence to occur and for Miyu to die the second night, it would need to be a Hitman with several uses, or scum had inexplicably used someone else during the first night to kill. While not impossible, I have to wonder why you would ignore such and decide that Miss Sugiura is quite innocent of any wrong-doings.

Maybe a single-use Hitman that has to declare beforehand whether or not he's using his protection-busting kill? So it could potentially be wasted? Seems possible.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 05, 2008, 03:07:07 PM
Unless, of course, he's lying scum. But I find it really hard to believe that we don't have a cop, now that we've had flips from both a Godfather and a Miller.

My implied third sentence there being: if there is a real Cop and Alex is faking, now might be a good chance for said Cop to tell us.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Xanth on December 05, 2008, 03:18:37 PM
Corwin: the 'town roleblocker' part was strictly for a one remaining scum angle, in which if it's not a hitman then it would have required a town roleblocker accidentally removing El Cid's bulletproof ability, given that a lone scum couldn't do that and kill him. I wouldn't really concentrate much on that footnote.

And yes, sure, it is entirely possible that we have [scum on the kill] + roleblocker to kill El Cid, but in this case they have no way of interfering with a cop. My argument was not 'how could they have possibly killed a bulletproof', it was 'how could scumAlex have possibly kept the actual cop silent last night whilst simultaneously killing a bulletproof', and hence why if Alex isn't the cop then the real cop should be whipping him some time about now.
Title: Glaive Tiger Door
Post by: Xanth on December 05, 2008, 03:27:18 PM
Hitman (May ignore protections of any kind if sent on the kill. May have limited uses.)

For why it could be a hitman even given the first night failure. Not that we should be trying to guess what combination scum have, my argument simply ran that there is no possible scum combination that would have allowed them to keep the cop silent last night if Alex was fake claiming as scum, and hence why I don't think he would have attempted such a hopelessly risky strategy.

The actual scum pairing theorising doesn't work outside of the construct of working out Alex's innocence, and I didn't intend it to.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 05, 2008, 03:42:56 PM
Yes. I would know the rules, I alluded to them myself in my post, Xanth. My question was why you ignored the possibility altogether.

Your response right now feels like an evasion. Your entire opening post for today explained how Alex couldn't possibly be scum. It ignored a very real possibility of Alex indeed being scum, which you believed to be a crazy gambit no one would try. But why would a real cop need to call Alex out now? What exactly would a real cop achieve with that at this point? Just as there could be no cops in the game, there could easily be two, especially as sanities may come into the picture. Claiming would be bad in all scenarios unless this hypothetical cop hit Tom or Cid night one, and Alex night two (or Alex, then Cid, I suppose). Otherwise, he either risks squabbling with town's other cop, or letting scum know who he is.

None of this featured in your post, which pretty much called on any cops to claim straight away.

Strago: Since you keep on repeating Xanth's sentiments, this question is for you as well. What exactly could this hypothetical second cop tell us now if he doesn't have proof of his sanity or a read on Alex?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 05, 2008, 03:53:27 PM
I'm going to wait on Bard's response to my post before I decide whether or not he is worth a vote. If possible, I would like others to assess what I have laid out against him - useless journalism (which I admit is less prevalent than I initially thought when I first posted attacking him but still more prevalent than when Xanth was picking at him on Day 1 for it), voting for Excal while claiming Tom needs to be lynched and suggesting the "if x flips town we need to lynch y" line of following.

Andrew: For all the picking you did at Alex, Kiro and Xanth for not voting for Sopko on Day 1, you show up all ready to hammer Tom - before taking off for Walgreens, at which point someone else does it. I'd like an explanation for why these two instances are so different that you should not be called on hypocrisy. (I'd also like an explanation as to why your vote wasn't anywhere at the end of the day.)
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 05, 2008, 05:13:10 PM
Also, just to warn everyone ahead of time, I have a concert (no, I am not going to one, I am in one) tonight and will be indisposed from 3 PM Eastern to, uh, I'd guess 10 or 11 PM. I'll be sure to pop in after I get home.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 05, 2008, 05:49:25 PM
My first thought is that the Roleblocker theory seems slightly more plausible to me due to the fact that if the scum assumed doctor instead of bulletproof, as seemed to be the sentiment in the thread, then with Alex's revelation that it would be more likely that El Cid would not be under Doctor protection due to wanting to keep the Cop alive.  So, I am a bit concerned that Xanth would be so complacent about looking away from that theory.

Regardless...  After about 11AM, I'm going to be gone for about 12 hours, after which I'll have a 10 hour period between work shifts in which to travel home, eat, sleep, and travel back, and I likely will not be back until 8 or 9 PM on Saturday night, so this Day happened at roughly the worst time possible for me.  I'll do my best to give you guys worthwhile posts, but yeah.  I'm gonna be busy.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 05, 2008, 06:09:32 PM
M'kay. Since Kilga declares intent to vote on me apparently, I'm going to respond to this first and then uh, yeah, El Cid killed? WIFOM mindfuck to me what the scum are thinking.

Ignoring the bits that really can't be responded to in any way other than, "uh, right."

Quote
You're wandering into both False Dichotomy and Appeal to Emotion territory here. My answer is that you should NOT not post at all, but you should also not post posts that are opinionless summaries doubling as placeholders.

In this instance, yes, I believe it would have been better to not post at all if the only other alterrnative was to post what you did. (Again, false dichotomy, but that can be ignored for the purposes of this hypothetical situation.) If you absolutely must post to maintain a presence in the thread while you work your way toward time where you can actually focus, stuff like this (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42445#msg42445) is better (in my opinion: there are others that would disagree, most notably those who prefer no excuse for absence is made at all) because you don't look like you're trying to look like you're contributing without actually doing so. If that makes sense.

As far as I was concerned I was reflecting the stuff I had caught up with so people'd know. Was I contributing at that time? No, I wasn't. But I also do not feel that what I did is in any way grounds to lynch someone, or otherwise an anti-Town sentiment.

There is no attempt in the post we're arguing about to have any contribution to the thread at all. Here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42479#msg42479), I refer to what I write as "thoughts" indeed. They are my initial impressions of the issues I caught while skimming and are a clear indication that I was catching up to the thread and that real contribution could be expected in the near future.


Quote
You could but it would be a hell of a lot harder to do so without looking really bad. It is better to solidly commit to an opinion not because you genuinely think what you're saying is true, but because it allows others to get a better read on you and form their own opinions accordingly. If you're flip-flopping all over the place you're going to stick out like a sore thumb (because if you're town you have no reason to do this).[/quuote]

The above in its entiriety is nothing more than playstyle differences/argumentation differences and I cannot respond to that in any way that doesn't boil down to, "That's the way I play, kay?"

Quote
You miss the point again. Your assessment of Cid started off as a negative one and ended as a positive one, and I have a very hard time seeing the bridge connecting those two sentiments in the rest of that paragraph. It's like you forgot what your opinion of Cid was halfway through. (Either that or you were somehow leaning TP on Cid, and I find it very hard to believe that anyone could make that call on Day 1.)

I suspected TP on Cid from then since he showed apathy towards the results. And hey, I find it equally hard for anyone to make a call on scumminess from game-start, so. I didn't feel Cid was particularly scummy that he should be lynched, but I also didn't feel he was being particularly Town. Leaves two options: write him off as "neutral read" or "Third Party", and I suspected the latter.

Quote
Not what I was asking. "His one-track approach is pretty..."...what? Townish? Scummy? Clever? Crazy? Gassy? Use an adjective instead of an ellipsis. "It makes me wonder" and "I'm not sure what makes me dislike it" are not terribly helpful. Sure, you say you dislike it, but you say it in such a fashion that's easily brushed off as nothing later at your convenience.

His one-track approach is pretty I cannot bring it under words so I am making use of implied dislike for the one-track approach. If I have only gut to rely on I can't make it any clearer than I have. I don't rely solely on logic in this game─if I did I'd have little to rely on for myself.

Quote
Then why not simply go back, count the votes and vote for Tom when you see it's safe? Or, if you're not sure, vote for no one? (I was even nice enough to point out in the post before yours that Tom was at L-2! :V) Do you not realize why "We need to lynch Tom! *Excal vote*" looks bad?

Like I said, I wanted to show where my suspicions were as well. I broke down earlier that I felt both Alex and Tom were Town, and so I can't find problem with actually pointing at where my suspicions do lie.

---->

Quote
If possible, I would like others to assess what I have laid out against him - useless journalism (which I admit is less prevalent than I initially thought when I first posted attacking him but still more prevalent than when Xanth was picking at him on Day 1 for it)

I'm going to admit to that only one of my posts was nothing but journalism. The two other posts you highlighted I have refuted. Will you hold that one post where I felt I was informing people of how far I've caught up/was being a useless reporter so strongly as a lynch argument? If you will, well, be my guest. I can't do anything about that.

Quote
voting for Excal while claiming Tom needs to be lynched

See above.

Quote
suggesting the "if x flips town we need to lynch y" line of following.

Quote
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Town, we will need to lynch Alex to be sure of his alignment.

I'll admit to later on saying, "Tom presents a case where Alex can only die",
Quote
I think Alex is seriously convinced he's nailed scum, and I think EvilTom's seriously convinced he's notScum, since he presents indeed a scenario in which case Alex will die if he dies.

Which was inspired by:
Quote
If I'm lynched and flip town, he'll just shrug and say "oh I'm insane" and then be 'roleblocked' for the rest of the game ("I think this is an important goal, since it is very likely scum have a roleblocker given we have a cop.....  I consider this important enough to outweigh the obvious drawbacks of my early claim"). He's already set it up for himself. [4]

I failed to consider the possibility of Alex just continuing the investigations and providing proper results then since he knew his sanity. That is the err I can admit to.

---->

Current day. Really want to hear Alex first of his investigative results.

Excal going away is... really damn inconvenient to me, since I suspect him of scumminess and then he's going away!
Alright, here we go.

##VOTE: Excal

There is no looming Cop claim right now, so I want to pick up where I left off.

Quote
Quote
Quote from: Excal on December 04, 2008, 08:11:27 PM
Also, Bard, in regards to why I was more interested in my side thing.  It's because I really was hoping for a role blocker, irrationally so I suppose.  Regardless, had that been the case, it would have meant, like I said earlier, that we'd have nailed scum 100%.  Sadly, the actual resolution is utterly inconclusive (or does have answers, but not ones which benefit Town to be talked about and so I'm dropping this thing like a radioactive potato) so yeah.  I get to stand here and look silly.

You may also have noticed that although I said I was going to think about it as I was leaving, I had also shown signs of musing it over before I left.  Most importantly in the aspect of admitting that whatever else had happened, I had been wrong in my earlier paranoia and that the Alex scenario I had earlier mentioned no longer fit as I had put it.

Your hope for a roleblocker is... irrational indeed, that you prioritize possibility in favor of what's been concretely put in our faces.

I must've missed those signs. You've been rather reserved insofar as commenting on the relevant matters go, though. I note your Day 1 activity was there, but little of it actually seemed keen on scumhunting. The only real vote you placed was on Sopko after things went awry for him. Your continued behaviour in that regard Day 2 makes it even look worse.

I won't hold your lack of a vote Day 2 against you─that'd be unfair given my own vote record, and I am already straining the reaches of courtesy by holding it against you Day 1 when I was hardly present for the first Day. I justify it to myself only as your activity being there despite no vote.
But despite that, I still hold your lack of... lack of actual scumhunting against you.

Excal's been lurking altogether and has been lackluster in actual scumhunts. When the entire Tom Case became an actuality and the soup du jour as Strago put it, Excal waved it off as paling in comparison, supposedly "showing signs of mulling it over" when I saw no such signs.

Also:
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My first thought is that the Roleblocker theory seems slightly more plausible to me due to the fact that if the scum assumed doctor instead of bulletproof, as seemed to be the sentiment in the thread, then with Alex's revelation that it would be more likely that El Cid would not be under Doctor protection due to wanting to keep the Cop alive

the fact that if scum assumed doctor instead of bulletproof. This may be going into WIFOM, but the fact that something happened to that Night Kill, be it Roleblock (either side) or Hitman (scum), doesn't really indicate the Scum assumed anything. I do not know why you purport that they must've assumed Bulletproof.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 05, 2008, 06:11:22 PM
Gah, messed up quote tags. Fixed post below:

--->

M'kay. Since Kilga declares intent to vote on me apparently, I'm going to respond to this first and then uh, yeah, El Cid killed? WIFOM mindfuck to me what the scum are thinking.

Ignoring the bits that really can't be responded to in any way other than, "uh, right."

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You're wandering into both False Dichotomy and Appeal to Emotion territory here. My answer is that you should NOT not post at all, but you should also not post posts that are opinionless summaries doubling as placeholders.

In this instance, yes, I believe it would have been better to not post at all if the only other alterrnative was to post what you did. (Again, false dichotomy, but that can be ignored for the purposes of this hypothetical situation.) If you absolutely must post to maintain a presence in the thread while you work your way toward time where you can actually focus, stuff like this (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42445#msg42445) is better (in my opinion: there are others that would disagree, most notably those who prefer no excuse for absence is made at all) because you don't look like you're trying to look like you're contributing without actually doing so. If that makes sense.

As far as I was concerned I was reflecting the stuff I had caught up with so people'd know. Was I contributing at that time? No, I wasn't. But I also do not feel that what I did is in any way grounds to lynch someone, or otherwise an anti-Town sentiment.

There is no attempt in the post we're arguing about to have any contribution to the thread at all. Here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42479#msg42479), I refer to what I write as "thoughts" indeed. They are my initial impressions of the issues I caught while skimming and are a clear indication that I was catching up to the thread and that real contribution could be expected in the near future.


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You could but it would be a hell of a lot harder to do so without looking really bad. It is better to solidly commit to an opinion not because you genuinely think what you're saying is true, but because it allows others to get a better read on you and form their own opinions accordingly. If you're flip-flopping all over the place you're going to stick out like a sore thumb (because if you're town you have no reason to do this).

The above in its entiriety is nothing more than playstyle differences/argumentation differences and I cannot respond to that in any way that doesn't boil down to, "That's the way I play, kay?"

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You miss the point again. Your assessment of Cid started off as a negative one and ended as a positive one, and I have a very hard time seeing the bridge connecting those two sentiments in the rest of that paragraph. It's like you forgot what your opinion of Cid was halfway through. (Either that or you were somehow leaning TP on Cid, and I find it very hard to believe that anyone could make that call on Day 1.)

I suspected TP on Cid from then since he showed apathy towards the results. And hey, I find it equally hard for anyone to make a call on scumminess from game-start, so. I didn't feel Cid was particularly scummy that he should be lynched, but I also didn't feel he was being particularly Town. Leaves two options: write him off as "neutral read" or "Third Party", and I suspected the latter.

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Not what I was asking. "His one-track approach is pretty..."...what? Townish? Scummy? Clever? Crazy? Gassy? Use an adjective instead of an ellipsis. "It makes me wonder" and "I'm not sure what makes me dislike it" are not terribly helpful. Sure, you say you dislike it, but you say it in such a fashion that's easily brushed off as nothing later at your convenience.

His one-track approach is pretty I cannot bring it under words so I am making use of implied dislike for the one-track approach. If I have only gut to rely on I can't make it any clearer than I have. I don't rely solely on logic in this game─if I did I'd have little to rely on for myself.

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Then why not simply go back, count the votes and vote for Tom when you see it's safe? Or, if you're not sure, vote for no one? (I was even nice enough to point out in the post before yours that Tom was at L-2! :V) Do you not realize why "We need to lynch Tom! *Excal vote*" looks bad?

Like I said, I wanted to show where my suspicions were as well. I broke down earlier that I felt both Alex and Tom were Town, and so I can't find problem with actually pointing at where my suspicions do lie.

---->

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If possible, I would like others to assess what I have laid out against him - useless journalism (which I admit is less prevalent than I initially thought when I first posted attacking him but still more prevalent than when Xanth was picking at him on Day 1 for it)

I'm going to admit to that only one of my posts was nothing but journalism. The two other posts you highlighted I have refuted. Will you hold that one post where I felt I was informing people of how far I've caught up/was being a useless reporter so strongly as a lynch argument? If you will, well, be my guest. I can't do anything about that.

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voting for Excal while claiming Tom needs to be lynched

See above.

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suggesting the "if x flips town we need to lynch y" line of following.

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If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Town, we will need to lynch Alex to be sure of his alignment.

I'll admit to later on saying, "Tom presents a case where Alex can only die",
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I think Alex is seriously convinced he's nailed scum, and I think EvilTom's seriously convinced he's notScum, since he presents indeed a scenario in which case Alex will die if he dies.

Which was inspired by:
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If I'm lynched and flip town, he'll just shrug and say "oh I'm insane" and then be 'roleblocked' for the rest of the game ("I think this is an important goal, since it is very likely scum have a roleblocker given we have a cop.....  I consider this important enough to outweigh the obvious drawbacks of my early claim"). He's already set it up for himself. [4]

I failed to consider the possibility of Alex just continuing the investigations and providing proper results then since he knew his sanity. That is the err I can admit to.

---->

Current day. Really want to hear Alex first of his investigative results.

Excal going away is... really damn inconvenient to me, since I suspect him of scumminess and then he's going away!
Alright, here we go.

##VOTE: Excal

There is no looming Cop claim right now, so I want to pick up where I left off.

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Quote
Quote from: Excal on December 04, 2008, 08:11:27 PM
Also, Bard, in regards to why I was more interested in my side thing.  It's because I really was hoping for a role blocker, irrationally so I suppose.  Regardless, had that been the case, it would have meant, like I said earlier, that we'd have nailed scum 100%.  Sadly, the actual resolution is utterly inconclusive (or does have answers, but not ones which benefit Town to be talked about and so I'm dropping this thing like a radioactive potato) so yeah.  I get to stand here and look silly.

You may also have noticed that although I said I was going to think about it as I was leaving, I had also shown signs of musing it over before I left.  Most importantly in the aspect of admitting that whatever else had happened, I had been wrong in my earlier paranoia and that the Alex scenario I had earlier mentioned no longer fit as I had put it.

Your hope for a roleblocker is... irrational indeed, that you prioritize possibility in favor of what's been concretely put in our faces.

I must've missed those signs. You've been rather reserved insofar as commenting on the relevant matters go, though. I note your Day 1 activity was there, but little of it actually seemed keen on scumhunting. The only real vote you placed was on Sopko after things went awry for him. Your continued behaviour in that regard Day 2 makes it even look worse.

I won't hold your lack of a vote Day 2 against you─that'd be unfair given my own vote record, and I am already straining the reaches of courtesy by holding it against you Day 1 when I was hardly present for the first Day. I justify it to myself only as your activity being there despite no vote.
But despite that, I still hold your lack of... lack of actual scumhunting against you.

Excal's been lurking altogether and has been lackluster in actual scumhunts. When the entire Tom Case became an actuality and the soup du jour as Strago put it, Excal waved it off as paling in comparison, supposedly "showing signs of mulling it over" when I saw no such signs.

Also:
Quote
My first thought is that the Roleblocker theory seems slightly more plausible to me due to the fact that if the scum assumed doctor instead of bulletproof, as seemed to be the sentiment in the thread, then with Alex's revelation that it would be more likely that El Cid would not be under Doctor protection due to wanting to keep the Cop alive

the fact that if scum assumed doctor instead of bulletproof. This may be going into WIFOM, but the fact that something happened to that Night Kill, be it Roleblock (either side) or Hitman (scum), doesn't really indicate the Scum assumed anything. I do not know why you purport that they must've assumed Bulletproof.

---->

ADDENDUM:
I realize Kiro and Affinity have been lurking hardcore. Speak up you two.
Title: Europe Starship Ball
Post by: Xanth on December 05, 2008, 06:12:53 PM
Ignored what, [scum on kill] + roleblocker blocking El Cid? Well yes, because that necessitates not interfering with the actual cop in the scumAlex scenario. I didn't so much ignore it as reach hitman + roleblocker blocking actual cop through process of elimination as the only way to achieve it (other than killing the cop, which hasn't happened).

If an actual cop in the case of scumAlex did not happen to scan him in night 1, it would be complete and utter folly not to scan him night 2. You're right that I haven't considered that possibility, to which I can only say that if this is somehow the case they've wasted time and should be doing it in night 3.

But no, I must withdraw somewhat, in that you're right that a theoretical cop scanning Alex last night doesn't necessarily have proof yet. I have in effect demonstrated only that said cop basically must have a scan on Alex.

So okay, I actually can't be as sure of Alex as I thought I could be, depending on who the theoretical actual cop / second cop is, so let's not dig there further unless/until they're sure. I still think that this is a ridiculous gambit for a scumAlex given that a cop would pretty much definitely have a scan on him by now and could confirm their own sanity at a point outside of scum's power, so he's still my top town pick.

Excal ninja: Again, I wasn't theorising how El Cid was killed last night (can we even gain from that at all?), just proving that a theoretical scum team including Alex couldn't stop an actual cop from scanning him, for which that combination is right out.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 05, 2008, 06:59:46 PM
Xanth, you know what I find to be the huge gaping flaw in your theory is?  It assumes that the remaining scum have between them Rolecop, Roleblocker, and Docbuster.  One to know who the cop is, one to negate the cop, and then the other to actually kill El Cid.  I'd say that that also assumes they got lucky and found the cop night 1, but we're already looking at a minimum of three scum roles here, for what surely cannot be more than two scum.

Granted, there are eight town left, and losing a scum!Alex would mean seven would have to die instead of six.  However, we don't actually have much in the way of leads.  Looking back on Sopko, you can see that he randomly tried to defend a few different people, so even if Alex is scum, he'll be doing his best to obfuscate his trail so we can't find his remaining scum buddy.

That said, I will also state here and now that I disagree with your case that a scum cop Alex scenario isn't as far fetched as you might think.  In the best case scenario for them, there is no cop.  They get to play things straight for a little while, and they waste two days while we test Alex out, minimum.  Worst case, they out the cop, and we guess right.  In which case, I'm betting it's the one with Docbuster, the one whose power activates when he goes on the kill that isn't taking the gamble, at which point, real cop goes bye-bye, and while there is only one scum left, our investigative powers also take a huge hit.  And if their one scum is good enough, that might be enough for the win.

I will also state that I, for one, found Alex's statements about why haven't we all blindly followed his lead like good little townies should to be very, very disconcerting.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 05, 2008, 07:11:32 PM
Anyways, that's all I've got for now.  I am off, and will see you all in around 11.5 hours.
Title: Stand Coin Calcium
Post by: Xanth on December 05, 2008, 07:19:57 PM
Xanth, you know what I find to be the huge gaping flaw in your theory is?  It assumes that the remaining scum have between them Rolecop, Roleblocker, and Docbuster.  One to know who the cop is, one to negate the cop, and then the other to actually kill El Cid.  I'd say that that also assumes they got lucky and found the cop night 1, but we're already looking at a minimum of three scum roles here, for what surely cannot be more than two scum.

Errr... yes?

This is precisely my point. I'm glad you agree with it.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 05, 2008, 07:55:58 PM
As far as I was concerned I was reflecting the stuff I had caught up with so people'd know. Was I contributing at that time? No, I wasn't. But I also do not feel that what I did is in any way grounds to lynch someone, or otherwise an anti-Town sentiment.

On its own? Of course it's not enough. Is it grounds to lynch someone when used in conjunction with other reasons that person looks suspicious? Sure. Did I found my suspicion of you entirely on that one post? No. You suggest this line of thought from me again later on, so I'll ask now that you stop painting me like I'm trying to lynch you just for that one post.

There is no attempt in the post we're arguing about to have any contribution to the thread at all. Here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42479#msg42479), I refer to what I write as "thoughts" indeed. They are my initial impressions of the issues I caught while skimming and are a clear indication that I was catching up to the thread and that real contribution could be expected in the near future.

Your "impressions" are, in order:

- "Very interesting" + "opinions forthcoming". Useless.
-  "I can agree with it to an extent, but I tried to give my opinions where I could". Wishy-washy. Pick a side - he's right or he's not.
- "Need to give it more attention". Useless.
- Lack-of-NK celebration. Useless.
- Apology to Cid. Good from a human standpoint, but still useless from an investigative standpoint.
- "Skimmed too much to form a definite opinion". Useless.

...I don't see any actual impressions in there, aside from the Xanth thing where you try to have it both ways. Unless we're counting deciding that every important issue is, indeed, important as impressions.

...You do later concede that this post was indeed useless journalism, though, so I am satisfied with that. I think it would be a time-saver for both of us if we accepted this and moved on.

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You could but it would be a hell of a lot harder to do so without looking really bad. It is better to solidly commit to an opinion not because you genuinely think what you're saying is true, but because it allows others to get a better read on you and form their own opinions accordingly. If you're flip-flopping all over the place you're going to stick out like a sore thumb (because if you're town you have no reason to do this).

The above in its entiriety is nothing more than playstyle differences/argumentation differences and I cannot respond to that in any way that doesn't boil down to, "That's the way I play, kay?"

If a playstyle hinders town then it needs to be changed. It's your choice to continue playing this way but you're going to continue to get flak for it, and for good reason.

(While we're on this subject, ask Alex about one UncertainKitten and the issue of playstyle.)

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You miss the point again. Your assessment of Cid started off as a negative one and ended as a positive one, and I have a very hard time seeing the bridge connecting those two sentiments in the rest of that paragraph. It's like you forgot what your opinion of Cid was halfway through. (Either that or you were somehow leaning TP on Cid, and I find it very hard to believe that anyone could make that call on Day 1.)

I suspected TP on Cid from then since he showed apathy towards the results. And hey, I find it equally hard for anyone to make a call on scumminess from game-start, so. I didn't feel Cid was particularly scummy that he should be lynched, but I also didn't feel he was being particularly Town. Leaves two options: write him off as "neutral read" or "Third Party", and I suspected the latter.

...What? How?

Am I crazy in thinking that legitimately leaning TP in the middle of Day 1 is nigh impossible? Someone, anyone, help me out here. I am completely flummoxed on this one.

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Not what I was asking. "His one-track approach is pretty..."...what? Townish? Scummy? Clever? Crazy? Gassy? Use an adjective instead of an ellipsis. "It makes me wonder" and "I'm not sure what makes me dislike it" are not terribly helpful. Sure, you say you dislike it, but you say it in such a fashion that's easily brushed off as nothing later at your convenience.

His one-track approach is pretty I cannot bring it under words so I am making use of implied dislike for the one-track approach. If I have only gut to rely on I can't make it any clearer than I have. I don't rely solely on logic in this game─if I did I'd have little to rely on for myself.

Tom put this better than I could.

Relying on 'gut' is the easiest way for scum to validate a vote. I'd rather we were all accountable for our votes by providing specific reasons.

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Then why not simply go back, count the votes and vote for Tom when you see it's safe? Or, if you're not sure, vote for no one? (I was even nice enough to point out in the post before yours that Tom was at L-2! :V) Do you not realize why "We need to lynch Tom! *Excal vote*" looks bad?

Like I said, I wanted to show where my suspicions were as well. I broke down earlier that I felt both Alex and Tom were Town, and so I can't find problem with actually pointing at where my suspicions do lie.

Oh, this changes things then! You thought Tom was town while saying his lynch was a good idea! That makes understanding this a lot easier.

##Vote: Bardiche

Quote
suggesting the "if x flips town we need to lynch y" line of following.

Quote
If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Town, we will need to lynch Alex to be sure of his alignment.

...And? Why is that part relevant at all? Surely you could not possibly be implying that there were people out there that thought it was possible to be sure of someone's alignment without their death.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 05, 2008, 07:59:33 PM
Also, Xanth, would you be a dear and start playing the game instead of playing the setup? :V We have another train and subsequent flip, surely you have some thoughts on that.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 05, 2008, 08:06:37 PM
And I am outta here. Back in 8 or so~
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 05, 2008, 08:51:53 PM
Well, Kilga, let me count the ways.

1. I didn't come out with a "Man, I was totally going to suggest we go after Sopko but, hey, check it out, it was already done" post and then disappear to + or - 5 minutes until lynch to actually put a vote down.

2. I wasn't a secondary lynch candidate who should be trying my damndest to make sure I don't get lynched.

3. There were approximately 20 hours left in the day, as opposed to, say, a couple minutes.

4. Tom didn't flip, you know, Scum Godfather.

5. I flat out said I would hammer when I got back. It isn't like I was dragging this out until the last minute by doing this. Again, we still had 20 or so hours left in the day.

6. On the outside chance you are referring to my initial day 1 reservations (no one is actually hammering Sopko, so maybe scum are nervous about slamming it down on him, ergo Sopko might actually be town), that doesn't really work here either, because Tom had a cop claim laying on his head. Hammering carries a different weight here.

To put it simply, the same logic I applied to the End of Day 1 doesn't work at the End of Day 2, because the situations were, as you can see by the flips, the time remaining and the general tonal stuff. Trying to equate the two is rather silly.

As for why I didn't have any vote down at the end of day 2. Well, the answer is kind of obvious, isn't it Kilga? I voted for Kiro, switched to Alex and backed off once the cop claim came out. Frankly, I didn't like the claim at the time (and am still not particularly fond of it, frankly), but eventually concluded I'd still rather risk following the initial claim. So, I asked if people were ready, got one confirmation, had to run an errand so I figured I'd give it a little more time and then I had the hammer stolen right from under me. Which leaves me with no vote out.

Anyhow, I'm just not convinced of the logic that, without a counter claim, Alex MUST be cop. There have been games in the past where miller/godfather existed without a cop and, frankly, I don't see a gambit with Alex claiming cop early as impossible. He either gets town to swing his way at least once or immediately draws out an immediate counter claim. If town swings his way, he keeps playing it up until town doesn't play anymore or until a counterclaim rears its head. If there is no opposing cop? He gets to play as long as he wants, basically. If there is, then they get reduced to lone scum (which can be notoriously difficult to actually catch) and NK cop. "But wait, what if town has a doctor, Andrew?" Yes? What if scum have a hitman? Doc protect gets busted, cop dies and we're down to town vs lone scum game.

Frankly, I don't see it as unreasonable.

As it stands, no, I'm not feeling that happy with Alex. Given that I've been fairly unhappy with him since Day 1, it shouldn't be shocking that I'm really dissatisfied with Alex and that he JUST SO HAPPENS to be the kind of Doc that is probably going to get town killed first. However, at the same time, I feel like I am starting to get tunnelvision. So, before I go any further with this, I would like to hear from Alex, hear his result, see who his main scum candidates are, etc. ^_^
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 05, 2008, 09:02:59 PM
We have a train? On... who? Your single vote on me hardly constitutes a train, and I don't think my opposition to Excal constitutes a train either.

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Oh, this changes things then! You thought Tom was town while saying his lynch was a good idea! That makes understanding this a lot easier.

Yes. I explained the reasoning thereto. I can break it down again.

- Alex claims Cop and accuses Tom of Scum.

Begin situation. At this juncture I theorize that both are likely town given from the conviction I felt from both of them, and how I found Alex's claim to be in conjunction with his behaviour that day.
Controversely the only reason for me to say Tom was scum was Alex's investigation. Up to that point, and from that point onward, I read his post as Townie. If I took him as scum, I... still couldn't overly see the scum in it. I said so explicitly.

- So! Alex's validity as a Cop is called question and Tom is deeper analyzed.

We have conflicted opinions here between town and need clarity to solve this matter! Oh teh noez. At this point I can either:
A) Argue against Tom and in favor of Alex; effectively lying about thinking Tom is Scum.
B) Argue in favor of Tom and against Alex; effectively lying about my sentiments and professing we lynch what I believe(d) to be a genuine Cop.
C) Take a stance in favor of lynching Tom; with the stipulation that I do it expressly in the town's best interest of:
---1) Confirming Alex's sanity (if he's really Cop)
---2) Clearing the conflict between the two so it won't haunt us/bite us in the ass at a later time
D) Pretend my nose's bleeding and ignore the entire ordeal

I picked C. Well, there's also a variation of C to lynch Alex, but I fail to see the logic in lynching what you think is a Town Cop.

- Vote off one of the two of them to solve the conflict.

At this point, if I managed to mirafabulously push through another lynch instead, or anyone for that matter, the entire EvilTom VS Alex fight would've likely carried on into today. Between choosing for lynching a Copclaim or a Townclaim, I'm going to go with the Copclaim as the preferred survivor. This is why I voiced support for lynching Tom above lynching Alex, because I felt it safer to go with the Copclaim than the later-revealed-vanilla-claim. I had no idea of Tom's claim yet at that point I must admit.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 05, 2008, 10:04:34 PM
Good morning, just got up.

So I'm an insane cop.  Rather shaken up by that turn of events, I chose in the end to both trust Cid's mystery plan and hit one of the people most talked about, and investigated Xanth.  He came up as scum (which since I am insane means he is town).   I thought of concealing this result for a while but the scum probably could already guess it.

Well, maybe.  Evidently the mystery plan was a ploy by Cid to get me to investigate Cid himself instead, which I failed utterly at, thinking he was just a watcher or something.  Dangit, man, I told you it wouldn't work.

As far as scum go, yesterday they must have been quite surprised at my claim against Tom and of course immediately knew I was an insane cop since Tom didn't claim miller.  We also now know Tom vs Xanth was town vs town.  Given that I'm inclined to look for people who were on one of them day 1 and people who first brought up and believed in the insane cop theory. 

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Then why not simply go back, count the votes and vote for Tom when you see it's safe? Or, if you're not sure, vote for no one? (I was even nice enough to point out in the post before yours that Tom was at L-2! :V) Do you not realize why "We need to lynch Tom! *Excal vote*" looks bad?

Like I said, I wanted to show where my suspicions were as well. I broke down earlier that I felt both Alex and Tom were Town, and so I can't find problem with actually pointing at where my suspicions do lie.

Oh, this changes things then! You thought Tom was town while saying his lynch was a good idea! That makes understanding this a lot easier.

##Vote: Bardiche

Quote
suggesting the "if x flips town we need to lynch y" line of following.

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If we lynch EvilTom and he flips Town, we will need to lynch Alex to be sure of his alignment.

...And? Why is that part relevant at all? Surely you could not possibly be implying that there were people out there that thought it was possible to be sure of someone's alignment without their death.

Like this, yes.  I agree with most of Kilga's other points on Bard as well, so.

##Vote: Bardiche for now.

Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 05, 2008, 10:09:55 PM
Ugh. I was hoping to be able to get in more analysis/posting time today, but work has been obnoxiously busy, preventing me from playing games at the same time that I'm earning a paycheck. Positively un-American. Sigh. Anyway, I'm also going to likely be absent starting some time tomorrow and ending... I don't know, but possibly Sunday night. I'll bring my laptop along with me out of town, but I don't know that I'll actually get much of a chance to check in with the game. I didn't realize how much my plans (my exact travel schedule's been in a lot of flux) would cock up my presence in the game, so... well, consider this an official query to both the player-base and the mod:

I'll potentially be away all weekend. Would people be more comfortable with me attempting to get posts in when I can, or having Carth modkill me? I'm happy to do either one for the sake of keeping the game's flow as fun and un-lame as possible, and I'd request a replacement (again, if that's what the group as a whole preferred) if it wasn't Day 3 and thus outside Carth's window for allowing them.

Bleh. That out of the way, let me try to have some thoughts.

Strago: Since you keep on repeating Xanth's sentiments, this question is for you as well. What exactly could this hypothetical second cop tell us now if he doesn't have proof of his sanity or a read on Alex?

I don't know. I guess I've assumed to much about the role setup, since two Townie cops didn't strike me as likely in a game of this size. But "Bulletproof Miller" doesn't necessarily speak to the simplest role setup imaginable. Mrff, driving myself nuts with too much worthless role speculation. This is bad, and not going to get anybody anywhere. Certainly not before some new actual info is presented by Alex/anyone else. Going to try to completely ignore role speculation for the rest of the post.

Andrew comports himself well in his recent post addressing Kilga. I honestly thought it was a bit weird that Kilga even brought that point up, and Andy's points ring true to me. Hoooowever, that's a lot of time spent on defense, a little time spent on role speculation, and an even smaller amount of just gesturing at his previous suspicions of Alex. It feels like a lot of people are sort of sitting on their hands until Alex shows up with his Night 2 results, and while I understand the impulse it's also dangerously complacent.

Xanth's just Mr. Let's Talk About Roles today. This is bad for reasons discussed. His complete willingness to clear Alex of suspicion right out of the gate strikes me as problematic.

Looking back on Alex, it strikes me that his attitude is similar, in a subtle way, to Tom's yesterday. He just doesn't strike me as trying to be helpful, if that makes sense. Puts himself up on a Cop-justified pedestal with his comments in the vein of "Anyone who isn't listening to me and doing just what I say is playing with unfathomable stupidity," which... do I have to explain why that gives me pause? Really want to hear from him.

And... hey, Ninja'd by Alex when I refreshed the topic! Crazy timing.

Gah. And I have to go before I really have time to process this case against Bardiche. Okay. At the very least I'll make sure to be back late this evening before my potential-weekend-away happens. arrrrrrg
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 05, 2008, 10:19:49 PM
Day 3 votecount!

Strago: If you're sure you can get posts in here and there I don't really want to modkill you.

Excal (1): Bardiche
Bardiche (2): Kilgamayan, SirAlex

With 10 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Roughly 39 hours remaining, give or take.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 05, 2008, 10:22:41 PM
Strago: Modkills are bad. Avoid like the plague. I don't care what team you are on, just try to finish the game to the last!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 05, 2008, 10:39:19 PM
Quick venture into the discussion about cops:

Scum trying to only roleblock a hidden cop does no good if Alex was scum faking it. That cop, despite having no results to report and probably feeling relatively useless at that point, could still come out and in essence force a 1 for 1 Town:Scum trade with his own sacrificial flip. Once Alex came out with the claim, by all means, the only major bluff a Scum Alex could ever pull off into endgame is saying there are 2 Town cops in the game, one Sane and one Insane.

There's also a slight chance of this being a case of a Town Alex who is actually not a Cop and was willing to roleclaim lie in getting whom he thought was a Scum Tom lynched. Highly anti-Town behavior even if he ended up being correct. I find this case unlikely.

As an aside, I don't understand how Cid was planning to prove Alex was an insane cop with his own role. Investigating Cid himself would have pulled an Innocent result from the Miller which subsequently would indicate Cid to be Scum. It'd be a crazy ass WIFOM considering several of us believed Cid to be all but confirmed Town since he also was the only one who claimed being shot at, but Town would supposedly have followed through to lynch Cid to reveal him as a Bulletproof Miller. I actually don't get what would have definitively been shown.

In essence, I don't think there's a way to prove Alex is lying or not except for him to be contradicted in his investigative results. And that would either a) never happen if he's a Cop, b) happen purely by chance if he's just a lying Townie, or c) happen only at the very end if he's Scum securing victory. Course he hasn't responded yet so we'll see who he checked out last Night or if he was blocked.

Now a case on Bardiche:

Venturing into 3rd party guesses so early is not my style. Neutral opinion on that. Voting for Excal like that on Day 2 is kind of weird. There was no way that Tom train was going to be derailed physically. But at the same time, I could kind of see the Excal vote as a possible discussional derail to get people to start talking about other things no matter how much the copclaim was staring us in the face. I actually don't see the point of that with his case on Excal. The case he presented seems kind of weak. Excal was the second vote on Sopko. And I think his Day 2 comments are fine, better than Bardiche's for sure. I'd have to agree that a lot of what Bardiche says is pretty flaky. The stuff today feels like an awkward defense. Overall, I think Kilga picked up on something pretty good. I'd like to see something from him that is a bit more substantive on Excal if that's the person Bardiche wants to continue to pursue. Voting someone who's announcing he'll be away a bit has nothing to do with scumhunting.

Cut by Alex: I see his results now. I'll need to re-read again now. Haha/sigh.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 05, 2008, 11:49:29 PM
Cid was (probably) hoping that I'd be annoyed at his attempt to direct me and investigate him instead, thereby returning town since he was a miller, which would then confirm I am an insane cop.  Ish.  I don't really get how it would work exactly but I think that's what he was going for.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 06, 2008, 01:05:00 AM
Personally, I think it's El-Cid's way of determining whether or not Alex was scum.  If Alex as a real cop had tried to investigate El-Cid during the night (and El-Cid wasn't NK'ed), he would report "townie" and he would be sure that Alex is town.  If Alex as scum just blindly said that El-Cid was 'scum' (after all, they have no way to know of his miller status), then he would claim and we'll all lynch Alex and such.

That being said, ##Vote: SirAlex

Being a cop does not relieve anyone of their scumhunting duties, and to be honest, Alex is more or less passing off as a nodding donkey with regards to cases on Xanth and recently, Bardiche.  The only example of scumhunting I've seen him do so far is the asking of 'who do you think is most scummy?' towards EvilTom to have an idea of who would be scum assuming he flips scum, but even after then, he seems to be relying on the force of his investigation result alone to make everyone wagon him.  If he speaks of himself as a good scumhunter (and I think this too), then why not conceal the result and try to ascertain alignments through argumentative methods and more investigations alone?  For fear of being NK'ed?  Well, he wasn't NK'ed last night.

Also, there isn't necessarily another cop in the game too.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 06, 2008, 03:04:32 AM
I tried that with Tom at the start of day 2.  Nobody bought it, and most of the game's attention went towards the cases on Xanth and myself.  I legitimately thought Tom was scummy from day 1, and with the investigation in hand, I thought it was worth claiming to get him lynched immediately because that would cripple the scum team's night actions and deny them any roleblocking etc.  Obviously it didn't work out, but... I had the result and the opportunity, I had to go for it.

I know I'm town.  Day 1's outcome indicated Xanth was almost certainly town (and now I have a result proving that to myself, too).  So...  I know for a fact the two big cases town's been going on are wrong.  Kilga and Bard have been going back and forth for a while.  I like Kilga's case, and it lines up with what I'm looking for to find scum today.  I don't think it's helpful for me to add even more walls of text making points Kilga's already made (quite exhaustively), or to go off on odd tangents.

I could for example address Excal and Andrew's comments and get into a discussion on theory and why it is a good idea for townies to follow a copclaim in an earlygame situation such as this one, but it would just lead to pointless arguments that won't help find scum right now.  Scum, unfortunately, know that I'm telling the truth, and they've got either a hitman or a roleblocker (as shown by their ability to take out Cid).  There can be little doubt that I'm either going to be killed or perpetually blocked and almost certainly lynched, if not today then somewhere down the line.  If/when it happens, it happens, I can't even say it's an objectively bad call on town's part and excessive self-defense is only going to obfuscate hunting the real scumteam.

So what do you folks think about Bard?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 06, 2008, 03:12:22 AM
Actually I'm dumb, they have a roleblocker, if they had a hitman they would have used it and been able to kill Cid night 1.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 06, 2008, 05:33:13 AM
Andrew's answer satisfies me a great deal. Personal preference says that a serious vote should never be unvoted without getting stuck elsewhere, but, well, personal preference, and I can't hold anything else he says against him.

Bard: The train I was referring to was the Day 2 Tom train (hence the "subsequent flip" part of that sentence), not my vote for you or your vote for Excal.

Also, if you feel someone is town, then you should not want to lynch them under any circumstances. It is not in town's best interest to lynch townies for info, it is in town's best interest to lynch scum. Period. Lynching a townie is never ever ever ever ever ever a good idea.

As an aside, I don't understand how Cid was planning to prove Alex was an insane cop with his own role. Investigating Cid himself would have pulled an Innocent result from the Miller which subsequently would indicate Cid to be Scum. It'd be a crazy ass WIFOM considering several of us believed Cid to be all but confirmed Town since he also was the only one who claimed being shot at, but Town would supposedly have followed through to lynch Cid to reveal him as a Bulletproof Miller. I actually don't get what would have definitively been shown.

If Cid had claimed Miller at that point I would have believed him. He started the Sopko wagon AND was the only one to claim being attacked on Night 1.

Actually I'm dumb, they have a roleblocker, if they had a hitman they would have used it and been able to kill Cid night 1.

It's possible they have a hitman with limited uses and simply didn't want to use one on Night 1.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 06, 2008, 06:40:59 AM
Tired.

Can't decide what I think of Affinity's vote against Alex. Alex did attempt to deal with Tom first without use of a roleclaim, after all. Then again, that's really the only notable stance he's taken in 2.5ish game-days, now. Unf. Something has felt off about Alex all freaking game to me, but I'll be damned if I can qualify it sufficiently. That and I don't yet want to take the chance on lynching a potential Cop. I just hope that if he's leading us around by the nose we'll get wise before it's too late.

Hmm. What of this case against Bard. Part of me feels as if such a massive offensive against a single player speaks more to a desire to get them lynched for it's own sake than to actually root out bad behavior. However, Kilga is at the very least being extremely proactive. Bardiche is being nothing but reactive, and it smacks of scum doing frantic damage control. Much more energy is spent defending himself than doing anything to actively benefit the town, and that just isn't right.

Here we have by far the most Bard's said recently that wasn't singly in defense of himself:

Excal going away is... really damn inconvenient to me, since I suspect him of scumminess and then he's going away!
Alright, here we go.

##VOTE: Excal

There is no looming Cop claim right now, so I want to pick up where I left off.

Quote
Quote
Quote from: Excal on December 04, 2008, 08:11:27 PM
Also, Bard, in regards to why I was more interested in my side thing.  It's because I really was hoping for a role blocker, irrationally so I suppose.  Regardless, had that been the case, it would have meant, like I said earlier, that we'd have nailed scum 100%.  Sadly, the actual resolution is utterly inconclusive (or does have answers, but not ones which benefit Town to be talked about and so I'm dropping this thing like a radioactive potato) so yeah.  I get to stand here and look silly.

You may also have noticed that although I said I was going to think about it as I was leaving, I had also shown signs of musing it over before I left.  Most importantly in the aspect of admitting that whatever else had happened, I had been wrong in my earlier paranoia and that the Alex scenario I had earlier mentioned no longer fit as I had put it.

Your hope for a roleblocker is... irrational indeed, that you prioritize possibility in favor of what's been concretely put in our faces.

I must've missed those signs. You've been rather reserved insofar as commenting on the relevant matters go, though. I note your Day 1 activity was there, but little of it actually seemed keen on scumhunting. The only real vote you placed was on Sopko after things went awry for him. Your continued behaviour in that regard Day 2 makes it even look worse.

I won't hold your lack of a vote Day 2 against you─that'd be unfair given my own vote record, and I am already straining the reaches of courtesy by holding it against you Day 1 when I was hardly present for the first Day. I justify it to myself only as your activity being there despite no vote.
But despite that, I still hold your lack of... lack of actual scumhunting against you.

Excal's been lurking altogether and has been lackluster in actual scumhunts. When the entire Tom Case became an actuality and the soup du jour as Strago put it, Excal waved it off as paling in comparison, supposedly "showing signs of mulling it over" when I saw no such signs.

Also:
Quote
My first thought is that the Roleblocker theory seems slightly more plausible to me due to the fact that if the scum assumed doctor instead of bulletproof, as seemed to be the sentiment in the thread, then with Alex's revelation that it would be more likely that El Cid would not be under Doctor protection due to wanting to keep the Cop alive

the fact that if scum assumed doctor instead of bulletproof. This may be going into WIFOM, but the fact that something happened to that Night Kill, be it Roleblock (either side) or Hitman (scum), doesn't really indicate the Scum assumed anything. I do not know why you purport that they must've assumed Bulletproof.

---->

ADDENDUM:
I realize Kiro and Affinity have been lurking hardcore. Speak up you two.

Bard's case against Excal seems mostly to stem from weirdly reading into some perceived Freudian slip (which, come to think of it: I seem to recall catching some flak from him when I did the same thing back in Smash Bros. mafia, but that's an aside and not my main point) about the game's role structure, and the fact that Excal hasn't aggressively scumhunted. In particular, there's that part I bolded, where Bardiche seems to pretty deliberately re-write the history of Soppy's lynch, since Excal jumped on that train significantly before it was popular and when another person supporting the Xanth lynch would not, it seems to me, have been seen as all that weird or scummy. It being Day 1 and all. Oh, and then Bard tells some lurkery people to talk more. Not exactly rigorous scumhunting, for Day 3.

Yeah, I'm interested enough in his sketchy behavior to be pursuing this, right now. Let's see where it takes us.

##VOTE: Bardiche
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 06, 2008, 07:25:43 AM
Nothing stands out for me between Alex and Xanth upon my reread. Xanth has an early spat with Alex because he thinks it's not playing to his metagame read of Alex. Alex has a vote on Xanth for awhile, but looks like he's pressing the case as seriously as one would for most Day 1 cases (which is loosely). Switches to Sopko at the end of Day 1. Day 2 trend is pretty supportive of Xanth given his guilty result on Tom. I actually don't see too much specifics on that except when Alex says that everything Xanth has said about Tom is true which bolsters his case on Tom given he's assuming himself Sane. The only thing I don't agree with what Alex said is that Xanth was pretty hard on Sopko at the end in post 140. I don't think there's anything really suspicious here for a Scum Alex to be covering up for a Scum Xanth despite some Day 1 concerns Town had with him. Given I think Alex is indeed an Insane Cop, I'm willing to believe the result that Xanth is Townie too.

On my reread, I did take note of Andrew a little more. Andrew did vote Xanth to L-1 a little unexpectedly. Sopko also endorsed one of his posts once, and while that's completely on Sopko, it's a possible scum link to consider. His Day 2 stuff looks better. Andrew's first case on Day 2 about Alex/Xanth/myself isn't a bad one though. Checking Alex for his timing of the vote continued that case down the line after me, but pretty much everything retracted after the copclaim. I don't think the issue regarding the Tom hammer is a big deal because anyone on or not on the wagon is kind of moot due to the reliance of the copclaim. So suspicion was kinda there, but hasn't noticeably increased with his Day 2 actions.

So in the end, Bardiche still stands out. His views are pretty inconclusive if not hard to understand in his posts and I disagree with his Excal vote reasoning and the case in general. He reiterated that case twice before, but I think it's wrong.

##Vote Bardiche

Cut by Strago: His and my vote for Bardiche would put him at L-2 at this point.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 06, 2008, 07:53:17 AM
http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42896#msg42896

Affinity here seems to be saying, in his second paragraph, "I think Alex is genuinely a cop. But he's playing badly and not looking for scum the way he should be, so let's lynch him."

And I don't get how you would vote Alex with those reasons. If you'd gone with something such as 'Alex can't possibly be a cop, he acts too scummy for it' I could understand the push to lynch him, but the way it's presented is entirely too strange. Given you made the first vote against Alex, please convince people they should be actually voting for Alex. Also, I would like to hear your thoughts on Bardiche.


On other matters. Alex keeps on clearing Xanth and otherwise tying himself very closely to him. First, the rationale was the events at the end of day 1. Then, it was 'scum Tom' being so hard on Xanth's case. THEN, it was Alex's investigation clearing Xanth beyond any doubt (and there are other things, such as day 1 attacks on each other early on, which scum often go for). Given that Alex himself admits they were both targets for town, and then proceeds to castigate town as being massively wrong on both such cases, I feel that this is all strong evidence of Alex and Xanth being on the same team.

I don't think it needs to be actionable just yet, especially since there is, after all, a reasonable possibility they are both town despite coming off as scummy. Merely wanted to get it out while there's time, since I don't know how long I could go on without my Natsuki.


I'm leery of trying to go for Alex or Xanth at this juncture, as I've mentioned. That leaves Excal, Bardiche or a new case. I see the value of hounding Excal and forcing him to participate more satisfactory, but not if he isn't around to actually do so. That would merely waste my efforts at this time. And Bardiche's case had caught quite a few eyes.

The main charge about Bardiche seems to be trying to coast by without sticking his neck out, essentially being reactive rather than active, as Strago had put it. Thus, I would like to request Bardiche to either show some of that lacking activity.


Kiro: http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42951#msg42951

Okay, so you go and look at Alex and then you jump on the Bardiche train? The reason seems to be 'I don't understand your cases and disagree with your lynch target'. Now, I can see reasons for Bardiche to seem scummy. But which of your stated reasons for voting him actually relate to Bardiche being or acting scummy?


I have my own Bardiche thoughts, they would follow today in a separate post.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 06, 2008, 07:56:30 AM
Ho'kay. Suffice to say. I am not particularly happy right now.

First and foremost, let's talk about Alex. Alex! You are so much smarter than you are acting right now, and I am confused as to why. You are missing incredibly obvious possibilities, giving dodgy/twisted answers to questions and doing outright bizarre things. For example, as Kilga points out. You throw away the suggestion that scum could have a hitman on the basis that Cid wasn't killed initially... ignoring the fact that limited hitman is possible. You say you thought Cid's plan involved him being a Watcher, when, based on potential roles, that would prove absolutely nothing whatsoever. I KNOW you are sharper than this, man.

Which brings up another random point. You say the way day 1 unfolded indicated that Xanth was almost certainly town. How? Where does this logic come from? From what I can tell, if anything, the day one outcome, if anything, is far more implicative of Xanth being scum than anything. You claim Xanth was pretty hard on Sopko towards the end of the day, but I'm not seeing it. Furthermore, why did you go and investigate Xanth if you really thought he was, essentially, cleared by day 1 results anyway? Wouldn't it be more constructive to investigate someone you aren't almost totally sure of? Assuming that you are likely to die/be roleblocked soon, why not try to root out scum and give us something to work with on your flip when we know for sure what you are?

Then, let's add in the fact that, despite the leanings yesterday that town wouldn't go the "Lynch Alex!" if Tom flipped town, I find it even weirder that scum, who apparently are capable of confidently killing through protection, allowed you to survive another day. Sure, I'll yield the possibility that it was so they could hit a confirmed townie AND convince us to lynch you. But at the same time, that also required they risk that you uncover another scum in the process AND your lynching confirms it.

At this point, I'm really inclined to believe we are better off lynching you at this point. Your behavior is indicative of, at the very best, bad play and at worst, scummy play. More to the point, given all the various permutations of the game at this point (which include you being scum, lucky framers, etc), your "investigations" are relatively useless to town. There are far too many possible permutations to take them seriously without an actual confirmation of your role and alignment. Add in your associated behavior (which I've obviously taken issue with) and your day 1/2 action and I'm really inclined to say that lynching you is what I really want to do.

So. Rap with me. What's up with you?

##Vote: Alex

On the subject of Bardiche: I'm... actually somewhat inclined to agree with the current sentiments about Bardiche. He is definitely proving relatively passive and sort of skating by on other people's arguments. I notice, for example, when he goes off on his entire Excal rant, he totally ignores my commentary on Excal. He's kinda... cherry picking arguments and, indeed, focusing more on general commentary than close analysis or anything. It is definitely a bit suspicious.

I would definitely like to hear some more thoughts from you on other cases, as well as why, for example, you missed my nitpicking of Excal when making a case on him.

Ninja'd: Blah. Whatever. I spent WAY too much time on this post. I'm getting it out there and breaking for a few.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 06, 2008, 08:37:44 AM
Corwin: I posted about Bardiche earlier today while I was waiting for Alex to come online. That post is below with more detailed views.
http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42873#msg42873
I went and reread Alex afterwards and am convinced he's an Insane Cop. Checked a few other things and then came back to Bardiche.

Affinity's grab against Alex is that he isn't scumhunting. I disagree on this because if he's a Cop, he can and should first rely on his investigative result. After he found Xanth to be Townie, then he'll have to scumhunt for that Day. He pursued what he thought was the prominent case for today which happened to have already been brought up by Kilga. But on that note, Alex should then provide a detailed view of what he thinks about everyone else.

Andrew's questions about Alex are some details Alex got wrong like ruling out Scum can't have a Hitman because they'd use it on Night 1. People have touted him to be a solid player (and we've seen him a bit at MotK), but people make mistakes and these aren't mistakes in argument interpretation. They're just scum setup which is a fickle thing to figure out anyways. As for choosing to investigate Xanth, isn't that reasonable because he's the other major target after Tom? Just because he thinks Xanth was Townie all this time doesn't mean he has proof without an investigation. Once he cleared Xanth out of the way, all major bandwagons from the past have been resolved and he can focus on scumhunting from scratch everyone else.

I said earlier that there's no way to prove Alex's copclaim except via his death, but is it really worth having Town do so? If he is indeed the insane cop, Scum will eventually have to deal with him themselves. Let Scum kill him also because the more players Alex clears, the fewer places Scum have to hide. I think Town should take that chance of leaving him alive to find someone who he can catch as scum via investigative result. If he makes a mistake right there, then he'll get the rope. We still have a few days leeway to let him try and we shouldn't waste that chance.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 06, 2008, 08:51:05 AM
Kiro: The problem is that making such mistakes is indicative of Alex not really examining things or thinking them through. Furthermore, this isn't a case of just making one error. He's made a few at this point which is not something that reflects positively on him.

On the Xanth subject... even WITH an investigation, Alex isn't really clearing anything up until his flip. While I can sort of understand it from a general perspective (Xanth will eventually be a cleared townie, presuming Alex is indeed an insane cop), from the perspective the cop, it makes less sense to me given that the cop basically thought he was cleared. What it boils down to is feeling like the investigation could be better used (if game and conversational logic clears him up well, then you're better off checking wild cards), but I will admit, it might be a personal thing in this case. I am willing to hear out alternate logic here, but it just grates against Alex's doubts about Cid's plan and his own feelings about Xanth.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 06, 2008, 09:28:20 AM
Day 3 votecount!

Excal (1): Bardiche
Bardiche (4): Kilgamayan, SirAlex, Strago, Kiro
SirAlex (2): Affinity, AndrewRogue

With 10 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Roughly 28 hours remaining, give or take.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 06, 2008, 09:30:43 AM
Yes, Kiro, you did. But it's really a more verbose post than the one where you eventually ended up placing a vote. There is nothing substantial there I can see that goes "--and that is why I think Bardiche is scummy."

Why do I find it important? Because a weak support of a case like that makes for a great defense should Bardiche get lynched and flip as town. "Well I was only thinking Kilga sounded persuasive so I went along with it" and the like.

I also strongly disagree with the sentiment of 'let scum kill Alex'. They may never do so, and not only if Alex is scum himself. It could be a calculated gambit on the part of scum. Unless Alex manages to survive long enough to find us all our scum in the next few days thus leading to our win, I hold the opinion that he should be lynched before we reach any LYLO situation. Again, though, I feel that today is too early for that.

This leads into Andrew's case. While I certainly agree with the issues Andrew finds with Alex, and have my own from before (which were never truly addressed, I must note), an Alex lynch today gives us little. I would like to wait at least a day on it and hear from Alex tomorrow, first.

Still reading on Bardiche while getting distracted, walls of text, so sad, etc.
Title: Lode King Bacon
Post by: Xanth on December 06, 2008, 09:35:30 AM
Right, I'm awake. It's 9:35am here, and I should have until nearly 2pm in which to actually post content in without much distraction. I'm posting this placeholder to hold myself to actually doing this.
Title: Paprika Leek Adventure
Post by: Xanth on December 06, 2008, 10:16:10 AM
Right, it's become clear I need this visual aid to stop me from checking and rechecking this stuff. Just the facts, not useful posting it by itself, I know, but let me get it down so I can at least help myself.
0.

Not singling out no-voters out as an inherently scummy thing when there are circumstances behind such, but it's an interesting caveat.

Final votes in bold, joke votes in italics.

Day 1 Finish

EvilTom (0): Kilgamayan, Strago, Xanth
AndrewRogue (0): Excal
Corwin (0): HunterSopko
Affinity (0): Bardiche
Excal (0): Xanth, SirAlex
El-Cideon (0): Affinity, Kiro
Bardiche (0): El-Cideon
Kilgamayan (0): EvilTom, Corwin, El-Cideon, SirAlex
SirAlex (0): Xanth, Corwin
Xanth (2): HunterSopko, SirAlex, EvilTom, Kilgamayan, El Cideon, AndrewRogue
Strago (1): Kiro, Affinity
HunterSopko (7): El Cideon, Excal, Strago, Corwin, Kilgamayan, SirAlex, Xanth

(no vote down at end: Bardiche, HunterSopko, Kiro)


Day 2 Finish

Affinity (0): Kiro
Kiro (0): AndrewRogue
Xanth (0): El Cideon, EvilTom
EvilTom (7): Sir Alex, Xanth, Strago, El Cideon, Kilgamayan, Excal, Affinity
SirAlex (1): AndrewRogue, EvilTom, Corwin
Corwin (0): EvilTom
Excal (0): Bardiche

(no vote down at end: AndrewRogue, Bardiche, EvilTom, Kiro)
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 06, 2008, 10:52:10 AM
@Kiro:

Quote
I disagree on this because if he's a Cop, he can and should first rely on his investigative result.

Well, not so for yesterday, where he had no idea with regards to his sanity.  When in such situations, you have to scumhunt first, then check back with your result and make judgments as to your sanity, not just pushing ahead with your result hoping that you're sane.  He did ask the question as to who's likely town and scum, but nothing else other than that, quite plainly.

@Corwin:

Quote
Affinity here seems to be saying, in his second paragraph, "I think Alex is genuinely a cop. But he's playing badly and not looking for scum the way he should be, so let's lynch him."

Well, sorry if I was unclear, but no, I'm not sure, by any means, that he's not scum.  In fact, my argument was pointing towards the conclusion that he is likely scum.

---

As for Bardiche, I agree that he's on the losing side of the spat with Kilga, but I don't think it necessarily point towards him being scum, due to the defense of 'playstyle' which I find rather irritating (reminds me of UK).  The taking of fluid stances doesn't really tell us anything, sure, and is definitely leading towards scum, but I'm willing to treat his Excal vote on day two as more townie than scummy in my book, since I did face a similar situation before as townie.  He has also tried to scumhunt, unlike some other people.  Furthermore, no offensive actions that have directly hurt town.  Therefore, no, not at the top of my piorities now. 

---

Alex's response seems to help a little, making a valid point about trying to argue for EvilTom's lynch and failing, but I think the ending's a little too symphathetic to my tastes.  A reread might be in question.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 06, 2008, 11:09:32 AM
Okay. The last posts feature goes back from the present, so that's how I looked over Bardiche's posts.

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42855#msg42855
Sacrificing vanilla town to vet a cop's sanity if you trust the cop's player is not actually a scummy move.


http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42827#msg42827
Cid as Third Party suspicions. Seems to come out of nowhere.

Also:
Quote
Quote
Not what I was asking. "His one-track approach is pretty..."...what? Townish? Scummy? Clever? Crazy? Gassy? Use an adjective instead of an ellipsis. "It makes me wonder" and "I'm not sure what makes me dislike it" are not terribly helpful. Sure, you say you dislike it, but you say it in such a fashion that's easily brushed off as nothing later at your convenience.

His one-track approach is pretty I cannot bring it under words so I am making use of implied dislike for the one-track approach. If I have only gut to rely on I can't make it any clearer than I have. I don't rely solely on logic in this game─if I did I'd have little to rely on for myself.

Really dislike this exchange. It's one thing to not be clear in your posts, and quite another to rebuff people who call you out on it instead of actually correcting your behavior. As town, your role would be to hunt scum and avoid becoming a target, which means you need to be clear and legible.

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42605#msg42605
Quote
Thirteen, then. Doesn't invalidate my comment, just shows a little inattentivity/scattermindedness on my behalf.

...which is bad.

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42597#msg42597
Quote
Quote
I get a sense of wishy-washy-ness in here. Even when you lay down any stances that you do, they are usually presented in an unsure-of-yourself tone that could give you the opportunity to change your mind quickly and easily.

Not to mention your point on me is completely wrong and your thought process on Cid is hard to follow given you start with disliking his attitude and end up "inclined to think [he's] notScum".

I can't be sure of anything in a game where manipulation and deceit reign highly. The only person I can trust is myself, so I'm quite sorry if I cannot be certain of "HE'S SCUM" or "HE'S TOWN". Even if I did solidly place my stances in such a manner I could still change them quickly and easily - after all, the game is deceit and trickery. Solid ideas don't mean jack shit if something suddenly changes and you find yourself second-guessing yourself. To me, the matter is entirely moot and I fail to see the problem. I am only dead-certain of people if I can be sure of myself that nothing they say changes my mind.

Is it really that difficult to see that the benefits of taking firm stances and then, when they happen to change, explaining the train of thought/logic that lead to the new stances? Or how such an approach is preferable in all ways to being wishy-washy and cautious?


A lot of posts go along the lines of 'not much time, just a quick post' and the like. Many more yet are about his own defense. While Bardiche's presence is above that of Excal, Kiro or Affinity, I'm not sure the actual content is in some way superior. I'll reiterate my request for Bardiche to talk about fresh things and be more decisive about it, before I actually go for a vote. There's enough players and enough stated opinions out there to have one, and not just for Excal, surely. Not averse to lynching Bardiche if the material I wish to see is not produced to my satisfaction.

Affinity: That clarifies things for me.

Xanth: Are you trying to imply something about Kiro and Bardiche with your visual aid?
Title: Point Novel Platform
Post by: Xanth on December 06, 2008, 11:45:50 AM
Not sure where that '0.' came from. I guess I leaned on the numpad when I went to click post.

Thought: if quite so many of us are gone or going to be gone for a significant portion of this game day, do we not want to consider voting for an extension?

I will in fact lead off with ##Extension. It'll take four votes to work anyway, so it doesn't hurt for me to do so.


My stance on Alex is clear enough, so let's leave that be, not that investigating me changed the odds any more in his favour for me. Short of some really major evidence I am simply not going to consider voting for him at this point, and will strongly oppose lynching him.


I'm still horribly failing to remember that Affinity and Kiro are here, which on one hand I apologise for, and on the other am suspicious of.

In the case of Affinity, I'm still getting a rather uncertain neutral ping. I disagree with a lot of his thought patterns, and find it a bit frustrating that some points need to be hammered repeatedly to convince him (re: Tom on the contradiction inconsistency yesterday, and now with more moot points on the Alex 'cop or scum' table now (no, really, there potentially being no cop doesn't change it being a hideous risk for scum given that they wouldn't know that there would be no cop, and it's been mentioned repeatedly anyway)). Day one absence written off by this point. Day two was effectively a slide from Xanth to Tom amid some non-opinions, but isn't unbelievable given the focus of the day (and it would be hypocritical for me of all people to call him on a lack of diversity there), and balanced more by the early flag on Sopko in day one and spreading back out now.

Personally, I want to read this as slightly confused worker. It's nagging things like "But [Tom] does make the good logical argument that based on logic alone, lynching Alex is the better option" (from here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42649#msg42649)) that worry me about dangerous opinions. He does conclude that he sides with voting for Tom over Alex in that very same post, but that doesn't ease my concern. Especially, you know, when he's agreed that it's apparently logical to vote for Alex, but goes with the easy lynch anyway.


With Kiro, other than disagreeing with his view on Xanth/Tom/Strago, and perhaps just a little for turning on Sopko quite so hard, re-reading day one gives a pretty positive shine. Seems perfectly reasonable to me to have not had a vote down on the end. Same-ish for day two given his continued support for Tom (although again, I think it's support for the wrong reasons) whilst also coming to the conclusion that Alex probably wasn't lying.

So yeah, on a re-read I can't say I have any real problems with Kiro, so at least a minor swing towards town for me. Dare I ask you to talk about the players you haven't really paid any attention to? (coming from me, I know, I know)


Let's split the post here.

Corwin: not especially, no. Things that need to be looked into, but not by itself. As I've just said, Kiro seems reasonable to have done so. It may yet be another strike on Bardiche, although I'm not gearing up for an attack on him.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 06, 2008, 12:47:30 PM
Quote
now with more moot points on the Alex 'cop or scum' table now

I fail to see how these are 'moot' and I'm confused as to how you're clearing Alex as a 'definite' cop.  Him not exactly scumhunting correctly has to be at the very least, a valid point which you have failed to consider.  The story of 'hedious risk' still does not convince me at all; it is simply a gamble that can pay of huge dividends if it works and even if it doesn't and someone counterclaims, scum can still defend, and it is all the more irritating that you endorse staunchly as an excuse to call everything against him moot.

Also, the post you linked, what I meant was that if you just gave me a hypothetical scenario of a claimed cop and a person singled out as scum by him, with no reference to anything argumentative, I would lynch the claimed cop first.  That is what I meant by 'logic alone', if I didn't have a chance to see their posts or anything and such to determine their alignments. 

Quote
some points need to be hammered repeatedly to convince him

The misrepresentation point was an honest mistake and I apologize for that.  But it was relatively minor I feel, and I don't see you justified in using plural form.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 06, 2008, 02:27:15 PM
So just for clarity, Alex's vote on me is for all the same reasons as Kilga's?

I don't really like how he's shoving off his own defense in favor of everyone piling on me, but I guess I can be accused of the same with Excal. Speaking of Excal, he's completely left now so I'm stranded with that; if not doubly so because he's completely ignored it. This is why I hate scumhunting, it never yields me any results.

Andrew: I didn't pick up on your nitpick against Excal because I simply didn't bother to look back to it and add it to my case as ZOMG PEOPLE LOOK AT THIS TOO.

Quote
So in the end, Bardiche still stands out. His views are pretty inconclusive if not hard to understand in his posts and I disagree with his Excal vote reasoning and the case in general. He reiterated that case twice before, but I think it's wrong.

What do you think is wrong about it?

---->

So bottom-line here is, I don't really have anything else to respond to Kilga, because he's ended that talk with "Well you should never ever lynch town under any circumstances", which I disagree with. And Alex, who's apparently just parroting Kilga's case and thus means I have nothing to say to him as well.

Then Strago,
Quote
In particular, there's that part I bolded, where Bardiche seems to pretty deliberately re-write the history of Soppy's lynch, since Excal jumped on that train significantly before it was popular and when another person supporting the Xanth lynch would not, it seems to me, have been seen as all that weird or scummy.

I saw it as reading the writing on the wall. Realizing, "Crap, Sopko did something incredibly stupid here... there's no way to distract people from Xanth now!" Not to mention there were people already voicing their support for a Sopko lynch/suspicions with Sopko around that time.

I also don't really have much to respond to with Kiro since his reasons for voting me boil down into, "You're just wrong." Or to me, at least. Read his reasons as you will.

---->

So my Excal case is going nowhere, because my suspect didn't find it important enough to comment on before leaving and has left, there's nothing really I can say back to my attackers anymore since... Well, I disagree with their assaults on me, but sure fine. Short of claiming there's little I can do at this juncture and so I will ignore it until such a time someone presents something I can actually respond to.

----->

Xanth's voting record thing is fun, but had people consented to a hammer earlier I'd have hammered Day 2 so that's my defense for not having a vote anywhere when the hammer fell.

----->

So I really dislike Alex's, Strago's and Kiro's reasons for voting on me because one is a parrot, the other dislikes my case and the observation I am posting in my defense right now rather than trying to veer people off it with an alternate case and the last one doesn't even give any solid reason at all that doesn't go farther than, "Yeah, he's vague" (post examples, if you would?) and "His case is wrong".

Well then! Let's take a better look at Kiro.

Here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42374#msg42374) is a Day 2 post which is a recap. People are fine with it, though, so I'm not going to go too much into it except that if Kiro's going to discount me for it, he should discount himself for it as well.

Quote
Scum would be forced to bus in that instance and they would do it to save face.

This comment in a later post now strikes odd to me. Here he's almost saying that scum was on the Sopko bus, because they'd have to do it to save face. This by itself is not odd, but the fact he wasn't on the Sopko train makes me wonder. Almost like saying, "Hay guiz, I wasn't on the Sopko train but it's cool, scum's bussed him so it's almost certainly someone that voted Soppy."

Quote
I'd have to give the copclaim greater weight though. It's something that isn't up to misinterpretation, given it's a mod reported Guilty result. Alex has committed himself and Town has to follow through. Looks like we're all waiting for the procedural last words from Tom.

Here he does the same again, implying that Alex can't possibly be lying "Isn't up to misinterpretation, given it's a mod reported Guilty result", even when we have no guarantee of that actually being mod given. Also states Town has to follow through, but in the same post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42627#msg42627), he more or less implies that he doesn't think of Tom as Scum. In fact, he never quite made it clear whether or not he thinks Tom should be lynched/is scum, and oddly enough more-or-less condemns Alex in that post.

In the end, all that Kiro's done up to this point is comment on the cases made by other people while never taking a real definite stance on any of them, only solidly placing a vote on me for undisclosed and/or vague reasons, the last one being the very thing he condemns me for and cites as a reason to vote me.

In this post (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42951#msg42951), he gets another pass from everyone, despite that the entire first paragraph contains little opinion and is mostly a rehash of what he's said. At this point I assume the concerns against my playstyle are mostly derived from metagame.

Quote
On my reread, I did take note of Andrew a little more. Andrew did vote Xanth to L-1 a little unexpectedly. Sopko also endorsed one of his posts once, and while that's completely on Sopko, it's a possible scum link to consider. His Day 2 stuff looks better. Andrew's first case on Day 2 about Alex/Xanth/myself isn't a bad one though. Checking Alex for his timing of the vote continued that case down the line after me, but pretty much everything retracted after the copclaim. I don't think the issue regarding the Tom hammer is a big deal because anyone on or not on the wagon is kind of moot due to the reliance of the copclaim. So suspicion was kinda there, but hasn't noticeably increased with his Day 2 actions.

Finally he has this gem right before leading up to the conclusion that I need to be voted, and it tells me nothing at all. Suspicion was 'kinda' there, but in the end he concludes that nothing's changed since Day 1? His Day 2 actions didn't ramp up suspicion for Kiro.

This is all great, but as I said, he's been hardcore lurking, votes on me for inexplicable reasons and has been generally coasting off of everyone else's cases, with the only really original content he brings up being, "I don't really sort of suspect Andrew".
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 06, 2008, 02:53:36 PM
Something Bardiche says makes me take a second look at Kiro. I've already voiced my dissatisfaction with his participation and his reasons of voting Bardiche, but a particular line gave me pause on a reread.

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42627#msg42627
Quote
I'd have to give the copclaim greater weight though. It's something that isn't up to misinterpretation, given it's a mod reported Guilty result.

In case someone is having trouble seeing this, only the person himself, the mod and scum would believe beyond any doubt that someone who claims to be a cop with a guilty verdict on another player actually has such a verdict.

Kiro's disagreement on Bardiche's Excal case seems to draw from Excal's vote on Sopko day one. That's the only solid objection I could find in his words; the rest was vague statements that the case was weak and that he disagreed with it.

Kiro, I think I would like to request a more detailed break down on why you find the Excal case is wrong, given that assessment is one of your reasons for voting Bardiche. I would also like you to explain the certainty with which you accepted Alex's claim of receiving a guilty verdict for Tom.
Title: Mystery Snow Parade
Post by: Xanth on December 06, 2008, 03:03:48 PM
While I'm thinking about it, can I at least get people to agree that 'townAlex => townXanth', and hence 'scumXanth => scumAlex'? The point I'm making here being here that if you still think I could be scum that Alex must be my partner, so other possibilities should not be entertained. (The converse, 'townXanth => townAlex' and 'scumAlex => scumXanth' obviously do not necessarily hold and I'm not trying to claim they do, so if I do get killed at night, it's not like that would definitely clear Alex)


Of the other people today who aren't getting any heat:

Strago reads town to me. A few minor things here and there early on, and one-tracked on day two (who wasn't), but that's about it against him for me.

Corwin likewise, but more so. Really drew the Sopko train into the light. A bit of disagreement on the Alex/Tom theory in day two, but that same caution has reined in my confidence today. Vaguely lacking on interaction with a few people, I guess?

Kilga I'm not so happy with. Day one felt fine due to being the 'decisive' vote on Sopko, but Sopko was actually already looking quite likely to go down at the point Kilga first attacked him (4v4 with Andrew close to flipping, Alex shortly after also threatening the flip, and two people without votes down (Xanth and Bardiche) looking more likely to go with Sopko than Xanth, and otherwise had been part of the flow to push me way out front early on (just as Sopko is starting to be noticed by Affinity and Sopko, even, but now I'm really getting into supposition that can't be answered). Alex's fourth vote on you was very useful (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42203#msg42203) while El Cid's third vote on you was pointless (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42053#msg42053)?

The softly softly approach to Tom on day two doesn't do anything for me either. Went from a weird uncertainty (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42431#msg42431) on Tom when Xanth was still the prime target to sudden clarity (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42544#msg42544) on a singular point late on when it was clear that it wasn't going anywhere else.

After then picking up the case on Bardiche, has suddenly completely ignored his previous collaring of Xanth, even before Alex's scan claim on me. I'm not sure what I did yesterday to suddenly convince him, given that I spent practically all of yesterday attacking someone who's flipped town and defending myself (the day ending before I got back to talk about other people), which I boggle over more than just one-tracking on Bardiche.

The case against Bardiche in the first place is contrary to this profiling, which is of passively following the tides of strongest lynch cases, and the primary thing I'd have in his defence against my own feelings at this point. FoS: Kilga at this point anyway until I'm proven delusional or convert it to a vote after assessing the rest.


And bugger, as usual I take far too long to write anything. It is now way after 2pm and there's social stuff at my house to attend to. However, as it's my own fault for not getting through this, I'll plow through the other cases as I get the time during this anyhow, as I still have access to the computer. Let's hope/assume that this sees me with all cards on show before I lag behind the others again.

Ahead of actually fully looking at the Bardiche case, though, I should say that my prior thought was to suspecting Excal over Bardiche.


Affinity: Pardon me, I really did write part of that badly. I didn't mean to imply that all of your points about Alex are moot (it reads that way, I agree), just some of them. 'There may be no cop' is irrelevant to whether a theoretical scumAlex would take the plunge, is incredibly unlikely given the strength of the scum powers we've seen, and has been mentioned and discussed before (repeatedly?).

Bardiche: Sure, it wasn't listed as evidence. I needed it there to have a single reference for checking when votes and stuff happened.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 06, 2008, 03:18:49 PM
Quote
While I'm thinking about it, can I at least get people to agree that 'townAlex => townXanth', and hence 'scumXanth => scumAlex'? The point I'm making here being here that if you still think I could be scum that Alex must be my partner, so other possibilities should not be entertained. (The converse, 'townXanth => townAlex' and 'scumAlex => scumXanth' obviously do not necessarily hold and I'm not trying to claim they do, so if I do get killed at night, it's not like that would definitely clear Alex)

I'll agree with the caveat of a potential Framer in the works, Xanth. But yes, it pretty much is what I was getting at when I said that Alex's actions (and some of your own) pretty much tie the two of you together.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 06, 2008, 04:16:56 PM
http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42855#msg42855
Sacrificing vanilla town to vet a cop's sanity if you trust the cop's player is not actually a scummy move.

Disagree 100%. The loss in doing so is obvious. Where is the gain in doing so? I do not see it at all. Worst case scenario for scum is that everyone believes the cop is town, at which point they simply off the cop during the night, thereby wasting the vanilla's lynch AND a cop AND a day in the process.

Alex's fourth vote on you was very useful (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42203#msg42203) while El Cid's third vote on you was pointless (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42053#msg42053)?

I called Cid's vote on me pointless because I was only looking at it from the perspective of "people are voting for me" instead of "people are voting for the sake of getting reactions from other, currently uninvolved people". You'll have to pardon me for this misunderstanding - I've never been the early Day 1 catalyst train before. >_>

Alex's fourth vote also produced several immediate reactions, so it was indeed useful in that regard.

The softly softly approach to Tom on day two doesn't do anything for me either. Went from a weird uncertainty (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42431#msg42431) on Tom when Xanth was still the prime target to sudden clarity (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42544#msg42544) on a singular point late on when it was clear that it wasn't going anywhere else.

After then picking up the case on Bardiche, has suddenly completely ignored his previous collaring of Xanth, even before Alex's scan claim on me. I'm not sure what I did yesterday to suddenly convince him, given that I spent practically all of yesterday attacking someone who's flipped town and defending myself (the day ending before I got back to talk about other people), which I boggle over more than just one-tracking on Bardiche.

I directed my attention away from you because of the cop claim with scum report. There was zero sense in pressing you for Day 1 stuffs in the face of that, and since the start of today I've thought Bard more deserving of my attention than you.

You were by no means cleared to me at any time before Alex's second report, you just weren't as important as who I was focusing on at the time (whoever that may have been).
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 06, 2008, 04:18:30 PM
(That is not to say you're cleared now, of course. I'm willing to accept you as town given I'm willing to accept Alex as cop, but if he flips otherwise my opinion of you will change back.)
Title: Re: Mystery Snow Parade
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 06, 2008, 06:43:37 PM
While I'm thinking about it, can I at least get people to agree that 'townAlex => townXanth', and hence 'scumXanth => scumAlex'? The point I'm making here being here that if you still think I could be scum that Alex must be my partner, so other possibilities should not be entertained. (The converse, 'townXanth => townAlex' and 'scumAlex => scumXanth' obviously do not necessarily hold and I'm not trying to claim they do, so if I do get killed at night, it's not like that would definitely clear Alex)

This, right here, makes me uncomfortable in a pretty profound manner. Like, seriously. This really, really, really, really sounds like a case of you knowing something the rest of us don't. There is NO way that town Alex confirms town Xanth. Perhaps you meant town insane cop Alex confirms town Xanth? Similarly, scum Xanth doesn't prove scum Alex either, the framer possibility exists.

This is like... the single worst example of argumentation I have even seen in this topic. You are LITERALLY encouraging town to forget about other potential and realistic possibilities (the fact that a framer completely kinks up your entire argument). More interestingly, the possibilities you state are confirmed (and should not have other potentials entertained) are the ones that work best for you. If Alex flips town... well... Xanth must be too! And if Xanth flips scum, grr, you must lynch Alex because he must be scum!

This... is really making me rethink my current stance on Alex on the pure basis that this line of reasoning reflects very, very poorly on you.

Until I can consider the implications of this a bit further, ##Unvote: Alex.

Corwin gets a similar (if lesser ding) for entertaining similar logic.

On unrelated notes, since I'm going to be out for a while today, I also support ##Extension
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 06, 2008, 07:01:49 PM
Andrew, I think this is a case of reading too much into what amounts to semantics. I've made similar arguments before myself, true, but in this case TownAlex pretty much implies InsaneCopAlex and is thus synonymous with it, particularly given the context of the previous conversations debating Alex's alignment which frames such a statement. The possibility of Alex being town and lying has been considered and mentioned before, but I have also stated at that time that the possibility of players lying, even on town's side, constantly exists and thus is implied. There is no need to explicitly state it every time, I believe. Do we really want to amend every single sentence of analysis with 'UNLESS S/HE LIES'?

I also mentioned the potential Framer issue, so I'm not really sure where you're coming from re: terrible logic.

And since two people have requested an extension already, my stance on it is that I disagree. It is a useful tool to get conversation going when we are running out of time. We are neither running out of time at this point, nor is there a particularly heated and traffic-heavy discussion taking place. To get more time because many people aren't here (or CLAIM not to be here) may well lead to stagnation. Are there any new ideas or new cases being actively pursued at this time that can't be resolved in the time we still have? I don't believe so.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 06, 2008, 08:02:56 PM
Corwin:
I didn't intend to phrase it as, "Kilga sounds persuasive so I'll go along with it." It's more like it's Kilga's case and I can't claim credit to it, but I do agree with it and tried to add whatever insight I had so I'm not strictly bandwagoning on.

Letting scum kill Alex is the WIFOM that comes with the insane copclaim. Let's assume optimistically that he is one and we should hope he finds scum. If he dies by scum's hand, that clears up the WIFOM. If he doesn't, scum has to play catch up and off all the confirmed Townies Alex has listed. This also sets up a trap to catch scum if we have a Watcher. In other words, even if Scum want to play that WIFOM, they can't maintain it to the end. Scum would off Alex in the next few days if Town doesn't do it for them. So like you just said, don't kill Alex right now. I just think Alex would die before we got to a LYLO because the numbers are so skewed against them right now with the number of confirmed they'd have to kill. If the worst case scenario occurs that Alex himself is scum, he'll obviously label Townies innocent because he knows that alignment. That relegates him to basic scumhunting. I believe his failure to do that is the only time Town should try to lynch him, not because of the uncertainty of his role. You lynch for scumminess, not for policy.

I stated earlier why I took Alex's investigative result as it is. It's way too risky for Alex to lie. Simple as that. Scum Alex in this case had already lost the Godfather. To do something so bold puts the spotlight on him and his days are numbered. It just seems too wild a ploy for Scum to try given how long they actually have to last, probably into Day 5. So yea, I was compelled to believe Alex's result and chalk up what I thought about Tom as wrong.

If you want some original thoughts on why I have problems with the Excal case, then here it goes: Excal votes second on Sopko stating Sopko boosts Andrew up oddly but at the same leaves himself off the Xanth wagon despite posting again recently. Saying he wants to pursue a new wagon to get more information isn't a bad idea at the time because only Cid is on it and Xanth has 5 votes. A scum Excal could preemptively try to bus Sopko at the 2nd vote, but he has to realize he's bussing the Godfather. If the wagon picks up (which it does), he just unnecessarily set back his own side when there wasn't any good reason to. He could have gone onto Xanth and put him back on L-1 and pretty much swing discussion to whether it's worth hammering Xanth. So I believe the action of voting Sopko makes more sense if Excal is Town. Pinning the second vote on Sopko just reinforces a new idea and allows for it to snowball which is the last thing Scum really wanted.

In Day 2, he gives an interesting alternate view on the Xanth/Tom conflict that in retrospect actually looks true. He also pursues Alex because he feels based on the above that Alex could be manipulating a Town vs Town spat to his advantage. I wouldn't say he ignores Alex after the copclaim, but immediately realizes the inherent flaw that Alex could be lying or insane. He probably realizes what we all realize now, there's no way to tell without Alex dying himself. Eventually, he's convinced to vote Tom by the weight of the copclaim (as most everyone is).

To get onto Bardiche's case about him, he calls Excal lurking. Excal's not actively lurking unless he's lying about not being available and it's not justified to vote someone for that. So Bardiche has the wrong initial reason for voting Excal, on a Day 3 no less. THAT's the main reason why I'm voting Bardiche. I also think Bardiche is just not finding good points against Excal which cements my suspicion of him. Add that in the back and forth between Bardiche and Kilga, I'm not finding Bardiche very convincing about his views on other players. He's basing his arguments more on personal interpretation saying something like, Excal didn't respond to me because he had to go. So? The Day's not going to end quite yet and some people are pushing for that extension. I don't see the harm in it right now and I have to go out for the afternoon myself right this minute so I probably missed a few points to address.

##Extension
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 06, 2008, 09:33:31 PM
Up again.  I don't think an extension for today will be helpful.  Same reasons Corwin posted.  Still think Bard is scummiest today, same reasons Kilga posted.

Everyone else:

Andrew tops the list of scumminess and/or flat out weirdness.  To wit, he's... unvoting me, because he finds Xanth so incredibly scummy?  Really?  More to the point, though, he's consistently pushing unlikely role theories and making his cases on the basis of people not "considering" them.  I don't see any validity or worth in doing so, it's just a distraction.  You want to lynch me because I got Tom lynched and he flipped town?  Okay, I can understand that.  You want to lynch me because I "didn't consider" scum having a hitman instead of a roleblocker?  .... whaaat?

His other questions have already been answered for the most part, nothing new to say there.  Shock of shocks, I'm not going to be Super Town Leader every game, it is in fact possible for other people to make cases I agree with and will join them in voting on!

Kiro, and to a lesser extent Affinity, have been voting late or not at all.  They talk, they have a bit of thread presence, but no votes.  I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if one of them were scum.

No one else really stands out right now.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 06, 2008, 11:25:34 PM
Day 3 votecount!

Excal (1): Bardiche
Bardiche (4): Kilgamayan, SirAlex, Strago, Kiro
SirAlex (1): Affinity, AndrewRogue

With 10 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Roughly 14 hours remaining, give or take. One more ##extension required for extension.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 07, 2008, 12:08:06 AM
Conveniently got back earlier than I was expecting and am not setting out immediately again.

Anyhow, to wit.

Corwin: I'm fine with arguments not being restated every time. I am not fine with someone saying
Quote
The point I'm making here being here that if you still think I could be scum that Alex must be my partner, so other possibilities should not be entertained.
. This is PATENTLY false, because there is still another realistic possibility floating around (re: the framer argument) and seems to be designed to railroad town into a certain way of thinking. More to the point, it doesn't sit well with me at all that the combinations that Xanth say MUST be the truth are rather beneficial to a scum Xanth (he either gets a clear via town Alex or gets Alex lynched as scum).

I do apologize for not actually acknowledging that you had brought up the Framer possibility, but I still do have some problems with the floating of if X is A then Y must be B without more pieces of the puzzle being in place. While I might be putting too much stock in more outsider possibilities (framer, etc), I also think its dangerous to get a little too attached to the most obvious solutions.

Alex: No. I'm unvoting you because the framing of Xanth's argument put me in a position where I was bothered by the method in which he worked to tie your two alignments together and shut out other possibilities. If this was not clear enough from the thrust of my reasoning earlier, than here it is, plain as could be said.

Otherwise, well. You're kind of cherry picking my arguments here. It wasn't that you "didn't consider scum having a hitman instead of a roleblocker" that I'm concerned, its because you mention it as a possibility, then backtrack and say "nope, can't be" when that is patently false. This isn't the first time you've made a mistake like this during this game either (considering Paranoid Cop as a possibility for yourself). So please, try to avoid misrepresenting my arguments like that? I laid out pretty clearly that there are a number of problems I've had with you this game, and you just kind of hand wave them off, which doesn't do much for me, unfortunately.

Which... leaves me in a decidedly uncomfortable position. Personally, I'm convinced that at least one of Alex and Xanth is scum. So. I suppose, at this point, I would like to hear thoughts on the subject. I've pretty much laid out my issues with both as it stands right now, and I want to know if people are willing to go this route (and if so,  what they think) or if everyone really does feel that someone else (e.g. Bard) is a better candidate for the day. In the meanwhile, I'm going to consider which of Alex/Xanth I personally consider the more likely candidate and further review the Bard case.
Title: Violet Potato Quake
Post by: Xanth on December 07, 2008, 01:31:33 AM
Yeah, okay, so I've horribly failed at the time, and had another thing I'd read as simplistic as not being watertight in a different farfetched possibility. I am now sufficiently (not very) fatigued with the game to not start writing another major post at like 1:30am, which is bad town by itself as well as combined with breaking my own commitment earlier on, for which I apologise in advance if this actually hurts town (and in general for being moody now at all, which no one in the game deserves). I shall proceed in the morning when I should have stopped feeling so frustrated, but my ordering has now left looking at the immediately pertinent cases till mere hours before the deadline, which is silly.

For what it's not really worth, I had been reading Excal poorly if not for his part in the Sopko lynch which boggled the rest of my view, and hadn't read Bardiche as damningly badly as others are seeing it. Oh, and Andrew I'm also looking at badly for at least through to the end of day two, but revealing that now doesn't reflect well, which is the problem with doing this stuff so late.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 07, 2008, 04:21:50 AM
I see no reason for an extension given the way the day seems to have stagnated already.

Andy, if you had a gun to your head, who would you vote for right now? (Ignore the fact that Bard is at L-2.)

Xanth, same question, same stipulation.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 07, 2008, 04:22:59 AM
##EXTENSION, because I really don't have much of a will to die so uselessly. Noms are over so getting to bed.

Quote
So Bardiche has the wrong initial reason for voting Excal, on a Day 3 no less. THAT's the main reason why I'm voting Bardiche. I also think Bardiche is just not finding good points against Excal which cements my suspicion of him. Add that in the back and forth between Bardiche and Kilga, I'm not finding Bardiche very convincing about his views on other players. He's basing his arguments more on personal interpretation saying something like, Excal didn't respond to me because he had to go. So?

This is still, "I disagree with the case you've made so I'm voting you" to me and I can't really formulate any defense to that! Do you have any reasons that go beyond, "I don't like his case against Excal" or "Hey, Bard's a bit miffed because Excal posted about an hour after the vote against him and didn't even post acknowledgement to it!"

I dunno man, at least acknowledging someone wants you dead would've already done it for me─the major reason I voted Excal when I did and didn't vote on anything or anyone else is that I wanted to see if a vote'd get him to at least respond to it, since he knew I had opposition to him since the last day.

Even if you all think my case against him is whack it doesn't mean I don't believe in it.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 07, 2008, 07:08:13 AM
Day 3 votecount! Extension implemented, +24 hours get.

Excal (1): Bardiche
Bardiche (4): Kilgamayan, SirAlex, Strago, Kiro
SirAlex (1): Affinity, AndrewRogue

With 10 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Roughly 30 hours remaining, give or take.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 07, 2008, 07:57:28 AM
The problem is that the day sort of stagnented without anything really useful happening. We got a sort of "Bard's being passive" push and that was... pretty much it. If people really don't think it is doing anything, we can simply push on with a lynch and ignore the extra time.

Gun to my head... I think... I'd go Alex. For all the internal debate I have between Xanth and Alex right now, the problems I've had with Alex have generally been larger, more prominent and it puts to rest all debate about his role. Yeah, I'm having issues moving on, but the whole day 1 deal and everything that has come out of it still feels like the most substantive and likely case to me.

Having had the day to think about it, as much as I'm cautious about hitting Alex in light of Xanth's commentary, it does nothing to quell my suspicions of Alex himself, and lynching him would at least provide some actual information. As it stands... I... think I'm willing to drag this case out one more day to see what information (or lack thereof) Alex provides tomorrow, especially given that I seem to be the only one who is actively interested in this case at the moment (well... Affinity's slight efforts aside), despite my better efforts.

Moving down the line... it'd probably go Xanth (when you can't hit candidate 1, hit candidate 2, but this is tempered by the above) -> Bard/Affinity/Kiro (all of them just feel lacking/passive).

So, if people aren't going to go the Alex/Xanth route today, we might as well as hit the passive/quiet ones since I'm not really convinced about any of the other players.
Title: Nail Hair Archipelago
Post by: Xanth on December 07, 2008, 11:57:11 AM
Right, back. Today I am busy from 3pm-8pm(ish), so I'll streamline what I can.

Kilga: My full list at the moment is as follows:

Excal > Kilga > (Affinity, Andrew, Bardiche) > || Excal > Kiro > || Strago > Corwin > Strago > Alex >> Xanth

Where:
 -Little Excal is my position on him without the few key (by which I think I may mean just the Sopko push) things he's done to wreck with that view.
 -Little Strago is where I place him based on horrible, horrible conjecturing that I'm not even going to try. It doesn't really matter because:
 -Rightmost || is the line beyond which I definitely would not support lynching at this point.
 -Leftmost || is the line beyond which I'd really rather not lynch short of a forced hand or major argument.
 -Mess in the middle in brackets I'm not sold on. 'Gun against head' puts it at Andrew > Bardiche > Affinity.

So to now actually answer your question, my vote would be on you, with the major negative to that being that I haven't digested the Bardiche push yet due to length. Otherwise, I'm only likely to really push against the Bardiche lynch if I disagree with the case on him strongly enough, Andrew reads particularly poorly or I can convince myself that Excal's roadblocks aren't an alibi.


A couple of other random things:
-I'd normally be against an extension, but with several players claiming that they're going to be away for huge sections of the day (Excal's been gone for longer than expected, and Strago'd otherwise be completely out) it stops that stifling quite so much.
-The more time runs on, the more Alex wears on me. I'm no less sure of my position on the gambits (see how low he remains on my list), but a lot of his actions really haven't helped to reinforce this.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 07, 2008, 02:11:15 PM
@Andrew:

Just wondering, but why would you consider Kiro as passive/lacking?  He does give his own share of good opinions too, I feel, at least as much as you do, especially on the Excal/Bard case, and that comment seems rather interesting.  Myself, and Bardiche, I can more or less understand to some extent.  It would be nice if you could describe 'lacking' for all three cases, though.

One thing I would like to point out is that I don't quite understand the scum Framer role (am quite new to this), except that he can target a person (say Xanth) and frame him as scum.  How does this refute the Alex is town => Xanth is town logic?  And even if so, how would another investigation help in your determining of Alex's alignment?  It seems rather contradictory; I doubt him investigating Xanth was very obvious, after all.

---

@Xanth:

Could you explain why Andrew is so high up your list?

---

@Bardiche:

Throughout the game, you have more or less focused only on the people attacking you; thus the spirit of the cornered wombat, with the exception of Excal.  What do you think of everyone else? 
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 07, 2008, 04:22:33 PM
Andrew's answer satisfies me again.

Xanth's, not so much. The feeling I get from Xanth, from both his most recent post and his earlier assessments of several players, is that he seems unwilling to put a case forward or to solidly accuse anyone. Me aside, the most he pressed anyone earlier on was an "uncertain neutral" on Affinity, and with this most recent post the two frontrunners both have stipulations attached that could potentially knock them down a few pegs on the scum pole.

Xanth formed one solid accusational opinion all game, and it was on a townie. This does not sit well with me at all. Perhaps Xanth was onto something when asking me why I didn't keep going after him.

---

I have another concert today (that I need to leave before noon for), and the traveling distance for this one is longer, so I don't expect to be back again before 9 Eastern.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 07, 2008, 06:08:09 PM
Okay, this game is going slow as fuck.

What do I think about people you ask, Affinity?

I think Xanth needs to make his position clear. Right now I have no idea what he plans on doing, and I have a hammer looming above my head so I'd like to know what the damn deal is here.

I think AndrewRogue stating, "Hey I want to lynch Alex/Xanth" but not bothering to go through with it is just stupid. I mean, c'mon dude, if you don't think I deserve that lynch the most, how about you actually go push your convictions forward? Pick a stance and see it through. I'm being mighty uncomfortable here and slightly annoyed at how suddenly everyone's shuffling their feet and watching what unfolds when you could be, y'know, saving my life.

Corwin's alright. I don't think he's all that scummy. Whatever made me feel uneasy about him is simply the way he words things, and obviously I'm not going to hold your pattern of speech against you in a game of lies and deceit.

What do you honestly expect though at this juncture? I'm not about to go screaming OMG EVERYONE'S SCUM and completely cement my demise.

I think Excal's scum. Lynch him.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 07, 2008, 11:15:13 PM
Day 3 votecount!

Excal (1): Bardiche
Bardiche (4): Kilgamayan, SirAlex, Strago, Kiro
SirAlex (1): Affinity, AndrewRogue

With 10 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Roughly 14.5 hours remaining, give or take.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 08, 2008, 01:16:09 AM
Well, Bard. Currently my main problem is that my push is failing, which is causing me to second guess myself and debate whether or not I want to try and actively pursue this any further. Effectively, my confidence in my case and my risk taking is being cut by the fact that no one else is really pushing in the same direction.

Bardiche... you raise an interesting point about foot shuffling. However, at the same time, you sort of undermine that position by expecting us to be the ones to save your life. Why are you simply sticking to your guns on Excal/self-defense when there are other theoretical cases you could be pursuing? In other words, why aren't you fighting to save your life? Sticking your guns on exactly one candidate and your defense isn't a good way to save yourself from the lynch train.  You've kind of made passing movements at other candidates, but even with the end barreling down on you, you just sort of gesture at a case that no one is really buying into at this point.

Which brings me to the question of why aren't you taking this anywhere else? If you are town, you really should be fighting tooth and nail to stay alive. Almost any lynch is better than you. You know you are town. Why wouldn't you take almost any lynch (short of a confirmed townie) over you? So why aren't you jumping on any other cases?

I've decided. I will let the Alex/Xanth issue go one more day. I want to see what happens tonight. I intend to resolve it if at all possible tomorrow. Today, I saw the case on Bard, didn't disagree and feel that that last post is pretty bad. So.

##Vote: Bardiche

That is -1 to hammer.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 08, 2008, 02:25:05 AM
Quote
@Andrew:

Just wondering, but why would you consider Kiro as passive/lacking?  He does give his own share of good opinions too, I feel, at least as much as you do, especially on the Excal/Bard case, and that comment seems rather interesting.  Myself, and Bardiche, I can more or less understand to some extent.  It would be nice if you could describe 'lacking' for all three cases, though.

One thing I would like to point out is that I don't quite understand the scum Framer role (am quite new to this), except that he can target a person (say Xanth) and frame him as scum.  How does this refute the Alex is town => Xanth is town logic?  And even if so, how would another investigation help in your determining of Alex's alignment?  It seems rather contradictory; I doubt him investigating Xanth was very obvious, after all.

Mmhmm... Apparently, the reason why we're lacking is because you don't read.  ##Unvote, ##Vote: AndrewRogueOh, and the above sounds rather forced and very ungenuine.  There is absolutely nothing wrong with sticking with a vote especially when the person you're voting isn't responding.  I can see that, if you criticize his reasoning for such, then yes sure, but you're criticizing him for not bandwagon-hopping.  This is rather silly, and you don't look good to me now.  If anything, I would criticize him for changing his vote when nothing in the situation called for it... it would look like scum trying to make his lynch stick without good reasons especially since Excal didn't say anything (correct me if I'm wrong).  In short, reasoning for your vote sounds rather contrived.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 08, 2008, 03:31:56 AM
Hi ho, back, nothing has really changed.

To answer Affinity's question about the framer, the possible existence of a framer falisfies TownAlex => TownXanth (as well as ScumXanth => ScumAlex) because Alex could, in fact, be sane and simply have hit a framed Tom Night 1.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 08, 2008, 03:39:42 AM
Affinity: Uh... I'm sorry I missed a post? No need to develop an attitude about it. I've been focusing a bit on the current cases, and thus managed to forget the questions you asked earlier. A simple reminder would suffice. :p

To address your questions...

On the subject of lacking, Version Bardiche: Fairly intense on a single case and relatively reactive posting. Not so much scum hunting as sitting back and watching cases develop. Not even really defending himself or scumhunting with that much fervor. The most damning part about it is the relative passiveness that is bothering me here.

Version Affinity: Generally speaking, you haven't contributed that much. You've added an okay thing here or there, but most of your posts have been spent either asking questions or bringing up singular points and never really striving to develop a real case. While this is... okay, it isn't bringing what I would consider much real content to the game. Suffice it to say, I really had to go back and review all your posts to remember anything you've brought up.

Version Kiro: The end of day 1 shenanigans (including his relative indecision going into the end of the day) is a large part of it. Add in the lack of a really strong vote record and a method of discussion similar to Bardiche (although, admittedly on a reread, better) in which he just sort of posts observations and breaks down either cases, rather than really building up on any other ones. I might be misinterpreting him slightly, but it really seems like he isn't building up any real cases of his own either.

On the subject of the Framer logic: Alex as town => Xanth as town could be refuted by the presence of a framer disrupting Alex's apparent sanity. Tom gets framed night 1, Alex investigates and gets scum result. Flips as town, so everyone assumes Alex must be an insane cop, when, in truth, he's a sane cop. Night 2, he investigates Xanth and gets scum as a result. Due to presumed insanity, we assume he must be town. However, since Alex is actually a sane cop who hit a framed target, he could actually be real scum.

In other words, if Alex's target was framed, all our assumptions about Alex's role would be wrong. So, a framer opens the potential for Sane Cop Alex and Scum Xanth.

On giving him one more day: Actually, the reason for giving him one more day is to get one more potential result out of Alex and see how the night unfolds. It could help with his alignment, but the main reason is to see who scum try to kill/do whatever else they can do. There are a few different options they have, and seeing which one/s they take might be an educational experience. The off-chance of better information and perhaps another confirmed alignment stemming from Alex's death would be great before he dies.

On the subject of Bardiche: There is a problem with him sticking to his vote. Presuming that Bardiche IS town, he is the only one who is 100% aware of his own alignment. As such, lynching ANYONE ELSE is a statistical improvement for hitting scum. Thus, in most situations, I feel that a townie who is in danger of being lynched should, in almost every circumstance, be trying to move to another active lynch train. It really does boil down to simple statistics. Bardiche staying on Excal at this point is doing nothing for him. If he wants to live (which, really, a townie should), he should be working to find some way to do this.

The most obvious way is moving to another building lynch train if you have no reason to believe this is an absolutely awful idea. Again, if you are town, lynching you has a 100% chance of hitting town. Anyone else could POTENTIALLY be scum. So, when push comes to shove and your current main candidate is not working, I see no reason not to try something else. This, of course, doesn't mean you should abandon your previous case. It simply means you need to prioritize based on the situation. I'm certainly not advocating that he start randomly voting until a lynch sticks, I'm advocating that he keep his Excal case on the sidelines and pursue another avenue of attack.

So, essentially, I'm criticizing him for complaining that we aren't the ones trying to save his hide, when he himself isn't trying as hard as he could either.

Ninja'd: Kilga explained the Alex thing more succintly!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 08, 2008, 04:01:28 AM
Well, I'm back. Blargh. Sorry my absence was as severe as I'd worried it might be. At this point I rather wish someone would just hammer Bardiche and be done with it. When a game hits a slump like this, extending the damn day is not going to get people all jazzed about re-invigorating their participation. It's bollocks that things have hit such an apparent impasse, so we pretty much need to kill someone and move on.

Quote
So Bardiche has the wrong initial reason for voting Excal, on a Day 3 no less. THAT's the main reason why I'm voting Bardiche. I also think Bardiche is just not finding good points against Excal which cements my suspicion of him. Add that in the back and forth between Bardiche and Kilga, I'm not finding Bardiche very convincing about his views on other players. He's basing his arguments more on personal interpretation saying something like, Excal didn't respond to me because he had to go. So?

This is still, "I disagree with the case you've made so I'm voting you" to me and I can't really formulate any defense to that! Do you have any reasons that go beyond, "I don't like his case against Excal" or "Hey, Bard's a bit miffed because Excal posted about an hour after the vote against him and didn't even post acknowledgement to it!"

This game is all about making cases against other players. "I don't like X's case against Y" is... one of the most basic and completely reasonable starting points of formulating any position ever, here. That seems like a given, to me.

I can't believe three people haven't voted yet. What the hell? Excal's AWOL, whatever, I did the same thing so obviously I can't yell at him for it, but at least I'd voted before my absence. Xanth and Corwin, though? What gives? Both have been active througout the day. Xanth in particular even seems to have organized his suspicions of the player base in a pretty clear way (aside from some weirdness and putting me in two slightly different town-seeming positions, whatever), but can't bring himself to translate that into a vote? That fact combined with how much of his time today was spent meta-analyzing the role setup and making proclamations about how Alex was definitively town and such... well, paints a picture of someone who's a bit edgy and not necessarily too interested in aggressively pursuing scum. Almost want to lynch Alex to see if he comes up actually Insane or not. There still could be a framer, I guess. Hell, maybe it's Xanth and that's why he's so aggressively gung-ho about linking himself to Alex in innocence to begin with.

Corwin, on the other hand... hmm. I can't see much that's actually damning, in his behavior, but the lack of vote is odd.

Kilga looks to me like town. There's nothing wonky there that I can see at the moment.

Andrew seems to be town as well, although somewhat less definitely. Largely a gut read.

Kiro and Affinity I lump together because I don't know what to think of them and am at least vaguely wary of 'em both.

I go back and forth on Excal. On the one hand, early vote against the Scum Godfather Day 1. On the other hand, he's been real passive and semi-participatory for a while now.

Alex is currently a closed book to me. I find his play slightly confounding in this game. Ah well. For the moment I'm weirdly unconcerned by it, because if he's really a Cop then obviously we don't want to lynch him, and if he's scum having a laugh then he's still under enough scrutiny right now that his fakeclaim certainly isn't dictating the way things go in general. So... time is needed for me to figure this one out.

Bleargh. We need some new information and a narrowing of the field. Let's off Bardiche.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 08, 2008, 05:09:19 AM
And I'm back.  In that I'm here and in a state that could theoretically be called alive.  Anyways, I'll see what I can do to catch up and give you guys some coherant thoughts.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 08, 2008, 06:50:56 AM
Alright, so I've completely gone over Bard's stuff and...  I'm not convinced.  He reads like a townie, has his argument, and while he does seem a little focused, he does pay attention to other people now and then.  He's wrong, sure.  But being wrong does not make one scum.

Also Bard, your attack is duly noted.  Sadly, there's not a whole lot I actually can say to it given the discussion seems to go like so.

Excal says: Hey guys, I'm not going to be around a whole lot.

Bard says: Hey guys, that Excal guy isn't around a whole lot!

Excal says: Yeah, I guess my metagame hoping for a luck based ubercop was totally irrational.  But wouldn't it have been sweet if we did have one?

Bard says: His irrational hopes aren't rational!

So...  yeah.  Most of your reasons against me are either things which I can't really refute because due to a combination of bad habits and a lack of time, you're bang on.  Or, constitute a difference of opinion such that I'm not sure there's anything really worth saying.  So, I'm not going to defend myself from you, and instead see if I can find people who I feel are worth lynching.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 08, 2008, 08:19:23 AM
Andrew: To answer what a person thinks about Alex/Xanth, I still think Alex is a cop. Risky to lie about it otherwise. Whether a Framer exists or not, I don't think a Scum Alex would risk lying without knowing whether a real cop exists. To talk about Xanth, if a Framer does exist, the only way Xanth could have been framed on Night 2 is if the Mafia have a combination of Godfather/Framer/Hitman. So it'd be a specific combination that had to have occurred exactly as it was supposed to last Night. Only thing I don't like about Xanth recently is why he would vote Kilga at the top of his chart? He has no points on that at all other than maybe reluctance about the Bardiche case. Otherwise, I think that the result on Xanth is correct. Letting Alex check someone else tonight is the better way to see whether a Framer actually exists short of lynching one.

Otherwise, not too much has changed about what I think. Bardiche's last post to just say Excal is scum and lynch him is just bad. To address Andrew again, I would say that because Affinity and I don't have our own cases doesn't mean that we're not scumhunting. I'd rather not blame Day start time as to why I haven't introduced a unique case before anyone else because it is beyond my control. I've tried to present my views to not be a direct rehash of what's been said before. Interestingly enough, I have to note that Alex presents very little about the Bardiche case except for a quick line of agreement from Kilga's points. I thought Alex would be around more to push his cases so it is becoming a bit unsettling that he's also contributing to Day 3's stagnation. But I still think he's a Cop so he's got to get out what ideas he has while Town still has everything going relatively in their favor.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 08, 2008, 08:42:55 AM
Alright...  I need to sleep for work tomorrow, and I...  don't really have anything besides a general feeling that Bard and Kilga are town, and nothing on Alex that'd make me go after the cop.  Most of the rest of you are ciphers, and I think the best feel I have is on Andy, and even that is kinda tangental.  So, yeah.

Regardless, Andrew will get my vote, mostly because he dropped a case he didn't really give any reason for dropping (so what if no one else is jumping on it, you're not trying to save your skin), arguing that Bard drop what he has going in order to save his skin (and go for what, exactly?  If there isn't another case he feels compelled to make, he won't convince anyone and he'll look bad for jumping from case to case looking for something that'd stick.  And it's not like there's another train to board that would legitimately give him an option to survive.  As you may have noticed, at the moment of your posting, I was the second train with Bard's lone vote on me), and because he's the one person Soppy tied himself to in any non-trivial way that wasn't contradictory, or that isn't covered by the cop.

##Vote: Andrew
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 08, 2008, 09:06:01 AM
Yeah, okay, I guess this is where I die. I'm mightily annoyed right now. >_> Like... fuck, what, screw this.

Mostly you Alex. Goddamnit, try to stick with your team mates instead of bussing them at every damn opportunity.

Yeah, screw this game. ##VOTE: Bardiche
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 08, 2008, 09:10:48 AM
##UNVOTE: Excal
##VOTE: Bardiche

That's a legitimate hammer.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 08, 2008, 09:19:29 AM
Excal (0): Bardiche
Bardiche (6): Kilgamayan, SirAlex, Strago, Kiro, AndrewRogue, Bardiche
SirAlex (1): Affinity, AndrewRogue
AndrewRogue (1): Excal

Bardiche, aka Kurauchi Kazuya, Scum Hitman, was lynched!

Send in night actions.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 08, 2008, 11:59:09 PM
"I can't take this anymore! It was me!" cries Kazuya, withdrawing a gun from his pocket. "I did it for Akane-chan! Otherwise one of you freaks would take her out, wouldn't you? And that'd be it for me. It's the end! Goodbye, Akane-chan!"

Turning the gun upon his own head, he fired. A spot of red landed on Akane's cheek, who watched with a raised hand and a dumbfounded glance. "Kazu...kun?" she murmured, disbelieving.

Ishigami slipped his own pistol back into his jacket, and put a hand on Akane's shoulder. "He was a kind man. A man who was conscientous of other people's bullets," he said, comfortingly. "Let us adjourn for the day."

The next day brought no more bodies. Yet the Hime Star still hung overhead, an ominous red tear in the sky that seemed to be getting larger every passing morning...

1. Fujino Shizuru (Corwin)
2. Sugiura Midori (SirAlexTheFirst)
3. Yuuichi Tate (Excal)
4. Minagi Mikoto (AndrewRogue)
7. Ishigami Wataru (Strago)
10. Senou Aoi (Kilgamayan)
11. Suzushiro Haruka (Xanth)
12. Yuuki Nao (Affinity)
13. Higurashi Akane (Kiro)

It is day 4!

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 12:04:47 AM
Well, that was predictable. I got attacked last night.

Xanth! Make a vote-worthy case on someone, please.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 09, 2008, 12:11:44 AM
Morning.  I investigated Andrew last night, and found scum again!  (Ahn, you're so talented, Midori-chan~)  But I'm also insane so that means he's town.  

Shockingly, I was NOT the person attacked last night.  

My first choices for scum today would be Affinity and Kiro, for their odd voting/lack thereof all game.  Excal's caught my eye as well for the move on Andrew yesterday, since I now know Andrew's (very, VERY misguided and weirdly acting) town and would make a good scum lynch.  Going to have to read up on all those before saying more.  

Corwin didn't have a vote down yesterday either and I think he's had much less presence than usual this game, which is somewhat concerning but not as much as those who haven't had votes down all game.  Strago similarly has been gone a lot, but that can't be helped.  Kilga looks pretty good to me due to dogfighting Bard all game and I know Xanth, Andrew and myself to be town for certain now.

Ninja:  Okay, Kilga's attack claim puts him squarely in the "as good as confirmed" camp too, whee.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 12:30:34 AM
Really? Well damn, there goes my framer theory.

That shoves Affinity to the front of my (now very short) list.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 12:49:11 AM
Also, can someone summarize why Excal is suspicious enough to make it worth ignoring that he was #2 on the Sopko train?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 09, 2008, 01:07:20 AM
The key to that to me, Kilga, is that he could have reasonably expected the train on Xanth to push on to its end regardless. So not being on that train and lynching a townie would have been a positive mark for him. However, that... hrm. I guess if Xanth was as foregone a conclusion as that he could've just voted for him anyway.

Heh. I think I just talked myself into agreeing with you, Kilga. For the moment, at the least.

I guess we're all taking Bard's parting remarks as a fake blow-up designed to get us to lynch our cop?

Not sure at all who to go after next. Mrff.

Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 09, 2008, 01:56:19 AM
Alright, it looks like there's no SK, so that means that Xanth and Andy are, at worst, survivors who want that last scum to die as much as we do.  Why do I say this?  Because Alex's replies are consistant with Insane Cop, which means that he's either town and giving us good data in which case they're town, or scum and therefore no one else can be, as I don't think there's four scum in a game this size.

Kilga also seems fairly safe as he's been hunting down the second scum for almost a day and a half very persistantly, which makes me trust him over and above my previous feelings about him (which were seriously rattled when Bard flipped).  On a side note, I was also hunted by Bard for a day and a half, very persistantly.  One could say it was a ploy, but it's not really a winning trade for scum to be trying to take out half of their numbers in order to try and gain confidence.

Finally, I'm ready to trust Alex for now.  If Kilga is to be believed, and I think he is, then scum aren't hunting the people Alex clears.  And the people Alex clears are clear regardless of whether or not he himself is town (barring some shenanigans, though I'm having a really hard time seeing what could screw this up).  This means that if he isn't cutting down on the number of people who he's cleared, then we'll reach, sooner or later, just Alex and the people he's given the ok to.  And that number will not favour Alex.

And this, leaves us with Corwin, Strago, Affinity and Kiro.  Strago has generally been pro-town, and I vaguely remember him being one of the first people on Soppy.  Corwin was also early on Sopko, though he's been a bit harder to notice around these parts.  Which leaves us with Kiro and Affinity, who I agree are finally due to go on the chopping block for general inactivity.  I think my preference is towards Affinity at present, though I'm not well enough versed on their scarce content to actually give an informed opinion as of yet.
Title: Garlic Sardine Grater
Post by: Xanth on December 09, 2008, 02:30:14 AM
All I can say is that I've had a really bad game, in particular motivation-wise as of day 3, to which all I can say is sorry guys, you've managed to do well despite my presence. This day has again started just as I want to be heading to bed, so I'm pushed back yet another 8 hours or so.

I was clearly massively wrong on Kilga, as well.


A quick further bit on game logic before I sleep, though, as I'll probably forget it come morning:

As I read it (tell me if I'm missing something, as I've managed to keep on missing the outliers), Alex has technically only cleared me so far. There are three cases, assuming that a) there's only one scum left and b) only one Godfather power in the game (Sopko's):

1) Alex is insane. Both Xanth and Andrew are clear.
2) Alex is sane. Andrew is scum (no room left to frame), and both Tom and Xanth were framed.
3) Alex is scum and lying.

So Andrew isn't cleared given yet another unlikely case. 2) can be eliminated tomorrow if Alex gets another 'scum' report. A 'town' report I believe actually wins the game as there would be three lynches in which to lynch the player the town report is attached to (for case 1), Andrew (for case 2) and Alex (for case 3).

I think another 'scum' report also wins the game, in that tomorrow there would be two confirmed townsmen, three if you include Kilga, assuming that the doctor (I am assuming a doctor exists, okay, that is one unlikely possibility that breaks this) protects Alex and the scum kills one of {Andrew, Kilga, Xanth}. Either we lynch the scum and win or we hit another night and repeat. Come a theoretical day 6 with 5 people, either Alex claims 'town' and there are two lynches in which to lynch the guy who that applies to (case 1) and then Alex (case 3), given that case 2 can no longer be the case and town wins, or he claims 'scum', at which point there will be at least three out of {Andrew, Kilga, Xanth, [cleared night 4], [cleared night 5]} alive who are confirmed townsmen, who at that point can guarantee winning.

In the worst case scenario, one of {Andrew, Kilga, Xanth} is the doctor and is picked off by the scum tonight, thus rendering them capable of killing Alex before he can clear someone night 5 (if Alex doesn't then die night 5 for whatever reason then it continues as above). However, if they do kill Alex in night 5 then we retain three out of {Andrew, Kilga, Xanth, [cleared night 4]} and are guaranteed to win that way anyway.

Please check the above logic, other than the potential Kilga hole (actually being clear or not) that I haven't looked into. Unless I've missed another hole (entirely possible, it would seem), I believe this guarantees town victory simply so long as the doctor protects Alex tonight. Sure, we should totally scumhunt to win with as many townsmen left standing as possible, but it'd be nice to know that out of all of this mess I was able to help town in some meaningful manner.


Oh, and I think the Kilga hole is quite easy to resolve, come to think of it. Either someone contests being attacked at night and we have a choice of two to win from, or no one contests the attack at which point the only remaining dangerous avenue is if Kilga is scum and was roleblocked last night and hence was unable to kill, but in that case there's a town-aligned roleblocker out there who could wave around with this information, at which point we again have a choice of two and win either way. Thus if neither event happens then Kilga ought to be clear as town.

Yeah, not that I think Kilga's anything other than town at this point between the attack claim and leading a major attack on scum, but if you're looking for certainty in an argument, then the above covers that. Same with Andrew, really. The odds are farfetched of the framing situation, but the above takes that into account anyway.
Title: Gymnasium Toaster Ditch
Post by: Xanth on December 09, 2008, 02:36:44 AM
Pardon me, when I say "I think another 'scum' report also wins the game" at the start of that paragraph, I do just mean one from tonight's investigation, and not one from tomorrow night. Given the time of night here there are probably some other points that aren't clear, which I can answer in the morning.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 09, 2008, 03:04:59 AM
Don't direct the doctor.

Scum must kill and their target is informed of the attack if they survive, as per the rules, so there's no reason to doubt Kilga is clear.

Scum have not been playing well all game.  Sopko barely contested his demise, Bard was pretty obvious, and they haven't even made an effort to stop me even though they know for a fact leaving me alive and unmolested leads straight to their inevitable loss.  It is clear that unless Xanth is actually scum, either he or myself should have been last night's kill target, but as Xanth has pointed out it is now impossible for him to be scum.  I can say this with impunity now because it really does not matter if scum realize it or not, it's a bit too late for them.

I will admit that a bit of metagaming here is creeping into my analysis as I have a really hard time seeing Corwin, Excal and Strago play scum this way.  (No!  Bad Alex!  No meta!)  But as Xanth pointed out it probably does not matter at this point anyhow.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 09, 2008, 04:32:49 AM
Judging from the way Alex has been revealing his results, and his early vote on Bard yesterday,I think I was massively wrong about Alex as well as Bardiche.  Still vaguely suspicious is scum's choice of NK, why aren't they doing the obvious?  It's, well, pointing towards Alex as scum, but after three days of investiagtions, I'm quite ready to trust Alex on my part too.

Also, I felt the framer thing was pretty clever, didn't think of that.

It seems that scum do not have a roleblocker; in that case, I agree with Xanth that logically speaking, town is sure to win this time provided that Alex isn't scum.  Andrew was at the top of my list going into today as per Excal's reasons and his (to me) unsatisfactory response to the Bardiche point, but I'm afraid that Alex simply doesn't have any reason to lie about his alignment.  I haven't been playing well (whether I'm town or scum) throughout the game, as Andrew pointed out, and I'm alright with being today's lynch given the above, though I'm town.  Standard of play on this board seems substantially higher than that of MotK.  All I can say in my 'defense' was that I was the first to call out Sopko, though it didn't have much effect, regrettably.

If I'm not wrong, the last time Kiro voted was for me, at the beginning of day 2.  That's something to be concerned about.  I'm alright with him content-wise, though.

##Vote: Kiro

Excal looks good to me due to the fact that he voted for Sopko early (contributing quite an amount to the train), and that at the beginning of day two, he displayed some idea of critical thinking in choosing Alex over Xanth in being the target for day two, which slightly towards town in my opinion.  I can't say anything about him not voting Bardiche at all for obvious reasons.  His swtich to Tom, however, seemed slightly forced, but Bardiche's focus on Excal is... rather telling.

Strago, presence was strong in Day One and two, on day three, not so much.  Same goes to Corwin, I guess.  Am not sure what to think of them now.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 09, 2008, 04:50:12 AM
Xanth, I did see the thing with the Framer Re: Andrew.  However I dismissed it as it will be invalidated tomorrow (even if Alex dies, his sanity will tell the tale) when Alex gives us his result.  Also, it involves a lucky guess, and frankly, an implausable one.  I don't think it would be a good move to frame you on night two when there were other targets for the hitting.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 09, 2008, 05:03:43 AM
Actually I think Xanth would be an obvious frame target night 2, given how Cid telegraphed his plan.  I have a hard time seeing scum randomly frame Tom night 1, though, and I think if they did we would have seen some different behavior out of them (namely someone getting on Tom with me before I claimed).  Pretty sure I'm just insane, and one way or another we'll know the truth tomorrow anyway.

Affinity's last post is pre-tty darn scummy to me so I think that's where my vote's going to go right now.

##Vote: Affinity

- Argued hard for lynching me on previous days
- "Still vaguely suspicious is scum's choice of NK, why aren't they doing the obvious?  It's, well, pointing towards Alex as scum" - pointing this out just to make sure we get it, alongside Bard's final callout
- Was first to call out Sopko, and it didn't have much effect - Soppy's play was a weaksauce attempt to tie himself to me, scumbuddies had to know this and would likely call him on it, but early, so it wouldn't have much effect, before it snowballed into a serious case.
- Is alright with Kiro content-wise.  I'm certainly not!  But if Affinity is, who isn't he fine with?

I'd like to see thoughts from all the non-cleared players for sure, of course.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 09, 2008, 06:04:17 AM
Quote
Argued hard for lynching me on previous days

If you're calling me out for that, then I shall point this (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42917#msg42917) against you if I wasn't convinced you're cop.  You said you were expecting to be lynched, and from my understanding, that implies that you are really fine with being lynched, going so far as to call it objectively alright.  This dramatic change of heart must reflect something, and I'm not willing to treat this as a valid reason by itself.  Furthermore, my points against you were valid.

Quote
pointing this out just to make sure we get it, alongside Bard's final callout

What?  Firstly, why not Strago?

Quote
Was first to call out Sopko, and it didn't have much effect - Soppy's play was a weaksauce attempt to tie himself to me, scumbuddies had to know this and would likely call him on it, but early, so it wouldn't have much effect, before it snowballed into a serious case.

This is possible, but this could go either way.

Quote
But if Affinity is, who isn't he fine with?

AndrewRouge for his response, and Kiro and Corwin for their lack of votes.  This isn't really new, however.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 09, 2008, 06:36:39 AM
Was hit too hard by life the day before yesterday, considered asking for a modkill but there weren't really enough developments as is. Then yesterday, the day ended before I could dedicate the time to it. In any case, apologies for that.

Need about an hour now to catch up on today, will post afterwards.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 09, 2008, 06:50:49 AM
At this point, Alex, Xanth, Kilga, and Andrew should be cleared. I also still think Excal is Town. That leaves Strago, Affinity, and Corwin. If anything though, Strago definitely gives off a Townie vibe, having been on both Sopko and Bardiche wagons in relatively straightforward fashions. Corwin is slightly wavering in my eyes. Possibly because of the sudden drop in activity at the end of Day 3. I find it odd that he was against the Extension and then contributed to the stagnation and didn't post anything else for Day 3. His questioning was alright and he pursued a variety of angles, but in the end, he didn't commit to anything in particular, whether it was me, Andrew, or Bardiche. I'd probably chalk it up to a random emergency although if Affinity isn't the last scum, I could see Corwin being it.

Affinity's major jab against him is the case and vote on Alex for Day 3. He's arguing on the premise that Alex is just coasting by. I can't really disagree with that too much from Alex's Day 3 content, but there's an intent to want to off Alex on Day 3 and not give him a chance to pull out more investigations even though we had good leeway at the time and even better leeway now. Given Alex wasn't killed or even targetted to be killed, Scum were probably banking on that result for Day 3, and it makes sense that they'd bump that along to some extent. But as the pressure on Alex subsided to a wait-and-see scenario and the Bardiche wagon gained steam on Day 3, Scum realized chances of that were shot before they could even begin and Andrew also backed out of the wagon (and is now a confirmed Townie). Affinity was also pretty keen to jump on the ceremonial hammer of Tom, purposely trying to beat out Andrew for it. It's clear your intent was to have a say so the extra effort to do so is suspicious. I also don't get your reasoning for voting me above. I may have issues, but you're not addressing them yourself even if I happen to be the next "easiest" case for a lynch. I'm believing this will wrap it up.

##Vote Affinity

On an aside, as for why some of you think I don't have enough content, I think that's frustrating because I can't seem to defend against it. I post a reasonable amount and the votes I seem to be missing include a wait-and-see approach that never occurred with Sopko and just seeing the Tom wagon at L-1 and before Tom woke up to claim. I take a decent amount of time to type up posts so if it's because I don't get enough content out per minute spent playing Mafia, then that's something I have to work on, but shouldn't be automatically condemned for scumminess.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 09, 2008, 07:14:11 AM
Quote
there's an intent to want to off Alex on Day 3 and not give him a chance to pull out more investigations even though we had good leeway at the time

Well, this is curious.  How do you differentiate the 'intent to want to off' Alex with the 'intent to simply root out scum as quickly as possible'?  As for good leeway, I simply did not want him (if he was scum) to produce investigations until LyLo, where he magically pulls out scum from his hat, and I severely questioned that.  Also, see the theory I had about what El-Cideon's plan was here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42896#msg42896).  His death opposed to Alex's was unsettling.

Quote
Affinity was also pretty keen to jump on the ceremonial hammer of Tom, purposely trying to beat out Andrew for it.

This, I can't explain, other than the 'novelty' aspect of wanting to hammer for once and that I was pretty much disillusioned with Tom to the point of lynch.  I acknoledge that I could have waited though, but whether or not he would have responded satisfactorily with all his sins chalked up, I'm doubtful.

Quote
I also don't get your reasoning for voting me above. I may have issues, but you're not addressing them yourself even if I happen to be the next "easiest" case for a lynch.

My vote was more towards a prod, seeing that you did not answer this point for very very long though it has been hanging in the air via Andrew.  The reasoning is the same as his which I didn't see the need to parrot, and calling my vote unreasonable is rather silly for that matter.  Vote on you stays.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 09, 2008, 07:15:20 AM
End of previous day: probably wouldn't have lynched Bardiche. The case on him was pretty much a combination of 'I don't like your case' and LAL. But at least it reminded me that LAL is pretty effective, so there's no reason not to rely on it again in the absence of something better. About the only people I absolutely wouldn't have joined in lynching yesterday were Alex and Xanth, because it would just have been counter-productive.

I suppose I could've gone along with the flow and slapped a vote on Bard when it was fashionable, but as I wasn't really seeing the case at the time I decided against that.

Moving on. Bardiche connections. Off the bat, I see Kilga, for the protracted back and forth which could have either been a smokescreen or ended up in bussing, Excal who was hounded persistently and chose to try and vote for another person at a time people were tired of the day and a fresh target might have diverted the lynch and Affinity for pushing for the other lynch target from the start. There is also myself, for completeness's sake, but I take my student council president duties most seriously and would never be involved in the murder of students and staff.

Of those, I'll accept Kilga as cleared unless someone else claims they were targetted or admits to roleblocking another player this night.

Strago: If we end up approaching LYLO (based on our assumptions of a 3-person scum team) without hitting scum, I believe we should lynch Alex. However, I also happen to think we should not, under any circumstances, lynch Alex before we're at that point. So yes, I'm intending to ignore Bardiche's last words, and just about any words from the point it was clear to him he was going down.

In any case, I'm going to place my vote on Affinity as well. That line he made about Kiro's content being acceptable, which Alex helpfully pointed out, is enough for me to push for answers. Kiro's participation is pretty much on Bardiche's level for me, and I've said as much the previous day.

http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg43443#msg43443
Affinity here tries to explain that line away with:

Quote
Quote
But if Affinity is, who isn't he fine with?

AndrewRouge for his response, and Kiro and Corwin for their lack of votes.  This isn't really new, however.

I'm sorry, what? This is selective quoting. Here is Alex's entire line (and the point it contains):

Quote
- Is alright with Kiro content-wise.  I'm certainly not!  But if Affinity is, who isn't he fine with?

It is made very clear Alex is talking about whose content Affinity is satisfied with, given Kiro gets a pass from Affinity. Affinity then proceeds to edit that line of inquiry and responds to a fragment of it which misleads the reader. It feels like an artificial way to get out of the hole he dug himself into.

##Vote: Affinity
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 09, 2008, 07:58:39 AM
Quote
It is made very clear Alex is talking about whose content Affinity is satisfied with, given Kiro gets a pass from Affinity.

Oh, is it?  My mistake, though I don't remember 'content' being a person (this is a grammatical error on his part and so it's his mistake too).  He should have said "whose content is he not fine with," making it clearer.  I thought he was referring to people.  It was a little convincing, really.

The answer to this is, none.  If there is anyone, it's my content.  But I doubt that thinking that everyone's content is fine is inherently scummy.  While I accept that Kiro's posts usually go unnoticed except for the fact that, well, they are there, I find them alright.  He has given his views on every single case so far and has contributed suggestions to town in so many of his posts that I'm not going to bother linking one.  The thing that he did not, howver, clearly take, were convincing stances on day two and to some extent, three. 
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 09, 2008, 08:58:20 AM
But I doubt that thinking that everyone's content is fine is inherently scummy. 

Actually it is.  There ARE scum in the game, someone IS lying and trying to mislead town and if it isn't you then who is it, I wonder I wonder?

As for Kiro, quantity does not equal content.  "I think these people are scum and town and here's why" is content.  Voting is content.

Nothing much else to say though.  Affinity definitely looks worse right now.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 09, 2008, 09:20:26 AM
You in, turn, are saying absolutely nothing at all and are responding to none of the things that I have raised, dropping not even so much as a reason for this.  You're have been a nodding donkey all game, and unfortunately for you, deafness has being added on to your list of symptoms.  So has been your failure to scumhunt.

Again, I repeat.  Why implicate me and not Strago for your second point, and why do you see me as scummy for arguing for your lynch? 
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 09, 2008, 09:30:55 AM
EBWOP: yesterday?  When you yourself have said what you said?  You have merely quoted my act and judged it skin-deep, so has been your all-encompassing claim of "I don't think it's wrong for me to be lynched". 

As to everyone else, even to those who have their votes on me, Alex's failure to answer questions and his apparent flair for leaving half-hearted points of accusation on me cannot be excused by him dubiously claiming cop.  Note how the head of the nodding donkey moves, both on the Bardiche case, to some extent on the EvilTom case, and mine.  Critical thinking has to be be applied to all the points one agrees with, and cannot be accepted just like "he definitely looks worse now".  The irony of the content-less criticizing people for lack of content shows itself deeply, and it is up to everyone else to at the very least, consider this and respond.  On logical reasons of probability alone, I wouldn't vote him, but the fact that he feels strangely aloof all game makes him, to me, a WIFOM I cannot allow.

##Vote: SirAlex
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 09, 2008, 09:33:40 AM
EBWOP: ##Unvote, ##Vote: SirAlex

This might seem like an OMGUS, but lynching the deaf is a rather solid thing to do.
Title: Sand Muscle Porch
Post by: Xanth on December 09, 2008, 10:18:06 AM
Don't direct the doctor.

Scum must kill and their target is informed of the attack if they survive, as per the rules, so there's no reason to doubt Kilga is clear.

Scum have not been playing well all game.  Sopko barely contested his demise, Bard was pretty obvious, and they haven't even made an effort to stop me even though they know for a fact leaving me alive and unmolested leads straight to their inevitable loss.  It is clear that unless Xanth is actually scum, either he or myself should have been last night's kill target, but as Xanth has pointed out it is now impossible for him to be scum.  I can say this with impunity now because it really does not matter if scum realize it or not, it's a bit too late for them.

I will admit that a bit of metagaming here is creeping into my analysis as I have a really hard time seeing Corwin, Excal and Strago play scum this way.  (No!  Bad Alex!  No meta!)  But as Xanth pointed out it probably does not matter at this point anyhow.
Title: Letter Altar Pandemic
Post by: Xanth on December 09, 2008, 10:51:18 AM
Not sure how that accidentally posted, but hey. Ignore the above, it is just the entirety of Alex's post in a quote, unedited.

Don't direct the doctor.

I'd normally agree, but in this case I believe that your dying tonight is the only thing between us and a guaranteed victory and so really should take top priority. It just about guarantees scum a kil that nighl, sure, but so what? The only thing I was being overprotective about is that the doctor would not need to protect you in a theoretical night 5, as we get the majority we need regardless.

Scum must kill and their target is informed of the attack if they survive, as per the rules, so there's no reason to doubt Kilga is clear.

Unless the scum was hit by a town roleblocker. In which case scumKilga's only way out is to claim to have been attacked, knowing that no one else will. It's just occurred to me that if this is the case then even if there is a town roleblocker and they did hit Kilga last night, it's not like they'd know if Kilga was scum or just protected. Yes, incredibly farfetched, especially given how unlikely a town roleblocking target Kilga should have been last night, but people have been looking for certainty, and that isn't actually certain.


Excal: As above. I've been hit for not considering the implausible possibilities.


Anyway, given that no one's actually had a problem with my plan yet (other than myself just now, hooray), I'm happy to keep things simple and drop a vote on Affinity. The vote for Alex is silly, given that if he is scum (which I can't believe)  he now has zero chance of winning anyway.

##Vote: Affinity


That's -1. If you're the doctor claim now, as lynching the doctor is the only other way to screw my plan now. If you're scum then you'll do so anyway, in which case I want the actual doctor to counter-claim, so at worst we have you and one other to lynch (unless people are theorising two doctors). If you're town but not the doctor, please don't take it badly and claim doctor anyway, but we'll actually still win anyway so long as the doctor protects Alex.
Title: Sewer Napkin Gorilla
Post by: Xanth on December 09, 2008, 11:03:29 AM
(unless people are theorising two doctors).

And yeah, it occurs to me that even in this implausible case that we're fine so long as the other doctor protects Alex, so sure.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 09, 2008, 12:25:59 PM
Xanth, the doctor can see that for themselves and make their own decisions.  Like I said before, they "should" have protected you or me last night for the same reasons, and scum should have killed one of us.  Doc's judgment worked out pretty well for us then.  Not that I'm disagreeing with your position in this case, I think we have this in the bag, but the doc can see the situation as well as anyone else can and publicly directing them is a bad idea on principle. 

As far as Affinity goes - this is basically reference for future games here, in case you're either town or actually believe what you just said, and for others - I haven't responded because nothing you've said today is really worth responding to.  I could go into exhaustive detail, but that would result in walls of text which hurt town and the game in general.  Instead I trust the other players to be able to read and use some common sense to fill in the blanks.

Town knows where I'm at and where the game's at and if I was scum there would be at this point literally no way for me to win, since I would have to continue claiming an investigation clearing one of the uncleared townies every night, and either be lynched before LYLO when town got paranoid, or be left in an endgame with at least three other previously cleared townies (Xanth, Andrew and Kilga), in which case it would be painfully obvious I was lying.  This is all 100% concrete given the rules of the game.  If I was scum I'd be trapped right now.  (and probably say GG and tap out rather than waste everyone's time)

Saying I expected to be possibly lynched at that point in the game was just realism.  The guy I fingered as scum with my copclaim came up town.  That doesn't make arguing for my lynch any less scummy, since I am in fact town and scum would want me dead most of all.  Since then the situation's changed.

Strago didn't blatantly call out the NK as supposedly pointing to me as scum.

As far as scumhunting goes I seem to recall agreeing with and taking part in the lynches of Sopko and Bardiche as well as using my role powers to help clear multiple townies and put town in its current very advantageous position.  In fact IIRC I was the first other person to actually read and agree with Kilga's case on Bard and turn it into more than a 1v1 spat?  If you read Kilga's posts on him, they were very thorough, said everything that could possibly need to be said, caught Bard in several contradictions (actually scummy contradictions, not non-indicative gotchas) and were generally a very good case... that I get the feeling everyone but me dismissed because nobody else actually read the walls.  This is exactly why excessive walling is dangerous, by the way.  What Kilga did was very much right, but it was still almost overlooked because folks in the past (including most of the start of this game) abused text walling on cases that weren't very good or even weren't cases at all.  Probably not everyone in the game is even going to read this right here.

And of course since Kilga had already made the exhaustive case on Bard, and he was in fact quite right about it, I don't see how it makes sense to say that I should have done anything other than what I did with it - read, agree and vote with him.  That's why town makes cases in the first place.  It's not to make yourself look good and be able to say "here look at all these words I typed!", that's why SCUM do it and you should watch out for that.  Town makes cases to find scum and convince other townies to vote for the scum.

Regarding your Sopko callout - that's something you brought up in your own defense.  I point out that it can be turned around, then you say my turnaround is useless because "it can go either way."  You see why that's bad logic and scummy, right?  It invalidates your using it as a defense in the first place, if you think it can go either way why would you say it defends you?  If you simply overlooked that it can go either way, why are you opposing my comment pointing out the other side?  This is a behavior pattern that is much more likely to be taken by a scum scrambling for position than a townie.  The same applies to most of the other points that have been brought against you, like calling me on a supposed lack of critical thinking while in the same breath failing to think critically about the points people have brought up against yourself.

Normally, I would just say "Yep, Affinity's flailing in a scummy way" here.  This would imply everything I have said in the above paragraphs and I would trust the other players to understand what I meant by that and grasp all this on their own, without me having to make a titantic post detailing every point, as it should all be reasonably apparent to a rational player and the situation is such that everyone is focused on you already.

If you are town (or if you're a non-Affinity person reading this who didn't understand where I'm coming from here) please take this all into consideration for the future.  I do not mean to offend and apologize if I have done so.  But if you're scum, good game but please get hung now.  Love, Alex.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 09, 2008, 12:29:51 PM
Day 4 Votecount!

Kiro (0): Affinity
Affinity (4): SirAlex, Kiro, Corwin, Xanth
SirAlex (1): Affinity

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch. There are roughly 23.5 hours remaining.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 09, 2008, 12:54:57 PM
The only potential problem I can see is if we have two scum left despite what we believe. But in that case, we'll see it with a potential LYLO announcement. To me, it would implicate Alex, but those of us making it to that point would surely be able to make their own conclusions.

Don't really like the way Xanth is trying to win the game via planning it all out, but I suppose we're in a place we could attempt that. Waiting on Affinity's claim feels contradictory to that stance. Even if Affinity claims doc (perhaps to escape lynch, say), would it actually matter to anyone who thinks he looks scummy?

In any case, what Alex said. If you're scum, please hang, and let's not waste 23.5 hours waiting on making that happen.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 09, 2008, 02:56:16 PM
Well, I'm simply vanilla town and I won't hang myself.  That much is certain.

And yes, I do feel offended by silence.  People ask questions to get answers, and whether you think they are scum or not, you are obliged to answer.  I do consider myself, in fact, at the very least, a semi-rational townie, and if I genuinely fail to understand, and want to have something to respond to, then the response must come from your lips.  In my eyes, these things are far from rhetorical, and furthermore, it's simply common courtesy.  Silence provides no distinction between thinking whether a question is inherently silly, or whether it's something you can't answer, and cannot be considered an excuse for anything, really.  Allows for no difference between, say, you and UK.

In fact, even if you think that your responses are impossible to refute, then you're going to have to second-check that assumption.

First of all, ##Unvote.  Made the vote thinking there was a potential hole, but there's probably only one scum left from the looks of it.  I'm sorry for being a bird-brain there.

Quote
I point out that it can be turned around, then you say my turnaround is useless because "it can go either way.

Quote
Soppy's play was a weaksauce attempt to tie himself to me, scumbuddies had to know this and would likely call him on it, but early, so it wouldn't have much effect, before it snowballed into a serious case.

It sounded more like a point against me rather than a turnaround.  Likely is the word you seemed to use, but 'likely' means more probable.  I simply don't think so, it should be 50-50 after what you raised.

Quote
That doesn't make arguing for my lynch any less scummy, since I am in fact town and scum would want me dead most of all.

Just as suspicious townies would want you dead thinking that you were scum.  With only this alone, I doubt you can differentiate between scum knowing that you were cop trying to kill you, and town being concerned about you as suspicious.  Unless you can raise the issue of tone and wording, this point can only be used as completeness' sake and frankly, doesn't tell us anything on it's own.

Quote
Strago didn't blatantly call out the NK as supposedly pointing to me as scum.

Just as you used 'likely' and 'who', I used 'pointing', which I meant 'very slightly and vaguely'.

---

Scumhunting point.  Hm, you were second-last on Sopko's bandwagon and you merely agreed on Bardiche.  Anyone awed by long posts can do that and quote a random part of text and what you could have done is to ask Bard questions directly.  There were possibilities of concerns by others, such as Corwin, that the case was all LAL and not much more, and you could have done, for example, what Strago had done on page 13.  Therefore, I had the reasons to say things about your scumhunting, you're simply not the example of it this game, and neither have I, but that's another matter.

I'll move back to Kiro.

##Vote: Kiro
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 09, 2008, 03:17:54 PM
Morning, all. Looks like there was some activity while I slept. So, let's see.

I... have a pretty hard time not agreeing with the case on Affinity right now. Alex's most recent post says things pretty well. This little tidbit also just makes my head spin a bit with the weirdness and the weak arguing and the scumness and the glayven-HOYVEN.

If I'm not wrong, the last time Kiro voted was for me, at the beginning of day 2.  That's something to be concerned about.  I'm alright with him content-wise, though.

##Vote: Kiro

Ninja'd while writing/thinking: So Affinity's back on voting for Kiro, now. Mrff. My main problem there is that, while I'm not 100% on Kiro at the moment, he and Affinity give me pretty much the same sense of being vaguely passive players, and at this point I want more than that before I lynch someone. Hell, I wasn't able to be here for almost a whole dang weekend, and it's not like I'm going to lynch myself for it. Affinity, though, has been engaging in a lot of circular logic and scummyspeak, so... mrff. Yeah, I feel myself pretty willing to drop the hammer on him.

Strago: If we end up approaching LYLO (based on our assumptions of a 3-person scum team) without hitting scum, I believe we should lynch Alex. However, I also happen to think we should not, under any circumstances, lynch Alex before we're at that point. So yes, I'm intending to ignore Bardiche's last words, and just about any words from the point it was clear to him he was going down.

Basically my thinking, although if he is a scum fakester I hope we'd eventually be able to pick up on it before that point.

Harrumph. Yeah, I'm declaring my intent to hammer, here. Perfectly willing to wait if people want.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 03:42:01 PM
I have no problem with Affinity getting the axe today, he's the only person left I would actively pursue (if other people hadn't done so already!).
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 09, 2008, 04:02:07 PM
In case we mislynch today and I'm hit with the NK tonight, just wanted this out. Alex flipping insane cop would clear his targets from the moment we lynched Bardiche for me. Xanth would still hold a certain amount of suspicion from me since we don't know the last scum's abilities, if any (or even if it's the last one, sigh, let's hope for the best).
Title: Hamster Council Pinball
Post by: Xanth on December 09, 2008, 04:26:31 PM
No, really Corwin, unless you really are suggesting a 9/4 start or two Godfathers (what the hell), I am now completely clear (of being scum, at least. I'm not ITP survivor either, but can't prove that) and scum need to NK me just about as much as the other leading issues. Framer is the only role that could have messed with Alex's readings, and now even that is impossible to implicate me. Please tell me if there is an actual hole in the reasoning I made on the issue (this post here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg43418#msg43418), up to the end of the list near the start), but I believe this is watertight now given those two simple assumptions (not 9/4 and not two Godfathers).

I know I've been playing apathetic bad town, but I am for all intents and purposes cleared from scum.


I feel a little bad for lynching Affinity today assuming the claimed vanilla flip, but I'm content so long as we haven't lost power.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 09, 2008, 04:29:18 PM
I tried my best to defend myself, and I simply wanted a response from Kiro before I wanted to do anything else.  I really did think my arguments were valid, but if town thinks they aren't, then they aren't.
 
Before I die, what's the glayven-HOYVEN?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 09, 2008, 04:33:34 PM
Xanth: Two scum left, one of whom is a framer, for example. Not actually impossible, just very unlikely. I said as much!

I'd also appreciate it if you helped our cause by hunting scum more and finding mathematical reasons you're squeaky clean less~
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 04:39:53 PM
Before I die, what's the glayven-HOYVEN?

It means Strago is Jewish.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 09, 2008, 06:10:16 PM
Well, this is curious.  How do you differentiate the 'intent to want to off' Alex with the 'intent to simply root out scum as quickly as possible'?  As for good leeway, I simply did not want him (if he was scum) to produce investigations until LyLo, where he magically pulls out scum from his hat, and I severely questioned that.  Also, see the theory I had about what El-Cideon's plan was here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42896#msg42896).  His death opposed to Alex's was unsettling.

The above despite the dramatic flair I put in that was unnecessary is relatively the same thing. The final result in both is his lynch. You were worried about him staying alive too long. The thing is though that you wanted him lynched Day 3 which plays more like Scum strategy. Also, trying to link suspicion to someone else's death is a part of scum manipulation. El-Cideon's death objectively only affects El-Cideon. You can't draw a definitive link to Alex and trying to infer a connection and take the safe route to kill Alex is scummy.

Quote
This, I can't explain, other than the 'novelty' aspect of wanting to hammer for once and that I was pretty much disillusioned with Tom to the point of lynch.  I acknoledge that I could have waited though, but whether or not he would have responded satisfactorily with all his sins chalked up, I'm doubtful.
The problem with this point is that Andrew called for the hammer and you just went in and did it for him. Declaring hammers sometimes feels a little unnecessary since in that case Tom had probably said everything he was going to say. You sticking your neck out to "steal" the hammer while being your choice, was wholly unnecessary. The hammer should not be such a possessive thing, but people will still see it as such and you marked yourself weirdly for doing so.

Quote
My vote was more towards a prod, seeing that you did not answer this point for very very long though it has been hanging in the air via Andrew.  The reasoning is the same as his which I didn't see the need to parrot, and calling my vote unreasonable is rather silly for that matter.  Vote on you stays.
Vote to prod is noted, but I see your vote to Alex again definitely feels like a vote to lynch. Unfortunately, you have to back off from that and come back to me again. Your indecisiveness is an awkward defense and I think it would have reflected better on you if you presented a stronger case on me, even if you have to parrot a little.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 06:31:35 PM
Announcing intent to hammer Affinity in 10 minutes. If anyone has anything else to say, say it now.

If Affinity flips town and I die tonight, my current preferred lynch order is Kiro > Alex > Corwin > Excal > Strago > Andrew > Xanth (this would change based on Alex's report tomorrow but I'd be dead so :V). I do not think anyone from Excal on down should be lynched.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 06:32:05 PM
Actually, on second thought, flip Corwin and Alex.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 09, 2008, 06:35:25 PM
Actually, why do you consider Strago so townie? Call it curiousity.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 06:39:53 PM
Because his vote on both scum wagons was at a prominent snowball time and he hasn't done a single thing to make me think he's scum aside from overreact on Day 1 to my saying his posts are too long.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 06:44:22 PM
(Also, for the curious, my bumping up of Corwin was because I realized his Sopko vote was forced by his prior position on Sopko here (http://www.rpgdl.com/forums/index.php?topic=2506.msg42205#msg42205): if ScumCorwin had wanted to swing the wagon away from Sopko to make sure Xanth got axed instead he would have looked tremendously bad for doing a complete 180.)

##Vote: Affinity
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 09, 2008, 06:56:35 PM
I have been given permission to post after hammer to say HAMMER SHUT UP etc.

Hal will have Affinity's flip in a moment.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Halbarad on December 09, 2008, 07:07:47 PM
Day 4 Votecount!

Kiro (1): Affinity
Affinity (4): SirAlex, Kiro, Corwin, Xanth, Kilgamayan
SirAlex (0): Affinity

Affinity, aka Yuuki Nao, Vanilla Townie, was lynched!

Send night actions to the rodent, etc.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 10, 2008, 07:47:29 AM
"Nao-chan, you know, you don't show up to class either. Why would you worry about Kuga like that?" asked Midori, staring at the redhead, who backed off. "Who has time for that stuff anyway..."

"Um, Yuuki-san, did you tempt Kazu-kun into his horrid actions? I know you did, we all know you play with men!" added Akane, pointing an accusing finger. "That loser? Get real, he's too young-"

"Did you enjoy killing Natsuki, Nao-san? It made me very sad. I don't think I can go easy on you..." murmured Shizuru, ruby naginata appears in her hands with a blinding flash. "You agree, yes, Suzushiro-san?"

"Hmph! She has an astounding lack of school spirit. Frankly, we should lynch her even if she didn't do it," snorts Haruka, gaining quite a few concerned stares. "Listen, you reprobates, I don't even believe all this end of the world crap! I can see when I'm not wanted, don't worry, I'm leav-"

"You tried to kill me!" snapped Aoi, glaring at Nao, who blanched. "What? When-" "The cooking! Last week! It was so bad, you had to have poisoned it! Nobody could be that awful!"

"Oh, come on! You should've just told me you didn't like arsenic! That's what I get for being a concerned roommate, huh?"

Not even Mikoto asking what arsenic tasted like could deter the crowd from dispatching the admitted killer. Who, it turned out, was on a series of dates for the past five nights and was in no position to kill anyone, judging by messages on her phone.

<->

The next day, everyone showed up at the library once more. It seemed that nobody was hurt, again, though a sense of paranoia still filtered through the air.

1. Fujino Shizuru (Corwin)
2. Sugiura Midori (SirAlexTheFirst)
3. Yuuichi Tate (Excal)
4. Minagi Mikoto (AndrewRogue)
7. Ishigami Wataru (Strago)
10. Senou Aoi (Kilgamayan)
11. Suzushiro Haruka (Xanth)
13. Higurashi Akane (Kiro)

It is now day 5! With 8 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 10, 2008, 07:51:25 AM
All I know is, this is looking to be a very interesting after game report.  Anyways, given how Affinity got lynched, the only real thing to do is to wait to hear what our friendly cop has to say.

By the by, I didn't get attacked last night.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 10, 2008, 07:55:44 AM
I investigated Corwin last night.

SHIZURU!

IS!

SCUM!

... which means she is town.

I was not attacked last night.

##Vote: Kiro, reasons given yesterday, hasn't voted, etc.  Basically going down the list at this point.

(Q.  Hey!  If Kiro's the scummiest, why didn't you investigate him?
A. Somewhat irrational fear of something going wrong towards endgame.)
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 10, 2008, 08:07:28 AM
Fufufu~

##Vote: Kiro

See him much like Bardiche, posting content-wise. My view of Kiro hasn't changed in that regard. Also, LAL worked already for us.

And I can't shake the meta reason that someone who played mafia here a lot would try to kill those investigated and 'cleared', so it's either Alex using some weird ploy or, well, someone new to this board. And as long as Alex is assured to be lynched if he doesn't find scum as we reach LYLO, it's all good.

No worries, my vote is hardly driven by such tasteless metagaming calculations.

No attack on me, either.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 10, 2008, 08:23:46 AM
I was not attacked last night. Make sure we get out roleclaims/who was attacked before we hit a lynch, please.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 10, 2008, 08:34:50 AM
Uh, why roleclaims? 
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: AndrewRogue on December 10, 2008, 08:42:27 AM
Ahem.

Roleclaim of the one up on the block. Sorry for the lack of clarity there. Was too brief. :p
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 10, 2008, 08:43:19 AM
Uhhh...  yeah.  I don't think there's even any debate on who's getting lynched today.  Tomorrow, sure, but not today.  So even Kiro's role claim will give us not much.
Title: Guitar Fortress Blimp
Post by: Xanth on December 10, 2008, 09:39:46 AM
Suits me fine. I shall simply press on with the plan, where case 2 is now ruled out.

##Vote: Kiro

I was not attacked last night either.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 10, 2008, 12:40:47 PM
Huh, this game's getting cah-razy. I was also not attacked last night.

And, yeah, I guess I'm alright with working this angle.

##VOTE: Kiro
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 10, 2008, 12:44:41 PM
Quote
Uhhh...  yeah.  I don't think there's even any debate on who's getting lynched today.  Tomorrow, sure, but not today. So even Kiro's role claim will give us not much.

Obligatory 'why did you not vote Kiro if it's so obvious who gets lynched today' question to Excal. You were the first person around, and made that particular post when Kiro was still at 2/5 of the votes needed for lynching.
Title: Wensleydale Goblin Fiesta
Post by: Xanth on December 10, 2008, 03:47:47 PM
I'd just like confirmation from Kilga before we end the day now. Apologies to Kiro if this is another misfire down this tree. The continued lack of additional town powers (in flips or with relevant information to declare) makes it all the more likely that the game is balanced as 10/3 rather than 9/4.

Sparklies or Slashies

12. Yuuki Nao, Vanilla Town, you fucking bastards :( (Affinity)

Sorry, Rat. It kind of is Nao's fate.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 10, 2008, 04:14:50 PM
Someone must really love me! I got attacked again.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 10, 2008, 04:21:32 PM
Huh, crazy. Well, now we know it wasn't Kiro. Yeah, really seems like narrowing the more lurky types from the field is the best thing to do right now.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 10, 2008, 04:27:30 PM
If anything this suggests to me even harder that it was Kiro, simply because no DL original would attack me twice in a row. >_>
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 10, 2008, 04:29:22 PM
Oh, you mean the question of who got attacked last night.

derp
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 10, 2008, 04:29:40 PM
ANNOUNCING INTENT TO HAMMER KIRO AT NOON EASTERN
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 10, 2008, 04:30:59 PM
Yar, that indeed be what I meant.

Heh, this game has gotten so laconic.

NINJA: Hammer sounds good to me.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 10, 2008, 04:31:46 PM
Actually, no. Wouldn't it behoove us to wait for Kiro to be able to roleclaim, if applicable?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 10, 2008, 04:34:00 PM
Maybe as a formality, but nothing more than that. Like Excal said, there isn't really a question of who's getting lynched today.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 10, 2008, 05:28:07 PM
oop-c

##Vote: Kiro
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Halbarad on December 10, 2008, 05:31:53 PM
THAT IS HAMMER shut up
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Halbarad on December 10, 2008, 05:42:29 PM
Day 5 Votecount!

Kiro (5): SirAlex, Corwin, Xanth, Strago, Kilgamayan

Kiro, aka Higurashi Akane, Scum Rolecop, was lynched!

Congraturation! This game is happy end!

Feel free for commentary, etc. I'm sure the rodent will post roles and actions once he's back.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 10, 2008, 05:46:14 PM
Tough luck for scum in this one. All four night kills got directed at Bulletproof Millers.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 10, 2008, 05:50:29 PM
>_> You're a Bulletproof Miller as well? Man, screw your Bulletproofs.

But yeah, we sort of had a stroke of misfortune.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 10, 2008, 05:51:37 PM
Glee~

If only Natsuki could be with us to see this day....
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on December 10, 2008, 05:54:16 PM
The setup favored town on this one, but no comment on my performance. Posting has never been my strong suit >.>
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 10, 2008, 05:56:35 PM
Don't know about that, actually. We'd be in a bind if I died first day or something, yeah, but if the rest of the roles are pretty crappy it could still be pretty balanced.

We did have a rolecop, after all, so it's not like it was impossible to find out, and Alex could've investigated either of the two Millers.

My performance was crappy, I can honestly admit that. We could've won if I hadn't gone and gotten myself lynched. Somehow.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 10, 2008, 06:00:58 PM
Why didn't you kill the cop? Seriously.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 10, 2008, 06:03:59 PM
Personally I had wanted to kill Alex, but on the other side thought that with Alex's behaviour, Town couldn't possibly not lynch him.

Clearly I was wrong.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Corwin on December 10, 2008, 06:05:54 PM
We would have. Eventually! But going after Cid so persistently night two and then going twice for Kilga doesn't really make much sense to me. So does not using the Hitman on Cid the first time, unless you had really limited uses on that?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Dark Holy Elf on December 10, 2008, 06:07:04 PM
I'd assume the uses were highly limited.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kilgamayan on December 10, 2008, 06:07:47 PM
My sources tell me Bard had 2 uses.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Strago on December 10, 2008, 06:09:16 PM
Huh, crazily anti-climactic ending. Oh well. Yay us?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on December 10, 2008, 06:10:07 PM
Yeah, Bard had only two uses.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 10, 2008, 06:11:27 PM
I had two uses. I was inactive for hte entire first day (REAL STORY), so wasn't really available. But we'd... more or less agreed not to use the Hitman power from the first night to conserve some for priority targets.

First night we attacked El Cid because El Cid scared 'em.
Second night, we dealt with El Cid, thinking Alex was in a crummy enough position to get lynched. (after all, why NOT kill a Cop?)
Third night I was already gone, but we'd decided to keep Alex alive because:
1) I sort of hoped you'd all take my words to heart. At least a bit. Clearly I fail at theatrics.
2) A Cop remaining alive STILL? Maybe someone'd call it to question. Apparently not!

So. We miscalculated the Town's behaviour mostly and thought they'd call doubt to Alex's copness if he didn't die at any point during the Night phases. Instead, we hit Bulletproofs.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on December 10, 2008, 06:27:38 PM
I had two uses. I was inactive for hte entire first day (REAL STORY), so wasn't really available. But we'd... more or less agreed not to use the Hitman power from the first night to conserve some for priority targets.

First night we attacked El Cid because El Cid scared 'em.
Second night, we dealt with El Cid, thinking Alex was in a crummy enough position to get lynched. (after all, why NOT kill a Cop?)
Third night I was already gone, but we'd decided to keep Alex alive because:
1) I sort of hoped you'd all take my words to heart. At least a bit. Clearly I fail at theatrics.
2) A Cop remaining alive STILL? Maybe someone'd call it to question. Apparently not!

So. We miscalculated the Town's behaviour mostly and thought they'd call doubt to Alex's copness if he didn't die at any point during the Night phases. Instead, we hit Bulletproofs.

No... you pretty much cleared Alex with that one. I can't think of a situation where that would work.

Day 2 was a trainwreck for town until Alex's copclaim, which is where I think they finally got things in order and went forward. Wish there was something we coulda done to throw a wrench in that.

I wish I'd gotten my two cents into you before I died. Cid was a bit of a prominent target for my Day 1 kill taste. Probably would've directed you towards Affinity or someone else low key.

Both Alex and Excal used typical power-role type lurk to start (until Alex claimed, obviously). Props to Excal for not getting found, especially after his rather blatant baiting for a doc claim. Man, that post was hilarious to read.
Title: Goat Garden Author
Post by: Xanth on December 10, 2008, 06:38:03 PM
I'm surprised we didn't think of another miller during the game, but hitting a miller would have just cleared Alex instead, basically.

And yeah, my game sucked, although only consciously from day 3. I fell too far behind on day 2 from leading one bad attack and defending myself, and never found myself able to wrap my head around the Bardiche case. I tried to simplify the game and draw the NK as the most useful thing that I could do, but that just got more attention on me.

Well done to the others despite my presence.

Given that Alex really was the cop, there was next to no chance that I would have ever supported lynching him, and I'm surprised that he was left quite so alone other than for doctor fears.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Excal on December 10, 2008, 07:37:35 PM
Yeah, Sopko called it.  I was the Doctor.  Which also meant that trying to kill either Alex or myself was a risky proposition due to the fact that I was basically alternating between protecting myself and him.

Night 1: myself, I didn't trust anyone else enough to cover them when I could protect a known useful town role.  Also, I'm really freaking paranoid about night one kills.

Night 2: Alex.  I didn't trust him at that point, but I was willing to let him have his chance.

Night 3: Myself.  I was still suspicious of Alex, and my reaction to Bard's final rant was not good.  That said...

Night 4: Alex.  There wasn't any followup.  Scum never bothered to touch anyone that Alex was clearing, which is what Alex would have needed to do if he was scum.  The fact that scum wasn't playing well also meant that I felt pretty safe myself so no need to defend myself unless I claimed, which wasn't going to happen at this point.

And that's the thing that scum did wrong.  They were willing to let Alex hang out to dry, but, the thing is.  You guys needed to off the people he was clearing so that it looked like his investigations were just for show.  Sure, he was right, but he was also getting rid of the pool of people he was right about so that he could conceivably hit LYLO with people left who weren't cleared.  At which point, you'd probably have somebody cleared against Alex and someone not cleared.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 10, 2008, 08:16:24 PM
Good game all, this was pretty fun.

Agreeing on the setup being moderately protown, if we had a self-protectable doctor in addition to two BPs *and* the rules of the game more or less cleared any victim of a failed attack.  As play turned out though it didn't reaaallly matter.

Like everyone's mentioned, scum shot themselves in the foot by not killing me or any of my investigation targets.  What I thought would happen was that I'd be roleblocked and then lynched; initially I thought the only reason I got the investigation on Xanth off was that scum devoted their roleblocker to killing Cid or at least stopping his plan.  When it became clear scum didn't actually have one, well... as long as a cop claimant can keep providing results, there's no reason for town to lynch them until they have to.  And even if they did eventually lynch me, the truth would come out and scum would be stuck dealing with all the people who were now 100% cleared by my flip.

They also shot themselves in the chest by letting their GF go down day 1, but be that as it may.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Sierra on December 10, 2008, 08:18:12 PM
For the record, Affinity was right on my day 2 shenanigans: what I really wanted to be sure of was Alex's alignment, because scum getting away with a cop claim would've been disastrous. If Alex really was a cop, he'd come back on day three with the right answer (albeit, probably a little perplexed about it) and we'd at least be sure of his sanity. If we was scum, he'd probably come back saying "scum," I'd roleclaim, and we'd lynch him. Of course, I couldn't make it 100% obvious what the gimmick was, because then a theoretical scum Alex could've guessed what I was up to and tailored his "investigation result" to match. So I had to play like I'd be doing something overnight instead of, y'know, being a passive role. Apparently I was too cryptic for Alex, though (probably doesn't know me well enough; Super got it, at least!) Oh well.

Fundamentally, it didn't make a difference whether or not scum knew I was up to something just as long as they weren't sure on the specifics; if they'd roleblocked me, I would've been notified and could've taken this into account the next day when Alex shared his results. Roleblocker on Alex could've fouled things up (that or me getting killed, but I knew that was a risk going in since the role list included Hitman). I figured, worst case scenario, I'd make myself a target and scum would focus on me, freeing up the active town roles for the night.

~

PM'd Rat right after I got killed guessing Bard/Affinity for the remaining scummies. Half right!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 10, 2008, 08:25:59 PM
Yeah, Cid, I thought at first you were claiming watcher or something, but if you were town I didn't see a way roleblocking and/or killing YOU would not cause the plan to fail.  Which is why I eventually came around to thinking, if you were town, you were completely bluffing to draw the night's block and really just wanted me to get an investigation off on someone, so hitting you would be a waste.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 10, 2008, 09:37:33 PM
Lol, sorry I missed the chance to defend myself on the last Day. Not that I was going to put up much of a token defense.

My voting pattern was pretty screwed up, yes. I tried to leave myself open to go between Xanth and Sopko on Day 1 when the Sopko wagon appeared, but Sopko's lack of a post at the end of the Day forced me to decide to not vote at all. Don't know if it was better or not to have jacked one of the last 2 vote spots from Xanth/Alex.

I really did miss out on the timing for the Tom lynch. Went to bed an hour before the copclaim and came back to see Tom at L-1 and no reply from him yet. Could only offer a token "approval" to lynch Tom.

I'd like to say that for some reason, I guessed El-Cid was a bulletproof. So when Bardiche and I discussed the N2 kill, that's partially my reasoning I went after him too. I also thought that by eliminating what we thought would be Alex's investigative target that Night, we'd put him in a bind. So yes, at that moment, we were preemptively trying to kill Alex's targets. In retrospect, our biggest mistake was ignoring KISS (Keep It Simple Stupid), and not offing the Cop with our guaranteed Hitman kill.

After Kilga brought the case out on Bardiche, I tried to hop on the bus, but I took too long with my posts and Alex and Strago beat me to earlier spots. Really bad on my part and I didn't seem to argue that point really well.

I guess Night 3 is probably the most unusual part. I was still ignoring KISS and felt I should leave Alex alive. At the same time, I was worried about the power roles, either a Doctor or a Watcher. I didn't want to drop Corwin or Strago because I found them as Vanilla Townies on N1 and N2. In retrospect, I need to remember to rolecop halfway scummy people to find out if they're worth leaving alive for possible lynch bait or just kill them off at Night for safety. I didn't want to kill Affinity because you guys tended to link the 2 of us together. Felt Andrew and Excal were possible targets for Day 4 lynch. That left Xanth and Kilga. I figured a Doctor/Watcher would be on either Alex or Xanth so I went Kilga.

Needless to say, I thought a Doctor outsmarted me and picked the first person to bring up the Bardiche wagon for protection. And as for Night 4 choice... I random number generated it because I knew I wouldn't make it past Day 5. Got Kilga again. Needless to say when I read the email saying "kill fails," I go WTF... there's 2 bulletproofs.

Sorry we didn't put up much of a fight. I'm not really as peeved at the setup (even though I probably should be) as I am about my personal play. I think I intentionally cleared too many people in my arguments and that left it really difficult for me to find a case to latch onto as well as a vote to go to. I have to remember that Townies are generally suspicious of everyone. Otherwise, I think it was a good learning experience. The most lopsided losses and the closest losses tend to be the ones I learn the most from. This one definitely fits into the former.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 10, 2008, 09:41:19 PM
I still think the two lovers being scum together was bastard modding, though. >>
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 10, 2008, 09:48:46 PM
Haha, there was no talk of it after Day 1 though.

Btw, I think in Night 2, we were kind of in the go for broke mode. We'd drop El-Cid and hoped Alex would be considered for Day 3. If not, Bardiche would use his last Hitman to off Alex even if he was watched on Night 3. But since Bardiche died via lynch, we were dead there. In that regard, I shouldn't have tried to bus him at all on Day 3. I tried to play things too fancy throughout the game.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 10, 2008, 10:01:43 PM
Setup was rather chunkily protown, I really wasn't happy with myself at around day two. I expect insane cop/millers to force a mislynch or two, scum to fail a kill or so due to high protection rate (but not many more due to hitman), but limited shots/scum getting themselves lynched so smoothly weren't really conductive to that. Apologies to the mafia, you had it rough.

Not to take away from the remarkably solid town play, of course. >_>

Cid is probably MVP this game for blowing Soppy away on day one and pretty much setting the pace of the game from thereon in. Akane and Kazuya were scum via dice, not via getting rigged, I assure you!
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Hunter Sopko on December 10, 2008, 10:29:21 PM
Wish I lived past day 1. I called Alex and Excal out to Rat immediately after being killed. Bad communication between scum also hurt us, which is my bad.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Kiro on December 10, 2008, 10:45:54 PM
Ah yea, a Cop is a Cop, even if he is insane. I have a new philosophy for Scum.

I Now Declare You Murder All Cops!

INDYMAC!

*stress relief, and I know where their Headquarters are*
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Bardiche on December 10, 2008, 10:49:05 PM
So what were all the roles?

Scum RoleCop
Scum two-shot Hitman
Scum Godfather

Town Bulletproof Miller
Town Doctor
Town... secondary Bulletproof Miller?
Town Insane Cop

Any others?
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Carthrat on December 10, 2008, 10:54:48 PM
Nope that's pretty much it. Actions...

Night 1
Alex - Investigate DT
Excal - Protect Excal
Kiro - Investigate Corwin
Bardiche - Kill Cid (no Hitman shot)

Night 2
Alex - Investigate Xanth
Excal - Protect Alex
Kiro - Investigate Strago
Bardiche - Kill Cid (Hitman shot)

Night 3
Alex - Investigate Andrew
Excal - Protect Excal
Kiro - Kill Kilga (Bulletproof!)

Night 4
Alex - Investigate Corwin
Excal - Protect Alex
Kiro - Kill Kilga (Bulletproof!)

All from memory, I lack the accurate records.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Ranmilia on December 11, 2008, 12:29:02 AM
I actually didn't think I lurked any more than usual day 1, hilariously enough.

The danger of an early copclaim, to the rest of town, is if they claim to be perpetually roleblocked (which is what scum should do if they have a roleblocker).  If scum DON'T have a roleblocker, they need to kill the cop ASAP, since even if they do eventually get lynched that will just confirm all the results they've been producing.

Mind you, in any other game I wouldn't have claimed with a single scum result.  Only reason I did so was because we lynched scum day 1, so taking out a second would kill their night role potential.  I knew it was a risk and it didn't work out.  Sorry bout that, Tom.

I'd vote Kilga for MVP.  His case on Bard was not only great work and super solid, it was sufficient to draw kills to him as a bulletproof.  Really nice stuff.  Cid would be up there too if the plan hadn't failed and resulted in his death.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: EvilTom on December 11, 2008, 01:30:03 AM
:(

Oh well, I did what I could. No hard feelings!

And as soon as I saw you (Alex) still alive on day 3, knowing the setup, I knew we'd won >.>

Go town!

My thoughts on setup: Too random. Scum could have won just as easily as town did, with only a difference in luck. Millers & insane cop could have ended up in 4 mislynches, without gameplay coming into it. And scum could have been fucked over by protections, like we saw (especially with confirmations thrown in).

Still was fun, for the time I was in it for.
Title: Re: My-Hime Mafia
Post by: Affinity on December 11, 2008, 10:07:23 AM
Well, I don't think I have much to say on my end.  I would attribute part of my inactivity to the fact that the peak hours are during my sleep, but overall I didn't play too well, and really didn't feel up to building up full cases on anyone.  El-Cideon gets the MVP in my book due to pretty much nailing Sopko and luring a bullet, as someone has said above.