OK: did not vote at all on day 1 until the very end of the day, at which point he served as the hammer for smodge, then went from Dhyer to Kilga on day 2 after Dhyer responded to his questions. After voting for Kilga over the way Kilga put a vote up with no present explanation (only referring to a previous vote), which struck OK as suspicious, OK disappeared for the rest of day 2. Hmmm. Generally has had decently content-full posts, when he's around, which is exceedingly rare. Has not spoken at all today either.
Yakumo: left a vote on me throughout day 1, also voted for me on day 2 but switched to Ciato at the last second with just one line of explanation:
Gah, I don't agree, but we don't have time to waste.
Which conveniently absolves him of having been on a lynch train for a townie, after the fact; he hadn't
wanted to vote for her, but he'd had no choice due to the deadline. Nevermind the fact that if Yakumo had really thought for sure that Ciato was town, then he could have probably saved her (and prevented us from being in LYLO today) by not jumping onto the train. Votes for me because he thinks my suspicions of scum in this game are "inconsistent" with what he normally sees from me (which is strange, because I've voted due to what I consider bad townie logic, lurkerdom, and self-contradictory statements; absolutely nothing new, from me), and also general claims of me being uncivil and mean and striking him wrong, little of which actually being substantial argument. Mostly appears to have an overriding gut feeling about me in particular, and has gotten vehement in his tirades directed at my person:
Otter, you don't ever seem to think that you're being incivil, even when you get to the point where everyone is tuning you out because they don't want to listen to you anymore. It's not even so much a measure of specific phrases that you use that are by themselves inflammatory, it's your attitude that you must absolutely be right and if anyone disagrees with you they must automatically be wrong, stupid, or both.
The key points being "Everyone tunes you out because nobody wants to listen to you! You think you're always right!" which are more insulting words than actual incrimination. OMGUS'd Kilga immediately after Kilga voted for him, also railing at him for not including his reasoning in that particular post (same thing which brought on OK's vote). Generally hasn't been around a lot and has repeatedly offered excuses about why he can't be here while mentioning "That's all the time I have" and promising more later. Has not posted yet today.
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Okay, that's everyone. Final summary? I'm obviously strongly suspicious of just about everyone at this point, but here goes an attempt at narrowing it down. OK looks bad on general absence (if it's hard to get a feel for somebody due to them not being around, that's a bad sign) but I'm actually not getting a negative gut response on him, for whatever that's worth. Corwin looks pretty good to me all-around, especially with nobody else claiming responsibility on Kilga; if that claim remains uncontested, I'm personally moving him to "confirmed." Dhyer has been a reasonably consistent presence and he's made pretty good sense throughout, so while he could obviously just be clever scum, I have no pressing reason to bear down on him.
Remaining, we've got Nitori, Andrew, and Yakumo. Nitori's lack of presence is
really making me nervous and I know other players have noticed it too; I'm really starting to think our decision to ignore that in favor of other matters has been a mistake. Andrew's story is plausible, but coming back from the dead at the eleventh hour to rush a lynch onto someone who then proves townie looks bad no matter what; obviously, though, other voters were involved in making that possible, Yakumo and Nitori among them. Yakumo's just been hounding me all game, to the extent that he hasn't contributed much else to the game and has managed to fade away from most suspicion, while seeming extremely self-conscious and over-defensive (OMGUS on Kilga for his vote; making sure everyone knows he doesn't agree with lynching Ciato but doing it anyway). Only Kilga has
ever voted for him, and both times he's retracted it before the day's ended. This bears echoes to me of the FFT game, in which Yakumo successfully went completely unnoticed as head scum until the very end of the game. It's possible he's a townie who simply plays scum and town the same way -- but wasn't it Yakumo himself who berated me, saying that players
have to act differently as scum from the way they do as town, and that noting these discrepancies is the best way to find scum? Well, there's no discrepancies to me between his play here and his previous scum play.
So, those are my top suspects, as of now. I'm not going to say "These two are associated, so if one flips scum, the other must be as well," which Corwin almost seems to be saying about me and Andrew, because that is a classic fallacy. Right now, we don't need to find two scum to lynch, anyway -- we just need to find
one, and at this particular minute I'm leaning towards Nitori as the one who's absolutely most likely to be scum. I'm not going to vote until everyone's said something (within reason; I'm not going to wait an entire week, if somebody decides to be cute and disappear entirely, I'm just going to vote for them), but if I had to do it right now, it'd be for Nitori. Again and again I've seen scum win just by keeping mostly to the sides while contributing just enough not to get automatically lurker-lynched, then letting the townies build arguments against each other and dropping in to provide the votes to seal a mislynch, and that's exactly the sort of behavior he's exhibited.
